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    I NTRODUCTI ON

    TO SURVEY SAMPLI NG

    Febru ary 26, 2003

    Karen Foote Retzer

    Survey Research Laborat ory

    University of I ll inois at Chicago

    www.srl.uic.edu

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    I nt roduction to Survey Sampling Page 2 of 16

    Census or Sample?Census:

    Gathering information about every

    ind ividual in a popu lation

    Sample:

    Selection of a small subset of a population

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    Why Sample instead of t aking a

    Census?

    Less expensive

    Less time-consuming

    More accurate

    Some samples can lead to statistical inference

    about the entire population

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    Probabil it y Sample

    Generalize to the entire population

    Unbiased results

    Non-Probabil it y Sample

    Exploratory research

    Convenience

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    Target Populat ion

    Definition: The popu lation to which w e want to

    generalize our find ings.

    Unit of analysis: Individu al/ Household/ City

    Geography: State of Illinois/ Cook County/

    Chicago

    Age/Gender

    Other variables

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    Examples of Target Populat ions

    Population of adults (18+) in Cook County

    UIC faculty, staff, students

    Kids und er 18 in Cook County

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    Sampling Frame

    A complete list of all units, at the first stage of

    samp ling, from which a sample is drawn

    Examples:

    Lists

    Phone numbers in specific area codes

    Maps

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    Sampling Frames

    Example 1:

    Population: Adults (18+) in Cook Cou nty

    Possible Frame: list of phone numbers, list of block maps

    Example 2:

    Population: Females age 4060 in Chicago

    Possible Frame: list of phone numbers, list of block maps

    Example 3:

    Population: Kids und er 18 in Cook County

    Possible Frame: List of schools

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    Sample Designs for Probabil it y

    Samples

    Simple Random Samples

    Systematic Samples

    Stratified Samples

    Cluster

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    Simple Random Sampling

    Definition: Every element has the same probability of

    selection andevery combination of

    elements has the same probability of

    selection.

    Probab ility of selection:n/N,

    where n=sample size; N=population size

    Use Random N umb er tables, software packages

    to generate rand om num bers

    Most precision estimates assume SRS.

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    Systemat ic Sampling

    Definition: Every element has the same probability of

    selection, but not every combination can be

    selected.

    Use when draw ing SRS is difficult List of elements is long & not comp uterized

    Procedure Determine Population size N & sample size n

    Calculate Sampling Interval (N/n) Pick random start between 1 & Sampling Interval

    Take every ith case.

    Problem of Periodicity

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    St rat if ied Sampling:

    Proportionate

    To ensure samp le resemb les some aspect of

    population

    Popu lation is divided into sub groups (strata)

    Students by year in school

    Faculty by gender

    Simple Random Samp le (with same probab ility of

    selection) taken from each stratum.

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    St rat if ied Sampling:

    Disproportionate

    Major u se is comparison of subgroups

    Popu lation is d ivided into subgroups (strata)

    Compare girls & boys who p lay Little League

    Compare seniors & freshmen who live in d orms

    Probability of selection needs to be higher for

    smaller stratum (girls & seniors) to be able tocomp are subgroup s.

    Post-stratification weights

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    Cluster Sampling

    Typically u sed in face-to-face surveys

    Popu lation d ivided into clusters

    Schools (earlier example) Blocks

    Reasons for cluster sampling

    Reduction in cost

    No satisfactory sampling fram e available.

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    Determ ining Sample Size: SRS

    Need to consider Precision

    Variation in su bject of interest

    Formula Sample size no = CI2 *(pq)

    Precision

    For examp le: no=1.962

    * (.5*.5).052

    Sample size not dependent on popu lation size.

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    Sample Size: Other I ssues

    Finite Population Correction n=n o/ (1+no/ N)

    Design effects

    Analysis of subgroups

    Increase size to accommodate non-response

    Cost