second quarter earnings release - union pacific...2005 2006 third quarter dollars per gallon $2.15...
TRANSCRIPT
Second Quarter Earnings ReleaseSecond Quarter Earnings Release
Jim Young, President & CEO
July 20, 2006
2
Second Quarter Results
2005
$0.88
Diluted Earnings per Share Operating IncomeIn Millions
2006
$1.44+64%
2005
$468
2006
$717+53%
3
Second Quarter Highlights
• Record Volumes
– 7-day carloading record of 201,467
– May: Highest carloading month ever of 857,429 carloads
• Record Revenue
– Operating revenue of $3.9 B
• Operating Ratio Improvement of 4.3 pts
– Best operating ratio since 4th quarter 2003
Second Quarter Earnings ReleaseSecond Quarter Earnings Release
Jim Young, President & CEO
July 20, 2006
Second Quarter Financial ReviewSecond Quarter Financial Review
Rob Knight, CFO
July 20, 2006
6
Income Statement SummarySecond Quarter – In Millions
Operating Revenues $3,923 $3,344 +17%
Operating ExpensesSalaries and Benefits 1,140 1,075 + 6Fuel and Utilities 794 597 +33Equipment and Other Rents 371 340 + 9Depreciation 308 292 + 5Materials and Supplies 178 128 +39Purchased Services and Other 415 444 - 7
Total Operating Expenses 3,206 2,876 +11
Operating Income $ 717 $ 468 +53
2006 2005 Pct Chg
7
Commodity Revenue GrowthSecond Quarter - In Millions
2005 2006
$3,196
+4.8%
$3,742
+6.5%
Volume& Mix
Yield FuelRecovery
+5.8%
+17.1%
8
Salaries & BenefitsSecond Quarter – In Millions
$1,075
2005 2006
$1,140+ $65
Change
• Improved Productivity
• Wage Inflation & Volume Costs
Full Year Outlook
• 2.5% Workforce Increase~~
9
Fuel & UtilitiesSecond Quarter
Second Quarter Fuel PriceDollars Per Gallon
20062005Third QuarterDollars per Gallon
$2.15
$1.67
2006 Est.2005
$1.88
• Fuel Surcharge Lag Hurts Recovery
– Q1 recovery = 92%
– Q2 recovery = 80%
• Q2 Earnings Impact $0.13/DilutedShare
• Q3 Earnings Impact Expected$2.20-$2.40
~~
10
Equipment & Other RentsSecond Quarter – In Millions
$340
2005 2006
$371+ $31
Change
• Volume Related Costs
• Locomotive Lease Expense
• Productivity
– Improved car cycle times
11
ExpensesSecond Quarter – In Millions
$444
2005 2006
$415- $29
Change
Purchased Services & Other
Materials & Supplies
$128
$178+ $50
2005 2006Change
Category Cost Shift
• More In House Maintenance
• Less Contract Cost
Materials & Supplies
• Inflation
• Increased Maintenance
Purchased Services & Other
• Lower Joint Facility Costs
• Additional Reimbursable Work
12
Operating Ratio Trend
90.1%
Q12005
Q22005
Q32005
Q42005
Q12006
Q22006
86.0% 86.1%85.3%
83.7%
81.7%
13
Full Income StatementSecond Quarter – In Millions
($ Millions Except EPS)
Operating Revenues $ 3,923 $ 3,344 +17%
Operating Expenses 3,206 2,876 +11
Operating Income 717 468 +53
Other Income – Net 29 29 Flat
Interest Expense (120 ) (128) - 6
Income Before Income Taxes 626 369 +70
Income Tax Expense (236 ) (136) +74
Net Income $ 390 $ 233 +67
Diluted EPS $ 1.44 $ 0.88 +64
2006 2005 Pct Chg
14
2006 Capital OutlookIn Millions
Long-Term Operating Leases
2005
$2,860
$2,169
Cash Capital & Capital Leases
$2,800
2006Estimate
$2,300
15
Cash From OperationsSix Months Ended June 30 – In Millions
$1,233
$1,137
2005 200620042003
$950
$1,057
16
Balance Sheet StrengthLeased Adjusted Debt to Capital
2002 2003 2004
45.1%43.6%
51.7%
44.8%
2005
41.2%
June2006
* See Union Pacific web site under Investor Relations for a reconciliation to GAAP.
Prior year percentages are shown as of December 31.
