samsung analyst day 2013: memory dong-soo jun memory business

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Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

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Page 1: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

The Conspirators

• Make sure your device uses Samsung Memory

Battery Brutus

Fiona Freeze

Loading Ball Larry

Page 2: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business
Page 3: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Disclaimer

The materials in this report include forward-looking statements which can generally be identified by phrases such as

Samsung Electronics (SEC) or its management "believes," "expects," "anticipates," "foresees," "forecasts," "estimates" or

other words or phrases of similar implications. Similarly, such statements that describe the company's business strategy,

outlook, objectives, plans, intentions or goals are also forward-looking statements. All such statements are subject to

certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the presentation files

above.

For us, particular uncertainties which could adversely or positively affect our future results include:

· The behavior of financial markets including fluctuations in exchange rates, interest rates and commodity prices

· Strategic actions including dispositions and acquisitions

· Unanticipated dramatic developments in our major businesses including CE (Consumer Electronics),

IM (IT & Mobile communications), DS (Device Solutions)

· Numerous other matters at the national and international levels which could affect our future results

These uncertainties may cause our actual results to be materially different from those expressed in this report.

Page 4: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

1. Paradigm Shift - Transition from PC’s to Mobile

2. Strategic Direction - Stay “One Step Ahead” as Ecosystem Leader - Exploit Breakthroughs in Technology - Extend Core Competencies

Page 5: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business
Page 6: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Memory Market Evolution

1/34

PC

W/W Memory rev.($B) Card

SSD

Smartphone Tablet

PC Mobile Big Data Datacenter

(Source: isuppli, Samsung) 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

PC DRAM

Mobile DRAM

NAND

Enterprise

(PC SSD)

41

Page 7: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

• Business cycle accelerates in mobile era

Product Cycle

2/34

3-4 year product cycles

Maj

or U

pgra

de (V

er.)

‘96 ‘00 ‘04 ‘08 ‘12

Pentium Pro

Pentium4

Cedar

Lynnfield

Win95

Win98

WinXP

Win7

Win8

PC CPU & OS

SDR DDR DDR2 DDR3 DDR4

Changes every years 4

PC DRAM M

ajor

Upg

rade

(Ver

.)

iOS 1 2

3 4

v1.0 Eclair

Honeycomb ICS

5 6

iOS 7

Gingerbread

‘12 ‘08

Mobile OS

Annual product cycles

MDDR LP2 LP3 LP4

every years 2

Mobile DRAM

Faster standardization, development and enabling

Page 8: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Product Compatibility

3/34

* SCM : Supply Chain Management

Memory Vendor

A B

Pin-to-pin compatible = Simple SCM*

A B

Non-interchangeable = Complicated SCM*

Memory Vendor

More difficult in managing raw material and work-in-process

• Interchangeable Customized

Page 9: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

De facto standard

by leading players

Shared Value

• The mobile value chain is more horizontal - Value more evenly distributed amongst key players

Value Chain

4/34

Handset

Mobile CPU Memory

Mobile OS

Mobile: Horizontal Ecosystem PC: Vertical Ecosystem

CPU

OS

Memory

Set

Rule setter Bulk of value

Rule follower Commodity provider

More opportunities for value capture

Page 10: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

• Supply interruptions possible during memory shortages

Selective Relationship

5/34

PC Makers

Tier1 Tier2,3

Memory Vendors

Spot market Spot market

No alternative under shortage

Memory Vendors

Tier1 Tier2,3

Handset Makers

Alternative supply under shortage

Danger of production halt under shortage

Page 11: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

• “Tapered Pricing” for visible and predictable memory supply

Pricing

6/34

Volatile Pricing (PC DRAM)

Price

Time

Commodity product

Volatile Predictable

Price

Time

Customized product

Tapered Pricing (Mobile DRAM)

Predictable price and continued cost innovation required

Price↑ Density↓ Maintain BOM

Price↑ Density↓ Increase BOM

Page 12: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

• Design-in at each vendor, 1st mover takes all

Winner Takes All

7/34

Memory vendors’ share for PC maker ‘A’

(40~50%) No.1

(20~30%) No.2

No.3

Others

(70~80%) No.1

(~10%) No.2 No.3

Memory vendors’ share for handset maker ‘B’

Need to be a first mover, Not just fast follower

Page 13: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

20nm

x1.8

x2.0

• Technology complexity driving greater CapEx

Technology & Capex

8/34

100nm

50nm

Tech. complexity

CapEx

x1.0 x1.1

Turn Around

Time

x1.5

Need to improve ROI - Minimum input maximum output

Page 14: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

• PC memory is modular, but Mobile memory is embedded - Product quality becomes more important

Product Quality

9/34

Module type

$00 for DRAM module only $000 for entire board

Embedded type

* Return Material Authorization

High risk of RMA* cost and lost business

Page 15: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

(Source: isuppli)

