school organisation plan - learning trust · 2019. 12. 3. · school organisation plan 2019-2024...

School Organisation Plan Hackney Learning Trust November 2019

School Organisation Plan 2019-2024 of 33

OFFICIAL: Sch Org Plan 2019-2024 FINAL

LONDON BOROUGH OF HACKNEY, HACKNEY LEARNING TRUST

1. Introduction

This document sets out the Council’s School Organisation Plan from 2019 to 2024. Local authorities have a statutory duty to ensure there is a sufficient number of school places for pupils and that places are planned effectively. In Hackney, this is managed by Hackney Learning Trust (HLT), the Council’s education service. Since 2008 Hackney experienced significant and unprecedented growth in demand for reception places with very high rolls between 2014 and January 2016. This trend was replicated across the country and in London. In response, local authorities nationally created additional school places to cater for the increased demand. Furthermore, additional places were created by the government’s Academy and Free School programmes. Since 2016 however, a sudden fall in demand for reception places across London began to occur and has, in the main, continued to fall. The reason why rolls are falling is unclear, but it is thought to be a combination of changes to welfare benefits, rising rents and the possible effects of Brexit. Falling reception rolls has led to a significant number of surplus places in reception, year 1 and year 2 in the borough which has impacted on the efficient running and financial stability of some schools. HLT have implemented a School Place Planning Group (SPP) to monitor school rolls, school roll projections and the financial health of schools, taking steps, where appropriate, to implement school organisation changes across the borough in consultation with other council departments. At a later date, this plan will feed into the Council’s Capital Programme and Asset Management Strategy. This plan provides schools, governing bodies and the public with:

an overview of the educational provision on offer in Hackney

a summary of current pupil numbers and projected demand

the factors considered by Hackney Learning Trust when determining the need to increase or reduce school places

a summary of planned place reductions up until September 2020 This plan will be reviewed and updated annually with the latest school roll, projections and any further proposed changes to school organisation. Note: Hackney’s Childcare Sufficiency Audit is outlined fully in a separate document at: https://www.hackneyservicesforschools.co.uk/extranet/hackney-childcare-sufficiency-assessment A summary of the main issues in planning Early Years places is outlined in Appendix 1. Hackney’s duty to provide provision for pupils with Special Educational Needs and Disabilities (SEND) can be found at: https://www.hackneylocaloffer.co.uk/kb5/hackney/localoffer/advice.page?id=WaZA5W4YiPQ

https://www.hackneyservicesforschools.co.uk/extranet/hackney-childcare-sufficiency-assessment

https://www.hackneylocaloffer.co.uk/kb5/hackney/localoffer/advice.page?id=WaZA5W4YiPQ




2. Education provision in Hackney

The number and range of educational provision in Hackney is shown in table 1, 2 and 3 below.

Table 1. Educational provision

Nursery Schools (2)

Community 2

Primary (58 schools)

Community 38

Voluntary Aided 14

Free school 3

Academy 3

Secondary (16 schools)

Academy 8

Voluntary Aided 5

Community School 2

Free school 1

Special schools (3)

ASD - Autistic Spectrum Disorder and SLD - Severe Learning Difficulty - 4-19 yrs 1

SpLD - Specific Learning Difficulty, VI - Visual Impairment, OTH - Other Difficulty/Disability, HI - Hearing Impairment, SLCN - Speech, language and Communication, ASD - Autistic Spectrum Disorder, SEMH - Social, Emotional and Mental Health, MSI - Multi-Sensory Impairment, PD - Physical Disability, MLD - Moderate Learning Difficulty, SLD - Severe Learning Difficulty and PMLD - Profound and Multiple Learning Difficulty - 3-19 yrs 1

Complex and inter-related special needs - 11-17 yrs 1

Resourced maintained provision (5)

Autism 3

Language 2

PRU/Alternative Provision (2)

PRU (New Regents College) 1

AP Academy 1

Sixth Forms (11)

Sixth Forms (operational) 12

Colleges (2)

BSix Sixth Form College

New City College Hackney




In addition to the provision shown in the table above, there are a significant number of Independent schools (mainly Orthodox Jewish) in Hackney. Place planning for Independent schools is not undertaken by HLT. These schools sit outside the maintained sector.

Table 2. Nursery and Primary schools – Published admission numbers 2019/20 and 2020/21 School

Published Admission Number (PAN)

19/20 20/21

Comet Nursery School 60* 60*

Wentworth Nursery School 60* 60*

Baden Powell Primary School 30 30

Benthal Primary School 60 60

Berger Primary School 60 60

Betty Layward Primary School 60 60

Colvestone Primary School 30 30

Daubeney Primary School 90 90

De Beauvoir Primary School 30 30

Gainsborough Community Primary School 60 60

Gayhurst Community School 75 75

Grasmere Primary School 30 30

Grazebrook Primary School 60 60

Hackney New Primary School 50 50

Halley House School 30 30

Harrington Hill Primary School 60 60

Holmleigh Primary School 30 30

Holy Trinity CE Primary School 60 60

Hoxton Garden School 60 60

Jubilee School 60 60

Kingsmead Primary School 30 30

Lauriston Primary School 60 60

London Fields Primary School 60 60

Lubavitch Junior Boys School 30 30

Lubavitch Ruth Lunzer Girls’ Primary School 30 30

Mandeville Primary School 60 60

Millfields Community School 90 90

Morningside Primary School 60 60

Mossbourne Parkside Academy 60 60

Mossbourne Riverside Academy 90 90

Nightingale Primary School 30 30

Northwold Primary School 60 60




Table 2. Nursery and Primary schools – Published admission numbers 2019/20 and 2020/21 School

Published Admission Number (PAN)

