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1 Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004 Speakers: Henry Meyer Jeff Weeden

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Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004. Speakers: Henry Meyer Jeff Weeden. PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT DISCLOSURE. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

1

Second Quarter 2004 Review

July 16, 2004Speakers: Henry Meyer Jeff Weeden

Page 2: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

2

PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT DISCLOSURE

The conference call and discussion, including related questions and answers, and presentation materials, contain forward-looking statements about issues like anticipated third quarter and full-year 2004 earnings, anticipated level of net loan charge-offs and nonperforming assets and anticipated improvement in profitability and competitiveness. Forward-looking statements by their nature are subject to assumptions, risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from those contained in or implied by such forward-looking statements for a variety of factors including: changes in interest rates; failure of the economy to continue to recover, which could materially impact credit quality trends and the ability to generate loans; failure of the capital markets to function consistent with customary levels; delay in or inability to execute strategic initiatives designed to grow revenues and/or manage expenses; consummation of significant business combinations or divestitures; new legal obligations or restrictions or unfavorable resolution of litigation; further disruption in the economy or the general business climate as a result of terrorist activities or military actions; and changes in accounting, tax or regulatory practices or requirements.

Page 3: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

3

Strategic Overview

Strengthened management team

Announced acquisitions

Improved asset quality

Increased commercial loan activity

Page 4: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

4

Financial Summary – 2Q04

EPS of $0.58

Net interest margin down 17 bps vs. 1Q04

Noninterest income up $15 million vs. 1Q04

NPLs down $133 million vs. 1Q04

Repurchased 6.0 million shares

Page 5: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

5

Net Interest Income

$658$685$693$690

$710

3.85%3.73% 3.78% 3.74%

3.57%

$200

$400

$600

$800

2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

$0

$25,000

$50,000

$75,000

2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

Net Interest Income (TE)Net Interest Margin (TE)

Net Interest Income (TE) Average Earning Assets

InvestmentsConsumer LoansCommercial Loans

$73,934 $73,623 $73,113 $73,381 $73,874

$ in millions

Page 6: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

6

Total Revenue (TE)$ in

millions

$1,104$1,116$1,159$1,153$1,144

$1,100$1,170$1,154$1,169

$1,145$1,144$1,150 $1,117$1,184

1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01 1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

Net Interest Inc. Noninterest Inc.

695 719 730 726 702 721 722 724 703 710 690 693 685658

455 398 454 418 443 448 432 446 397 434 463 466 431446

Page 7: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

7

Noninterest Expense$ in millions

$679$698

$858

$683 $702$661 $665 $659 $668 $657

$688 $698$699$659

1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01 1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

PersonnelNon-Personnel

364 345 334 335 363 361 358 354 363 371 380 379 373371

334 513 349 367 298 304 301 314 294 317 319 319 286308

Page 8: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

8

Asset Quality

Net C/O to Average Loans

Nonperforming Loans

to EOP Loans

Nonperforming Assets to EOP Loans + OREO

Allowance to Total Loans to Nonperforming Loans

$ in millions

2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

$ 141 .90%

$ 837 1.32%

$ 897 1.42%

$1,405 2.22% 168%

$ 123 .77%

$ 795 1.27%

$ 862 1.37%

$1,405 2.24% 177%

$ 123 .78%

$ 694 1.11%

$ 753 1.20%

$1,406 2.24% 203%

$ 111 .71%

$ 587 .94%

$ 670 1.07%

$1,306 2.09% 222%

$ 104 .67%

$ 454 .71%

$ 540 .84%

$1,276 1.99% 281%

Page 9: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

9

Capital

2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

Tang. Equity/Tang. Assets 6.90% 6.94% 6.94% 6.98%6.64%

Tier 1 Risk-Based Capital 7.94% 8.23% 8.35% 8.10%7.73% *

Cash dividends paid $ .305 $ .305 $ .305 $ .31 $ .31 (per share)

Shares Repurchased 3.0 2.5 4.0 8.0 6.0 (millions)* Estimated

Page 10: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

10

Stable net interest margin

Modest loan/earning assets growth

Improving climate for fee-based businesses

Improving asset quality

Continued cost discipline

EPS Range: 3Q04 $0.57 to $0.61

2004 F.Y. $2.35 to $2.45

2004 Outlook

Page 11: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

11

Appendix

Page 12: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

12

Money Market Fixed Income Equity

$74.4$71.4

$68.7$65.0$63.3$60.8$61.7$62.4

$70.7$72.4$72.7$70.2 $69.4 $70.0

1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01 1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

