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AUGUST 1961 survey of CURRENT BUSINESS U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE OFFICE OF BUSINESS ECONOMICS Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

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  • AUGUST 1961

    survey of

    CURRENTBUSINESS

    U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCEOFFICE OF BUSINESS ECONOMICS

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESSAUGUST 1961 VOL. 41, NO. 8

    ContentsBUSINESS REVIEW PAGE

    Summary 1Employment up, unemployment rate unchangedFurther rise inincomeRetail trade shows mixed trends'Rise in constructionactivityDefense buildup

    Manufacturing Activity, First Half of 1961 2

    NATIONAL PRODUCT AND INCOME RECOVERS IN SECONDQUARTER 5

    ARTICLESConsumer Incomes Up in All Regions in 1960 9

    Industrial Developments. 10United States Assets and Investments Abroad

    Private Capital Outflow at Peak in 1960 20Direct Investments Abroad 20Industry Developments 24Other Private Foreign Investments 25

    Manufacturers' Inventory and Sales ExpectationsA Progress Report on a New Survey 27

    Sales Anticipations 2&Inventory Anticipations 28Condition of Inventories 29

    NEW OR REVISED STATISTICAL SERIESInventory-Sales Ratios of Manufacturing and Trade Firms. . 32

    MONTHLY BUSINESS STATISTICSGeneral S1-S24Industry S24-S40Subject Index Inside Back Cover

    U.S. Department of CommerceLuther H. Hodges

    SecretaryOffice of Business Economics

    M. Joseph MedianDirector

    Louis J. ParadisoManaging Director

    Muvray F. Foss K. Celeste SlolEditor Statistics Editt

    Billy Jo DawkinsGraphics

    STAFF CONTRIBUTORSTO THIS ISSUE

    Business Review and Feature:Lawrence BridgeDorothea S. Jones

    National Product and Income:Harold Wolozin

    Articles:Robert E. Graham, Jr.

    Edwin J. ColemanJames M. LazardEdward A. Trott, Jr.Mae B. Rothery

    Samuel PizerFrederick Cutler

    Julius N. FreidlinMurray F. Foss

    Marie P. Hertzberg* * *

    Subscription prices, including weestatistical supplements, are $4 a yeardomestic and $7.50 for foreign mailing. Sinissue 30 cents.

    Make checks payable to the Superintendof Documents and send to U.S. GovernmPrinting Office, Washington 25, D.C., orany U.S. Department of Commerce FiOffice.

    U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE FIELD OFFICESAlbuquerque, N. Mex., U.S. Courthouse.

    CHapel 7-0311.Atlanta 3, Ga., 604 Volunteer Bldg., 66 Luckie St., N.W.

    JAckson 2-4121.Boston 10, Mass., Room 230, 80 Federal St. CApitol

    3-2312.Buffalo 3, N.Y., 504 Federal Bldg., 117 Ellicott St.

    TL 3-4216.Charleston 4, S.C., Area 2, Sergeant Jasper Bldg., West

    End Broad St. RAymond 2-7771.Cheyenne, Wyo., 207 Majestic Bldg., 16th St. and

    Capitol Ave. 634-2731.Chicago 6, III., Room 1302, 226 W. Jackson Blvd.

    ANdover 3-3600.Cincinnati 2, Ohio, 809 Fifth Third Bank Bldg., 36 E.

    Fourth St. DUnbar 1-2200.Cleveland 1, Ohio, Federal Reserve Bank Bldg., E. 6th

    St. and Superior Ave. CHerry 1-7900.Dallas 1, Tex., Room 3-104 Merchandise Mart. River-

    side 8-5611.

    Denver 2, Colo., 142 New Custom House. KEystone4-4151.

    Detroit 26, Mich., 438 Federal Bldg. WOodward 3-9330.Greensboro, N.C., 407 U.S. Post Office Bldg.

    BRoadway 3-8234.Houston 2, Tex., 610 Scanlan Bldg., 405 Main Street.

    CApitol 2-7201.Jacksonville 1, Fla., 425 Federal Bldg. ELgin 4-7111.Kansas City 6, Mo., Room 2011, 911 Walnut St. BAIti-

    more 1-7000.Los Angeles 15, Calif., Room 450, 1031 S. Broadway.

    Richmond 9-4711.Memphis 3, Tenn., 212 Falls Bldg. JAckson 6-3426.Miami 32, Fla., 14 NE. First Avenue. FRanklin 7-2581.Minneapolis 1, Minn., Room 304, New Federal Bldg.

    FEderal 2-3211.New Orleans 12, La., 333 St. Charles Ave. 529-2411.New York 1, N.Y., Empire State Bldg. LOngacre 3-3377.

    Philadelphia 7, Pa., Jefferson Bldg., 1015 Chestnut St.WAlnut 3-2400.

    Phoenix, Ariz., 137 N. Second Ave. ALpine 8-5851.Pittsburgh 22, Pa., 107 Sixth St. GRant 1-5370.Portland 4, Oreg., 217 Old U.S. Courthouse Bldg.

    CApital 6-3361.Reno, Nev., 1479 Wells Ave. Phone 2-7133.Richmond 19, Va., Parcel Post Bldg. Milton 4-9471.St. Louis 1, Mo., 910 New Federal Bldg. MAin 1-8100.Salt Lake City 1, Utah, 222 SW. Temple St. DAvis

    8-2911.San Francisco 11, Calif., Room 419 Customhouse.

    YUkon 6-3111.Savannah, Ga., 235 U.S. Courthouse and P.O. Bldg.

    A Dams 2-4755.Seattle 4, Wash., 809 Federal Office Bldg., 909 First Ave.

    Mutual 2-3300.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • By the Office of Business Economics

    "DLtituauon

    B.BUSINESS activity continued to ad-vance in the early part of the summerfollowing the sharp pickup in the springfrom the first quarter low. Whileseasonal movements dominated mostof the broad indicators, most Julymeasures, after seasonal adjustments,were above June and higher than thesecond quarter averages. Personal in-come and employment increased andfurther gains were made in industrialproduction and construction activity.Price stability continued to charac-terize the major markets.

    GNP ct New High in Current Dollars

    Biiiion $550

    500

    450

    400

    GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT

    1960 Dollars

    Current Dollars

    1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962Quarterly Totals, Seasonally Adjusted, at Artnuai Rates

    All Major Components of Domestic DemandIncrease in Second Quarter

    I r i ! IChange From 1st to 2nd Quarter 1961

    GNPTotal

    InventoryChange

    Government

    '/////[ Fixed Investment

    Net Exports

    -5 0 5 10Billion $

    Seasonally Adjusted, at Annual Rates

    15

    U. S. Department of Commerce, Office of Business Economics 61-8-1

    July increases in employment, andincome from production, after allowingfor the usual summer lull, were gen-erally somewhat smaller than had oc-curred in the spring months. Such adevelopment should not be consideredunusual in view of the sizable advancesduring the second quarter.

    The recovery, at the present time,extends over a broad range of demandcategories; however, the rates of in-crease vary considerably. In somecases the forces making for large con-tributions to the business revival, suchas the switch from inventory cuttingto accumulation and the pickup inautomobile demand from the low firstquarter rate, have lessened in theirintensity. On the basis of the surveydescribed later in this issue, it appearsthat manufacturers are planning anincrease in their inventories in thecurrent quarter. Other factors nowdiscernible, which are contributing sig-nificantly to rising output and income,include the stepped-up rate of govern-ment spending, the increase in resi-dential building activity, and a firmingin business plant and equipmentspending.Employment up, unemployment rate

    unchanged

    Employment in nonfarni establish-ments declined by less than the usualamount in July. Seasonally adjustednonfarni employment of 53.4 millionin July represented the fourth succes-sive month of increase and matchedthe year-ago rate for the first monththis year. Average factory hoursworked per week also increased a littleafter adjustment. The number ofpersons out of work declined, but byno more than is usual, so that the rateof unemployment continued unchangedat close to 7 percent of the civilianlabor force for the eighth month in arow.

    The major industries showed eitherno change or small increases in em-ployment in July, and the rise in thenonfarm total was not quite so largeas the average monthly increase in thesecond quarter. This was particularlytrue of manufacturing where durablegoods extended the employment gainwhile nondurables evidenced a levelingout. Seasonally adjusted hours of workadvanced in hard goods industries, butwere off in nondurables.Further rise in income

    Personal income in July, includinga special life insurance dividend pay-ment to veterans, totaled $422 billionat an annual rate, an increase of $4)billion from the June rate. Of thisrise, about $2 billion came from higherpayrolls, particularly in commodity-producing and service industries. Al-most all of the remaining increase wasattributable to the special dividendpayment; changes in other types ofincome were generally small.

    Personal income, excluding the vet-erans' dividend, at $419 billion wasabout $15 billion above a year ago and$6 billion above the second quarteraverage. It may be recalled that asimilar payment in March caused anunusual spurt in March personal in-come, but its disappearance in thefollowing month was more than offsetby rising payrolls and other earnings.Retail trade shows mixed trends

    Consumer buying of goods has con-tinued to lag relative to the flow ofincome. Retail store sales, after sea-sonal adjustment, were off a little inJuly, and about the same as a year ago.The rate for the month was about thesame as the second quarter monthlyaverage, in contrast to the previouslynoted increase in personal income.

    Changes by kinds of business werequite mixed. Department store salesDigitized for FRASER

    http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1961

    rose by about 2 percent over June andabout the same percentage over a yearago, while sales of other nondurablesstores eased somewhat from the Junerate. Sales at automobile dealers wereoff as consumer purchasing of new carsdropped from earlier highs, but sales ofother durable goods improved in July.Rise in construction activity

    Total construction outlays, seasonallyadjusted, rose again in July to an annualrate of almost $59 billion, exceeding theprevious high that had been reached inthe middle of 1959. The increases re-flected a continuation of the expansionin private residential activity and apickup in public expenditures. Privateexpenditures other than residential werelittle changed over the month. Withthe latest increases the third quarterthus begins with total expendituressome $2)4 billion higher, at a seasonallyMANUFACTURING PRODUCTION

    Recovery Is Widespread, Featuredby Sharp Advances for Most Groups

    Percent Change From1st Qtr. 1960 to Jan.-Feb. 1961 Avg.Jan.-Feb. 1961 Avg. & To June 1961

    -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30

    Textile, Apparel, andLeather Products

    adjusted annual rate, than they aver-aged in the second quarter of this year.

    Defense buildupCongressional action earh^ in August

    on the President's request for addedfunds to strengthen the Nation's de-fenses will result in a further step-upin defense outlays in the near future.In the fiscal year just ended, expendi-tures for national defense purposestotaled $46.8 billion (GNP basis) andincreased to an annual rate of $48.8billion in the April-June quarter of1961. The new requests would ma-

    terially augment the increases projectedearlier in the year.

