scans-ii monitoring cetaceansbiology.st-andrews.ac.uk/scans2/documents/e5.5 final conference... ·...
TRANSCRIPT
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SCANS-II Monitoring cetaceans
Per Berggren, Jonas Teilmann, David Borchers, Louise Burt, Doug Gillespie, Jonathan Gordon, Phil Hammond, Kelly Macleod, Russell Leaper, Meike Scheidat, René
Swift and Arliss Winship
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Outline of presentationBackground
SCANS-II monitoring objectives
Difficulties in monitoring cetaceans
Methods available
Evaluation of methods (power & cost benefit)
Summary and recommendations
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Outline of presentation
Why monitor cetaceans?
SCANS-II monitoring objectives
Two types of monitoring; species/population and regional
Difficulties in monitoring cetaceans
Methods available
Comparison between methods
Conclusions
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Why monitor cetaceans?
EU member states are obliged to undertake surveillance of the conservation status of species listed in Annex II of the Habitats Directive (all cetaceans) as well as designate special areas for conservation (Natura 2000 SACs) for species.
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SCANS-II monitoring objective
Develop recommendations for the best monitoring method to be used mainly for:
- harbour porpoise
- bottlenose dolphin
- common dolphin
so that trends in abundance in time and space can be determined between major decadal surveys
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Two types of monitoring
1) Population monitoring to monitor the status of a whole species / population
2) Regional monitoring of a specified region used by a sub-set of the population
Monitoring would mainly address inter-annual changes. But there is also need to address seasonal patterns of distribution if the population range changes, if the monitoring region or time changes, or if only part of the range is monitored.
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Define objective for monitoring
1) Example of criteria for Population Level Monitoring:
- detect if relative abundance of a population changes by more than 10% per year over a 6 year period (reporting period according to the Habitats Directive).
2) Example of Regional Level Monitoring:
- monitor the status of relative abundance between and within years in e.g. national waters or important areas like SACs.
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Available methods for monitoring
1. Visual surveys; ship, aircraft or land
2. Acoustic surveys; towed hydrophones
3. Stationary acoustic systems; e.g. T-POD
4. Photo-identification
5. Satellite telemetry
6. Density surface modelling
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Cetaceans difficult to observe at sea
Difficulties- Occur in low densities & highly mobile- Difficult to see and follow at the surface- Majority of time spent diving
Therefore we need sophisticated methods- Visual or acoustic surveys (low temporal resolution)- Stationary acoustic systems (low spatial resolution)- Telemetry (inter-individual variation)
A combination of methods is often needed to determine changes in abundance, density and movements
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Monitoring using visual methods
� Ship survey
� Aerial survey
� Platform of opportunity
� Land observations
� Photo-identification
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Ship surveys
- Abundance (line transect)- Distribution- Combine with oceanography
and prey abundance- Combine with towed
hydrophones
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Aerial surveys
- Abundance (line transect)- Distribution- Cover large area in short time will reduce bias from animal movements
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Platform of opportunity
� Observations from ships that mainly have other purposes like ferries or research surveys– abundance (line transect)– distribution– little control on spatial coverage
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Photo-id - Individual identification
Abundance (mark-recapture)MovementsSurvival ratesPopulation growth
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Land based observations
Information on trends in relative abundance for restricted areas (e.g. narrow straits)
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Acoustic methods
Moving (vessel) platforms or fixed platform (e.g. T-POD)
- relative abundance (possibly absolute in future)- less/or not weather dependent - not dependent on daylight- long or continuous data series- potentially diurnal and annual variation
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Porpoise click detector (T-POD)A powerful tool to detect changes in abundance within smaller areas
100m200m
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
Baseline Construction Operation 1 Operation 2
PP
M
Effect of a wind farm on porpoises
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Satellite telemetry
� Advantages� Details on single individuals� Migration routes� Important habitats
� Limitations� Individual variation - depending on species� Takes many animals to make conclusions at population level
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Harbour porpoises –Important habitats from satellite tracking
2°0'0"E
3°0'0"E
3°0'0"E
4°0'0"E
4°0'0"E
5°0'0"E
5°0'0"E
6°0'0"E
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7°0'0"E
8°0'0"E
8°0'0"E
9°0'0"E
9°0'0"E 10°0'0"E
10°0'0"E
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11°0'0"E
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54°0'0"N
55°0'0"N
56°0'0"N
57°0'0"N
58°0'0"N
0 50 10025 KilometersKernel home range fra 58 satellitmærkede marsvin
Legend
Kernel home range25%
50%
75%
90%
Danish border
Kernel home range from 58 harbour porpoises
Denmark
Norway
Sweden
Germany
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Density surface modelling
� Data from any of the previous methods can be used to model density and to predict animal density in any part of the surveyed area.
