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    Presentation Assessment

    Subject: Securities Regulation

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    Topic Question

    Will a central counterparty (CCP) clearing system, for

    certain classes of over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives,

    reduce systemic risk in the financial system?

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    Thesis Statement

    A CCP clearing system for certain classes of OTC derivative

    will provide certain benefits. However, in isolation, a CCP will

    not reduce the overall level of systemic risk in the financial

    system.

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    What are OTC Derivatives?

    A derivative is a contract whose value is derived from

    something else such as the price of a share or

    commodity, a certain benchmark interest rate, or even

    the occurrence of a specified event such as a default.

    OTC Derivatives are not traded on exchanges, instead

    they are negotiated privately between financial

    institutions on behalf of their clients and for themselves.

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    What is a CCP?

    Currently most OTC derivative trades are bilateral. This is

    the plate of spaghetti model that can create an

    extremely complex web of interconnected counterparty

    relations.

    The idea behind a CCP is to reduce complexity by

    creating a hub and spoke structure whereby an entity

    sits in between the counterparties and assumes their

    obligations. When trades are cleared through a CCP

    each party is liable only to the CCP.

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    (Source: Council of Financial Regulators Discussion Paper, Central Clearing of OTC Derivatives in Australia, figure 2)

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    (Source: Council of Financial Regulators Discussion Paper, Central Clearing of OTC Derivatives in Australia, figure 2)

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    What is Systemic Risk?

    The possibility that one financial institution becomes unable

    to to meet its contractual obligations triggering a domino

    effect of failures as one financial institution after another

    goes bust. In such a scenario the continuing viability of the

    current financial system comes under question.

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    Legal Context

    Pittsburgh 2009 - G20 Group of Nations commitments

    Intention of preventing a repeat of the GFC

    Moving towards a system of CCP clearing for OTC derivatives wasone of these commitments, based on the belief that it would

    reduce systemic risk.

    In response to G20 commitments Australia amends Corporations

    Act 2001 (Cth) in 2012

    ASIC given the power to make derivative transaction rules that

    require certain classes of derivatives to meet stipulated clearing

    requirements (s 901A)

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    CCP Inability to Clear all OTC Derivatives

    Only standardised OTC derivatives will require CCP clearing.

    However, many are complex and individualised and thus

    likely to fall outside any clearing requirements

    Market participants may avoid CCP clearing requirements

    via the alteration of standard contracts or regulatory

    arbitrage.

    Consequently, risk management benefits of a CCP will not

    extend to those contracts it does not clear even though

    they pose similar or possibly greater risks of loss to financial

    institutions and contribute significantly to systemic risk.

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    Duplication of Industry Practice

    A CCP will implement collateralisation requirements

    Such requirements are already in place and would largely

    be a duplication of current industry practice as set out by

    the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA)

    Thus the impact on reducing systemic risk would likely be

    minimal

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    Concentration of Risk

    A CCP will not reduce overall risk it will only alter its form.

    Risk will be centralised into the CCP instead of it being

    dispersed among a network of institutions

    To reduce systemic risk institutions must be able to fail

    without bringing down others with them, however a CCP

    would itself be the ultimate Too Big to Fail (TBF) institution

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    Risk Management Issues

    The nature of a CCPs role in assuming counterparty

    obligations means it could fail during market

    disturbances.

    OTC derivative contracts can be illiquid and difficult toprice and this is especially so during stressed market

    conditions

    The use of quantitative models based on historical data

    to used to measure risk and thus set margin and

    collateral requirements can be misleading as was

    demonstrated during the GFC.

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    Risk Management Issues

    Using mark-to-market margin calls can fuel market

    crashes as participants are forced to liquidate positions.

    This creates a negative feedback loop and increases the

    risk of a financial institution defaulting

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    Inability to Address Other factors

    Regulation of securities of OTC derivatives through a

    mechanism such as a CCP cannot address the other

    factors which play a role in creating systemic Risk.

    Such factors include leverage in the banking system and

    incentive structures within the financial sector which

    encourage risk taking.

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    Conclusion

    A CCP clearing system for certain classes of OTC derivative

    trades will provide certain benefits. However, in relation to

    systemic risk in the financial system it will not reduce its overall

    level.