Second Quarter Financial ReviewSecond Quarter Financial Review
Rob Knight, CFO
July 20, 2006
Second Quarter Marketing & Sales ReviewSecond Quarter Marketing & Sales Review
July 20, 2006
Jack Koraleski, Executive VP – Marketing & Sales
19
Second Quarter Overview
• Revenue
– Record Quarter In All Six BusinessGroups
• Average Revenue Per Car
– Record Quarter In Agricultural,Energy, Industrial and Intermodal
– Record Second Quarter inChemicals
• Year-over-Year ImprovementIn Customer Satisfaction
5%
11%
17%
20
Energy
Second Quarter
• $732 MM Revenue: +16%
• Volume: +9%
• Average Revenue Per Car: +6%
Quarterly Highlights
• All-Time Record SPRB Tonnage
• CO/UT Volumes Declined 7% Dueto Continued Mine Interruptions
CO/UT25%
SPRB68%
Other7%
Revenue Mix
21
Intermodal
Second Quarter
• $694 MM Revenue: +16%
• Volume: +7%
• Average Revenue Per Unit: +9%
Quarterly Highlights
• Continued Strength In ImportsPushed International Volume PastLast Year’s Peak Level
• Domestic Volume Down Slightly
International57%
Domestic36%
Premium7%
Revenue Mix
22
Automotive
Second Quarter
• $390 MM Revenue: +18%
• Volume: +7%
• Average Revenue Per Car: +11%
Quarterly Highlights
• Finished Vehicle ShipmentsContinued Strong
• Parts Growth Driven By NewBusiness
AutoParts19%
FinishedVehicles
81%
Revenue Mix
23
Other Commodity Highlights
• Agricultural Products GrowthDriven by Ethanol, DDG andCottonseed
• Continued Softer Demand forExport Potash, Offset by StrongPetroleum Products Shipments
• Strong Commercial ConstructionDemand, But Slowdown inLumber & Panel Products
• Intentional Shedding of Low-Margin Business
24
Customer Satisfaction IndexGood
60
70
63
69
6667
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2005 2006
25
Commodity Outlook
Third Quarter Outlook
• Volume Up 5%
• Revenue Up 17%
Full-Year Outlook
• Volume Up 5%
• Revenue Up 16% to 17%
17%
Q22006
Q12006
2005200420032002
Average Revenue per Car
Carloads
Commodity Revenue Growth
18%
11%
6%
4%
3%
Second Quarter Operating ReviewSecond Quarter Operating Review
Dennis Duffy, Executive VP - Operations
July 20, 2006
27
Safety - Incidents & ReportablesSix Months Ended June 30
2.79
4.39
2005 2006
4.17
Employee Rail EquipmentPer Million Train Miles
2004
4.59
2005 20062004
3.29
Per 200,000 Work Hours
2.96
1.61 1.771.80
15.79
18.51 17.91
Incidents Reportables
Good Good
28
184,734
194,281
2005 2006
21.2
Average 7-Day Carloadings AAR VelocityMPHUnits
21.2
2005 2006
Service UpdateSecond Quarter Velocity
GoodGood
29
ProductivitySecond Quarter
Carloadings Per Average Freight Car Inventory*
7.5
7.7
2005 200620042003
7.3
7.6
* UP Methodology
Good
30
Freight Train MilesPer Mile of Road
ProductivitySecond Quarter
Gross Ton-Miles Per EmployeeIn Thousands Good
5,191
5,327
2005 20062004
5,385
10.710.5
2005 20062004
11.4
Freight Car UtilizationDays Good
1,219
1,263
2005 20062004
1,172
Fuel Consumption RateGallons per Thousand GTMs
1.29 1.27
2005 20062004
1.33Good
Good
31
Unified PlanSecond Quarter
• Network Simplification
• More Point-to-Point Trains
• Streamlined SouthernRegion Traffic Flows
• Regional Re-alignment
23.5
28.5
2005 2006
Work Event & Switch RatePer Thousand Carloads*
88
81
2005 2006
Industry Spot / PullPercentage
Good
Good
17%
1,336
1,463
2005 2006
9%
* Excludes Energy Carloads
32
Coal Productivity & ServiceSecond Quarter
Average Trains Per DaySouthern Powder River Basin
Good
35.0
31.2
2005 2006
Coal Cycle PerformanceIndex
2005 2006
Good
92.4
89.7
33
LosAngeles
Intermodal Service ImprovementPeak Season 2005 vs. Spring 2006
Memphis
Transit Time
% o
f D
eli
ve
rie
s
Transit Time
% o
f D
eli
ve
rie
s
LA to Memphis Premium Offering
LA to Memphis Standard Offering
Good
Good
Spring 2006
Peak 2005
Dallas
Houston
Chicago
KansasCity
NewOrleans
SanAntonio
Phoenix
Tucson ElPaso
34
CapitalSecond Quarter Highlights
South & West
• Sunset Double Track
– 11 miles cutover
• LA Basin Improvements
• Siding Addition between LAand Las Vegas
Midwest
• 3rd Main on SPRB Joint Line
• Iowa CTC Cutover
Gulf Coast
• San Antonio TerminalImprovements
Equipment
• 104 of 200 RoadLocomotives Delivered
Houston
Las Vegas
LosAngeles
Ft.Worth
Tucson
SanAntonio
El Paso
Chicago
Salt LakeCity
NorthPlatte
35
Third Quarter OutlookPeak Season Operations
• Record Volumes
• Fully Resourced
• Increasing Productivity
• Improving Service Reliability
• Safety
Second Quarter Earnings ReleaseSecond Quarter Earnings Release
Jim Young, President & CEO
July 20, 2006
37
2006 Outlook
$450Free Cash Flow* (after Dividends, in Millions)
$2,800Total Capital (in Millions)
$5.50 to $5.60$1.40 to $1.50Diluted Earnings Per Share
4+ pts4 to 5 ptsOperating Ratio Improvement
16% to 17%17%Commodity Revenue Growth
Full YearThird Quarter
* See Union Pacific web site under Investor Relations for a reconciliation to GAAP.