19/20 20/21

Orchard Primary School 90 90

Our Lady & St. Joseph RC Primary School 30 30

Parkwood Primary School 30 30

Princess May Primary School 60 60

Queensbridge Primary School 60 60

Randal Cremer Primary School 60 60

Rushmore Primary School 60 60

Sebright School 60 60

Shacklewell Primary School 60 60

Shoreditch Park Primary School 60 60

Simon Marks Jewish Primary School 30 30

Sir Thomas Abney School 60 60

Southwold School 60 60

Springfield Community Primary School 30 30

St. Dominic’s Catholic Primary School 60 60

St. John & St. James CE Primary School 30 30

St. John of Jerusalem CE Primary School 30 30

St. John the Baptist CE Primary School 60 60

St. Mary’s CE Primary School 30 30

St. Matthias CE Primary School 30 30

St. Monica’s RC Primary School 30 30

St. Paul's with St. Michael's CE Primary School 30 30

St. Scholastica RC Primary School 30 30

The Olive School 90 90

Thomas Fairchild Community School 60 60

Tyssen Community Primary School 60 60

William Patten Primary School 60 60

Woodberry Down Community Primary School 90 90

Total Places 3035 3035

*full time equivalent places




From September 2019, Yesodey Hatorah Senior Girls’ School will no longer be part of the secondary

transfer process as pupils transfer in year 5.

19/20 20/21

Cardinal Pole Catholic School 180 180

City of London Academy Shoreditch Park 100 100

Clapton Girls' Academy 180 180

Hackney New School 100 100

Haggerston School 240 210

Lubavitch Senior Girls' School 30 30

Mossbourne Community Academy 216 216

Mossbourne Victoria Park Academy 168 168

Our Lady's High School 120 120

Skinners' Academy 180 180

Stoke Newington School 255 255

The Bridge Academy 180 180

The City Academy, Hackney 180 180

The Petchey Academy 180 180

The Urswick School 150 180

Yesodey Hatorah Senior Girls' School 0 0

Total Places 2459 2459

Table 3. Secondary schools –

Published admission numbers 2019/20

and 2020/21

School

Published

Admission

Number (PAN)




3. Primary Planning

Local authorities (LAs) have a statutory duty to ensure there is a sufficient supply of school places for pupils resident in their area. This document addresses the sufficiency of mainstream places. As noted in the introduction above, provision for pupils with Special Educational Needs & Disabilities (SEND), is addressed in a separate plan. A child is of "compulsory school age" on the 1st January, 1st April or 1st September following their 5th birthday. For example, children becoming 5 years old between 1st January and 31st March are of compulsory school age at the beginning of the term after 1st April. Pupils are required to be in full time education when they become of compulsory school age.

3.1 Primary census

In 2008, Hackney, like most other London boroughs, experienced a sudden and dramatic increase in the demand for reception places. In response to this unprecedented surge, HLT rolled out a primary expansion plan to ensure that it continued to meet its statutory duty to secure a sufficient number of school places for Hackney resident pupils. The expansion programmes saw the creation of 330 permanent primary places as well as a raft of bulge classes between 2009 and 2014. These additional places were created at the same time as the Department for Education (DfE) approved four new free schools/academies to open between 2013 and 2016; The Olive School, 90 places; Mossbourne Riverside Academy, 90 places; Halley House Free School, 60 places; and Hackney New Primary School, 50 places. These new schools created a further 290 unplanned reception places. Halley House has since reduced to 30 places each year. The number of primary pupils on roll in mainstream primary schools in Hackney between 2003 and 2019 is shown in Table 4 below. Table 4. Actual primary rolls between 2003 and 2019

Academic

Year

(January

census)

Rec Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6

No. of pupils

dropping off

between

Reception

and Year 6

% drop off

between

Reception and

Year 6

2002/03 2367 2422 2372 2330 2225 2142 2166

2003/04 2365 2344 2362 2300 2251 2117 2113

2004/05 2275 2379 2329 2318 2265 2235 2120

2005/06 2345 2293 2307 2280 2275 2236 2184

2006/07 2228 2305 2232 2259 2222 2209 2184

2007/08 2379 2212 2257 2205 2232 2161 2158

2008/09 2412 2397 2155 2229 2165 2186 2131 236 10.0

2009/10 2487 2409 2371 2114 2198 2133 2157 208 9.6

2010/11 2603 2483 2389 2347 2094 2185 2130 145 6.8

2011/12 2572 2618 2462 2366 2350 2090 2190 155 7.1

2012/13 2738 2633 2620 2476 2370 2352 2095 133 6.3

2013/14 2745 2818 2626 2608 2471 2368 2347 32 1.4

2014/15 2846 2725 2790 2605 2558 2468 2369 43 1.8

2015/16 2805 2803 2702 2745 2577 2545 2451 36 1.5

2016/17 2757 2778 2757 2643 2691 2548 2510 93 3.7

2017/18 2633 2736 2728 2713 2601 2650 2522 50 2.0

2018/19 2562 2612 2675 2680 2667 2569 2613 125 4.8




The table above shows that the number of reception children on roll (the second column) has fluctuated over the years, but saw a steady increase between 2013 and 2015 before decreasing. The rate of attrition (the number of children that leave) as the cohorts move through to the end of the primary phase can be seen by the diagonal coloured cells and the last two columns. In January 2019, there were 2562 reception pupils and 3035 reception places available giving rise to 473 surplus reception places (15.5%). It should be noted that the current number of surplus places does not take into account the decision to reduce reception places in some schools in 2019/20 and 2020/21, as described in the ‘falling rolls’ section below. This significant fall in reception numbers (a decrease of 284 pupils from 2015 to 2019) as shown in table 4 above, is not unique to Hackney. Many inner London local authorities are reporting fewer reception pupils each year, which is likely to be due to a combination of changes to welfare benefits, rising rents and the possible effects of Brexit. Furthermore, projections indicate that demand for reception places is not expected to increase in the short term to the level of reception places available. Falling rolls have also affected the early years phase - the most recent data (2018) shows that the total number of 3 year old children accessing provision in early years schools and settings has fallen from a total of 4211 to 4008 over three years (appendix 1).