    A large part of the additional defensemoney is scheduled for procurement ofnew weapons and equipment, many ofwhich have relatively short lead times.The remainder would be allotted foradditional personnel, operating andmaintenance outlays, and civil defense.As pointed out in the subsequent dis-cussion on manufacturing activity, de-fense orders had already been expandedduring the first 6 months of 1961 as aresult of the speedup in defense pro-curement earlier this year.

    Manufacturing Activity, First Half of 1961

    Data: Based on FRB's Seasonally Adjusted IndexU. S. Department of Commerce, Office of Business Economic* 6I~8~2

    JC1 ACTORY operations have turnedaround briskly from the winter lows.Shipments and new orders received inJune were 8 percent and 9 percent,respectively, above January, after sea-sonal adjustment, and compared favor-ably with year-earlier rates.

    Increases in shipments and newbusiness received have been pervasivethroughout the major industries, andhave extended to both defense and non-defense goods. With new orders some-what larger than sales, particularly inthe durable goods industries, the back-log of unfilled orders on producers'books lias shown some rise in theopening 6 months of 1961, although atthe end of June outstanding contractswere some 4 percent lower than inmid-1960.

    Improved demand has been reflectedin inventory programs: factory stockswere unchanged in the March-Juneperiod, seasonally adjusted, in contrastto a running down of $1.8 billion duringthe previous 9 months. The cessationof this inventory drag on output has inturn been a major factor in the rise inmanufacturers' sales and new ordersreceipts.

    Factors in recovery

    The recently increased market formanufactured goods stems from en-larged requirements by rruost majorsections of demand. Among these are

    the substantial rise in residential hous-ing activity, and higher governmentprograms for highways, military con-struction, and a broad range of defenseprocurement items; also contributingwas a moderate rise in consumer goodsdemand in the second quarter.

    The most dynamic source of demandstems from the rapidly expanding mili-tary expenditure programs. As can beseen in table 2 contracts placed in thefirst 5 months of 1961 by the Depart-ment of Defense for procurement items,research and construction were 1.1 per-cent higher than in the correspondingperiod of 1960. Fiscal year 1961 obli-gations were lower than earlier pro-gramed and the shortfall will flow overinto the current fiscal year.

    Nondurables set new highsShipments of nondurable goods were

    only moderately affected by the 1960-61 recessionary forces, and soft goodsshipments soon reached new highs inthis year's recovery. Stocks of non-durables have kept pace with salesrequirements. In contrast, as can beseen in the chart, durable goods salesand stocks in June, seasonally adjusted,were still some 6 percent below their1960 highs.

    The largest sales gain among the non-durable groups in 1961 was achieved bythe textile industry, followed by paper,chemicals, and rubber. Food and bev-Digitized for FRASER

    http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • August 19G1 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS

    Table I.Manufacturers' Sales and New Orders, 1960-61

    AH manufacturingDurable goods

    Pi'iniury inotnlsFabricated metalsElectrical machineryNonelectrical machineryTransportation equipment

    Nondurable goodsFood and beverage __TextilesPaperChemicalsPetroleum ._Rubber

    Al! ManufacturingDurable goods __

    Primary metalsFabricated metalsElectrical machinery _ _Nonelectrical machineryTransportation equipment

    Nondurable goods

    Monthly Averages, Seasonally Adjusted, in Billions of Dollars

    1960

    I II III IV

    1961

    I 1 II|

    Percent Changes

    1960-11to 1961-11

    1961-1to 1961-11

    Sa lea

    31. 17

    15.432.651.702.002.803. 50

    15. 744.741.241.042.313.12

    .54

    30. 93

    14. 982. 191. 741.972.813.48

    15.954. 661.271.042.363.21.53

    30. 23

    14. 522. 001. 691.942.773.44

    15.704.661.211.092.313.18

    .49

    29, 33

    13. 841. 781 . 561.902.703.36

    15. 494.701. 141. 052 253.21

    .48

    29.08

    13. 401.791. 571. 932.742.87

    15. 694.801. 111.082.313.16

    .47

    30.61

    14.482. 051. 681.972.873.29

    16. 134.771. 231. 162.453.27.50

    1

    3 6-3

    02

    -6

    1

    -312

    42

    6

    5

    814

    25

    15

    3

    117646

    New Orders

    30. 24

    14.542.051.621.922.813.44

    15. 70

    30.31

    14.501.851.701.932.803.49

    15.81

    29.87

    14.291. 861.622.112. 583.45

    15. 58

    28.98

    13. 521.721.501.872.683. 19

    15.46

    29.15

    13. 351.821.541.872.772.92

    15.80

    30.85

    14.682. 191.711.902.863.32

    16.18

    2

    1181

    -22

    -5

    2

    6

    10201123

    14

    2

    erage sales have shown little changedining the first 6 months of this year.As can be seen in the table, secondquarter sales were running ahead of ayear ago in all major soft goods in-dustries except textiles and rubber; thelatter industries are importantlyaffected by demand from automobileproducers.

    Steel and autos pace advance

    Among the durable goods industries,the steel and motor vehicle industrieshave shown the greatest fluctuations inoutput over the recent cycle (see chart).About two-fifths of the seasonallyadjusted increases in total sales and neworders from the low point of January1961 through June was concentrated inthese two industries. New ordersreceived by aircraft companies showedlittle change from the first to the secondquarter of this year, seasonally ad-justed, but were well in excess of thecorresponding periods of last year.

    Motor vehicle output was at a near-record rate during the last quarter of1960, but when sales expectations failedto materialize manufacturers cut backtheir production drastically during thewinter months. In early spring, de-mand for passenger cars increased and

    the higher levels have continued throughthe second quarter. Manufacturers'sales of motor vehicles and parts rose25 percent, seasonally adjusted, fromthe first quarter of 1961 to the second.In spite of the improved picture duringthe second quarter, June sales and neworders, including defense contracts, forautomotive manufacturers were stillbelow a year earlier.

    July output of 400,000 carsthefinal month of the 1961 model runwas5 percent lower than in July 1960; forthe 1961 model run as a whole, produc-tion of 5,400,000 units was one-tenthbelow the 1960 run. Plans for the nextmodel year include an earlier shutdownfor model turnover than has beencustomary in recent years, followed byresumption of fairly high production inSeptember. The restriction of outputto the volume of retail deliveries duringthe first half of 1961, a period whenstocks are normally increased, willpermit an orderly liquidation of theoutgoing models during the summerand fall.

    Clearly outlined in the chart are thebuildup in the steel industry's salesand orders preceding the 1959 strike,the quick recovery and the subsequentsubstantial drop in activity during1960. New orders received during the

    second quarter of this year showed again of 20 percent over the first quarterwhile sales rose 14 percent. Productionin June was running 15 percent abovea year ago and indications are thatJuly will also be above a year ago,although operations in steel as wellas other primary metals are stillconsiderably below capacity.

    Machinery orders in rising phaseActivity in the machinery industries,

    as can be seen in the chart, has beenfar more stable during the recent down-turn and recovery than most othermajor durable goods industries. Elec-trical machinery sales rose 2 percentbetween the first and second quarters,seasonally adjusted, a gain sufficient tobring sales back to the year-earlierrate. Nonelectrical machinery ship-ments and orders have shown onlymoderately more fluctuation than didthose of electrical machinery companies;

    MANUFACTURERS' SALiS AND INVENTORIESNondurable Goods Sales Reach New HighDurables Recover Rapidly

    Billion $20

    15

    SALES

    Nondurabies

    Durables

    10 I i i i 1 1 I i i i i i I i i i i i I i i i i i I i i i i i ! 1 1 i i

    Factory Stocks Stabilize in SpringFollowing Earlier Liquidation

    35

    30

    25

    20

    INVENTORIES

    Nondurabies\I L L

    1959 1960 1961Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted

    U. S. Department of Commerce, Office of Business Economics 61 ~8 ~3Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • SURVEY OF CUEEENT BUSINESS August 1961

    both sales and new orders are currentlyabove a year ago.

    The increasing flow of new businessto producers of machinery and otherinvestment goods in the first half ofthis year suggests a near-term rise inexpenditures for new plant and equip-ment. This appears in line with reportsby business earlier this year that theyintend expanding investment in thecurrent quarter. The rise in machinerynew orders thus far in 1961, however,is not large; orders are up relativelyless since the start of the year thanin most other major durable goodsindustries.

    Electrical machinery companies' neworders increased by nearly 8 percentfrom the January low to May, on a sea-sonally adjusted basis, but droppedoff sizably in June, as defense business,which is usually placed in heavy

    Table 2.Military Obligations for Procurement, Research and Construction, 1957-61

    Total

    Major procurement _Aircraft..MissilesShips _Electronics _.Other .

    Research

    Construction

    Billions of Dollars

    1957

    15.90

    12.786.362.811.30.81

    1.51

    1.68

    1.44

    1958

    22.66

    18.218.134.921.941.311.91

    2.50

    1.96

    1959

    20.04

    15.316.414.311.811.161.62

    3.18

    1.56

    1960

    20.99

    14.946.294.101.981. 111.46

    4.58

    1.48

    Percent Change

    Januarv-May 1960

    7.00

    5.002.021.35.56.40.66

    1.38

    .62

    January-May 1961

    7.80

    5.772.301.32.95.46.74

    1.46

    . 57

    January-May 1960-61

    11

    1614

    -2681513

    6

    -8

    Source: Department of Defense.

    volume at this time of year withelectronics companies, was short ofseasonal expectations. Sales of electri-cal machinery were consistently some-what higher than new orders receiptsduring the first half of this year andoutstanding orders backlogs have beenslightly reduced.

    DURABLE GOODS MANUFACTURERS

    Metals and Transportation Equipment Lead Sales Advance

    PRIMARY METALSBillion $

    2 ~

    TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENTBillion $

    Sales

    2 -

    Changes in Machinery Business Relatively Smaller in Current CycleELECTRICAL MACHINERY NONELECTRICAL MACHINERY

    Sales

    7New Orders

    2 -

    1959 1960 1961 1959 1960 1961Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted

    *U, S. Department of Commerce, Office of Business Economics

    Nonelectrical machinery orders havetended steadily upward thus far in1961, particularly in areas related tononagricultural business machinery pur-chases. The expansion has been par-ticularly large in the industrial machin-ery groupsmetal working, special andgeneral industry equipmentand inengines and turbines, bringing neworders above 1960 rates. Shipmentsby these companies have matchedthe inflow of new business, and back-logs have not increased, remainingbelow the 1960 volume.

    New orders received by agriculturaland office and store machinery com-panies in June were little differentfrom January, after seasonal allowances,although showing some growth frommid-1960. Construction m a c h i n e r ynew orders fell somewhat in the secondquarter of this year.