Second Quarter Earnings ReleaseSecond Quarter Earnings Release
Jim Young, President & CEO
July 20, 2006
Cautionary InformationThis presentation and related materials may contain statements about the Corporation’s future that are not statements of historical fact. These statements
are, or will be, forward-looking statements as defined by the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Forward-looking statements
include, without limitation, information or statements regarding: expectations as to continued or increasing demand for rail transportation services;
expectations regarding operational improvements, including the effectiveness of network management initiatives that have been or will be implemented to
improve system velocity, productivity, customer service and shareholder returns; expectations as to increased returns, cost savings, revenue growth and
earnings; expectations regarding fuel price; the time by which certain objectives will be achieved, including expected improvements in velocity, operating
efficiencies and implementation of network management initiatives; estimates of costs relating to environmental remediation and restoration; proposed new
products and services; expectations that claims, lawsuits, environmental costs, commitments, contingent liabilities, labor negotiations or agreements, or
other matters will not have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial position, results of operations or liquidity; and statements concerning
projections, predictions, expectations, estimates or forecasts as to the Corporation’s and its subsidiaries’ business, financial and operational results, and
future economic performance; and statements of management’s beliefs, expectations, goals and objectives and other similar expressions concerning
matters that are not historical facts.
Forward-looking statements should not be read as a guarantee of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of the
times that, or by which, such performance or results will be achieved. Forward-looking information, including expectations as to operational, service and
network fluidity improvements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual performance or results to differ materially from those expressed
in the statements.
Important factors that could affect the Corporation’s and its subsidiaries’ future results and could cause those results or other outcomes to differ materially
from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: whether the Corporation and its subsidiaries are fully
successful in implementing their financial and operational initiatives, including those plans and management initiatives to improve system velocity and
network performance or otherwise improve operations; the impact of ongoing track maintenance and restoration work being performed in the Southern
Powder River Basin of Wyoming; the outcome of claims and litigation, including those related to environmental contamination, personal injuries, and
occupational illnesses arising from hearing loss, repetitive motion and exposure to asbestos and diesel fumes; legislative and regulatory developments,
including possible enactment of initiatives to re-regulate the rail industry; the impact of a rail accident involving the release of hazardous materials; natural
events such as severe weather, fire, floods, hurricanes and earthquakes; changes in fuel prices; changes in labor costs, labor stoppages, and the
availability of qualified personnel required for our operations; industry competition, conditions, performance and consolidation; legislative, regulatory and
legal developments involving taxation, including enactment of new federal or state income tax rates, revisions of controlling authority and the outcome of tax
claims and litigation; changes in securities and capital markets; the effects of adverse general economic conditions, both within the United States and
globally; any adverse economic or operational repercussions from terrorist activities and any governmental response thereto; and war or risk of war. More
information regarding risk factors is available in the Corporation’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2005, which was filed with the SEC on February 24,
2006. The Corporation updates information regarding risk factors if circumstances require such updates in its periodic reports on Form 10-Q (or such other
reports that may be filed with the SEC).
Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date the statements were made. The Corporation assumes no obligation to update forward-looking
information to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in other factors affecting forward-looking information. If the Corporation does
update one or more forward-looking statements, no inference should be drawn that the Corporation will make additional updates with respect thereto or with
respect to other forward-looking statements. References to our website are provided for convenience and, therefore, information on the website is not, and
should not be construed to be, incorporated by reference herein.