rule 6: build a basket of killer options 3/2015. options −have multiple potential options (~ from...

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Rule 6: Build a Basket of Killer Options 3/2015

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Page 1: Rule 6: Build a Basket of Killer Options 3/2015. Options −Have multiple potential options (~ from 2 to 5) −Experiment & Test −Invest little (start small)

Rule 6: Build a Basket of Killer Options

3/2015

Page 2: Rule 6: Build a Basket of Killer Options 3/2015. Options −Have multiple potential options (~ from 2 to 5) −Experiment & Test −Invest little (start small)

3/2015

Options

− Have multiple potential options (~ from 2 to 5)− Experiment & Test− Invest little (start small)

Page 3: Rule 6: Build a Basket of Killer Options 3/2015. Options −Have multiple potential options (~ from 2 to 5) −Experiment & Test −Invest little (start small)

3/2015

Testing killer options

− Start from the doomsday scenario and with the clean sheet of paper− ”A true killer option”, not just increment− Compare size of the investment to the size of the potential market− Track progress constantly and be ready to kill projects− Block antibodies

Page 4: Rule 6: Build a Basket of Killer Options 3/2015. Options −Have multiple potential options (~ from 2 to 5) −Experiment & Test −Invest little (start small)

3/2015

Cases

− Lotus Note (1984 - 1990)− Required e-mail, LAN, Windows multitasking− Small iterations

− Netflix− 1. Started as DVD-over-mail− 2. Download-over-night delivery− 3. Streaming

− 1. Lilyhammer− 2. House of Cards

− McDonald’s− Coffee− Hearth Express

Page 5: Rule 6: Build a Basket of Killer Options 3/2015. Options −Have multiple potential options (~ from 2 to 5) −Experiment & Test −Invest little (start small)

3/2015

Large portfolio is not enough

− Portfolio managers have wrong targets− Only best possible return on investment− Avoid internal conflicts

− Hard to keep track of the whole portfolio− Hard to learn from mistakes