    Producers of fabricated metals, stone,clay and glass, lumber products, andother durable goods have received about10 percent more orders in the secondquarter than the first, after seasonalallowances; shipments rose 5 percent.These industries are primary suppliersof building materials and have bene-fited from the steadily rising rate ofnew construction projects since earlythis year. However, business in theseindustries has not yet recovered tothe level of last year. Sales exceedednew orders during all of 1960 and thefirst quarter of 1961, but are nowslightly smaller, and unfilled ordersbacklogs have turned up.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • National Product and Income Recovers in Second Quarter

    A. VIGOROUS upswing in output inthe April-June quarter initiated arecovery from the mildest of the fourpostwar recessions. GNP advanced atan annual rate of $15 billion from thefirst quarter to a new high of $516billion in current dollar terms. (Seechart.) The real volume of nationaloutput was about the same as at itsprevious cyclical peak a year earlier.

    The second quarter recovery in GNPfeatured a marked shift from inventoryliquidation to accumulation, an upturnin the demand for automobiles andresidential construction, and continuedexpansion in government purchases andconsumer services. Fixed business in-vestment outlays and nondurable con-sumer goods expenditures rose slightly.Net exports of goods and services wasthe only major GNP component toshow a decline.

    The increase in output and employ-ment was accompanied by a substantialrise in the flow of income. Personal in-

    ' TOTAL GNP INCREASES IN SECONDQUARTER

    As Both Final Purchases andInventories Turnaround

    Billion $550

    500

    450

    Gross National ProductTotal

    '"" Final Purchases

    Inventory buildup

    :v:!) Inventory liquidation

    400 I . . i 1 . . . I . t 1 ' . . I i . - I . i1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962Quarterly Totals, Seasonally Adjusted, at Annual Rates

    U. S. Department of Commerce, Office of Business Economics 61-8-5

    come rose from the first quarter by over$8 billion to an annual rate of $413billion in the second. Most of this in-crease was in wages and salaries andwas attributable to higher employment,but Government transfer paymentswere also up, reflecting initial disburse-ments under the temporary unemploy-ment insurance program. Completedata on corporate profits for the secondquarter are not available at this time,but it would appear that the year-longdowntrend in profits was sharply re-versed.

    Autos important in recoveryThe increase in GNP was sharper

    than in any other initial quarter ofcyclical recovery in the postwar period.The comparative vigor of the recentupturn is discernible also on a monthlybasis in the movement of payrolls.

    A shift from inventory liquidation toaccumulation was a major factor rein-forcing the effect of the increase in finalpurchases on total production. In theprevious two postwar cycles, liquidationof business inventories continued be-yond the turning point of GNP, thoughat somewhat reduced rates. The recentincrease in final purchases was alsolarger than in prior first quarters ofrecovery in the postwar period.

    The production and sale of passengercars was the most important singlefactor in the second quarter recovery.Nearly half of the rise in total GNPrepresented increased production ofautomobiles. From the fourth quarterof 1960 to the first quarter of 1961 therehad been a decline in automobile pro-duction which exceeded that in totalGNP, and was the sharpest for theindustry in recent years.

    The first quarter decline in auto pro-duction and sales was due in part to thereductions in total employment andearnings in the latter half of 1960, andthe unfavorable expectations they en-gendered. Supply and demand factorspeculiar to this d}rnamic industry also

    pla}7ed an important role. The un-usually severe winter was an addedfactor in the sales decline. Seasonallyadjusted retail sales of cars, which hadbeen drifting downward since mid-October, declined sharply in December,and production was promptly adjustedto the lower sales which continuedthrough January and February. Stocksheld about level during these months inCONSUMER SPENDING

    Total Rises in Second QuarterBillion $

    350

    300

    Persona! ConsumptionExpendituresTotal

    250 I i i i I i i i 1 i i i I i i i I i t i f t t r

    Services Continue Uptrend150

    100

    Services

    Little Change in Major Nondurable Lines100

    50

    Food

    Durables Up From First Quarter Low50

    Durables Exc. Autos

    Autos *J_ I _L i I i t r

    1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962Quarterly Totals, Seasonally Adjusted, at Annual Rates

    U. S. Department of Commerce, Office of Business Economics 61-8-6

    5Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • 6 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1961

    contrast to the usual sharp seasonalrise. With the coming of spring, salesrose more than seasonally and thehigher levels continued into the secondquarter. Stocks declined slightly butsomewhat less than expected in thisperiod of the year. In spite of thesecond quarter improvement, automo-bile sales and production were sub-stantially below a year ago.

    Support from GovernmentThe bulk of the second quarter

    increase in GNP came in privateexpenditures, but the role of the FederalGovernment in stimulating businessactivity was important. In additionto the $2 billion annual rate increase indirect purchases of goods and services,the Federal Government institutedseveral programs swelling the flow ofincome in the economy, notably thefeed grain and the temporary unem-ployment insurance programs. Meas-ures affecting the supply of money andcredit designed to stimulate economicactivity will be noted later.

    Consumption expenditures upPersonal consumption expenditures,

    which had turned down in the openingquarter of the year with the decline inauto and other durable goods pur-chases, moved up in the second quarter.The $5K billion increase to an annualrate of $336 billion was concentrated inexpenditures for automobiles and serv-ices. (See chart.) Sales of durablegoods other than autosmainly furni-ture and appliancesshowed only mod-est increases which were not enough tobring them back to the highs of late1959.

    Small changes were the rule for allthe major categories of nondurablegoods. Spending for food and bever-ages, which was up only slightly incurrent dollars, went up more in realterms as retail food pricesprincipallyof meat and dairy productsdeclinedfrom their first quarter average.Swing in inventories

    The inventory swing from the first tothe second quarter featured changes instocks of automobile producers and

    Table 1.-Gross National Product in Current and Constant Dollars (1-3, 1-5)[Seasonally adjusted, at annual rates]

    FEDERAL GOVERNMENTExpenditures Exceed Receipts in First HalfOf 1961

    Billion $105

    100

    95

    90

    85

    80

    75

    70

    Expenditures

    Receipts

    National Income Basis

    I , , , | i i i I i ,

    Gross national productPersonal consumption expendi-

    tures

    Durable goods _Nondurable goodsServices

    Gross private domestic invest-ment- __ _

    New constructionResidential rionfarmOther

    Producers' durable equipment.Change in business inventories.

    Nonfarm _Farm . .

    Net exports of goods and services.ExportsImports _

    Government purchases of goodsand services

    Federal.. _National defenseOther . . ..Less: Government sales

    State and local

    1958 1959 19601960

    II III IV

    19

    I

    61

    II

    Billions of current dollars

    444.5

    293. 237.3

    141.6114.3

    56.635.518.017.4

    23.1

    -2.0-2.9

    .91.2

    22.721.5

    93.552.644.88.3.5

    40.8

    482.8

    314.043.5

    147.3123.2

    72.440.222.317.925.96.36.2.1

    -.7

    23.123.8

    97.1

    53.546.27.8.5

    43.6

    504.4

    328.944.3

    152.4132.2

    72.4

    40.721.119.627.54.2

    4.0.3

    3.0

    26.723.6

    100.1

    52.945.58.0.6

    47.2

    506.4

    329.945.3

    153.3131.2

    74.640.721.219.528.65.4

    5.1.3

    2.3

    26.724.4

    99.6

    52.945.57.9.6

    46.8

    505.1

    329.743.4

    152.7133.6

    70.540.4

    21.019.4

    27.7

    2.4

    2.0.4

    3.0

    26.823.8

    101.9

    54.045.49.1.6

    48.0

    504.5

    332. 343.8

    153.1135.4

    65.640.720.520.2

    26.7-1.9-2.2

    .35.1

    27.622.4

    101.6

    53.045.77.9.6

    48.6

    500.8

    330.739.4

    153.7137. 5

    59.839.619 320.424.2

    -4.0-4.3

    .3

    5.327.622.3

    105.0

    54.747.28.0.5

    50.3

    516.1

    336.142.0

    154.1139.9

    68.841.320.620.724.7

    2.82.4.4

    3.926.422.5

    107.3

    56.648.88.3.5

    50.6

    1958 1959 19601960

    II III IV

    1961 I

    I III

    Billions of 1954 dollars a

    401.3

    273.235.5

    133. 3104.4

    49.031.116.214.819.4

    -1.5-2.4

    .8

    -.2

    21.421.6

    79.3

    44.5

    34.8

    428.4

    289.341.0

    138.8109.5

    61.134.319.414.821.3

    5.55.6-.0

    -2.1

    22.224.3

    80.1

    43.9

    36.2

    440.8

    298.341.8

    141.8114.7

    60.633.918 016.022.7

    4.03.8.2

    1.7

    25.323.6

    80.2

    42.3

    38.0

    443.4

    299. 542.5

    142. 9114.2

    62.333.918 115.923.4

    4.9

    4.7_ 2

    1.025.424.4

    80.6

    42.7

    37.8

    440.2

    298.640.8

    142.0115.8

    58.633. 617.915.722.7

    2.3

    2.0.3

    1.625.423.7

    81.3

    42.9

    38.4

    438.4

    299.641.6

    141.3116.6

    54.933.917 516.4

    22.1

    -1.1

    -1.3.2

    3.526.122.6

    80.3

    41.6

    38.7

    433.2

    297.037.6

    141.6117.8

    49.632.916 516.419.9

    -3.2

    -3.5.3

    3.3

    25.722.4

    83.3

    43.1

    40.2

    L445.5

    1

    301. 6 C

    39.8142. 6 j119.2 *

    57.31

    34.1\

    17 616.6 120.3 12.9 S

    " i1.9

    24.522.6 I

    184.7

    r

    44.7 .

    t..... j40.0

    1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962Quarterly Totals, Seasonally Adjusted, at Annual Rates

    U. S. Deportment of Commerce, Office of Business Economics 6 1 - 8 - 7

    distributors; these accounted for thebulk of the inventory liquidation in thefirst quarter and for about one-fourthof the buildup in the second. Thesecond quarter increase in nonauto-motive stocks centered in trade. Man-ufacturers' stocks outside of the auto-motive industry were reduced somewhatas a continued liquidation in the stocksof durable goods' producers was onlypartly offset by accumulation in non-durable goods lines.

    Business fixed investment stableThe second quarter increase in fixed

    investment expenditures by businesswas minor in total, and individualindustry changes were likewise small.The latest OBE-SEC survey of capitalspending plans indicates a modestpickup in the second half of the year.Largely because of the presence ofexcess capacity, businessmen are usuallyreluctant to expand fixed capital out-lays in the early stages of recovery.Thus, business fixed investment con-tinued to decline in the initial phase ofthe 1958 upturn and was stable during1954 after total production had startedto rise.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • August 1961 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS

    Upturn in residential constructionResidential construction increased by

    $1% billion from the first quarter to anannual rate of $20% billion in the second,offsetting about one-fourth of thedecline since its prior peak in thesecond quarter of 1959. Recent fluctu-ations in residential construction activ-ity have been confined to one-familydwellings; apartment house construc-tion has continued to increase.

    The Federal Government in early1961 sponsored a number of measureswhich tended to stimulate the housingmarket. Aside from a policy aimed ateasing credit conditions in long-termmarkets in general, these includedFNMA's announcement of higher buy-ing prices for FHA insured mortgages,an increase in borrowing rights ofsavings and loan associations with theFederal Home Loan Banks, and areduction in the maximum permissibleinterest rate on FHA insured mortgages.

