seattle - avenuehq...commercial real estate, real estate investment and relocation managementis the...

12
coldwellbankerbain.com SEATTLE SEATTLE 2019 MARKET REPORT

Upload: others

Post on 17-Oct-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: SEATTLE - AvenueHQ...commercial real estate, real estate investment and relocation managementis the — ... that 2020 will show a return to rising home prices as a result of the lack

coldwellbankerbain.com

SEATTLESEATTLE 2 0 1 9 M A R K E T R E P O R T

Page 2: SEATTLE - AvenueHQ...commercial real estate, real estate investment and relocation managementis the — ... that 2020 will show a return to rising home prices as a result of the lack

Helping people buy and sell homes in the Pacific Northwest since

1972, Coldwell Banker Bain is an undisputed market leader, posting

nearly $6 billion in sales in 2019. With 30 offices and more than

1,300 brokers in Washington and Oregon, plus a global reach that

extends to 92,000 brokers in 44 countries, we’re not only one of

the largest Coldwell Banker affiliates in the world, we’re also the

most accomplished real estate company in the Northwest.

Our commitment to knowledge, expertise and market insights consistently undergirds our

reputation for excellence and service. An emphasis on global access in the luxury realm,

combined with the power, reach and recognition of the Coldwell Banker brand, allows

us to outsell and outperform our rivals, as we elevate the standard for marketing premier

properties in the Puget Sound are and the Pacific Northwest.

As important to us as business success— we also provide services in property management,

commercial real estate, real estate investment and relocation management— is the

understanding that real estate is more than just a transaction; it’s a key part of building

safe, happy and prosperous lives for our clients, our brokers and their families.

Page 3: SEATTLE - AvenueHQ...commercial real estate, real estate investment and relocation managementis the — ... that 2020 will show a return to rising home prices as a result of the lack

2019 ANNUAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST MARKET REPORT 3

COLDWELL BANKER BAIN PRESIDENT & COOMIKE GRADY

2019 ANN

UAL REPORT

Reflecting on the 2019 numbers and the interesting

turn of the market in the fourth quarter, Mike

Grady, Coldwell Banker Bain president and COO,

said, “As we closed out the year, 2019 turned out to

be quite different than we had expected. We expected

that because the double-digit appreciation of home

prices had modified in May 2018, more sellers would

proceed with selling their existing homes in 2019.

This, of course, would have resulted in more inventory,

stabilizing prices even more while increasing units

sold. Had this transpired, 2019 would have resulted in

increased volume as a result of more units and slightly

higher average sales prices than in 2018.

However, that didn’t happen. Instead, the ‘aberration’

we saw in November continued… so perhaps it’s not

an aberration after all and we may be returning to the

‘old normal.’ December of 2019 proved to be better

than December of 2018 in just about every single

category – this notwithstanding weather that was not

as mild as last year, and weather typically has an impact

on sales. Yet we see again that the number of pending

transactions outpaced the number of listings taken

along with an increased appreciation. With inventory

in King County below one month, we can only surmise

that 2020 will show a return to rising home prices as

a result of the lack of inventory and continued robust

job market. So, while buyers continue to benefit from

low interest rates, there are simply not enough homes

for sale and the market, once again, is leaning more

strongly toward sellers. These predictors indicate that

the first quarter of 2020 will be active.”

Page 4: SEATTLE - AvenueHQ...commercial real estate, real estate investment and relocation managementis the — ... that 2020 will show a return to rising home prices as a result of the lack

4 2019 ANNUAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST MARKET REPORT

John Deely, Principal Managing Broker of Lake Union

and Madison Park, said, “The average sold price, in the

selected Seattle areas, was down from the previous

year, due primarily to the increase in inventory during the

first three quarters of the year. In the last quarter of the

year, however, buyer demand was high and inventory

dropped rapidly. The number of sold properties was up

over 11% from the previous year.

Condos were flat in terms of the number of properties

sold as average prices slid 6.2% for the year. All

categories had an increase in the time it took to sell, with

condos seeing the largest increase of any category. It

took over 45 days, on average, to sell a condo.

Luxury listings, representing properties priced over $2

million, decreased more than 10% in 2019. Overall

inventory in this category dropped rapidly at the end

of the year due to high buyer demand and seasonal

reduction in supply. Cash buyers were plentiful

in this category and included both local and

international buyers.