Assets Under Management $ in billions

22.0 23.2 21.2 20.0 19.4 20.7 19.4 18.4 19.1 19.3 18.9 19.5 19.3 19.014.7 15.3 16.9 16.9 18.5 18.9 17.6 16.1 16.3 17.1 17.3 17.4 18.2 18.734.7 35.9 32.1 35.8 34.5 31.1 25.4 27.2 25.4 26.9 28.8 31.8 31.9 32.3

Page 13: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

13

Net Interest Margin (TE)

3.57%

3.99%

3.77% 3.74%3.78%3.73%

3.63%

3.85%

3.98%3.93%

3.98%

3.85%3.86%

3.98%

3.69%

3.00%

3.25%

3.50%

3.75%

4.00%

4.25%

4.50%

1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01 1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

KEY Peer Median S&P Regional & Diversified Bank Indices

Page 14: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

14

Net Charge-Offs to Average Loans

1.37%1.32%

1.27%

1.16% 1.18%

1.04%

0.90%

0.77% 0.78%0.71%

0.67%

1.04%1.02%

0.66%

0.37%

0.00%

0.30%

0.60%

0.90%

1.20%

1.50%

1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01 1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

KEY Peer Median S&P Regional & Diversified Bank Indices

Page 15: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

15

Net Charge-Offs to Average Loansby Loan Type

0.59%

0.88%

0.55%

0.83%

1.08%0.97%1.00%

0.75%0.84%

0.73%0.83%

0.74%

1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

ConsumerCommercial

1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

Page 16: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

16

Allowance to Total Loans

1.99%1.85%

2.37%

2.09%2.24%2.24%

1.49%

1.82%

2.65%2.51%

2.41%

2.22%2.27%2.32%

1.39%

0.00%

0.50%

1.00%

1.50%

2.00%

2.50%

3.00%

1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01 1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

KEY Peer Median S&P Regional & Diversified Bank Indices

Page 17: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

17

281%

161%165%151%

168%177%

203%

222%

157%154%

184%

133%

154%140%

262%

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

300%

1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01 1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

Allowance to NPL

KEY Peer Median S&P Regional & Diversified Bank Indices

Page 18: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

18

NPAs to Loans and OREO

0.84%

1.42%

1.61%1.58%

1.37%

1.20%

1.07%

1.54%1.59%

1.23%

1.41%1.49%

1.10%

1.56%

0.64%

0.00%

0.40%

0.80%

1.20%

1.60%

2.00%

1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01 1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

KEY Peer Median S&P Regional & Diversified Bank Indices

Page 19: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

19

$37.1 $36.5 $36.4 $36.5 $36.5 $36.4 $36.1 $36.3 $37.3 11 % 24.0 24.6 24.3 24.7 25.2 25.7 25.7 26.0 25.5 (7)%

2.0 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 NM0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 – NM

$63.5$63.9 $63.1$62.8$62.6$63.1$63.0$62.8$62.7

2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

Average Loans$ in billions

% change *2Q04 vs. 1Q04

* Annualized

CommercialConsumer

AutoCommercial

Exit Portfolios

Page 20: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

20

46.3%47.7%

50.1% 49.6%

42.1%

39.8%38.9%38.6%

44.4%45.7%

44.4%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

4Q01 1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

Corporate Banking – Utilization

Page 21: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

21

$ in billions

Average Core Deposit Growth

* Annualized

$39.2$40.4 $41.3 $42.2 $42.8 $42.6 $43.4

$37.0 $37.2

2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

Now/MMDA$13.2 $13.3 $15.1 $16.8 $17.7 $18.4$18.8 $18.9 $19.8 19% Savings 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 ( 2) CD’s 13.1 12.7 12.2 11.8 11.4 11.111.0 11.0 10.6 (13) DDA 8.7 9.2 9.9 9.8 10.1 10.6 10.9 10.7 11.0 13

TOTAL $37.0$37.2$39.2 $40.4 $41.3 $42.2 $42.8 $42.6 $43.4 8%

% change *2Q04 vs. 1Q04

Page 22: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

22

Strong Dividend Record

$1.24$1.22$1.20$1.18$1.12

$1.04

$0.94

$0.64$0.72 $0.76

$0.84

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004T

Dividend increased 39 consecutive years

Page 23: Second Quarter 2004 Review July 16, 2004

23

Tangible Equity to Tangible Assets

6.64%

6.25%

6.69% 6.94% 6.98%6.90%

6.51%

6.94%6.71%6.73%6.71%

6.57%6.29%6.29% 6.78%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01 1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04

KEY Peer Median S&P Regional & Diversified Bank Indices