    Nonfarm housing starts in June, at anannual rate of 1.4 million seasonallyadjusted, were about 250,000 higherthan the low point in January, indi-cating a further near-term rise inresidential construction activity. Ap-plications for FHA mortgages, adjustedfor seasonal variation, have also beenincreasing in recent months.

    The Housing Act of 1961, passed onJune 30, authorizes FHA to insureno-dowii-payment mortgages withterms up to 40 years in hardship casesand 35 years in others, as well as homeimprovement loans up to 20 years.The Act also provides for specialhousing for the elderly; loans and grantsfor mass transit facilities, sewers, water-works and other public works; fundsfor the acquisition and preservation ofopen spaces in urban areas; loans forcollege housing, and general urbanrenewal support.

    Federal expenditures riseGovernment purchases of goods and

    services contributed $2% billion to thesecond quarter rise in GNP, with theFederal Government accounting forthe bulk of the increase. Defensespending rose to its highest rate in 3years, and is expected to show furthersubstantial increases in the quartersahead as recent administration de-

    cisions to increase the defense programare implemented.

    In addition to stepping up its directdemand for goods and services, theFederal Government further added tothe flow of income through the tempo-rary extension of unemployment in-

    surance benefits, and payments tofarmers participating in the feed-grainprogram. Total Federal expenditureswere up about $3 billion in the secondquarter; with a comparable rise intaxes, the budget deficit (on a nationalincome basis) held close to $5 billion.

    (Continued on page 32)Table 2.Personal Income and Its Use (II-2)

    Personal income

    Wage and salary disbursements

    Commodity-producing industriesM anufacturing only

    Distributive industriesService industriesGovernment

    Other labor income

    Proprietors' income _ _ __

    Business and professional.Farm

    Rental income of persons

    Dividends _ _ . _

    Personal interest income.

    Transfer payments _ _

    Old-age and survivors insurance benefitsState unemployment insurance benefitsVeterans' benefits ._Other

    Less: Personal contributions for social insurance..-

    Less: Personal tax and nontax payments

    FederalState and local

    Equals : Disposable personal income

    Less: Personal consumption expenditures

    Equals: Personal saving

    Addendum: Disposable personal income in constant(1954) dollars

    1958

    360.3

    239 8

    97.976.763.834.843.2

    9.4

    46.1

    32.513.5

    12.2

    12 A

    21.0

    26.3

    8.53.94.69.4

    6.9

    42.3

    36.65.7

    317.9

    293.2

    24.7

    296.3

    1959

    383.3

    258.5

    107.284.768.237.745.3

    10.3

    46.3

    35.011.3

    11.9

    13.4

    23.6

    27.2

    10.22.54.5

    10.0

    7.9

    46.0

    39.66.4

    337.3

    314.0

    23.4

    310.6

    1960

    402.2

    271.3

    110.487.471.840.748.4

    10.9

    48.2

    36.212.0

    11.7

    14.1

    26.2

    29.1

    11.12.84.6

    10.0

    9.3

    50.4

    43.27.2

    351.8

    328.9

    22.9

    319.0

    1960

    II III IV

    1961

    I II

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates

    403.1

    272.4

    111.888.572.340.547.8

    10.8

    48.6

    36.412.3

    11.7

    14.0

    26.1

    28.6

    11.2a 44.5

    10.5

    9.2

    50.5

    43.37.2

    352.7

    329.9

    22.8

    320.3

    405.1

    273.2

    110.587.272.541.249.0

    10.9

    48.7

    36.312.4

    11.7

    14.1

    26.4

    29.3

    11.32.94.5

    10.6

    9.3

    50.8

    43.57.3

    354.4

    329.7

    24.6

    321.0

    405.4

    271.3

    108.085.272.141.549.7

    11.2

    49.0

    36.312.7

    11.7

    14.3

    26.7

    30.6

    11.43.84.6

    10.8

    9.3

    50.5

    43.17.4

    354.9

    332.3

    22.7

    320.1

    404.7

    270.1

    106.183.871.841.850.4

    10.8

    48.9

    36.012.9

    11.5

    14.2

    26.8

    32.0

    11.83.84.7

    11.7

    9.5

    50.3

    42.67.7

    354.3

    330.7

    23.7

    318.4

    413.2

    277.3

    110.787.572.842.551.3

    10.8

    49.2

    36.312.9

    11.5

    14.2

    27.0

    32.9

    12.54.54.8

    11.1

    9.7

    51.4

    43.67.8

    361.8

    336.1

    25.8

    324.8

    Table 3.Gross National Product by Major Type of Product in Current and ConstantDollars (1-6, 1-7) *

    [Seasonally adjusted at annual rates]

    Gross national product

    Final salesInventor v change.

    Goods outputFinal sales _-Inventory change

    Durable "oods outputFinal sales _ .. _Inventory change

    Nondurable goods outputFinal salesInventory change

    Services __

    Construction _ _

    1958 1959 19601960

    II III IV

    1961

    I II

    Billions of current dollars

    444.5

    446.5-2.0

    229.4231.4-2.0

    80.483.3-2.8

    149.0148.1

    .9

    164.2

    50.9

    482.8

    476.56.3

    250.3244.0

    6.3

    94.991.33.6

    155.4152.8

    2.6

    176.2

    56.2

    504. 4

    500.24.2

    258.5254.3

    4.2

    96.794.32.5

    161.8160.0

    1.8

    189.3

    56.6

    506.4

    501.05.4

    262.3256.9

    5.4

    100.296.33.9

    162.1160.6

    1.5

    187.7

    56.4

    505.1

    502.72.4

    257.2254.8

    2.4

    94.694.2

    .4

    162.6160.6

    2.0

    191.2

    56.7

    504.5

    506.4-1.9

    252.8254.6-1.9

    89.593.4

    -3.8

    163.2161.3

    2.0

    194.6

    57.2

    500.8

    504.8-4.0

    245.7249.7-4.0

    81.687.4

    -5.8

    164.1162.3

    1.8

    197.9

    57.2

    516.1

    513.22.8

    257.1254.3

    2.8

    90.991.2-.3

    166.2163.0

    3.2

    201.1

    57.9

    1958 1959 19601960

    II III IV

    1961

    I II

    Billions of 1954 dollars

    401.3

    402.8-1.5

    211.5213.1-1.5

    71.774.1

    -2.4

    139.8139.0

    .8

    145.2

    44.5

    428.4

    422.95.5

    228.6223.1

    5.5

    82.979.83.1

    145.7143.3

    2.4

    151.7

    48.1

    440.8

    436.84.0

    234.6230.6

    4.0

    84.782.42.3

    150.0148.3

    1.7

    158.7

    47.5

    443.4

    438.54.9

    237.9233.0

    4.9

    87.483.93.5

    150.6149.1

    1.5

    158.0

    47.4

    440.2

    437.92.3

    233.3231.1

    2.3

    82.582.1

    .4

    150.8148.9

    1.9

    159.4

    47.4

    438.4

    439.5-1.1

    228.9230.0-1.1

    79.082.0

    -3.0

    149. 8148.0

    1.9

    161.6

    47.9

    433.2

    436.5-3.2

    221.9225.2-3.3

    71.476.5

    -5.1

    150.5148.7

    1.8

    163.2

    48.0

    445.5

    442.62.9

    232.5229.7

    2.9

    79.479.6-.2

    153.2150.0

    3.1

    164.7

    48.3

    i For quarterly data beginning in 1947, see SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS July, 1961, pages 34 and 35.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • 8 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1961Table 4.Relation of Gross National Product, National Income,

    and Personal Income (1-18)[Billions of dollars]

    Table 6.Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type(H-6)

    [Billions of dollars]

    Gross national product

    Less: Capital consumption allowance,

    Equals: Net national product

    Less: Indirect business tax and nontaxliability.

    Business transfer paymentsStatistical discrepancy

    Plus: Subsidies less current surplus ofgovernment enterprises

    Equals: National income

    Less: Corporate profits and inventoryvaluation adjustment

    Contributions for social insur-ance _ _ _

    Excess of wage accruals over dis-bursements _ -

    Plus: Government transfer paymentsto persons

    Net interest paid by governmentDividendsBusiness transfer payments

    Equals: Personal income

    1958

    444. 5

    38.6

    405.9

    39.31.8

    -1.5

    1.1

    367.4

    37.2

    14.8

    0

    24.56.2

    12.41.8

    360.3

    1959

    482.8

    40.8

    442. 0

    42.71.8

    -1.7

    .4

    399.6

    46.4

    17.6

    0

    25.47.1

    13.41.8

    383.3

    1960

    504.4

    43.1

    461. 4

    45.61.8

    -2.6

    .5

    417.1

    45.1

    20.7

    0

    27.37.8

    14.11.8

    402.2

    1960

    II III IV

    1961

    1 II

    Seasonally adjusted at annualrates

    506.4

    43.0

    463.4

    45.91.8

    -2.9

    .6

    419.2

    45.9

    20.7

    0

    26.87.8

    14.01.8

    403.1

    505.1

    43.2

    461.9

    45.51.8

    -4.0

    .5

    419.0

    44.1

    21.1

    0

    27.57.8

    14.11.8

    405. 1

    504.5

    43.7

    460.9

    45.91.8

    -2.9

    .5

    416.5

    42.9

    20.8

    0

    28.87.7

    14.31.8

    405. 4

    500.8

    44.2

    458. 6

    45.71.8

    -2.6

    .5

    412.2

    40.0

    21.2

    0

    30.17.5

    14.21.8

    404.7

    516.1

    45.0

    471.1

    46.41.8na

    1.4

    na

    na

    21.7

    0

    31.07.3

    14.21.8

    413.2

    Table 5.Government Receipts and Expenditures (III-3. IIT-4)[Billions of dollars]

    Federal Government receipts

    Personal tax and nontax receipts. _Corporate profits tax accrualsIndirect business tax and nontax

    accrualsContributions for social insurance-

    Federal Government expenditures

    Purchases of goods and services

    Transfer paymentsTo persons .Foreign (net)

