scaling up carbon and carbonate production to regional scales with landsat 7 etm+ christopher s....

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Scaling Up Carbon and Carbonate Production to Regional Scales with Landsat 7 ETM+ Christopher S. Moses (USF) Serge Andréfouët (IRD) Frank Muller-Karger (UMass) Christine Kranenburg (USF) NOAA Think Tank #5: Ocean Acidification 3-7 Dec. 2007, Little Cayman Research Center

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Scaling Up Carbon and Carbonate Production to

Regional Scales with Landsat 7 ETM+

Christopher S. Moses (USF)Serge Andréfouët (IRD)

Frank Muller-Karger (UMass)Christine Kranenburg (USF)

NOAA Think Tank #5: Ocean Acidification3-7 Dec. 2007, Little Cayman Research Center

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Outline• Driving questions• Millennium Coral Reef Map• Location• Scaling up carbon and carbonate production• Conclusions• What’s next and what’s needed

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Questions• Can remote sensing produce reasonably

accurate estimates of production over regional scales (103-104 km2)?

• Can the Millennium Map geomorphologic classes serve as proxies for production in areas with poor imagery or no data for validation?

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Previous Scaling-up Work• Atkinson & Grigg (1984)

– French Frigate Shoals– Aerial photography– 3 classes

• Andréfouët & Payri (2001)– Moorea– SPOT (20 m resolution)– 9 classes

• Brock et al. (2006)– Biscayne National Park– ASTER (15 m), IKONOS (4 m), AISA (~1.5 m)– 4 classes

Andréfouët & Payri (2001)

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Caribbean Region Scenes

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Landsat 7 ETM+: Full Scene

~180 km

Path 14, Row 46

14 Feb. 2000

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Millennium Map: Little Cayman

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Measuring Production• Several methods

– Geochemical– Growth rate, density

• aka: census based

– Net accretion

• Geochemical measurements– Single points or arrays– Total alkalinity (TA), pH

– pCO2, HCO3-, or CO2

O2

Yates & Halley (2003)

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Scaling-Up Production

• Assumptions:– In situ values are

representative over larger areas

– Production is linearly scalable

Ppatch reef = (Fsand x Psand) + (Fdense live x Pdense live )… + (Fi x Pi)

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

North Florida Reef Tract

Landsat 7 ETM+5 Feb 2000

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

In situ Production Values

P R E P/R G

Class (g C m-2 d-1) (g C m-2 d-1) (g C m-2 d-1) (g CaCO3 m-2 d-1)

Sand 1.76 1.96 -0.20 0.90 0.11

Seagrass 2.88 3.32 -0.44 0.87 -0.19

Sparse seagrass* 1.98 2.23 -0.25 0.89 0.05

Dense live substrate 6.43 8.09 -1.66 0.79 1.29

Sparse live substrate 4.23 5.31 -1.08 0.80 -0.04

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

NFRT Biotope Classification

Brock et al. (2006)

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

NFRT Spatial Production

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Unit P, R, P/R, and G

Sensor P R E P/R G(g C m-2 d-1) (g C m-2 d-1) (g C m-2 d-1) (g CaCO3 m-2 d-1)

AISA 3.15 3.71 -0.57 0.85 0.04

IKONOS 3.52 4.20 -0.68 0.84 0.15

ASTER 4.05 4.91 -0.86 0.82 0.36

AISA corrected

3.11 3.67 -0.56 0.85 0.07

L7 NFRT total

3.03 3.61 -0.58 0.84 -0.002

Net heterotrophic

Net CO2 sink

Net Dissolution

Comparative Estimates

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

P R E P/R G

g C m

-2 d

-1

IKONOS

AISA corrected

Landsat 7

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Accuracy of L7• 86.2 (±2.3%) accuracy

over entire NFRT• Most TD >1.80• Lowest TD (0.63)

between shallow dense live and deep sparse live

• Sand is most easily misclassified

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Proxy Stability

Millennium Coral Reef Map

P R E P/R G

Class (g C m-2 d-1) (g C m-2 d-1) (g C m-2 d-1) (g CaCO3 m-2 d-1)

Intra-seas patch reef complex (#568)

3.84 4.68 -0.84 0.84 0.30

Shelf terrace (#781)

3.46 4.19 -0.73 0.83 0.25

Cross shelf (#793) 2.90 3.43 -0.53 0.85 -0.07

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Sensitivity AnalysisM

ax L

ikel

ihoo

dM

ahal

anob

is D

ist.

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Conclusions• Landsat 7 ETM+ imagery can produce

accurate biotope classifications and production estimates at regional scales

• Millennium Map classes can be used as proxies in areas with poor bathymetric control and little validation

• Limitations:– Dependent on accuracy of in situ observations– Greater numbers of classes decrease accuracy– MM classes only regionally applicable

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Needs and Next Steps• Better spatial

coverage of in situ measurements of production– Keystone sites??

• Accurate measurements in deeper (>10 m) water depths– New technologies

• Integration into more complex models

Hochberg & Atkinson (2007)

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Significance• Reefs fringe ~15% of world’s coastlines• High biodiversity

– >2,000 reef fishes– >800 species of corals

• Roberts, et al., 2002

• ~58% are threatened by human activities• Ginsburg, et al., 1994

• ~30% decline in calcification at 560 atm CO2 – Ωarag ~ 2.29

• Kleypas, et al. (2006)

• Need for ecosystem-based management approaches• Loreau, et al. (2003)

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Previous Reef Maps

Solomon Islands

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Millennium Coral Reef Map

Solomon Islands

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Millennium Global Coral Reef Map

http://imars.usf.edu/corals/maps/reef_count.html

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

32 Geomorphic classes30-meter resolution

Millennium Map: Palau

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

NFRT Calcification (G)

C.S. Moses, Think Tank #5, Dec. 2007

Unit P, R, P/R, and G

Sensor P R E P/R G(g C m-2 d-1) (g C m-2 d-1) (g C m-2 d-1) (g CaCO3 m-2 d-1)

AISA 3.15 3.71 -0.57 0.85 0.04

IKONOS 3.52 4.20 -0.68 0.84 0.15

ASTER 4.05 4.91 -0.86 0.82 0.36

AISA corrected

3.11 3.67 -0.56 0.85 0.07

L7 NFRT total

3.03 3.61 -0.58 0.84 -0.002

Net heterotrophic: -5.74 x 108 kg C yr-1

Net CO2 sink: ~753 tons yr-1

Net Dissolution: 1.68 x 106 kg CaCO3 yr-1

Comparative Estimates

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

P R E P/R G

g C m

-2 d

-1

IKONOS

AISA corrected

Landsat 7