Scenario Gaming Session

FFRC Conference, June 2015

Hazel Salminen, Finnish Society for Futures Studies

Cornelia Daheim, Future Impacts

Agenda – 45 Minutes only!

• Intro

• Warm-Up

• „Scenario Enactment“

• Sharing Lessons Learned

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Why Scenario Gaming?

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“I never thought I would do this in my job: build a 3 D lego model of our future products, and together with my boss, spontaneously enact a scene from 2030 of how they are used! However, I found that this was not only much more enjoyable than the other project processes, but it was also the outcome with the most buy-in and fastest implementation I’ve seen in a long time.”

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Context of New Approaches in Foresight

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Modelling 3.0 / Integrated qual.- quant. appr.

Open and Crowdsourced

Foresight

IT-based and “automated” foresight

Gamification / Visualization /

Storytelling

Predictive Modelling, e.g. Kaggle

Prediction Markets

Platforms, e.g. Microsoft Prediction Lab

Risk Mgt., e.g. Recorded Future

Design Thinking

Consulting (Crowd- and

IT-based): - Wikistrat(geopolitical

forecasts) - Crowdworx

(innovation consulting)

Open Innovation, e.g. Sustainia –

Future Healthcare

“Serious Play” in Innovation &

Strategy,e.g. Lego

Experiential Foresight - Gamified Approach: “The Thing from the Future”

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The Thing From The Future is an imagination game that challenges players to collaboratively and competitively describe objects from a range of alternative futures.Other examples: Future Prehearsals, Foresight Cards, M VIP Cards, RILAO Remote Viewing Protocol

Key Characteristics and Benefits

Practice Type Experiential Foresight

Characteristics - Playful, “serious gaming” approaches

- World building / design fiction / creating future artefacts

- Directly experiencing future worlds / scenarios

Key Benefits - Higher impact, also with decision-makers, via more direct engagement and “emotional” experience of abstract “future”

- Encourages perspective of creating the future

- Can uncover blind spots of traditional analytical techniques

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The Session

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The Rules of the Game

• Relax!

• Enjoy yourself!

• Spirit of serious playfulness – Improvise!

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Warm-Up

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The Game (Four groups): The Future of Work

• Understand the scenario (see handout) & get into your roles (see handout)

• Enact a short scene within your roles (see handout)

• Discuss with group members what happened, what you learned

• Revise the scene & „script“ a little (see handout)

• & Enact the scene again

• Discuss and write down 3 major lessons learned

You Can: Change the scenario (or roles, or setting) *** Switch roles

Build and use props *** Call Hazel or me anytime for support if you get stuck

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Thank you!

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Handout (Print 20 times)

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Scenario Handout: It‘s June 11th, 2020, and...

• .... You are in Turku, Finland

• Europe has switched to sustainable growth paradigm, GDP has kept growing, but slowly

• 20% of jobs have been automated, unemployment is high

• Major growth comes form sustainability services and social businesses, household / personal and health services, new tech sectors

• Europe has seen a massive rise of immigration

• Social security systems are being reformed, but are still struggling

• Work times and productivity of knowledge workers are mostly being automated and connected to automated health monitoring systems

• Homes and offices are fully connected to the internet of things

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The Game (Four groups): The Future of Work

• Understand the scenario (see handout) & get into your roles (see handout)

• Enact a short scene within your roles (see handout)

• Discuss with group members what happened, what you learned

• Revise the scene & „script“ a little (see handout)

• & Enact the scene again

• Discuss and write down 3 major lessons learned

You Can: Change the scenario (or roles, or setting) *** Switch roles

Build and use props *** Call Hazel or me anytime for support if you get stuck

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The Setting of Your Scene

• You are in virtual work meeting

• Your company provides IT-based health services to rural regions

• 5 people take part:

• The Project Manager

• The Trainee

• The Senior Visiting Student

• The Customer

• The Data Scientist

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This is your agenda: 1. Team Atmo Check2. Update everyone on

project progress3. Discuss work tracking

issue4. Select representative

for robot rights committee

Getting into Your Role

• What age are you?

• Where are you from?

• How do you live (family, relationship, type of housing)?

• Are you: Shy? Extroverted? Ambitious? Enthusiastic? Rich, poor, neither? Blind or otherwise handicapped? Saving for a sabbatical?

• 3 key points from your biography: • ….

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A Scene Script Template

• Stage Directions, if needed (E.g.: “We are in a derelict factory building with two old tables and two chairs. There’s fog on the bottom of the stage, thunder and lighting in the background,….”)

• Script as Such:

• Character 1 (Add name): „I hate my job. ....“

Jumps up and down, then curls into a ball, sighs deeply

• Character 2: „...“

• ....

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Interventions (Print 2 times)

(We can give them to the groups if they get stuck. Ormaybe even if they don‘t)

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A new European law limits working hours per day to max. 5

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One of you has a freak-out.

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One of you suddenly stops speaking. For a long time.

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The pension system crashes.

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The offliner-movement grows to 40% of the population.

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Internal Notes

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Timeline, Detailed Agenda

• Intro (Cornelia, 5 mins)

• Warm-Up: Hazel (5 Mins.; maybe blend into next point)

• Groups work (4 people per group = 5 groups; 35 mins)

• Understand the scenario (see handout) & get into your roles (see handout)

• Enact a short scene within your roles (see handout)

• Discuss with group members what happened, what you learned

• Revise the scene & „script“ a little (see handout)

• & Enact the scene again

• Discuss and write down 3 major lessons learned

• Wrap-Up: Groups share main insights (Cornelia facilitates, 5 mins)

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Other stuff to take

• Bell

• Clay, stuff to build props (Karton, scissors, tape, …)

• Pens for 25 people

• Some flipchart pens

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