    Grants-in-aid to State and localgovernments

    Net interest paid

    Subsidies less current surplus ofgovernment enterprises

    Surplus or deficit ( ) on incomeand product account

    State and local government receipts. - -

    Personal tax and nontax receipts. _Corporate profits tax accrualsIndirect business tax and nontax

    accruals _ _ -Contributions for social insurance ..Federal grants-in-aid

    State and local government expendi-tures

    Purchases of goods and servicesTransfer payments to personsNet interest paidLess: Current surplus of govern-

    ment enterprises

    Surplus or deficit ( ) on incomeand oroduct account

    1958

    78.5

    36.617.7

    11.912.4

    87.9

    52.6

    21.320.01.3

    5.4

    5.6

    3.0

    -9.4

    42.0

    5.71.0

    27.42.55.4

    44.1

    40.84.5.6

    1.9

    -2.1

    1959

    89.4

    39.621.9

    13.014.9

    91.2

    53.5

    22.220.61.5

    6.6

    6.4

    2.6

    -1.8

    46.5

    6.41.2

    29.62.76.6

    46.9

    43.64.8.7

    2.2

    -.4

    1960

    96.0

    43.221.2

    14.017.7

    92.8

    52.9

    23.722.21.6

    6.1

    7.0

    2.9

    3.3

    49.2

    7.21.2

    31.63.06.1

    50.6

    47.25.1.7

    2.4

    -1.4

    1960

    II III IV

    1961

    I II

    Seasonally adjusted at annualrates

    96.9

    43.321.8

    14.217.7

    92.5

    52.9

    23.421.81.6

    6.1

    7.1

    2.9

    4.5

    49.2

    7.21.2

    31.73.06.1

    50.1

    46.85.0.7

    2.3

    -1.0

    95.6

    43.520.3

    13.818.0

    94.2

    54.0

    24.022.41.5

    6.2

    7.1

    2.9

    1.4

    49.4

    7.31.1

    31.73.16.2

    51.3

    48.05.0.7

    2.4

    -1.9

    94.6

    43.120.0

    13.817.6

    94.2

    53.0

    25.323.71.6

    6.0

    7.0

    2.9

    .4

    49.7

    7.41.1

    32.13.26.0

    52.0

    48.65.1.7

    2.5

    -2.3

    92.5

    42.618.6

    13.318.0

    98.0

    54.7

    26.524.81.6

    7.1

    6.8

    3.0

    -5.5

    51.4

    7.71.0

    32.43.27.1

    53.8

    50.35.3.7

    2.5

    -2.4

    na

    43.6na

    13.618.4

    101.1

    56.6

    27.125.71.5

    6.8

    6.6

    4.0

    na

    na

    7.8na

    32.93.36.8

    54.2

    50.65.4.8

    2.6

    na

    Goods and services, total

    Durable goods, total

    Automobiles and parts

    Furniture and household equip-ment -_. __ _

    Other

    Nondurable goods, total

    Food and beverages

    Clothins and shoes

    Gasoline and oil

    Other . _ ___ _ .

    Services, total _

    Housing _ _ _ _ _

    Household operation. _

    Transportation

    Other

    1958

    293. 2

    37.3

    13 9

    17.4

    6.0

    141.6

    76 6

    25.7

    10 5

    28.8

    114.3

    37.7

    16.9

    9.2

    50.6

    1959

    314.0

    43.5

    18.1

    18.9

    6.6

    147.3

    78 0

    27.4

    11.0

    30.9

    123.2

    39.9

    18.1

    10.0

    55.2

    1960

    328.9

    44.3

    18.6

    18.8

    6.9

    152.4

    80.1

    28.1

    11.6

    32.6

    132. 2

    42.2

    19.6

    10.5

    59.9

    1960

    II III IV

    1961

    I II

    Seasonally adjusted atannual rates

    329.9

    45.3

    19.3

    19.0

    7.0

    153. 3

    80.6

    28.3

    11.6

    32.8

    131.2

    41.9

    19,5

    10.5

    59.3

    329.7

    43.4

    17.8

    18.7

    6.9

    152.7

    79.9

    28.3

    11.6

    32.9

    133. 6

    42.7

    19.7

    10.5

    60.8

    332. 3

    43.8

    18.6

    18.3

    6.8

    153. 1

    80.8

    27.7

    11.8

    32.7

    135.4

    43.1

    20.0

    10.5

    61.7

    a30.-7

    39.4

    14.8

    17.8

    6.8

    153.7

    81.1

    27.9

    11.7

    33.0

    137. 5

    43.6

    20.6

    10.5

    62.8

    336.1

    42.0

    16.7

    18.3

    7.0

    154.1

    81.4

    27.6

    11.7

    33.4

    139.9

    44.2

    20.9

    10.7

    64.1

    Table 7.Foreign Transactions in the National Income Accounts(IV-2)

    [Billions of dollars]

    Receipts from abroad

    Exports of goods and services

    Payments to abroad

    Imports of goods and services - _ -Net transfer payments by Govern-

    ment - -_Net foreign investment

    1958

    22.7

    22.7

    22.7

    21.5

    1.3-.1

    1959

    23.1

    23.1

    23.1

    23.8

    1.5-2.3

    1960

    26.7

    26.7

    26.7

    23.6

    1.61.5

    1960

    II III IV

    1961

    I II

    Seasonally adjusted at annualrates

    26.7

    26.7

    26.7

    24.4

    1.6.7

    26.8

    26.8

    26.8

    23.8

    1.51.4

    27.6

    27.6

    27.6

    22.4

    1.63.6

    27.6

    27.6

    27.6

    22.3

    1.63.7

    26.4

    26.4

    26.4

    22.5

    1.52.4

    Table 8.Sources and Uses of Gross Saving (V-2)[Billions of dollars]

    Gross private saving

    Personal savingUndistributed corporate profits. _ .Corporate inventory valuation

    adjustmentCapital consumption allowanceExcess of wage accruals over dis-

    bursements

    Government surplus on income andproduct transactions

    Federal - -- -State and local

    Gross investment

    Gross private domestic invest-ment .- . -_ -

    Net foreign investment

    Statistical discrepancy .. ..

    1958

    69.5

    24.76.4

    .338.6

    .0

    11.4

    9.42.1

    56.6

    56.6.1

    1.5

    1959

    74.0

    23.410.3

    .540.8

    .0

    -2.2

    1.8.4

    70.1

    72.42.3

    1.7

    1960

    74.6

    22.98.6

    .043.1

    .0

    1.9

    3.31.4

    73.9

    72.41.5

    -2.6

    1960

    II III IV

    1961

    I II

    Seasonally adjusted at annualrates

    74.7

    22.89.3

    .443.0

    .0

    3.5

    4.51.0

    75.3

    74.6.7

    -2.9

    76.4

    24.67.6

    .943.2

    .0

    .5

    1.41.9

    71.9

    70.51.4

    4.0

    73.9

    22.77.2

    .343.7

    .0

    1.9

    .42.3

    69.1

    65.63. 6

    2.9

    74.0

    23.75.8

    .444.2

    .0

    -7.9

    5.52.4

    63.5

    59.83.7

    2.6

    na

    25.8na

    na45.0

    .0

    na

    nana

    71.3

    68.82.4

    na

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • BY ROBERT E. GRAHAM, JR. AND EDWIN J. COLEMAN

    Consumer Incomes Up in All Regions in 1960_L ERSONAL income was at a recorddollar total in each of the 50 States lastyear as the Nation's economy firstmoved ahead under the impetus ofexpanded demand and then turneddown briefly.

    For the country as a whole, individualincomes in 1960 totaled $400 billion$19 billion, or 5 percent, more than in1959. Despite a 1% percent increase inconsumer prices, real incomes were upthroughout the country.

    Uniformity in State rates of changefrom 1959 was a feature of last year'sincome flow. More than half of theStates (28) came within 1 percentagepoint of the national pace. By regions,uniformity was even more pronounced.

    There were five States in which the1960 relative gain exceeded the nationalaverage by substantial margins. Thelargest occurred in South Dakota wherefarm income more than doubled, push-ing the aggregate income up by one-fourth.

    Next largest rates of gain from 1959to 1960 were in Alaska and NorthDakota (13 percent each), Hawaii (12percent), and Arizona (11 percent). InNorth Dakota, the rise centered mainlyin agriculture. In the other threeStates, the above-average increasesreflected pervasive gains throughoutmost of their economies.

    Although business declined in thelatter part of 1960, the reduction wasmoderate. Individual incomes in everymonth of last year were higher than inthe corresponding month of 1959, andtotal income on a seasonally-adjustedbasis rose through October. The down-turn that followed was comparativelymild and short-lived, and by March of1961 personal income had recovered allof the ground lost since the prerecessionOctober peak.

    For the country as a whole, percapita personal income (total incomedivided by total population) amountedto $2,223 in I960up $63, or 3 percent,

    from 1959. Price increases nearlycounterbalanced this rise, however, andreal per capita income in 1960 was onlya little more than in 1959.

    Average incomes in 1960 were highestin Delaware ($3,013), the Districtof Columbia ($3,008), Connecticut($2,863), Nevada ($2,844), New York($2,789), Alaska ($2,735), California($2,741), New Jersey ($2,665), Illinois($2,613), and Massachusetts ($2,519).The fact that all of these States exceptAlaska are located in New England, theMideast, Great Lakes, and Far West isindicative of the concentration of highincomes in the north and west.

    This article continues the series ofreports on State changes in personalincome published annually in the SUR-VEY. The estimates for 1960 presentedhere are revisions of the preliminaryfigures published in the April 1961issue of the SURVEY. Those for 1958and 1959 also are revisions of earlierestimates. For convenience, total in-

    Regional Increases in Total Personal Income Were Generally Similar Last Year

    Major Differences Came From Developments in Agriculture and Manufacturing

    10 15 -5Percent Change 1959-60

    5 10 15 20 0 10 15 20 0 10 15 20

    ToinlUnited States

    New England

    Mideast

    Great Lakes

    Plains

    Southeast

    Southwest

    Rocky Mountain

    Far West

    zp-.r

    Farm IncomeT~Fari

    f"22%

    .

    D.IT

    U. S. Department of Commerce, Office of Business Economies

    60143161 2Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • 10 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1961

    come for the years 1954-57 and percapita income for 1950-57 are reprintedin table 1 along with the 1958-60 data.Total and per capita income figures forearlier years may be found in thePersonal Income supplement to theSURVEY.1

    Industrial DevelopmentsNationally, income in all major indus-

    tries advanced from 1959 to 1960. Asindicated in the chart, State differencesin rates of total income change lastyear stemmed mainly from develop-ments in farming and manufacturing,although variations in other industriesalso had an impact.Farm income volatile

    On a national basis, farm incometotaled 4 percent more in 1960 than in1959a somewhat smaller increase thanthe average of all nonfarm components.By States and regions, income fromagriculture showed the widest variationsin rates of change. These ranged fromdrops of one-tenth in several majoragricultural States to a more thandoubling in South Dakotathe latter inpart a recovery from the previous year'sdecline in wheat production. Therewere reductions in 18 States and in-creases in 30; in 7, the decline was 10percent or more; in 14, the gains ex-ceeded 15 percent.

    The influence of farming on changesin total income in 1960 shows mostclearly in the Plains region. Five ofthe seven States in this area experiencedexceptionally large gains in farm incomelast year, and 3 of theseSouthDakota, North Dakota, and Ne-braskawere among the top half-dozen States in the Nation in terms ofrelative increase in total income. Onthe other hand, declines in incomefrom agriculture were primary factorsin the limited gains in aggregate incomein Iowa and Missouri.