In Hackney, the statutory duty to plan school places (for reception to year 11) is undertaken by the use of 14 planning areas, which are broadly based on Hackney’s electoral ward boundaries. The location and number of primary schools in each planning area is shown below. Table 5. Planning areas and Primary Schools

Planning

Area

Number Planning Area Name Number of Schools

PA1

Brownswood/Stamford Hill West/Woodberry Down (Holmleigh, Lubavitch Ruth Lunzer,

Lubavitch Junior Boys, Parkwood, Sir Thomas Abney, Woodberry Down) 6

PA2 Cazenove (Jubilee, Simon Marks, The Olive School, Tyssen) 4

PA3 Spingfield (Harrington Hill, Springfield) 2

PA4 Clissold (Betty Layward, Grasmere, St. Mary's, St. Matthias) 4

PA5 Stoke Newington (Grazebrook, William Patten) 2

PA6 Hackney Downs (Baden Powell, Benthal, Nightingale, Northwold, St. Scholastica) 5

PA7 Leabridge (Millfields, Rushmore, Southwold) 3

PA8 Dalston/Shacklewell (Colvestone, Halley House, Holy Trinity, Princess May, Shacklewell) 5

PA9 Hackney Central (Mossbourne Parkside) 1

PA10 Homerton (Berger, Morningside, St. John & St. James) 3

PA11

Kings Park/Hackney Wick (Daubeney, Gainsborough, Kingsmead, Mandeville,

Mossbourne Riverside, St. Dominic's) 6

PA12

De Beauvoir/Haggerston/Hoxton East & Shoreditch/Hoxton West (De Beauvoir, Hackney

New Primary, Hoxton Garden, Our Lady & St. Joseph, Randal Cremer, St. Monica's, St.

John the Baptist, Sebright, Shoreditch Park, Thomas Fairchild) 10

PA13 London Fields (Gayhurst, London Fields, Queensbridge, St. Paul's with St. Michael's) 4

PA14 Victoria (Lauriston, Orchard, St. John of Jerusalem) 3




Diagram 1 illustrates planning areas and the number of surplus reception places in each planning area using the January 2019 census (2018/19 academic year).

Diagram 1. Reception vacancies by Planning Area (based on January 2019 census)

The diagram above illustrates that Planning Area 3 (Springfield) at 43%, Planning Area 11 (Kings Park & Wick) at 35%, and Planning Area 12 (De Beauvoir, Hoxton East & Shoreditch, Haggerston, Hoxton West) at 29.2% are the areas with the highest level of surplus reception vacancies. A decision has been taken to reduce the Planned Admission Numbers (PANs) in all three of these planning areas – to be implemented in 2019 and 2020. This is outlined further in section 3.5 (Proposed School Organisation changes over the next 2 years).

PA1 270 places 220 filled/ (50 vac – 18.5%)

PA2 240 places 214 filled/ (26 vac – 11%)


PA6 210 places (159 filled/ 51 vac – 24%)




PA9 60 places 58 filled/ (2 vacancies – 3.3%)

PA12 530 places (375 filled/ 155 vac – 29.2%)

PA10 150 places 141 filled 9 (9 vac – 6%)


PA14 180 174 filled / (6 vac – 3.3%)


PA5 120 (zero vac)




3.2 Primary Planning and projections

School roll projections are commissioned by the Greater London Authority (GLA) to ensure that we plan future places effectively. Projections data takes into account a range of data such as population, birth, migration, fertility rates, GP registrations, housing data and school rolls. The model then predicts the number of children expected to require places at borough and ward level. Chart 1 below shows the last 5 sets of projections based on January and October censuses. Chart 1. Comparison between projections received between January 2017 and January 2019

The chart above illustrates that the January 2019 projections sit in the ‘middle’ of all previous projections over the last two years. However, these projections still represent a significant decrease in what was projected in January 20171.

1 The GLA’s ‘Medium migration’ scenario assumes that domestic migration rates start at recent (relatively high) levels

and fall to the long term average over a period of five years .




Table 6. GLA reception projections and places available (based on January 2019 census)

The table above shows the projected number of children based on the most recent census (January 2019) compared to the available number of places (both permanent and temporary). The projections indicate that there will be a general increase in projected pupil numbers over the next few years; an increase of 7 pupils in 2020, 45 fewer pupils in 2021, before increasing by 50 pupils in 2022. The last three columns show the projected number of reception places given the temporary and permanent reductions in some schools from 2019 and 2020. These reductions are described further in the next section below.

3.3 Falling rolls

Over the years, HLT has sought to maintain a reception place surplus rate of 5% to ensure that places are available for pupils who apply outside of the normal admission round. However, in recent years, the number of actual surplus reception places has significantly exceeded this acceptable level and as stated in section 3.1 (Primary census), currently stands at 473 surplus reception places or 15.5%. As shown in table 6 above, the number of reception surplus places is projected to continue to exceed the 5% surplus rate. Low school rolls can cause logistical, staffing and financial pressures for schools, affecting schools’ ability to plan effectively. For small schools (defined as primary schools with fewer than 210 pupils on roll and/or a measured capacity of less than 210 places, and secondary schools with relatively undersized rolls or Sixth Forms or both), the financial challenges are more acute as small schools do not benefit from economies of scale. Finding the right balance between providing an adequate number of surplus places and reducing the current high levels is challenging. However, HLT is taking steps to address this via the School Place Planning (SPP) Group; working with affected schools to assess how they can be supported during this period of significant change. It should be noted that the projected number of surplus reception places (the last column in Table 6 above), is reducing (when compared to the fifth column) and may, with further likely reductions, begin to fall to the 5% level of surplus places deemed appropriate.

