satellite telecommunications satellite telecommunications services growth expected to continue from...
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Satellite TelecommunicationsSatellite Telecommunications• Satellite telecommunications services growth Satellite telecommunications services growth
expected to continue from $27 Billion in 2000 to expected to continue from $27 Billion in 2000 to $106 Billion in 2010$106 Billion in 2010
• Major growth expected in Major growth expected in broadband data and video broadband data and video services, mobile Digital Audio Radio Services (DARS) services, mobile Digital Audio Radio Services (DARS) and regional mobile systemsand regional mobile systems
• Same dynamics as the terrestrialSame dynamics as the terrestrial
• Future difficult to predict because of rapidity of changeFuture difficult to predict because of rapidity of change
Satellite Telecom RevenuesSatellite Telecom Revenues• Interactive Multimedia Rev. from $1B in 2002 to $18B in 2007Interactive Multimedia Rev. from $1B in 2002 to $18B in 2007• DARS Revenues up to $9B in 2007DARS Revenues up to $9B in 2007• MSS growing at 39% CAGR MSS growing at 39% CAGR
0
20
40
60
80
100
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Fix
ed
Sat
elli
te R
ev
en
ue
($B
)
DBS FSS VSAT Multimedia
02468
10121416
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Mo
bile
Sat
elli
te R
ev
en
ue
($B
)
DARS MSS
Source: Merrill Linch, Mar 01
Satellite Telecom UsersSatellite Telecom Users• Satellite Interactive Multimedia users: 2M to10M by 2007Satellite Interactive Multimedia users: 2M to10M by 2007• DTV home viewers in Europe could exceed 34M by 2007DTV home viewers in Europe could exceed 34M by 2007• DARS users in the US could exceed 23M by 2007DARS users in the US could exceed 23M by 2007
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Fix
ed
Sat
elli
te U
sers
(M
)
Broadcast & Multicast Interactive Multimedia
Source: Merrill Linch, Mar 01
0
10
20
30
40
50
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Mo
bile
Sat
ellit
e U
sers
(M
)
DARS MSS
European Operators Market ShareEuropean Operators Market Share
Loral 8%
Others24%
INTELSAT16%
Hispasat1%
Telenor5%
New Skies3%
GE Americom7%
EUTELSAT9%
SES11%
Panamsat14%
Telesat 3%
• European operators obtain more than 30% of the revenueEuropean operators obtain more than 30% of the revenue• Steady growth especially from geographical expansionSteady growth especially from geographical expansion
Operators Revenue Share in Operators Revenue Share in 20002000
Source: Space News, May 2001Source: Space News, May 2001
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
1997 1998 1999 2000
Rev
enue
s ($
M)
SES EUTELSAT NSAB Telesat Hispasat Telenor
Source: Avanti CommunicationsSource: Avanti Communications
Satellite manufacturersSatellite manufacturers
Good progress for European satellite manufacturersGood progress for European satellite manufacturers
Source: via Satellite, May 2001
• More than 50% of the geo-sat contractsawarded to Europeanmanufacturers
• Need to invest in order to stay ahead in XL platforms 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1997 1998 1999 2000
GE
O S
atel
lite
Ord
ers
US Europe
The Need for XL PlatformsThe Need for XL Platforms
Source ASTRIUM, Jan 2001
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
GE
O S
atel
lite
Siz
e (%
)
Small - below 3 kW Medium - to 6.5 kW Med-Large - 6.5 to 8 kW
Large - 8 to 16 kW X Large - 16 to 30 kW
Consumer equipment manufacturersConsumer equipment manufacturers
• Consumer equipment Consumer equipment producers have flourished producers have flourished by capitalising on by capitalising on Europe’s early adoption Europe’s early adoption
of DVB standardsof DVB standards
Set Top Box Market Share 1999 ($3.8B Total)
Pace 11%
Philips9%
Nokia9%
Sagem5%
Grundig3%
Italtel2%
Sci Atllanta10%
Echostar5%
Motorola13%
Others30%
Thomson MM2%
Humax1%