• Paradigm shift is reflected in memory market

Memory Market

10/34

4 2 3 7 7 8 9

13

23

40

26

15

32 -58%

100%

51%

158%

-36% -23%

78%

4 2 3 7 7 8 9

13

23

40

26

15

32

11 17

27

35

25

39

29 26

33 -58%

100%

51%

158%

-36% -23%

78% 38%

-64%

57%

10% -1% -23%

73%

-25%

-12% 27 %

Memory market gets more stable due to diminished players and PC DRAM portion

Page 16: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Shorter lifetime Customization

Only One

Make-to-order Tapered pricing Winner takes all

Scaling limitations Lower ROI

Higher RMA cost

Mobile era Strategy

Stay ‘One Step Ahead’ as an Ecosystem Leader - De facto standard

Exploit Technology Breakthroughs - Sustainable memory demand growth

Extend Core Competencies - Organization, Open innovation, System knowledge, SCM, Quality

Paradigm Shift

• Radical change of business paradigm

Shorter lifetime Customization

Only One

Make-to-order Tapered pricing Winner takes all

Scaling limitations Lower ROI

Higher RMA cost

Mobile era

11/34

Product Characteristics

Biz Model

Technology

Longer lifetime Commodity

Number One

Make-to-stock Volatile market pricing

2nd mover has opportunity

PC era

Continuous scaling Manageable CapEx Reasonable quality

Page 17: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Strategic Direction - Stay “One Step Ahead” as Eco-system Leader

Page 18: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Solutions for One Step Ahead

12/34

5th Generation

SSD 10nm class

PCIe SSD

DRAM 20nm class

DDR4

• Green Memory - Value maximizing solution for datacenters

Page 19: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Green Memory Benefits

13/34

5th Generation

Same CapEx Same space Current configuration

62%↑

105%↑

Green Memory solution

Green Solution

Green Solution

Concurrent User support

• Combined benefits of Green Memories provide up to 105% greater operational efficiency

Page 20: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Creating Shared Value

14/34

800M Trees (Singapore Area x4.6)

The World Population can use handset within 1.8 years

3.1 Billion Dollars

* Assumes ’14 W/W Server & high-end storage change to 100% Green Memory

100% Green

45TWh Reduction*

Thermoelectric power plant 7.7 units Reduction

Solar Heat Power Station (Area of Hawaii x2)

• Creating $3 Billion value

Page 21: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

• Continue to secure price premium via tech leadership

One Step Ahead

15/34

Competition Only 1 in LPDDR3 Only 1 in LPDDR4

Premium Premium

Mobile DRAM Price

Price

Time

LPDDR3

LPDDR2

LPDDR4

Page 22: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

• Continue to secure price premium via tech leadership

One Step Ahead

16/34

High Density Mobile DRAM

Competition World’s 1st

Premium

Value

Time

2GB

3GB

Samsung

2GB

Competitor

World’s 1st

Premium

3GB

4Gb x 6ea = 3GB

4Gb Premium

6Gb x 4ea =3GB

6Gb

Chipset validation complete Handset evaluation finished Mass production ready

Page 23: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

De facto Standard

17/34

• Cultivate de facto standard via ecosystem leadership

Mobile DRAM

NAND Storage Solution

eMMC 5.0

20nm class 4Gb LPDDR3

De facto standard by leading

players

Handset

Mobile CPU Memory

Mobile OS

LPDDR3

eMMC 4.5 UFS*

*Universal Flash Storage

Open standard

20nm class 4Gb LPDDR3

De facto standard

De facto standard

Open standard LPDDR2 Wide IO

Page 24: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Enabling Tech for One Step Ahead

18/34

• World’s first 3-bit NAND flash SSD - Comparable performance at a value price

Overcome Trade-off

with superior solution technology

Higher Performance

2-bit 3-bit Lower Cost 1-bit

NAND

“I’m continually amazed by Samsung's rise to power in the SSD space.“ - Anandtech -

“The performance increase is profound. Writes shoot up, while the read results shoot up as well.” - Tom's Hardware -

840 (‘12) 840 EVO (‘13)

Page 25: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Strategic Direction - Exploit Technology Breakthroughs

Page 26: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

EUV?

Litho-dependent

krF

ArF

Immersion

Technology Paradigm Shift

19/34

• Memory process technology no longer lithography dependent

Technology

Scale-down = Higher density Lower cost Better performance ? Breakthrough

Litho contribution to CapEx : Planar 45% V-NAND 15%

New Structure V-NAND

Tech. Limit?