    Except in the last two States, there1. "Personal Income by States Since 1929" is available from

    the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Print-ing Office, Washington 25, D.C., or from the Department'sField Offices at $1.50 per copy. The text of the report providescomplete explanations of the concept, statistical derivation,and reliability of the estimates, as well as an analysis ofgeographic income shifts over the period. The PersonalIncome supplement also contains detailed breakdowns ofincome in each State according to type and industrial sourcefor the years 1929-53. Details for 1954-56 may be found inthe August 1959 SURVEY; for 1957 in the August 1960 SURVEY,and for 1958-60 in tables 4-70 of this issue.

    were gains in most types of farming inthe Plains, but the bulk of the net in-come rise came from a step-up of morethan one-third in the value of wheatproduction. In all States of the region,gross income from meat animals de-clined, while in Iowa and Missourilower wheat production pushed the totalvalue of crops in 1960 below that in1959.

    Elsewhere agricultural developmentswith discernible effect on the totalincome flow included an increase inincome from tobacco farming in NorthCarolina; a spurt of two-thirds in cashTable I.Changes in Total and Per Capita

    Selected Yea

    receipts from potatoes in Maine; in-creased production of crops generally inOklahoma; sharp increases in wheatproduction in Oklahoma, Texas, Ohio,and Indiana; a decline in the value ofcotton production in the States of the"old" cotton belt; and reductions inincome from cattle and calves in mostStates as 1960 prices fell short of thosein 1959.Manufacturing a limiting factor

    For the country as a whole, earningsof persons engaged in manufacturingincreased 3 percent from 1959 to 1960,half the rate of increase in nonmanu-Personal Income, bv States and Regions,

    rs, 1950-60 i

    State and region

    United StatesNew England

    M aineN^ew HampshireVermont __ _ _MassachusettsRhode IslandConnecticut __ _ _ _

    Mideast __ - _ _ _New YorkNew Jersey _ -PennsylvaniaDelawareMarylandDistrict of Columbia _ _ _

    Great Lakes _ _ _ _MichiganOhio _ _ _ _ _IndianaIllinoisWisconsin

    PlainsMinnesota _ _ _Iowa _MissouriNorth Dakota . _ _ _ _South DakotaNebraska _ _Kansas

    SoutheastVirginiaWest VirginiaKentucky. _Tennessee -North CarolinaSouth CarolinaGeorgiaFloridaAlabama __MississippiLouisiana - _Arkansas

    SouthwestOklahomaTexas _ _ _ _ _New MexicoArizona

    Rocky MountainMontanaIdahoWyomingColoradoUtah

    Far West --- -Washington. _.OregonNevadaCaliforniaAlaskaHawaii

    Total personal income

    Percent of United States

    1950

    100. 006.73.48.31.20

    3.45. 57

    1.72

    26.3612.433.867.30.31

    1.67.79

    22.514.795.722.667.102.24

    8.801.861.682 53.35.35.86

    1. 17

    15.171.78.98

    1.261.461.82.83

    1. 561.611.18.71

    1.30.68

    6.501.114.61.35.43

    2.23.42.34.21.86.40

    11.701.771.09.14

    8.70

    .14

    .31

    1957

    100. 00

    6.54.46.31.18

    3.25.49

    1.85

    25.4011.814.076.75.35

    1.83.59

    22.504.855.992.646.872.15

    8.051.771.462.38.27.81.76

    1.10

    15.421.83.88

    1.201.391.71.81

    1.562.231.21.61

    1.40.59

    6.801.074.75.40.58

    2.26.37.31.19.97.42

    13.031.67.97.19

    10.20

    .15

    .31

    1960

    100. 00

    6.51.46.32.18

    3.25.48

    1.82

    24.9811.734.066.42.34

    1.86.57

    21.564.565.692. 5'56.612.15

    7.991.761.382.38.28.31.75

    1.13

    15. 641.84.78

    1.181.381.80.84

    1.592.481.20.64

    1.31.60

    6.801.084.63.43.66

    2.28.34.30. 19

    1.02.43

    13. 721.661.00.20

    10.86

    .16

    .36

    Percentchange

    1959 to 1960

    5

    5765535

    4454554

    444534

    5623

    132385

    4423366564322

    4532

    11

    642686

    64486

    1312

    Per capita personal income

    Percent of United States

    1957

    100

    112829181

    11497

    137

    117124124105141108130

    11011011099

    12296

    9191919573789288

    71828070686659698965487656

    8780897988

    929482989785

    11710496

    123122

    11794

    1960

    100

    111859384

    113100129

    117125120102136108135

    10710410598

    11898

    9392909978839593

    72837569707163728966537260

    8683878190

    959181

    10510486

    119104102128123

    123102

    Percentchange

    1959 to 1960

    3

    3653333

    3333335

    232422

    4422

    122374

    3322265313201

    231i5

    420463

    33353

    77

    i Computed from tables 1 and 2.Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • August 1061 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 11

    facturing income. The national in-crease reflected recovery from the1957-58 recession; the upswing follow-ing the 1959 steel strike and its sec-ondary effects; and the 1960 businessdecline which centered in a slide indurable goods production. Because ofState differentials in manufacturing,the impact of these developments variedthroughout the country.

    In New England, the Mideast, andthe Great Lakes the relative smallnessof the gain in manufacturing incomeretarded significantly the overall income

    rise. Because of the lesser importanceof factory production in the economyof the Plains, Southwest, and Far West,the comparatively small increase inmanufacturing activity in each of theseregions had limited effect on total in-come. By contrast, a rise of one-tenthin factory earnings in the Rocky Moun-tain Statescentering in Colorado andUtah and noted belowreinforced theupswing in nonmanufacturing incomethere even though these are the leastindustrialized States in the country.In the Southeast, income from manu-

    facturing increased at the same rateas that in other industries, generally.

    Approximately one-half of the Na-tion's income from manufacturing isderived from six major industries, andmany of the 1959-60 State changes canbe explained largely by changes in thewages and salaries paid out by thesegroups.

    Payrolls increased 3 percent on anational basis in those industries pro-ducing primary and fabricated metalsand nonelectrical machinery. They de-clined 4 percent in aircraft production.

    Table II.Percent Changes in Industrial Sources of Personal Income, by States and Regions, 1959-60

    State and region

    United Slates

    New EnglandMai noNew HampshireVermontMassachusettsRhode IslandConnecticut

    MideastNew YorkNew JerseyPennsylvaniaDelawareMarylandDistrict of Columbia

    Great LakesMichiganOhioIndianaIllinoisWisconsin . _

    PlainsMinnesotaIowaMissouriNorth DakotaSouth Dakota _ . _ _NebraskaKansas

    SoutheastVirginia _ _ _ _ _ -West VirginiaKentuckyTennesseeNorth CarolinaSouth CarolinaGeorgia.- _ _ __.Florida.AlabamaMississippiLouisianaArkansas

    Southwest . .Oklahoma _ _ _ _ _ _TexasNew MexicoArizona

    Rocky MountainMontanaIdahoWyomingColoradoUtah

    Far WestWashingtonOregonNevadaCalifornia __ _

    Alaska _ _ _Hawaii- _ . _ _ _ _ _ _ _

    Ei

    Totalper-

    sonalincome

    5

    5765535

    4454554

    444533

    5623

    132385

    4423366564322

    4532

    11

    642686

    64486

    1312

    Farmincome

    4

    227665

    1006

    11n112325

    20

    1618

    -101416

    -9-658

    1331321-11110

    -1-12

    167

    -10-11-10-9

    130-5-8

    924

    6-15

    17-8

    120-1

    -27 1

    50

    *

    Non-farm

    income

    5K

    5(>55354

    .

    4554

    444534

    45435683

    44134664

    4524

    4333

    11

    643986

    64496

    1312

    irces of income

    Go vern ment in comedisbursements

    Total

    7

    864729

    6566

    64

    879886

    7676

    12587

    633

    465678952

    65668

    7

    6886

    1058

    11

    107

    Fed-eral

    (5886

    9__2

    4454

    53

    7

    86

    586

    1549

    5246374567931

    55654

    711996

    86

    79

    88

    Stateand local

    8

    6

    64

    117

    8

    710s

    129

    889996

    66669577

    892965

    8108985

    7568

    15

    7336

    108

    124

    109

    13

    304

    Privatenonfarmincome

    4

    5465545

    4453444

    343434

    45332782

    4512456473325

    32226

    622986

    533

    105

    1616

    Income received by persons for participation in current production

    Allprivate

    nonfarmindus-tries

    4

    54

    !4

    155534342445331

    9245124674733153222

    12

    722

    1187

    i 533

    i 106

    1818

    Min-ing

    0

    30000

    :.4

    0

    21710Q

    106

    2903

    -23-8

    8-6-2-5-6

    1-3

    700

    1290

    -3-9

    0-52

    22

    3027

    ~010080

    152

    -180

    Contractconstruc-

    tion

    9"

    31582

    3116

    -1-8

    1-2

    31

    -21137444

    2228123

    4-2

    45

    13213r

    -614230

    -919

    6-1

    3308

    -32

    1214

    32

    Manu-factur-

    ing

    3353331343456302423022402

    -3-2

    8-1

    463244629121520129

    1051

    10121631034

    269

    Whole-sale and

    retailtrade

    57596767

    44834564454453433046246234554744233323

    10513

    146563347

    3215

    Finance,insur-

    ance, andreal

    estate

    6645564644553636566667785

    10987754688898295

    7975

    12

    76

    1077

    75688

    1726

    Corn-Trans- munica-porta- tions andtion public

    utilities

    2

    2340224

    4450

    18512341121212030^114112

    431112223221

    0-2__2

    212

    32133

    100

    55540506557452

    -33245354632

    18132

    66145867

    1165354244

    11

    434652

    4115

    57H

    Serv-ices

    7

    99

    1011989778678

    6

    86888

    10898

    11677466

    1111

    95677564

    14

    10755

    148977

    169

    1827

    1 To maintain comparability, both the numerator and denominator include Alaska and Hawaii.Digitized for FRASER

    http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • 12 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS August 1961

    These changes were primarily respon-sible for the smallness of the rise intotal manufacturing in the Great Lakes,Plains, and Southwest. In contrast,there were gains of 6 and 8 percent,respectively, in payrolls of auto andelectrical machinery producers. Thespurt in auto production was concen-trated in Michigan and was the mainfactor in that State's comparativelyfavorable manufacturing experiencelast yearthe best in the Great Lakesregion, and one of the best among majorindustrial States.

    The 8-percent advance in payrolls ofmanufacturers of electrical machineryfocused on California where a rise ofmore than $200 million in 1960 approxi-mately matched the payroll declines inthat State's large aircraft industry.

    Expansion of electrical machineryproduction in Massachusetts and ofnonelectrical machinery in Connecticutdid much to boost overall factory pay-rolls in New England, although, onbalance, these gains did not offset thesluggishness of the payroll rise else-where in New England's factoryeconomy.