Academic

Year

Reception

projections based

on Janaury 2019

census

Number of places

available based on

published PANS

Projected surplus

places

% surplus based

on PANS

Number of places

available based on

temporary reductions

Projected surplus

reception places

% surplus places based

on temporary

reductions

2019/20 2560 3035 475 15.7% 2930 370 12.6%

2020/21 2567 3035 468 15.4% 2930 363 12.4%

2021/22 2522 3035 513 16.9% 3035 513 16.9%

2022/23 2572 3035 463 15.3% 3035 463 15.3%

2023/24 2613 3035 422 13.9% 3035 422 13.9%

2024/25 2636 3035 399 13.1% 3035 399 13.1%

2025/26 2659 3035 376 12.4% 3035 376 12.4%

2026/27 2697 3035 338 11.1% 3035 338 11.1%

2027/28 2726 3035 309 10.2% 3035 309 10.2%

2028/29 2745 3035 290 9.6% 3035 290 9.6%




3.4 School organisation changes

The School Place Planning (SPP) Group is a cross directorate group which assesses and monitors place planning issues across all educational phases (see appendix 2 for terms of reference). When making decisions about School Organisation, the SPP Group is guided by HLT’s School Organisation Principles (appendix 3), and has regard to HLT’s School Organisation Matrix (summary scoring provided in appendix 4) and equalities impact assessment. The Local Authority (LA) must follow the DfE’s Statutory Guidance for making changes to LA maintained schools.2 Various approaches are available to local authorities when considering options for school organisation changes – these include reducing the Published Admission Number (PAN), school federations, amalgamations, re-configuring school buildings (e.g. to include specialist provision), and school closure3. The DfE’s process for opening and closing schools and for making significant changes to schools is outlined in appendices 5 and 5a.

3.5 Proposed School Organisation changes over the next 2 years

The following permanent PAN reductions will be made from 2019/20. The decision to reduce the PAN at Halley House was taken by Bellevue Academy Trust. Table 7. Permanent primary PAN reductions in 2019/20

School Current PAN New PAN from 2019

De Beauvoir 60 30

Harrington Hill 90 60

Gainsborough 90 60

Halley House 60 30

Total number of places permanently removed (120)

At the time of writing, the SPP Group has agreed (in consultation with schools), a number of ‘capped’ PAN reductions. Capping a school’s PAN is a temporary measure which seeks to alleviate some of the logistical and financial difficulties associated with low or falling rolls. However, capping is undertaken on the understanding that should there be a sudden influx of pupils that cannot be placed schools are expected to admit up to the published admission number if needed.

Table 8. Capped primary PANs in 2019/20 and 2020/21

School Capped PAN 2019/20 Capped PAN 2020/21

Gainsborough Primary School 30 (published PAN of 60) 30 (published PAN of 60)

Mandeville Primary School 45 (published PAN of 60) 45 (published PAN of 60)

Princess May Primary School 30 (published PAN of 60) 30 (published PAN of 60)

Thomas Fairchild 30 (published PAN of 60) 30 (published PAN of 60)

The Greater London Authority reports that it is too early to predict whether falling rolls will be sustained across London. HLT will, therefore, continue to exercise caution when making permanent changes to schools should the demand for reception places suddenly increase quickly, as it did in 2008. The SPP Group meets regularly to assess when and if steps should be taken to reduce surplus places further. At the time of writing there are no plans to close any schools in the borough.

2 https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/school-organisation-maintained-schools 3 The decision-maker on a school closure proposal (unless the closure proposal is ‘related’ to another proposal that is to be decided by

the Schools Adjudicator), is the LA. In Hackney this will be the Group Director for Children, Adults and Community Health, on the recommendation of the Director of Education, Hackney Learning Trust.

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/school-organisation-maintained-schools




4. Secondary Planning

4.1 Year 7 projections

Planning secondary places is achieved by comparing the number of Year 7 places with the number of children on roll in year 6. To do this, the number of out borough (OB) children in our schools is subtracted, before adding the estimated number of Hackney resident children in out borough schools. The final calculation looks at the number of out borough children that are likely to obtain places in our secondary schools and the number of Hackney residents that are likely to obtain places in out borough secondary schools in order to derive a ‘final’ projected figure. Secondary projections are based on providing places for 86% of the secondary transfer cohort which is broadly in line with the number of parents that express a first a preference for Hackney schools. There is no division of secondary schools by planning area when planning secondary places, as secondary aged pupils are expected to travel further than primary aged pupils to attend school. Table 9. Secondary projections based on October 2019 census

Note: The blue shaded area from September 2027 indicates GLA projections based on medium levels of migration. These projections do not take into account attrition rates between Reception and Year 6 which range from 2-5% each year.

The table above shows secondary projections based on October 2019 primary census data. Although a shortfall of places (-39 and -34) is projected in 2021 and 2022 respectively, the final column shows that with a planned bulge class and over allocations (the natural movement of pupils before they start school in September), there will be a sufficient number of Year 7 secondary places. Over allocation (an informal arrangement which provides a safeguard for schools ensuring that as pupils leave, or do not start, the final number on October census day or shortly afterwards is in line with the Published Admission Number (PAN)), creates approximately 70 additional secondary places each year. HLT continues to analyse each release of primary rolls as noted and GLA projections to determine the likely effect on future secondary places.

Year Group No. of pupils

on roll

October 2019

census

Year

transferring to

secondary

school

No. of pupils

projected to

require Year 7

places (86% of

Hackney

residents +

approx. 324 out

borough pupils)

Number of

Year 7 places

available

Year 7 place shortfall

(shown in red) or

surplus (shown in

black). ( Based on the

number of places

available)

Year 7

shortfall by

forms of

entry (30

pupils per

class)

Surplus places

following Year 7

over allocations/

bulge classes (approx. +70 places

each year)