Page 27: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Value Proposition of V-NAND

20/34

High Endurance High Performance Low Power Consumption

x10 Program/Erase cycle

x2 Write speed

40% less power consumption

Planar V-NAND (2-bit) Planar V-NAND

(2-bit) Planar V-NAND (2-bit)

Shipping to datacenter customers and receiving positive feedback

Page 28: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

V-NAND in Enterprise SSD

21/34

• V-NAND will change the server storage industry

Enterprise SSD bit shipments

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

V-NAND

Planar

Page 29: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Multi-bit V-Solution

22/34

• V-NAND can be the most cost effective solution

V-NAND Premium Quality

Multi-bit V-Solution Most Cost Competitive Solution

50%↓

Current V-NAND (Multi-bit)

SSD Price

2-bit 3-bit

Samsung’s Multi-Bit Solution

Technology …

Page 30: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Creating new demand with V-NAND

23/34

In mass production in Korea and to be expanded to Xi’an, China next year

• V-NAND will boost NAND demand

NAND bit Shipment

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

PC SSD

Mobile

Enterprise SSD V-NAND

Planar

Premium Application

Page 31: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

• Leading technologies will be applied to mobile first as necessitated by increased scale

How to Sustain DRAM Growth?

24/34 * EDP : Electronic Data Processing

volume at node x

Cost

Development timing

EDP

Majority

+ Cost Adder

Specialty

Mobile

EDP-centric develop. : Mobile Cost > EDP Economy of Scale, EDP < Mobile ↑

Cost, EDP > Mobile ↓

EDP Majority

Mobile

Development timing

Cost

Page 32: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

30nm

20nm

Continuous DRAM Technology Drive

25/34

• Three-pronged approach to sub 20nm breakthrough

Process Tech.

Sub-20nm?

Breakthrough

3D TSV-based

: high density solution

Chip #1

#2

#3

#4

*Through-Silicon Vias

TSV-based DRAM module

Solution DRAM

: Error management algorithm : Server-class memory sub-system

Limit? New Memory

: MRAM, ReRAM, PRAM, etc… PRAM

Page 33: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Strategic Direction - Extend Core Competencies

Page 34: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

What to Do

26/34

• To extend core competencies…

Core Competencies

More customer and market-oriented Reinforcing solution engineers

Organization

Capabilities

System knowledge Competitive SCM, Quality

Collaboration

Open innovation

Page 35: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

• Establish application/market-oriented organization

Re-align Organization

27/34

Cross-functional Virtual community

Functional Dimension

System Engineering

Chip Design

Package Design

Application Dimension

Mobile PC/ Tablet

Data center

Page 36: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

• Samsung’s Server DRAM, Top-notch quality

Statistical methodology, Big data mining Root-cause finding through cross-functional collaboration

Low Server DRAM fraction defective

Time

[ppm] x10 lower

defective rate

Excellent Quality

28/34

Top-notch quality Leverage for competitive mobile DRAM

Page 37: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Outbound SCM

A

B

C

Differentiated, Dedicated

Customer

Improve SCM

29/34

• Right product, time and place through improved SCM - Transformation into manufacturing service provider

Inbound SCM

Increased Complexity

Raw materials Memory

A

B

C

“Samsung is truly differentiating

… obviously providing more detail than even foundries

… proactive approach to improve the level of service of which is already great ”

Page 38: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Memorylink.samsung.com

30/34

• Smart online service & support

Service Portal

Memorylink.samsung.com

Information Smartphone trend

Customize Smart architecture design tool

Recommend Alignment with memory solution

Sample Request Sample order and feedback

Customer

Page 39: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Global R&D Network

31/34

• Improve solution development capability

2013

500

2015

700

2004 0

Flash Management S/W

Israel

Mobile S/W Bangalore, India

Storage S/W Xi’an, China

S/W Architecture Research &

Enterprise SSD S/W

San Jose, USA

New Tech. Sensing & Product Enabling

Expanding Global R&D Personnel

Page 40: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

More Values via Open Innovation

32/34

• System, Solution and Software to unlock value

System Knowledge Identify opportunities

Solution Engineering Create opportunities

Software Capability Maximize opportunities

M&A - Nvelo (SSD S/W), etc.

Equity Investment - Storage system start-ups

Academia Collaboration - Memory system architecture

Overseas R&D Center - Tech. sensing, Product enabling

Page 41: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

• To align with the paradigm shift…

Summary

Strategy

Stay ‘One Step Ahead’ as an Ecosystem Leader - De facto standard

Extend Core Competencies - Organization, Open innovation, System knowledge, SCM, Quality

Exploit Technology Breakthroughs - Sustainable memory demand growth

Paradigm Shift

33/34

Page 42: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Transformation in progress…

34/34

Unpredictable & Fluctuating Biz

Stable & Steady Growth

Page 43: Samsung Analyst Day 2013: Memory Dong-Soo Jun Memory Business

Thank You