sa risk scores november 2015 structural and sector risk graphs

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SA Risk Scores November 2015 Structural and Sector Risk Graphs

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Page 1: SA Risk Scores November 2015 Structural and Sector Risk Graphs

SA Risk ScoresNovember 2015

Structural and Sector RiskGraphs

Page 2: SA Risk Scores November 2015 Structural and Sector Risk Graphs

Structural Risks: Asia

SNG NZL KOR TWN VNMPOLITICAL AUS HK JPN MYS THA CHN PHL IDO PAK INDRISK

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

JPN NZL CHN IDO VNM

ECONOMIC AUS SNG HK TWN KOR MYS THA PHL IND PAKVULNERABILITY

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Country Code Country Code

Australia AUS Malaysia MYS

China CHN New Zealand NZL

Hong Kong HK Pakistan PAK

India IND Philippines PHL

Indonesia IDO Singapore SNG

Japan JPN Thailand THA

Korea KOR Vietnam VNM

Page 3: SA Risk Scores November 2015 Structural and Sector Risk Graphs

Structural Risks: Europe

Country Code Country Code

Austria AUT Iceland ISL

Belgium BEL Ireland IRE

Denmark DNK Netherlands NLD

Finland FIN Portugal PRT

France FRA Spain ESP

Germany GER Switzerland CHE

Greece GRC UK UK

IRE ISLFIN / GER CHE / UK NLD

POLITICAL AUT / DNK BEL FRA PRT ESP ITA GRCRISK

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

IRE ISL

NLD PRTDNK / FIN GER / FRA GRC

ECONOMIC AUT / CHE BEL / UK ESP ITAVULNERABILITY

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Page 4: SA Risk Scores November 2015 Structural and Sector Risk Graphs

Structural Risks: Central East Europe

Country Code Country Code

Bulgaria BUL Poland POL

Croatia HRV Romania ROM

Czech Republic CZE Russian Federation RUS

Hungary HUN Slovenia SVN

Kazakhstan KAZ Slovak Republic SVK

Latvia LVA Turkey TUR

Lithuania LTU Ukraine UKR

SVK KAZ TUR

POLLTU SVN

CZE HUN ROM

POLITICAL LVA BUL HRV RUS UKRRISK

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

SVN LTU RUS

ECONOMIC SVKLVA CZE

HUNPOL HRV BUL

TURKAZ UKR

VULNERABILITY

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Page 5: SA Risk Scores November 2015 Structural and Sector Risk Graphs

Structural Risks: Middle East & Africa

Country Code Country Code

Egypt EGY South Africa ZAF

Israel ISR Tunisia TUN

Morocco MOR United Arab Emirates UAE

Saudi Arabia SAU

UAE TUN SAUPOLITICAL ISR ZAF MOR EGYRISK

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

SAU

UAE ISR ZAF MOR EGY TUN

ECONOMIC    

VULNERABILITY 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Page 6: SA Risk Scores November 2015 Structural and Sector Risk Graphs

Fiscal Sector Risk: G-20 Countries

                                                                       INDIA             9  High       S.AFRICA                           8          ARGENTINA        

         BRAZIL /

MEXICOJAPAN

        7CREDIT                       RISK         UK       6

    SPAIN         Med TURKEY INDONESIA FRANCE       5    RUSSIA CANADA AUSTRALIA NETH.           CHINA USA ITALY       4    KOREA                              3    SWISS   GERMANY         Low             2                    S.ARABIA             1    Low Medium High      

         

   FUNDING RISK

         

Page 7: SA Risk Scores November 2015 Structural and Sector Risk Graphs

External Sector Risk: G-20 Countries

9 High   8     7CREDIT    UK RISK   6

  S.AFRICA TURKEY AUSTRALIA Med CANADA FRANCE ITALY 5   BRAZIL INDONESIA SPAIN   GERMANY SWISS JAPAN 4

  INDIA

USA   MEXICO ARGENTINA 3   NETH. KOREA Low RUSSIA 2   S.ARABIA CHINA   1 Low Medium High

 

  LIQUIDITY RISK

  

Page 8: SA Risk Scores November 2015 Structural and Sector Risk Graphs

Banking & Financial Risk: G-20 Countries

   

 

                                                          9  High                      ARGENTINA         8                                         7CREDIT          TURKEY         RISK                 6

    IDONESIA          Med BRAZIL RUSSIA         5                 CHINA SWISS         4                           S.ARABIA SPAIN INDIA CANADA       3    UK          Low NETH. MEXICO         2

   

GERMANY

KOREA FRANCE S.AFRICA        

    USA ITALY  JAPAN AUSTRALIA       1

   Low    Medium High 

   

          FUNDING RISK