PRINCIPAL MANAGING BROKER OF LAKE UNION & MADISON PARKJOHN DEELY

2019 ANN

UAL REPORT

Page 5: SEATTLE - AvenueHQ...commercial real estate, real estate investment and relocation managementis the — ... that 2020 will show a return to rising home prices as a result of the lack

TOTAL SALES CLOSED

5248

2019 ANNUAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST MARKET REPORT 5

29

33

52

36

36

31

37

42

31

45

79

70

Ballard & Green Lake

Capitol Hill

Madison Park

Magnolia NE SeattleSeattle Central

S. Lake Union & Queen Anne

West Seattle

Condos Waterfront Luxury

NUMBER OF SALES CLOSED

SEATTLE AREABALLARD & GREEN LAKE / CAPITOL HILL / MADISON PARK / MAGNOLIA / NE SEATTLE / SEATTLE CENTRAL / SOUTH LAKE UNION & QUEEN ANNE / WEST SEATTLE

Madison Park

Capitol Hill

NE Seattle

Magnolia

Seattle Area

Seattle Central

West Seattle

S. Lake Union & Queen Anne

Ballard & Green Lake

Condos

Waterfront (SF Only)

Luxury ($2+M | SF+C)

$500K $1M $1.5M $2M $2.5M $3M

$986K

$859K

$1.261M

$1.547M

$941K

$1.163M

$907K

$1.248M

$867K

$513K

$1.687M

$2.858M

AVERAGE SOLD PRICE (NEAREST $000) AVERAGE DOM

SINGLE FAMILY (SF), CONDO, WATERFRONT & LUXURY

500

400

300

200

100

0

1694 1263

350

300168

85

226725

363 385

1588

Ballard & Green Lake

Capitol Hill

Madison Park

Magnolia NE Seattle Seattle Central

S. Lake Union & Queen Anne

West Seattle

Condos Waterfront Luxury

INVENTORY IN UNITS / 12.31.2019

68-41.9%

TOTAL SEATTLE INVENTORY / 330 -32.2%

17-50.0%

26-13.3%

20-48.7%

74-22.1%

75-3.8%

24-55.6%

26-35.0%

173-27.9%

17-37.0%

42-27.6%

Page 6: SEATTLE - AvenueHQ...commercial real estate, real estate investment and relocation managementis the — ... that 2020 will show a return to rising home prices as a result of the lack

6 2019 ANNUAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST MARKET REPORT

TO

TAL

SE

AT

TL

E A

RE

AC

on

do

s

$986KAVERAGE SOLD PRICE

DOWN -4.00% from 2018

2019 2018 CHANGE

TOTAL HOMES SOLD 5248 4715 +11.3%

AVERAGE SOLD PRICE $986,000 $1,027,000 -4.00%

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET 33 20 +65.0%

SOLD/LIST PRICE% 98% 101% -3%

$513KAVERAGE SOLD PRICE

DOWN -6.20% from 2018

2019 2018 CHANGE

TOTAL HOMES SOLD 1588 1590 -0.10%

AVERAGE SOLD PRICE $513,000 $547,000 -6.20%

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET 45 20 +125%

SOLD/LIST PRICE% 97% 101% -4%

SEATTLE AREA

Page 7: SEATTLE - AvenueHQ...commercial real estate, real estate investment and relocation managementis the — ... that 2020 will show a return to rising home prices as a result of the lack

2019 ANNUAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST MARKET REPORT 7

WA

TE

RF

RO

NT

LU

XU

RY

$1.687MAVERAGE SOLD PRICE

DOWN -24.2% from 2018

2019 2018 CHANGE

TOTAL HOMES SOLD 85 64 +32.8%

AVERAGE SOLD PRICE $1,687,000 $2,226,000 -24.2%

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET 79 61 +29.5%

SOLD/LIST PRICE% 91% 96% -5%

$2.858MAVERAGE SOLD PRICE

DOWN -0.20% from 2018

2019 2018 CHANGE

TOTAL HOMES SOLD 226 252 -10.3%

AVERAGE SOLD PRICE $2,858,000 $2,864,000 -0.20%

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET 70 53 +32.1%

SOLD/LIST PRICE% 94% 96% -2%

SEATTLE AREA

Page 8: SEATTLE - AvenueHQ...commercial real estate, real estate investment and relocation managementis the — ... that 2020 will show a return to rising home prices as a result of the lack

8 2019 ANNUAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST MARKET REPORT