Year 6 2534 Sep-20 2457 2459 2 0 72

Year 5 2635 Sep-21 2548 2509 -39 -1 31

Year 4 2663 Sep-22 2543 2509 -34 -1 36

Year 3 2625 Sep-23 2514 2509 -5 0 65

Year 2 2589 Sep-24 2457 2509 52 0 122

Year 1 2530 Sep-25 2442 2509 67 0 137

Reception 2593 Sep-26 2476 2509 33 0 103

1 year before reception 2726 Sep-27 2518 2509 -9 0 61

2 years before reception 2745 Sep-28 2533 2509 -24 -1 46







5. Post 16 Planning

5.1 Post 16 provision

There are a range of different options for post-16 study in Hackney: schools with sixth forms, the B6 Sixth Form College and the New City College Hackney campus. Neighbouring boroughs and colleges that are linked with specialist qualifications, such as ADA college and The London Screen Academy, provide high quality courses leading to a range of qualifications which further broaden the opportunities available to our students. The most recent census data indicates that sixth form numbers are relatively stable in a very competitive environment. The number of sixth form pupils on roll in Hackney schools is shown below, along with the target admission number. As of January 2019, there are 540 vacant sixth form places. Schools have very different admissions targets depending on the context, the size of the year 11 cohort and the percentage of the year 11 cohort eligible for the sixth form. Up to now only two schools with the largest sixth forms attract a significant sixth form enrolment from out borough schools. All schools except for one now offer a vocational Level 3 programme. Only one school offers a Level 2 vocational programme which is offered only for their vulnerable year 11 students. There are a number of small sixth forms which may not be financially sustainable long term. There is some partnership work developing to mitigate against this. Schools even with small sixth form numbers see it as very important to have a sixth form for a range of reasons, including attracting year 7 pupils and for staff recruitment and retention.




Table 10. Sixth form roll and admission number (January 2019)

Name of School Year 12 Year 13 6th form Admission (2018)

The Bridge Academy 110 107 250

Cardinal Pole Catholic School 68 68 189

The City Academy, Hackney 103 98 240

City of London Academy Shoreditch Park 0 0 0

Clapton Girls’ Academy 154 105 285

Hackney New School 0 0 0

Haggerston School 49 40 89

Lubavitch House School (Senior Girls) 22 1 46

Mossbourne Community Academy 140 139 400

Mossbourne Victoria Park Academy 0 0 0

Our Lady's Catholic High School 84 68 145

The Petchey Academy 90 52 240

Skinners’ Academy 78 59 250

Stoke Newington School & Sixth Form 184 172 365

The Urswick School 54 40 126

Yesodey Hatorah School 0 0 0

Total Pupils 1136 949 2625

Mossbourne Victoria Park will not open a sixth form on the Victoria Park Road site. Pupils wishing to stay on in the sixth form will attend the Downs Park Road site. At the time of writing, Hackney New School has decided to defer the planned 2019 opening of its planned sixth form provision. Further sixth form places are planned at The City of London Academy Shoreditch Park from 2022.

Table 11. Travel into and out of each borough in the region- 16-18 year olds (May 2018 LCCIS data)

Borough Import Export Remain in borough

Resident Cohort

BARKING & DAGENHAM 1939 2563 3014 5577

BARNET 3207 3496 4599 8095

BEXLEY 1655 2466 3015 5481

BRENT 1231 4908 3291 8199

BROMLEY 2126 1404 4855 6259

CAMDEN 3155 1652 1561 3213

CITY OF LONDON 279 34 8 42

EALING 1186 4306 3483 7789

ENFIELD 1559 3977 4525 8502

GREENWICH 1529 2796 2724 5520




Borough Import Export Remain in borough

Resident Cohort

HACKNEY 1595 2595 2750 5345

HAMMERSMITH & FULHAM 2261 1279 1442 2721

HARINGEY 1527 3218 2208 5426

HARROW 2491 2436 3063 5499

HAVERING 1740 1661 3851 5512

HILLINGDON 2799 2385 4612 6997

HOUNSLOW 1804 2749 3305 6054

ISLINGTON 3892 1802 1562 3364

KENSINGTON & CHELSEA 1785 913 532 1445

KINGSTON-UPON-THAMES 2451 1252 1778 3030

LAMBETH 1088 3559 1930 5489

LEWISHAM 2067 3537 2471 6008

MERTON 795 2586 1304 3890

NEWHAM 1924 3653 4934 8587

REDBRIDGE 1549 2946 4365 7311

RICHMOND-UPON-THAMES 1591 1686 2637 4205

SOUTHWARK 634 3550 1712 5262

SUTTON 1090 1568 2637 4205

TOWER HAMLETS 799 1775 3787 5562

WALTHAM FOREST 3203 2541 3349 5890

WANDSWORTH 2678 1780 2160 3940

WESTMINSTER 4959 1270 1346 2616

Highlighted in yellow top ten importer/exporters.

The above data is derived from 16-18 year old young people, confirmed in this academic year as studying at FE College, 6th form college, school sixth form, an ISP, or repeating year 11. It does not include expired records.

5.2 Where are our students going – How do we track them?

The post 16 destinations of our students are tracked via the September Guarantee process, linked to a statutory reporting timetable. An annual Travel to Study report for young people resident in Hackney, is produced along with activity surveys for each school every year in the Spring Term. The table below shows the amalgamation of this information, at borough level, relating to Year 11 leavers from Hackney schools. According to the 2018 activity survey the vast majority of our year 11 students go onto further study with the majority taking A levels (1368) in a wide range of institutions.




Table 12. Post 16 destinations 2018

Post-Compulsory Education

Barking & Dagenham Barking and Dagenham College

Barnsley Barnsley College

Barnet Ashmole Academy

Barnet & Southgate College (Wood Street Campus)

Hendon School

King Alfred School

Woodhouse College (Sixth Form)

Bromley London South East Colleges - Bromley College

Camden

Camden School for Girls

La Swap Consortium

North Bridge House Senior School

The UCL Academy

Westminster Kingsway College - King's Cross (WKC)

Croydon The BRIT School of Performing Arts

Ealing Jewish Seminary

Enfield Barnet & Southgate College (Southgate Campus)

Capel Manor College (FE)

CONEL College Enfield

The Latymer School (Enfield)

Lea Valley High School

Nightingale Academy (Enfield)

Essex Anglo European School

Epping Forest College

Harlow College

Shenfield High School

Hackney Access Creative College

BSix Brooke House Sixth Form College (B6)

Cardinal Pole Catholic School

Clapton Girls' Academy

Hackney New School

Ickburgh School

Lubavitch Senior Girls’ School

Mossbourne Community Academy

New City College - Hackney Community College Campus (HCC)




Our Lady's High School

Stoke Newington School and Sixth Form

The City Academy, Hackney

The Petchey Academy

Skinners' Academy

Stormont House School

Hampshire Winchester College (Independent School)

