safety of traffic compared to other human activities in finland 1997-99 otto kärki and kirsi...

19
SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

Upload: bathsheba-taylor

Post on 13-Jan-2016

217 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN

FINLAND 1997-99FINLAND 1997-99

Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen

Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

Page 2: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

Acknowledgements to

Finnish National Road Administration (Finnra)

for commissioning the project

Page 3: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 3

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Definitions used

• Railway traffic includes train traffic, shunting and traffic following from railway work (e.g. maintenance)

• Train traffic includes traffic by person and freight trains

Page 4: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 4

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Methods used

• Risk measure: • Fatalities/100 million person-hours

• Risk measure in traffic: • Fatalities/100 million person-kilometres

• Why fatalities as the risk measure? • Definition of an injured person vary considerably

• Fatalities covered nearly 100 per cent in statistics

Page 5: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 5

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Definitions of injury

• Rail traffic

• Seriously injured person: as a consequence sick leave for at least 14 days

• Road traffic

• Injured person: a person who has not died but has injuries that need medical care or monitoring at the hospital, care at home (sick leave) or operative care e.g. stitches; if only bruises or scratches and no medical treatment, no injury

• Work

• Serious injury: as a consequence sick leave for at least a month

Page 6: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 6

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Safety of traffic compared to other human activities

85

6,2

34,2

4,8

1,8

32,3

3

7,7

19,3

5,1

1,5

18,9

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

Air traffic

Train traffic

Road traffic

Leisure

Work

Road, Train and Air traffic total

Fatalities/100 million person-hours

1997-99

1988-90

Page 7: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 7

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Risk comparison 1997-99

• Fatality risk in traffic 13 times that of work

• Fatality risk in train traffic 5 times that of work

• Fatality risk at home (awake) 1.5 times that of work

• Fatality risk at leisure outside home 10 times that of work

Page 8: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 8

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Comparison of safety between traffic modes in Finland

0,91

0,17

0,11

0,7

5

12

4

11

0,54

0,14

0,46

1,5

5,3

3,4

3,2

0,005

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Total

Air traffic

Train traffic

Passenger cars

Motor cycles

Mopeds

Bicycles

Pedestrians

Fatalities/100 million person-kilometres

1997-99

1988-90

Page 9: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 9

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Fatality risk of different traffic modes in Finland and in EU

0,005

0,14

0,46

2,6

3,4

3,2

0,08

0,04

0,8

16

6,3

7,5

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16

Air

Train

Car

Motorcycle/Moped

Bicycle

Pedestrian

Fatalities/100 million person km

Finland 1997-99 EU 1999

Page 10: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 10

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Fatality risk in train trafficFatalities / 100 million person km

• 1997 - 1999• Passengers and personnel

0.14• Includes one derailment with

10 fatalities• Other fatalities (trespassers,

level crossings, no suicides) 0.46

• Total 0.60

• 1988 - 1990• Passengers and personnel

0.11• No major accidents• Other fatalities 0.72• Total 0.84

Page 11: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 11

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Safety in working life

1,76

1

10

4

2

7

1,51

1

5

6

2

4

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

Total

The rest of the working life

Transport

Construction

Industry

Agriculture and Forest

Fatalities/100 million person-hours

1997-991988-90

Page 12: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 12

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Fatality risks caused to other transport modes on public roads

0,02

0,08

0,6

0,17

0,16

3,4

0,6

0,16

6

0,7

0,19

1,9

3,7

0,8

0,21

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Pedestrians

Bicycles

Trains

Mopeds

Motor cycles

Buses

Lorries (>3.5 t)

Vans (<3.5 t)

Passenger cars

Fatalities/100 million

Vehicle-kilometres

Person-kilometres

Page 13: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 13

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Fatality risks according to gender

0,46

1,5

5,3

3,4

3,2

0,33

0,7

10,6

2,7

2,4

0,54

1,6

5,1

4,1

4,5

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

Passengercars

Motor cycles

Mopeds

Bicycles

Pedestrians

Fatalities/100 million person-kilometres

MaleFemaleTotal

Page 14: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 14

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Fatality risks according to gender

• Fatality risk for males 1.6 times that of females in road traffic

• Fatality risk for males more than double in leisure compared to risk for females

Page 15: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 15

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Lost life time in road traffic accidents per time spent in traffic

2

4

18

20

1

2

4

0

0 5 10 15 20 25

Pedestrians

Mopeds

Buses

Vans (<3.5 t)

Minutes/Hour spent in traffic

Page 16: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 16

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Lost life time in road traffic accidents per kilometres travelled

40

39

39

0

3

5

8

1 h 28 min.

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Pedestrians

Bicycles

Mopeds

Motor cycles

Buses

Lorries (>3.5 t)

Vans (<3.5 t)

Passenger cars

Minutes/100 km travelled

Page 17: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 17

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Conclusions

• Safety of traffic and work increased, safety of leisure decreased slightly

• Fatality risk in traffic still higher compared to work and leisure

• Fatality risk of train traffic clearly lower than in road traffic

Page 18: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 18

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Conclusions (continued)

• Fatality risks for males much higher compared to females at leisure and in traffic

• Elderly people and novice drivers constitute high-risk groups in traffic

Page 19: SAFETY OF TRAFFIC COMPARED TO OTHER HUMAN ACTIVITIES IN FINLAND 1997-99 Otto Kärki and Kirsi Pajunen Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT)

15.9.2002 Kirsi Pajunen 19

VTT BUILDING AND TRANSPORT

Copyright VTT 2002

Thank you for your attention!

Nothing can stop automation