� Spatial modelling does not rely on a randomised survey design provided there is sufficient survey coverage.
� Estimates of abundance can potentially be obtained from data collected on platforms of opportunity (e.g. research vessels).
� May explain environmental factors affecting animal density.
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Important considerations before choosing monitoring methods
� Choose the species
� Choose whether to monitor population or region
� Define the population
� Define monitoring objectives
� Conduct statistical power analysis to find the best
method to meet monitoring objectives
� Consider logistics for the area to monitor
� Conduct a cost benefit analysis
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Achievements during SCANS-II in relation to monitoring
New data were collected and analysed to allow comparison of potential methods for monitoring
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Effort and efficiency for visual and acoustic monitoring in the North Sea
Regarding day length and weather1
1Weather data taken from Sailing Directions for the North Atlantic Ocean Defence Mapping Agency
0
5
10
15
20
25
Jan April July October
Hou
rs in
a d
ay
Acoustic (seastate 0-5)
Visual (daylight and SS 0-2)
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Combined data for all seven SCANS-II vessels (error bars show the standard error of the mean)
Acoustic encounter rate by sea state
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0,03454315800Aerial surveys
0,02448119900Visual ship surveys
0,02470529348Acoustic ship surveys
Detection rate
No. of sightings
Effort (km)SCANS II
Effort and detection rates during SCANS-II
Detection rates are similar - but methods not necessarily equally good for monitoring
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Comparison between methods
� Each method is associated with variation (both in sampling and due to survey conditions) and this affects the Power of the method to detect changes in relative abundance.
� Since we have simultaneous data for both the indices (detection rates) and the density we can estimate the variation for the indices
� Using the information on variation we can then calculate the Power of each method
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AcousticSeabird
independent errors
dependent errors
Relationship between effort and total CV for two methods
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AcousticSeabird
independent errors
dependent errors
Relationship between effort and power for two methods to detect a 5% per annum decline in abundance over a
10 year period with annual monitoring
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AcousticSeabird
Relationship between effort and sampling CV for two methods using only one vessel
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AcousticSeabird
Relationship between effort and power for two methods
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Other Methods
� Aerial surveys: – Power calculations relative to absolute abundance
not finished yet.
� T-PODs: – Potential to estimate trend directly– Need adequate spatial coverage.– Inadequate data available to make Power
analyses from absolute abundance.
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Logistic considerations
� Visual ship surveys– Weather dependent (≤ sea state 2)– Shallow water restrictions (5 m)
� Acoustic surveys– Depend on willingness to survey 24 hours– Shallow water restrictions (10 m)
� Aerial surveys– Limited availability of usable aircrafts
– Constant standby for good weather (≤ sea state 2)
� Platforms of opportunity– Dependent on where the ship goes
– Weather dependent (≤ sea state 2)
� Stationary acoustic monitoring– Restrictions in placement
– Limited range
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Cost-benefit of the different methods
2242215T-POD station
61100520003500Aerial
102005,510000Platform of opportunity
153002010005000Acoustic towed
5511005,510005000Visual ship
12024005,580005000SCANS-II visual ship
Euro/km on effort
Euro/hour on effort
Hours on effort
Observer salary
Daily rental rate (Euro)July
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Summary and recommendations
� Towed acoustic, visual platforms of opportunity, visual, aerial dedicated surveys and stationary acoustic can be used for monitoring
� Sea state and day length negatively affect visual data collection to a much higher extent than acoustic methods
� Which method provides more statistical power depends on assumptions made about dependency of the errors
� Using the same platform and survey conditions reduces variation and improves Power
� Aerial surveys, towed acoustic surveys and platforms of opportunity are far cheaper but this needs to be related to the Power of each method
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Thanks!To everyone who has contributed to
SCANS-II