Haringey Ada National College for Digital Skills

Alexandra Park School

CONEL College Haringey

Fortismere School

Haringey Sixth Form Centre

London Academy of Excellence Tottenham

St Thomas More RC School

Harrow Harrow College

Havering Havering Sixth Form College

Hertfordshire Barnet & Southgate College (Borehamwood Campus)

Hertford Regional College

Hillingdon Uxbridge College

Hounslow West Thames College

Islington City and Islington College (CIC) (CANDI)

St Aloysius College

St Mary Magdalene Academy

The Bridge Integrated Learning Space

Tech City College (was STEM Sixth Form Academy)

Kensington & Chelsea Latimer AP Academy

St Charles Catholic Sixth Form College

The Cardinal Vaughan Memorial RC School (CVMS)

Kingston-Upon-Thames Kingston College (South Thames Colleges Group)

Kent North Kent College

Newham Access To Music London

Brampton Manor Academy

Newham FE College

Lambeth King's College London Maths School

Lambeth College




Lewisham Christ The King 6th Form College (CTK)

LeSoCo - Lewisham Way Campus

Medway Mid Kent College

Newham Access To Music London

Chobham Academy

London Design & Engineering UTC

Newham FE College

Newham Sixth Form College (NewVIc)

Quwwatt Ul Islam Girls School

Redbridge Ilford County High School

Trinity Catholic High School Redbridge

Valentines High School

Richmond-upon-Thames Richmond-upon-Thames College (RuTC)

Slough East Berkshire College

Southwark City of London Academy (SWK)

Table 13. Qualifications taken by post 16 students

Post-Compulsory Education

FE College or School GCE A or AS or A2 level

NVQ Level 3 or equivalent/ BTEC National (Level 3)

NVQ Level 2 or equivalent/ BTEC First (Level 2)

NVQ Level 1 or equivalent/ BTEC Introductory (Level 1)

GCSE Course

FE College Accounting and Finance

Administration and Customer Service

Animal Care and Veterinary Services and Equine

Arts, Fine Arts, Crafts and Design

Business Management

Construction, Building Services and Crafts

Dramatic Arts

Early Years and Play work

Engineering and Manufacturing Technologies

English for Speakers of Other Languages (ESOL)

Hairdressing and Beauty Therapy

Health, Medicine and Dentistry

IT and Electronic Services

Media, Publishing and Communication

Motor Vehicle and Transportation




Social Care and Counselling

Specific Academic Courses

Sport, Leisure and Recreation

School Year 12 - sixth form

Life Skills / Supported Learning




Sixth Form College (Sixth Form only)

Business Management

Dance and Music

Dramatic Arts

Early Years and Play work

English for Speakers of Other Languages (ESOL)

Fashion

Health, Medicine and Dentistry


Social Care and Counselling



Travel and Tourism

Employment - with no Training

Retailing and Wholesaling

Employment - with Training

Apprenticeship - Intermediate/Level 2

Animal Care and Veterinary Services and Equine and Customer Service

Construction, Building Services and Crafts

Hairdressing and Beauty Therapy


Employment with ACCREDITED


Training Re-engagement Provision

Employability Training




6. Conclusion

All local authorities have a statutory duty ensure a sufficient number of school places. This plan outlines the current provision across educational phases and the projected demand for further places. Due to falling rolls, a trend observed across many London boroughs, Hackney is experiencing a fall in demand for Early Years and Key Stage 1 and 2 places, with an anticipated knock on effect for secondary places. As a result, there is currently a high number of surplus reception places which affects the planning of resourcing by some schools. The School Place Planning Group, in consultation with schools, has decided to permanently reduce the Published Admission Number (PAN) in September 2019 at the following schools:

De Beauvoir

Gainsborough

Harrington Hill Bellevue Place Education Trust has also decided to permanently reduce the PAN at Halley House from September 2019. In addition, temporary ‘capped’ reductions will be made in 2019/20 at:

Gainsborough

Mandeville

Princess May

Thomas Fairchild In 2021, a further temporary ‘capped’ reduction will again be made at Mandeville. Current projections indicate that there is no immediate demand for a new secondary school in Hackney, as earlier projections had indicated. Plans for a new secondary school have therefore been paused indefinitely. However, this will be kept under review. It is too early to predict whether low rolls will continue in Hackney and across London. Hackney Learning Trust’s School Place Planning Group will continue to oversee School Organisation issues, monitoring each new release of school rolls and projections throughout the year to assess how schools can continue to be supported during this period of fluctuating demand for school places. The School Place Planning Group will also keep under review current vacant educational sites for future SEND provision. This document will be a reference source for decision making and the strategic planning of school places, i.e. increasing or decreasing provision, and will be updated annually.




Appendices:

1. Early Years

2. School Place Planning Group - Terms of Reference

3. HLT’s School Organisation Principles

4. HLT’s School Organisation Matrix

5. Statutory guidance that must be followed for opening & closing a maintained school

5a Statutory Process: prescribed alternations




Appendix 1 – Early Years

Hackney Learning Trust provides provision for children aged under five by cluster areas. The clusters emerged out of the 7 Sure Start Local Programme areas in 2004, predicated on geographical areas and communities rather than solid ward boundaries which presented some barriers. The clusters are used for multi-agency planning areas which groups children’s centres and health partners into networks for planning and service delivery purposes. The City and Hackney Clinical Commissioning Group (CCG) are currently developing an 8 neighbourhood model as their planning areas aligned to GP practices. Hackney children’s centre clusters are shown below. Provision by Cluster 2018 – Child Population based on local super output area (LSOA) data. Note: PVI – Private Voluntary Initiative

Cluster A 4224 children under 5 Number of settings: 2 children’s centres 11 schools 18 PVI Settings

37 Childminders

Cluster B 5127 children under 5 Number of settings: 4 children’s centres 6 schools 41 PVI Settings 23 Childminders

Cluster C 3566 children under 5 Number of settings: 3 children’s centres (2 with childcare) 10 schools 19 PVIs 30 Childminders

