satellite-forming impact simulations (past, present, and funded future)

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Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future) Brian Enke Southwest Research Institute [email protected] u

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Brian Enke Southwest Research Institute [email protected]. Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future) ‏. Directed Learning (AI)‏ Support Vector Machines (SVMs)‏ Simulation efficiency Increase science ROI. In the beginning. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

Satellite-FormingImpact Simulations

(Past, Present, andFunded Future)

Brian Enke

Southwest Research Institute

[email protected]

Page 2: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

In the beginning...

Directed Learning (AI) Support Vector Machines (SVMs) Simulation efficiency Increase science ROI

Continuous parameter landscape Non-chaotic behaviour Specific, quantifiable objectives High dimensionality is OK Normalized, graded output

2001: NASA Intelligent Systems project

WANTED: A Few Good Sims...

Magnetosphere

Page 3: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

Asteroid impact simulations (binaries) Magnetosphere inversions Asteroid impact simulations (SFDs) Titan Radiative Transfer Model Dust-lifting on Mars Mars crater detection

SPH: Erik Asphaug N-body: Derek Richardson Companion: Zoe Leinhardt AI: Mike Burl, Dennis DeCoste, Dominic Mazzoni, Lucas Scharenbroich Grading, scheduling, integration: Brian Enke Science: Bill Merline, Dan Durda, Bill Bottke

Early Candidate Sims:

Tools, Collaborators:

Page 4: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

Materials: Basalt (constant) Target Diameter: 100 km (constant) Impactor Velocity (3 -> 7 km/sec) Impact Angle (15 -> 75 degrees) Impactor Diameter ratio (1.0->3.0)

( 46 ,34 ,25 ,18 ,14 ,10 km’s)

Non-catastrophic (>50% mass in LR) Diameter of combined SMATS / LR No EEBs! Threshold of 0.03

Input Parameters:

Early Satellite Results (first grading formula):

Page 5: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

207 Run Grid

Simulates a 17x17x21 grid (6069 pts)

High res: 3-4, 30-45, 1.8-2.2

Trolling for patterns

Page 6: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

137 Active Learning runs

Not bad!

Page 7: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

Resolution

Impact Angles

Noise

Preserving volume

Grading (no EEBs)

Completion and other AI details....

FUNDING

Some Concerns:

Page 8: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)
Page 9: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

Emma

Karin

Baptistina

Size-Frequency Distributions(no AI)

Page 10: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

In the present... Rigid N-body aggregates!

Spins!

More impacts!

… leading to….

Page 11: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

Evolution of irregularly shaped binaries(SMATS or EEBs)

Page 12: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

Plus... Colors!

Thermal evolution

Source (depth) of binaries

Page 13: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

… And Rubble Piles!

Solid or rubble impactors

Limited to spheres/blobs if automated (anything is possible by hand)

Page 14: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

… And other materials!

Basalt

Dirty Ice

Iron

Dirty Ice

SMATS

2.5 km imp.

1 km/sec

Target diam (km)

Page 15: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

… And other materials!

Basalt

Dirty Ice

Iron

Dirty Ice

EEBs

2.5 km imp.

1 km/sec

Target diam (km)

Page 16: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

… And other materials!

Basalt

Dirty Ice

Iron

Dirty Ice

SMATS

2.5 km imp.

2 km/sec

Target diam (km)

Page 17: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

… And other materials!

Basalt

Dirty Ice

Iron

Dirty Ice

EEBs

2.5 km imp.

2 km/sec

Target diam (km)

Page 18: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

In the future,All these thingsplus...

Page 19: Satellite-Forming Impact Simulations (Past, Present, and Funded Future)

Back to AI… 2 years of funding: NASA AIS

From thresholds to peak values, continuous-valued landscapes

Resource optimization, completion, early termination

Better, variable balance of exploration vs exploitation

Better visualization of results

Higher dimensions, MCMC sampling, sim_explore…

SMATS and EEBs ???

Directed Exploration

of Complex Systems