SEATTLE AREA

BA

LL

AR

D/G

RE

EN

LA

KE

CA

PIT

OL

HIL

L

$859KAVERAGE SOLD PRICE

DOWN -4.40% from 2018

2019 2018 CHANGE

TOTAL HOMES SOLD 1694 1408 +20.3%

AVERAGE SOLD PRICE $859,000 $899,000 -4.40%

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET 29 14 +107%

SOLD/LIST PRICE% 99% 103% -4%

$1.261MAVERAGE SOLD PRICE

DOWN -9.60% from 2018

2019 2018 CHANGE

TOTAL HOMES SOLD 168 153 +9.80%

AVERAGE SOLD PRICE $1,261,000 $1,395,000 -9.60%

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET 52 32 +62.5%

SOLD/LIST PRICE% 95% 96% -1%

Page 9: SEATTLE - AvenueHQ...commercial real estate, real estate investment and relocation managementis the — ... that 2020 will show a return to rising home prices as a result of the lack

2019 ANNUAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST MARKET REPORT 9

SEATTLE AREAM

AD

ISO

N P

AR

KM

AG

NO

LIA

$1.547MAVERAGE SOLD PRICE

DOWN -1.00% from 2018

2019 2018 CHANGE

TOTAL HOMES SOLD 300 279 +7.50%

AVERAGE SOLD PRICE $1,547,000 $1,563,000 -1.00%

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET 36 24 +50.0%

SOLD/LIST PRICE% 97% 100% -3%

$1.163MAVERAGE SOLD PRICE

DOWN -5.10% from 2018

2019 2018 CHANGE

TOTAL HOMES SOLD 350 328 +6.70%

AVERAGE SOLD PRICE $1,163,000 $1,226,000 -5.10%

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET 36 30 +20.0%

SOLD/LIST PRICE% 97% 99% -2%

Page 10: SEATTLE - AvenueHQ...commercial real estate, real estate investment and relocation managementis the — ... that 2020 will show a return to rising home prices as a result of the lack

10 2019 ANNUAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST MARKET REPORT

NE

SE

AT

TL

ES

EA

TT

LE

CE

NT

RA

L

$941KAVERAGE SOLD PRICE

DOWN -3.40% from 2018

2019 2018 CHANGE

TOTAL HOMES SOLD 1263 1213 +4.10%

AVERAGE SOLD PRICE $941,000 $974,000 -3.40%

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET 31 18 +72.2%

SOLD/LIST PRICE% 98% 102% -4%

$907KAVERAGE SOLD PRICE

DOWN -2.70% from 2018

2019 2018 CHANGE

TOTAL HOMES SOLD 725 671 +8.00%

AVERAGE SOLD PRICE $907,000 $932,000 -2.70%

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET 37 22 +68.2%

SOLD/LIST PRICE% 97% 101% -4%

SEATTLE AREA

Page 11: SEATTLE - AvenueHQ...commercial real estate, real estate investment and relocation managementis the — ... that 2020 will show a return to rising home prices as a result of the lack

2019 ANNUAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST MARKET REPORT 11

S. L

ak

e u

nio

n/q

ue

en

an

ne

we

st sea

ttle

$1.248MAVERAGE SOLD PRICE

DOWN -1.90% from 2018

2019 2018 CHANGE

TOTAL HOMES SOLD 363 330 +10.0%

AVERAGE SOLD PRICE $1,248,000 $1,272,000 -1.90%

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET 42 27 +55.6%

SOLD/LIST PRICE% 96% 99% -3%

$867KAVERAGE SOLD PRICE

DOWN -2.80% from 2018

2019 2018 CHANGE

TOTAL HOMES SOLD 385 332 +16.0%

AVERAGE SOLD PRICE $867,000 $892,000 -2.80%

AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET 31 23 +34.8%

SOLD/LIST PRICE% 98% 100% -2%

SEATTLE AREA

Page 12: SEATTLE - AvenueHQ...commercial real estate, real estate investment and relocation managementis the — ... that 2020 will show a return to rising home prices as a result of the lack

*Information and statistics derived by CB Bain from the Northwest Multiple Listing Service (NWMLS),

Regional Multiple Listing Service (RMLS) and the Multiple Listing Service of Central Oregon (MLSCO) each

quarter. Statistics not compiled or published by the NWMLS, RMLS or MLSCO.