    In a number of States the course ofmanufacturing last year was dominatedby developments in a single industry.In Rhode Island, a decline in textiles;in Kansas, slackened aircraft produc-tion; in Montana, and Idaho, de-creased payrolls in lumbering; in Colo-rado, a speedup in the aircraft industry;and in Delaware, a spurt in chemicalproduction. In contrast, the sizablefactory payroll gains in Utah (17 per-cent) and Arizona (9 percent) werebroadly based with payrolls advancingin seven of the eight major manufac-turing industries in these two States.

    Government income disbursements

    Government income disbursementsgave buoyancy to the income flow in1960. The total paid directly to indi-viduals by Federal, State, and localgovernments increased $5 billion, or 7percent, from 1959 to 1960, the largestadvance in any major component.There was uniformity in rates of changeamong regions, with only the Far Westscoring a gain appreciably differentfrom the national figure. There, gov-ernment added $1 billion to the area's

    income flow and accounted directly forone-third of that region's top-rankingincome rise.

    Largest increases in government in-come payments from 1959 to 1960allapproximately one-tenthwere scoredin California, Ohio, Oregon, Mississippi,and North Dakota. In each, wagesand salaries paid government employeeswas a primary factor. In Californiaand Ohio, the advance was concentratedin State and local agencies. In Mis-sissippi and Oregon, both Federalcivilian and State and local payrollsincreased; while in North Dakota, asharp rise in military pay provided themajor impetus.

    Conversely, in Rhode Island, Ar-kansas, Virginia, West Virginia, Ver-mont, Tennessee, and the District ofColumbia, declines in military payrolls,together with only limited gains inFederal civilian payin part a reflec-tion of the curtailment in militaryactivitiesheld the advances in totalgovernment income disbursements tobelow-average proportions.

    Factors other than payrolls intro-duced some irregularities into the flowof government income disbursementslast }^ear. In Pennsylvania and Illinois,payments of bonuses to veterans ex-panded sharply. In Iowa, Minnesota,and Montana, completion of veterans'bonus payments in 1959, or their sharpreduction in 1960, had a dampeningimpact on government income.

    In a half-dozen States changes inunemployment benefits had substantialinfluence on the flow of total income.In California and Ohio, UI disburse-ments were up $150 million and $65million, respectively. In addition tolegislative actions relating to the dura-tion and rates of benefits, unemploy-ment rose sharply in both States asaircraft production in California andauto and auto-parts manufacturing inOhio were curtailed.

    Sizable reductions in UI disburse-ments in New York, New Jersey,Pennsylvania, Delaware, West Virginia,and Illinois reflected both the exhaus-tion of benefit rights by many persons,as well as a lower volume of payments inthese industrial States as the Tempo-rary Unemployment Compensation Actof 1958 terminated in early 1959.

    Changes in other industriesNationally, earnings of persons en-

    gaged in mining in 1960 were littlechanged over the previous year; this,however, represented an "averaging-out" of significant changes in several ofthe major mining States. There weredeclines in coal and petroleum-produc-ing States and significant gains in thosewith a concentration of mining andquarrying other than fuel. Minnesotascored a top-ranking gain of nearly one-third in income from mining as iron oreshipments almost doubled the strike-affected levels of 1959.

    In most regions the increase inconstruction earnings paralleled thenational advance of 3 percent. ByStates, however, disbursements in thisindustry exhibited wide variations rang-ing from a decline of nearly one-tenthin North Dakota to an increase ofalmost one-third in Wyoming.

    An increase in roadbuilding projectswas a primary factor in the expansionof construction income in South Dakota,Nebraska, Arkansas, and Nevada. InAlaska, outlays for highway construc-tion more than doubled, providing apartial offset to declines in nonhighwayconstruction due to completion ofdefense projects. Conversely, termi-nation of roadbuilding projects in thelatter part of 1959 and 1960 appreciablyretarded the flow of income from con-struction in Pennsylvania, NorthDakota, Kentucky, and Kansas.

    Income of persons engaged in thenumerous trade and service establish-ments registered a top-ranking gain of6 percent. The rise was broadly basedand although most States conformedclosely to the uniform regional pattern,noteworthy gains ranging from one-tenth to one-fifth were scored by thetourist-oriented areas of Nevada, Ari-zona, Florida, Hawaii, and the Districtof Columbia.

    The economy in early 1961

    Last year's business decline did notmanifest itself in the personal incomeflow until late in 1960, and hence, itsgeographic impact is blurred in thecomparisons involving calendar years1960 and 1959 which have formed thebulk of this report.

    Because recent period changes in theDigitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • August 1001 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 13

    production cycle centered in the manu-facturing industry, a gauge of their geo-graphic effects may be had throughcomparison of monthly changes in fac-tory payrolls which can be estimatedfrom employment and earnings datacompiled by the Bureau of Labor Sta-tistics. In the first quarter of 1961,payrolls in manufacturing were $5 bil-lion (at annual rates) less than in thecorresponding quarter of the previousyear. Declines were confined generally

    to the central and eastern areas of theNation, with the largest reductions inthe most industrialized States. In con-trast, the western regions registeredmoderate improvements in factorypayrolls over the year.

    By May of 1961, the economy hadpassed the prerecession peak, and man-ufacturing wages and salaries hadrecovered most of the fall and winterreductions. Recovery lagged most

    wiiere the declines had been greatestthe Great Lakes and Mideast. Simi-larly, the Western States continued toforge ahead in factory production. Itis significant that wages and salaries inthe Great Lakes, Mideast, and NewEngland States are currently at aboutthe same level as 4 }rears agojust priorto the 1957 recession; those in the lessindustrialized regions of the south andwest are one-fifth higher.

    Table 1.Total Personal Income, by States and Regions, 1954-60

    Table 2.Per Capita Personal Income, by States and Regions, 1950-60

    State and region

    United StalesNew England

    Maine. __ _ _ . .New HampshireVermontMassachusettsRhode IslandConnecticut

    Mideast\ew YorkNew .Jersey

    Delaware _ _\I irvlandDistrict of Columbia

    Great Lakes __ .Michigan _ ._OhioIndianaIllinoisWisconsin

    PlainsMinnesotaIowaMissouriNorth DakotaSouth Dakota.. _ _ . _NebraskaKansas _ _ _ _ -

    SoutheastVirginia _West VirginiaKentucky. _ _ _ .TennesseeNorth CarolinaSouth Carolina _GeorgiaFlorida. _ _ _AlabamaMississippiLouisianaArkansas

    Southwest...OklahomaTexasNew MexicoArizona. _ _ _

    Rocky Mountain _MontanaIdahoWyomingColoradoUtah

    Far West..WashingtonOregonNevadaCalifornia

    AlaskaHawaii

    Table 1 (millions of dollars) Table 2 (dollars)