Cluster E 2766 children under 5 Number of settings: 4 children’s centres (2 with childcare) 12 schools 15 PVIs 36 Childminders

Cluster F 3074 children under 5 Number of settings: 3 children’s centres 7 schools 7 PVIs 20 Childminders

Cluster D 3121 children under 5 Number of settings: 5 children’s centres 9 schools 10 PVIs 33 Childminders




Children under 5 There are 20,081 children aged 0-5 years in the borough (source: GP registrations, January 2018). Table 1. Breakdown of 0-5 year olds in Hackney

Age Number of children

Age 0 3868

Age 1 4218

Age 2 4161

Age 3 3993

Age 4 3841

Total 20,081

Three year old free entitlement Three year olds can access 15 hours of free early education in nursery classes in maintained schools, children’s centres, private, voluntary or independent (PVI), nursery provision or with childminders. The data below does not include information on numbers of children accessing free entitlement with childminders. The total number of children accessing provision in schools and settings has fallen from a total of 4211 to 4008 over three years. This is a decrease of 203 children. Between 2016 and 2018, there was a decrease of 246 attending schools, 6 children attending non faith PVI settings, while in independent schools in the same period there was an increase of 49 children. It is unclear how much impact the additional 15 hours (30 hour places) have had on the childcare market. However, those settings providing year round childcare and wrap around provision may be more attractive to working parents already accessing childcare than taking up a term-time nursery class place in a school. Chart 1. The total number of children accessing 15 hours free entitlement funding

The percentage of children attending maintained schools has fallen from 54% of the total to 50%, while the percentage of children attending PVIs (both faith and non- faith) has risen. Early Years funding headcount data shows there to be significant numbers of children accessing Independent School places in Hackney from the London borough of Haringey.

1098

794

2253

1174

784

4211

2098

1162

839

4099

2007

1168

833

4008

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

Schools PVI OJ Total

Three year olds in schools, PVIs and Independent settings 2015-18

2015 2016 2017 2018




Overall there is a net gain with more children accessing from outside Hackney than Hackney children using non-Hackney provision.

Chart 2. Three year olds accessing free 15 hrs entitlement according to type of provision

The number of children attending non faith settings by cluster area shows a steady year on year fall in Area F where in 2018 only 108 three years olds accessing the free 15 hour entitlement. Area C has seen the number of children attending PVI settings increase over two years, this corresponds with a growth in the child population; area B has also seen an increase between 2017 and 2018. Area A and B have by far the largest number of children accessing a childcare place overall. Chart 3. Three year olds accessing free 15 hrs entitlement PVI settings according to cluster area

54%

28%

19%

51%

28%

20%

50%

29%

21%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

School% PVI% OJ %

Three year olds attending Schools and Settings

2016 2017 2018

198186

221

154

191

148

199

224

203

169

240

139

216

166

217205

238

120

188

212

256

182

222

108

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

A B C D E F

Number of 3 Year olds in PVIs by Cluster

2015 2016 2017 2018




Chart 3 above shows that the vast majority of independent schools are in Area B (there is only one school in Area A). The number of children accessing early education with independent providers has remained relatively static over the previous four years only increasing by 39. Four year old free entitlement

Most four year olds attend reception classes in maintained schools however 15 hours of early education is universally available until the end of the term in which a child becomes 5 years old. Independent schools therefore, largely serving the Orthodox Community, continue to offer this to families. The number of four year olds accessing the free entitlement has increased over the previous two years. An increase in the number of children for whom Early Years Foundation Stage Profile data is submitted also reflects the trend although it must be stated that the EYFSP dataset is not a reliable source to establish trends as only pupils for whom data is collected are from those in receipt of EY funding in the summer term i.e. approx. a third of the total cohort. Chart 4. The number of 4 year olds accessing 15 hours free entitlement (not yet in Reception)

There has been a gradual fall in reception rolls since 2016. Whilst an increase in roll on the current trend is projected for 2020, numbers are not expected to increase to the same level as that reached in 2016 until 2030. The percentage of children attending maintained schools has fallen from 54% of the total to 50%, while the percentage of children attending PVIs (both maintained and Independent), has risen. Settings providing year round childcare and wrap around provision may be more attractive to working parents already accessing childcare instead of taking up a term-time school nursery class place. The number of children accessing early education with Independent providers has remained relatively static over the previous four years only increasing by 39 children. Further considerations for Early Years

The take up of free entitlement with childminders is not reflected in these datasets, though numbers will be negligible. The take up of free entitlement by eligible two year olds is not universally available therefore is not reflected.

910

897

940

961

860

880

900

920

940

960

980

2015 2016 2017 2018

The number of 4 year old children accessing 15 hours




The impact of the 30 hours is not yet fully understood, though it is clear that the most disadvantaged and vulnerable children are unlikely to be eligible for 30 hours. Whilst there is sufficient childcare capacity to meet current demand and changing policy, the current demand appears to be in the Independent providers. This is reflected by 9 ‘faith’ childminders who have been registered over the last three years, an increase of 100%.




Appendix 2 - School Place Planning Group - Terms of reference

The purpose of the School Place Planning (SPP) Group is to develop a cross directorate place planning strategy in light of falling reception rolls. The specific aims of the group is to assess place planning issues across all phases, and will include the following: School Place Planning:

To assess the current level of school places in the borough in light of falling reception rolls through regular monitoring of surplus or deficit places

To assess and monitor the financial health/viability of schools that are receiving applications below their Published Admission Number (PAN), implementing safeguards where possible/appropriate

To review the educational estate with a view to streamlining the number of surplus places

To develop a coherent school organisation strategy which is regularly monitored to ensure that it is ‘future proof’ should a sudden increase in reception applications be received

To submit recommendations arising from the SPP Group to the Hackney Learning Trust’s Senior Leadership Team for a final decision

To communicate the decisions of the SPP Group to Hackney Council via the Hackney Management Team (HMT) or the Directorate of Children’s Services Management Team (DCSMT)

To publish the School Organisation Plan (SOP) on HLT’s website annually.

