see public agenda survey january-february 2002 organized by international idea and seeds network...
TRANSCRIPT
SEE Public Agenda SurveyJanuary-February 2002
Organized by International IDEA and SEEDS Network
Main findings of the MACEDONIA quantitative survey
14 March 2002
GENERAL ISSUES
3 SMMRI
Right direction of the countryRight direction of the country
1820.4
15.6 16.3
19.9
16.618.8
15.6
21.9
16.218.7 19.7
18.3 17.9 18.1 18.9
15.1 16.4 15.5
20.4
16.3
30
10.8
27.8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
4 SMMRI
The three most important issues The three most important issues for the populationfor the population
8.5
10.7
10.7
11.2
22
23.2
31.7
40.1
41.2
69.6
Legal system
My country's acceptance into EUand/or NATO
Jobs for our children
Drug and alcohol abuse
Stability of the state
Crime
Ethnic conflicts
Corruption
Poverty
Unemployment
5 SMMRI
Unemployment Unemployment
69.663.9
75.470 71.1 70.1
65.769.9 69.1 68.4
59.4
71.876.6 73.6
68.3 68 69.2 66.1 67.972.4 72.6
61.257.3
90.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
6 SMMRI
PovertyPoverty
41.236.3
46.1
36.742.2
37.7
50.7
41.4 40.8 43.2
29.4
39.8
48 46.443.8
37.6
30.335.9 37.2
46.442.4
26.6
51.7
64.9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
7 SMMRI
CorruptionCorruption
40.1
45.7
34.438.3
42.1 42.7
3640.6 39.2
41.6 41.344.4
34.7
26.6
40
46.4
54.851.4
37.6 36.741.7
38.5
31 31.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
8 SMMRI
Personal FearsPersonal Fears(What do you fear the most in the present?)(What do you fear the most in the present?)
6.9
7.6
13.2
45.1
Unstabile stateand society
Unemployment
Poverty,hunger
War
9 SMMRI
War War
45.1
35.2
55.1
41.546.4
43.5
50.3
4446.9
43.546.6
54.5
39.5
54.7
40
48.2
31.1 30.4
48.1 49.744.9 46.8 47.2
19.4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
10 SMMRI
Poverty, hungerPoverty, hunger
13.214.7
11.8
9.4
15.1
17.3
10.5
13.612.6
8.6
11.2 11.1
21.1
15.5 14.9
11.1
8.19.5 10.1
17.1
14.6
7.4
10.8
16.9
0
5
10
15
20
25
11 SMMRI
UnemploymentUnemployment
7.6 7.97.3
8.37.7
6.2
8.2
6.1
10.1
6.4
10.1
6.3
8.1 7.7 87.4
6.4
11
7.26.3 6.7
12.3
8
00
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
12 SMMRI
Unstabile state and societyUnstabile state and society
6.97.6
6.27
7.9
5
7.5 7.8
5.4
8.1
5.1
6.8 7
3.2
6.2
9.610.7 10.4
8.4
4.3
7.4
3.2
7.9
16.8
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
13 SMMRI
Opinion on pace of transition to market Opinion on pace of transition to market economyeconomy
Too fast23%
Too slow56%
It is right17%
Don’t know/NA
4%
14 SMMRI
Opinion on pace of transition to market economyOpinion on pace of transition to market economy- - Too fastToo fast
22.9 21.724
17.9
25.9 26.8
20.2
26
17.719.7
22.120.4
28.6
16
25.5 24.9 24.7
30.1
22.519.8
26.2
8.8
18.9
23.3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
15 SMMRI
Opinion on pace of transition to market economyOpinion on pace of transition to market economy- - Too slowToo slow
55.9 57.754.1 56.3 57.4 57.5
50.7 52.4
61.6
52.2
60.8 60.5
53.558.4
51.3
57.561
53.5 54.757.9
53.5
64.659.9
64.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
16 SMMRI
Opinion on pace of transition to market economyOpinion on pace of transition to market economy- - It is rightIt is right
17 16.417.6
21.1
13.6 14.1
20.4
17.2 16.6
23
12.5
15.414.5
20 19.7
14.4
8.210.3
19.418.3
16.4
21.2
15.3
12.5
0
5
10
15
20
25
ECONOMIC ISSUES
18 SMMRI
Personal economic situation: Personal economic situation: worse and better than one year agoworse and better than one year ago
Somewhat better
8%
Much worse25%
Somewhat worse29%
Much better2%
The same36%
19 SMMRI
Personal economic situation: Personal economic situation: worse and better than one year agoworse and better than one year ago
9.2
10.6
7.8
14.9
7.2
4.2
10.4
8
11.2
11.4
9.3
4.9
9.758.3
49.9
61.1
49.2
54.5
54.2
53.4
66.6
55.9
43
53.3
55.3
54.3Total
Male
Female
Age 18-29 years
Age 30-44 years
Age 45-59 years
Age 60 years +
Urban
Rural
Region: Skopje
Region: North-West Macedonia
Region: South Macedonia
Region: East Macedonia
Worse Better
20 SMMRI
Personal economic situation: Personal economic situation: worse and better than one year agoworse and better than one year ago
10.3
8.8
7.9
11.8
7.8
8.8
10.2
8.6
12.9
8.8
7.227.6
57.9
48.6
55.4
53.9
56.1
52.5
49.3
55.4
52.9