    1954

    285, 339

    18, 8571,312

    894543

    0, 4031.5155, 190

    73,23134 18911 62219 572

    9065, 0841,858

    64, 89414,12717,241

    7, 62319 7516. 1 52

    24,0845,1544,4897 055

    783910

    2, 2593, 434

    43, 1485, 2562,4143, 0274, 0565 0232,4144,4145,3123,2581,8363 7561,782

    19, 1363, 162

    13, 3911,0881,495

    6,1741,071

    880537

    2, 5431,143

    35,8154, 9562,919

    50827, 432

    493893

    1955

    306, 598

    20, 2001,452

    952567

    10, 0561. 6175, 556

    78,01436", 50812,35120 706

    1,0495,4531,947

    70, 20815, 78518, 5898, 251

    20 9686.615

    24, 6835, 4504 2607 579

    872861

    2,2033, 458

    47, 1545, 6032, 5863, 7824, 3475, 5352,6044,9186,0883,7082,0653,9851, 933

    20,5133,341

    14, 3801,1591,633

    6,6701,158

    917570

    2, 7831,242

    39, 1565,2113,139

    58230, 224

    500952

    1956

    330, 386

    21, 6421, 5321,006

    60610,719

    1,6776, 102

    84, 05839, 02313, 3792'> 410

    1,2045 908 044

    75, 34116, 58719.9018, 859

    7, 137

    26, 2005, 7684,5728,082

    917926

    2, 2943.641

    50, 9716,0942,8784,0224,6525, 9022, 7115,2746,9793,9322,0974,4242,006

    22, 1053,572

    15, 4221, 2571,854

    7,2851,2291,024

    6143, 0641,354

    42, 7785, 5023,398

    60533, 273

    5481, 024

    1957

    348,724

    22 7931, 5901, 071

    62811,346

    1,6946, 464

    88, 5S641, 19014, 20523, 525

    1,2156, 3812, 070

    78, 4B916, 92320, 906

    9,21223, 941

    7. 487

    28,0996,1735, 1108,310

    9391,0912, 6383, 838

    53, 7906, 3863, 0824, 2034, 8645, 9762,8185, 4327,7634, 2062,1164,8842,060

    23, 6973,730

    16, 5561,4012,010

    7, 8301,2801,072

    6503,3671, 461

    45, 4605,8323,400

    64635, 582

    5371,098

    1958

    357, 498

    23, 3391, 6541, 097

    64911,668

    1, 7386, 533

    90, 02942, 06114,40423, 5821 , 222G! 64 12, 119

    77, 93916, 54020, 4949,123

    24, 1007, 682

    29, 5516, 4845, 2458, 6661,0491,1242, 7364,247

    56, 1026, 6412,9744,3475, 0166, 3002,9315, 6768,4814,3822,2814,9292, 144

    24, 8693,942

    17, 1651, 5582,204

    8,2071,3381,121

    6883,5501, 510

    47,4625,9773, 556

    68837,241

    5261,158

    1959

    380, 738

    24, 7861,7241, 192

    69412, 3871,8506, 939

    95, 76645,01615.44124, 728

    1,2857, 0962,200

    83, 06517, 46921,9479,700

    25, 6438, 306

    30, 3726, 6585, 4099, 250

    9761, 0202,7574, 302

    59, 9957, 0413,0604,5645, 3486,7523,1576,0759,3984, 6022, 4935, 1452,360

    26, 2374,117

    18, 0331,6892,398

    8,6301,3191, 186

    7283,7761,621

    51,8876,3503, 865

    75740,915

    5551,290

    I1960 i

    400, 002

    26,0611. 8511, 263

    13, 01 61,909

    99, 98846, 92716, 25625, 700

    1,3537, 4602, 292

    86, 22518, 22522, 77810, 19226, 4258. 605

    31,9417,0365,5319, 5221, 1041,2562, 9884, 504

    62, 4807,3513,1094,7025,5227,1843,3416, 3499, 9384, 7852, 5575, 2452,397

    27, 2004,312

    18, 5081,7302,650

    9, 1381,3681,205

    7754,0791,711

    54,8986, 6264,005

    81943, 448

    6291,442

    1950

    1,491

    1,6291,1931,3161,1881, 6631,6521,900

    1, 7591 , 8821,7901,5662,146

    i 1,5802, 179

    1, 6601,6821,6121, 5201,8261, 167

    1,4111,3971,4491,4461 , 2681,2161,4721,380

    1,0111,2341, 098

    958995

    1, 012882

    1,0171,287

    869733

    1,087807

    1,2881,1461, 3391, 1621, 295

    1,4251,6001,2791,6231,4441,282

    1,7881,6711,6001, 9381,839

    2, 2311, 403

    1951

    1, 649

    1, 8231,3001,4701,3281, 8451,8152, 200

    1,9142, 0022, 0001 , 7342 285l] 7672, 344

    1, 8721,8651,8671,6952, 0351, 697

    1,5301,5331, 5541,5621,3221,4161, 5561,515

    1,1271,3931,2211,1211,0801,1151,0461,1411,375

    986793

    1,173905

    1,4191,2831,4531,2901,561

    1,6431,7711,4461,8841,7201,458

    1,9751,8161,7572,1832,037

    2, 6291, 589

    1952

    1,727

    1,9081,4271 , 5271,3961,9161, 8462, 322

    1, 9942, 0792, 1 141,7952. 3951,8842,411

    1, 9451,9461,9541, 7562, 0951, 760

    1, 6071,5791,6251,6611,2321,2441,6701,715

    1, 1941,4751,2901,2031,1321,1521,1171,2011,4571,044

    8551,243

    965

    1,4991,4021, 5231,3451, 655

    1,6991,7861, 5741,8281,7911,504

    2,0681,9091, 8272, 3652,129

    2,4871, 745

    1953

    1, 788

    1, 9581,4311,5701,4341.9571, 8982.400

    2, 0762.1472, 2161, 9022,5101,9672,276

    2, 0532,1342, 0181,9132, 1971.784

    1, 6141,6481,5591,7151,2461,3451, 6051,637

    1,2371,4841,3071 , 2501,2181,1721, 1411,2391, 5351,084

    8861,295

    995

    1,5291,476,549,361,610

    ,667,798

    1,4991,8541,7141,526

    2, 1031,9651,8082, 3572,165

    2, 3871,782

    1954

    1,770

    1, 9381,4311,6141,4481, 9361,8542, 351

    2, 0512,1612,2141,8132. 4751,9242, 244

    1,9692,0071, 9241,7872, 1741, 709

    1,6561,6481,7061, 7051,2571, 3751, 7001, 691

    1, 2321, 5091, 2531,2461, 2061,2001,0811,2091,5341,068

    8831,3011,001

    1,5531, 4661,5851,3881,604

    1,6321,7471,4941,7901,6731,500

    2,0891,9521,7672, 3632, 154

    2,2721, 768

    1955

    1,866

    2,0761. 5751,7121, 5282, 0851,9602, 489

    2, 1532, 2702,3041,9152,7181,9522, 434

    2,0942,1782, 0611,8922 2721,'804

    1,6641,7101, 5871, 7951,3891,2791. 6201,662

    1, 3231,5711,3561, 2971,2701,2851,1471,3321, 6591, 199

    9941,3571,087

    1,6151,5281,6451,4341,696

    1,7011,8621,5181,8101,7581,556

    2,2101,9811,8572, 4252,297

    2,2831,789

    1956

    1,975

    2,2141,6441,7741.6122, 2281 ! 9892,716

    2 3022,4202, 4292, 0652, 9802, 1032, 644

    2,2072 2292, ] 831,9852, 4401, 908

    1, 7431. 7691,6821,9041 , 4581,3561, 6501,725

    1,4021,6471, 5211,2851,3511,3481,1821,4021,7711,258

    9891,4611,136

    1,7021, 5951,7321,5271,816

    1,7931,9021,6541,9131.8511,645

    2,3262,0461,9692,4202,424

    2,4911, S62

    1957

    2, 048

    2 298l! 6861,8591, 6662, 3291, 9842, 813

    2,4062, 5422, 5352, 1492, 8932, 2202, 668

    2, 2602, 2452, 2532, 0292, 5051, 969

    1, 8561,8631,8641,9511,4931,6001, 8921,809

    1,4461,6711,6361,4291,4011,3451,2101,4181,8291,325

    9921, 5651,148

    1,7721,6411,8151,6101,806

    1,8841,9341,6782,0121,9891,743

    2,3972,1281,9602,5142,500

    2,3971,916

    1958

    2, 064

    2, 3021,7481,8781,7082, 3492, 0212, 720

    2,4072. 5642, 4952, 1332, 8552, 2332,759

    2,2002. 1632,1591, 9852,4511, 989

    1,9541 , 9451,9212, 0441,6921, 6751,9771,984

    1, 4851,7021,5821, 4531,4331,4161,2491,4691,8551,3601,0751,5601,209

    1,8191,7361,8431,7231, 868

    1,9652,0151,7382, 1372,1011,766

    2,4302, 1482, 0502, 5862, 526

    2,4691, 946

    1959

    2, 160

    2, 3881,8001, 9801,7982, 4372,1662, 781

    2, 5152, 7092, 5912, 2012, 9272, 3262, 868

    2,3162, 2532, 2832,1012,5712, 122

    1,9881,9711, 9702, 1581, 5571, 5021 , 9661, 990

    1, 5661,7921, 6351,5141, 5081, 5001,3331,5571,9621,4201, 1531, 6051,327

    1, 8831,7891,9081,8201,912

    2,0291,9781,8022,2402, 1861,848

    2,5702,2492,2012,7132,668

    2,5462,118

    I960 i

    2, 223

    2, 4711,9002, 0741,8592,5192, 2282, 863

    2,5912, 7892, 6652, 2663, 0132, 3943, 008

    2, 3732, 3222, 3392, 1792, 6132,171

    2,0712, 0542, 0032, 1991, 7411,8422,1132, 068

    1,6071,8481,6741, 5431, 5451, 5741,3971,6081,9881, 4621,1731, 6041,341

    1,9121,8481, 9241,8062,011

    2,1082,0181,7962, 3342, 3201,910

    2,6432,3172, 2592,8442,741

    2, 7352.274

    1 Total includes Alaska and Hawaii in I960 but not in earlier years.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • Tables 4-27.Persona! Income

    [Millions of dollars]

    Lino

    1

    234

    4a56789

    1011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132

    3334353637

    38

    Item

    Personal Income

    Wage and salary disbursementsFarms. _ _ _Mining

    AnthraciteBituminous and other soft coal mining._ ___Crude petroleum and natural gasMining a n d quarrying, except fuel _ _ _ _ _

    Contract constructionManufacturingWholesale and retail trade __Finance, insurance, and real estate

    Banking and other financeInsurance and real estate .

    TransportationRailroads _ ._Highway freight and warehousingOther transportation

    Communications and public utilitiesTelephone, telegraph, and other communi-

    cationsElectric, gas and other public utilities

    ServicesHotels and other lodging places _ _ _ _ _Personal services and private householdsBusiness and repair servicesAmusement and recreation _ - _Professional, social and related services

    GovernmentFederal, civilianFederal, militaryState and local

    Other industries

    Other labor income

    Proprietors' incomeFarm _Nonfarm

    Property income

    Transfer payments

    Less: Personal contributions for social insurance.

    Table 4. United States

    1958

    357, 498

    237, 0632,8553,774

    98942

    1, 6911,043

    14, 05876, 70143, 06010, 9054,4736,432

    13,3625, 5603,9243,8787,397

    4,0523,345

    23, 8921,3456, 0423,9421,770

    10, 79340, 48611,6417,482

    21,363573

    9,357

    46,05213, 54832, 504

    45,568

    26,294

    6,834

    1959

    380, 738

    255, 8852,9173,834

    83926

    1,7581,067

    15, 19684, 72046, 25511,7894,9366,853

    14, 1835,5984, 4684.1177,743

    4,2213,522

    25, 9461,4406, 2454,5171,908

    11,83642, 70311,979

    7, 73722,987

    599

    10, 294

    46,33311,31835, 015

    48, 912

    27, 208

    7,893

    I9602

    400, 002

    269, 1182, 9563, 832

    68887

    1,7121,165

    15,61987,41149, 07312, 5515,3127, 239

    14, 5775,4994,6584,4208,152

    4, 4553,697

    28, 1761, 5326,6265,0302,017

    12,97146, 14412, 9048,078

    25, 162627

    10,891

    48, 16311,97136, 192

    52,015

    29,049

    9,238

    Table 5. New England

    1958

    23, 339

    15, 75211126

    125

    8216,2722,675

    822287534546175218152478

    268210

    1,64078

    386216

    74885

    2,303580466

    1,25659

    582

    1,972218

    1,754

    3,491

    1,960

    417

    1959

    24, 786

    17, 00611126

    125

    8706,9492,834

    875312563567166239162495

    274221

    1,77982

    396259

    77965

    2,441606484

    1,35160

    645

    2,012135

    1,877

    3,620

    1,995

    493

    1960

    26, 061

    17, 80610627

    126

    8927,1433,039

    924330594578159249170517

    286231

    1,95785

    42130882

    1,0612, 565

    647477

    1,44158

    680

    2,161199

    1,962

    3,851

    2,143

    581

    Table 6. Maine

    1958

    1,654

    1,036241

    154

    3681733415195027158

    33

    1815828

    2643

    41208

    5464908

    31

    2S677

    159

    230

    151

    31

    1959

    1,724

    1,117241

    166

    3961873716215226179

    351915909

    2743

    462226065978

    3420132

    16925015735

    1960

    1,8511,178

    242

    263

    41519738172253251810362016981030

    44

    51244

    6872

    1059

    37249

    74174

    26516441

    Table 7.New Hampshire

    1958

    1,097736

    Vs

    1

    139

    301105271018249

    104

    251312708

    1635

    391364033621

    25109

    1495

    1549219

    1959

    1,192811

    61

    142

    340113301019248

    115

    251312768

    1655

    421524640651

    27

    11311

    102

    1689522

    1960

    1,263858

    61

    147

    351124311120258

    125

    261312838

    1765

    471625239701

    3012112

    11017910127

    Table 8. Vermont

    1958

    649401

    166

    624

    127641669

    231562

    13

    76

    465

    1112

    2667169

    42

    15993565865912

    1959 1960

    694439

    165

    528

    1467117

    10241572

    1376

    486

    1112

    2970168

    461

    17

    972671

    946114

    727

    457176

    630

    1507518

    102314

    72

    14

    86

    53622

    3271166

    491

    181042876

    100

    6517

    [Millions of dollars]

    Line

    1

    2345689

    101112131415161718192021222324252627

    29303132

    3334353637

    38

    Item

    Personal Income

    Wage and salary disbursementsFarmsMining

    Bituminous and other soft coal miningCrude petroleum and natural gasMining and quarrying, except fuel

    Contract constructionM anuf acturingWholesale and retail tradeFinance, insurance, and real estate

    Banking and other financesInsurance and real estate .

    Transportation _RailroadsHighway freight and warehousing -Other transportation

    Communications and public utilitiesTelephone, telegraph, and other communica-

    tionsElectric, gas