Post 16

To monitor the size of sixth forms including places taken up by Hackney and out borough residents

To maintain an overview of the range of qualifications offered against demand

To monitor the number/proportion of post 16 SEND young people

To keep under review the range and breadth of student destinations

Special Educational Needs and Disabilities (SEND)

To assess the current level and quality of SEND places/provision in the borough against demand by types of need

To assess and monitor the financial health/viability of schools and settings with SEND provision

To review the educational estate with a view to ensuring value for money

To develop a coherent SEND sufficiency strategy which is regularly monitored and aligned to mainstream provision to ensure that likely future demand can be accommodated

To communicate the decisions of the working group to other interested stakeholder groups e.g. SEND Partnership Board, Capital Grant Project Group

Early Years

To assess the current level and quality of Early Years (EY) places/provision in the borough against demand by types of need

To monitor the sufficiency, trends and take up of childcare places across the borough

To monitor and plan for EY places at risk of closure

To communicate the decisions of the working group to other interested stakeholder groups e.g. 0-5’s Oversight Group.




Appendix 3 – Hackney Learning Trust’s School Organisation Principles

School changes

1. HLT will support viable expansions of

popular and successful schools in line with

Department for Education (DfE) policy

wherever possible.

2. In planning for changes to school

organisation such as expansion,

amalgamation, federation and closure, HLT

will take into account the factors set out in

HLT’s School Organisation Matrix, which

includes and weights the following factors:

a. school popularity (number of first

preferences), as defined by parental

preference through the admissions and

appeals process as well as other means

that might be used, for example local

knowledge;

b. the number of surplus places in reception

and across all year groups - HLT

recognises the educational value of as

many schools as possible being

maintained at a full or nearly full level. To

this end HLT will determine a target level

of surplus places in each planning area,

expected to be around 5%, but which may

be adjusted to take account of particular

local circumstances and provision in

neighbouring planning areas;

c. Ofsted rating;

d. building issues (disposal only under the

strictest of circumstances, rationalisation

of the estate/places net capacity,

suitability, condition, the cost of remedial

works, re-build);

e. the school’s budget/balance;

f. other factors, such as the school’s

resilience to withstand significant change

(e.g. a newly appointed

Headteacher/Principal, the school is part

of SRAS).

3. HLT values the diversity offered by

denominational provision and recognises the

role of the voluntary, independent and

academy sectors in providing school places.

4. Generally, HLT believes primary education

should be provided within a mixed

environment.

Quality and diversity

HLT will seek to ensure that

sufficient attractive high-quality

state-funded school provision is

available within the borough to meet

the needs of all children aged 5-16.

School size and configuration

1. HLT will look at the implications of

early years provision when bringing

school organisation proposals

2. HLT will set arrangements for primary

schools which admit at least 30 and no

more than 90 pupils per year, in order

to maintain educational standards.

3. HLT will positively support

arrangements for schools with

admissions numbers in multiples of 30.

Where this is not possible preference

will be given to arrangements with

admission numbers in multiples of 15.

HLT will attach priority to amending

other arrangements in these directions.

4. HLT will generally support

arrangements for “all through” 4-11

primary schools rather than separate

infant and junior arrangements.

Location

HLT will aim to provide school places within

a 2 mile walking distance for children aged

between 5 years and 7 years and 3 miles

for children who are 8 years and above, in

line with DfE guidelines.

HLT will aim to avoid large geographical gaps in provision.




HLT’s Senior Leadership Team have endorsed the School Organisation Principles outlined above to aid decision making for school organisation proposals.

School budgets/finances

HLT will consult with schools prior to the

implementation of any changes to funding

of maintained schools. The funding will be

allocated in line with the Operational

Guidance, School Funding Regulations and

sanctioned by Schools Forum.

The Early Years National Funding Formula

implemented in April 2017 provides

protected transitional sustainability funding

for maintained nursery schools until March

2020, The ending of the transitional income

will impact on future sustainability of

nursery schools.

Education property

HLT will seek to ensure that school premises are

well maintained, fit for purpose and meet all

relevant national standards for space and health

and safety.




Appendix 4 – Hackney Learning Trust’s School Organisation Matrix The school organisation matrix outlines Hackney schools’ health in areas the following areas:

School rolls

Over/undersubscription

Application preferences

School vacancies

Ofsted rating

School finances The above factors are plotted and scored on a matrix. Other issues such as the condition of the school building and school location are also noted. A summary of the scoring system is detailed below. Table 1. Matrix scoring system

Criteria Score range

% of Reception or Year 7 Vacancies

0-13 % = 5 14-27% = 4 28-41% = 3 42-55% = 2 55% + = 1

Ofsted rating Outstanding = 3 Good = 2 Requires improvement = 1

% of Vacancies in (Rec-Year 6), or (Year 7-11)

0-15% = 3 16-30% = 2 31% + = 1

School balance 15% + surplus = 5 Under 15% surplus = 4 Over 8% surplus = 3 Less than 8% = 2 Deficit = 1

Each school is scored against each of the factors noted above and a total score generated. Schools which attain high totals (e.g. 14) are indicative of an overall ‘healthier’ position than those with lower total scores (e.g. 6).




Appendix 5 – Statutory guidance that must be followed for opening and closing a maintained school.

Source: Opening and closing maintained schools - Statutory guidance for proposers and decision-makers November 2018




Appendix 5a – Statutory process: prescribed alterations The statutory process for making prescribed alterations to schools has four stages:

Stage Description Timescale Comments

Stage 1 Publication (statutory proposal/notice)

Stage 2 Representation (formal consultation)

Must be 4 weeks As set out in the ‘Prescribed Alterations’ regulations

Stage 3 Decision LA should decide a proposal within 2 months otherwise it will fall to the Schools Adjudicator

Any appeal to the adjudicator must be made within 4 weeks of the decision

Stage 4 Implementation No prescribed timescale It must be as specified in the published statutory notice, subject to any modifications agreed by the decision-maker

Source: Making significant changes (‘prescribed alterations’) to maintained schools- Statutory guidance for proposers and decision-makers October 2018

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