57.1General school
Vocational school
High school
University degree
Category AB (high)
Category C(medium)
Category DE (low)
Macedonian
Albanian
Other
Don’t know/NA
Worse Better
21 SMMRI
Personal economic situation: Personal economic situation: satisfaction with the current levelsatisfaction with the current level
Somewhat satisfied
20%
Very dissatisfied
37%
Somwhat dissatisfied
22%
Very satisfied1%
Neither satisfied nor dissatisfied
20%
22 SMMRI
Personal economic situation: Personal economic situation: satisfaction with the current levelsatisfaction with the current level
20.7
20.9
20.5
27.1
19.5
12.5
23.7
21.3
19.9
26.9
12.5
23.5
17.864.2
61.1
53.9
56.6
59.9
58.6
63.8
70.2
58.2
48.1
57.6
60.6
59.2Total
Male
Female
Age 18-29 years
Age 30-44 years
Age 45-59 years
Age 60 years +
Urban
Rural
Region: Skopje
Region: North-West Macedonia
Region: South Macedonia
Region: East Macedonia
Dissatisfied Satisfied
23 SMMRI
Personal economic situation: Personal economic situation: satisfaction with the current levelsatisfaction with the current level
19.8
19.9
19
30
21
22
19.8
20.3
23.1
19.7
2535.2
65.6
46.3
61.3
61.1
58.5
55.8
46.2
56.9
59.5
66.9General school
Vocational school
High school
University degree
Category AB (high)
Category C (medium)
Category DE (low)
Macedonian
Albanian
Other
Don’t know/NA
Dissatisfied Satisfied
24 SMMRI
Personal economic situation: Personal economic situation: one year to comeone year to come
Somewhat better26%
Don’t know/NA1%
Much worse7%
Somewhat worse20%
Much better2%
The same44%
25 SMMRI
Personal economic situation: Personal economic situation: one year to comeone year to come
28.5
29.3
27.6
38.9
29.8
21.6
18.8
26.4
31.9
32.4
27.9
19.8
30.337.9
23.6
21.9
22.7
28.5
26.2
33.1
41.1
23.6
15.8
26.9
27.3
27Total
Male
Female
Age 18-29 years
Age 30-44 years
Age 45-59 years
Age 60 years +
Urban
Rural
Region: Skopje
Region: North-West Macedonia
Region: South Macedonia
Region: East Macedonia
Worse Better
26 SMMRI
Personal economic situation: Personal economic situation: one year to comeone year to come
28.5
27
28.5
32.9
21.7
31
29.7
26.6
37
24.4
63.48.2
31.1
15.1
29.4
28.7
27.3
23.2
20.4
25
27
32.5General school
Vocational school
High school
University degree
Category AB (high)
Category C(medium)
Category DE (low)
Macedonian
Albanian
Other
Don’t know/NA
Worse Better
27 SMMRI
Personal economic situation : 5 year Personal economic situation : 5 year expectationsexpectations
Will stay the same24%
Will get somewhat
worse15%
Don’t know/NA
6%
Will get much better
4%
Will get much worse
4%
Will get somewhat
better47%
28 SMMRI
Personal economic situation : 5 year Personal economic situation : 5 year expectationsexpectations
52
55.3
48.7
59.7
54.3
45.2
44.6
48.8
57.3
51.4
53.7
52.4
51.320.4
19.4
15.7
18.2
12.7
22.1
16.8
29.4
18.6
10.9
17.8
19.5
18.6Total
Male
Female
Age 18-29 years
Age 30-44 years
Age 45-59 years
Age 60 years +
Urban
Rural
Region: Skopje
Region: North-West Macedonia
Region: South Macedonia
Region: East Macedonia
Worse Better
29 SMMRI
Personal economic situation : 5 year Personal economic situation : 5 year expectationsexpectations
49.2
50.3
54.8
56.8
50.2
54.1
51.4
49.4
66.8
49.5
48.820.7
17
7.1
21.1
20.4
14.9
20.3
18.6
16.7
23.1
14.6General school
Vocational school
High school
University degree
Category AB (high)
Category C(medium)
Category DE (low)
Macedonian
Albanian
Other
Don’t know/NA
Worse Better
POLITICAL ISSUES
31 SMMRI
Trust in public personalitiesTrust in public personalities
9.2
10
12.5
12.7
13.8
14.8
16.2
23.9
23
21.3
0 20 40 60 80 100
Stavre Dzikov
Stojan Andov
Ljubco Georgievski
Imer Imeri
Arben Dzaferi
Boris Trajkovski
Vlado Popovski
Branko Crvenkovski
Ljube Boskovski
Nikola Gruevski
(trust very much + trust a fair amount)
32 SMMRI
Public personalities awarenessPublic personalities awareness
95.5
95.7
98
98.5
99.2
99.2
99.2
99.5
99.5
99.4
92 94 96 98 100
Stavre Dzikov
Vlado Popovski
Nikola Gruevski
Imer Imeri
Ljube Boskovski
Branko Crvenkovski
Arben Dzaferi
Boris Trajkovski
Ljubco Georgievski
Stojan Andov
33 SMMRI
Trust in local institutions Trust in local institutions
11.7
12.5
13.9
16.9
19.6
23.5
26.2
40
49.5
55
38.9
34.9
29.1
0 20 40 60 80 100
Government
Parliament
Trade Unions
Local authorities
Courts
President
Mass media
Private entreprises
NGO
Police
Universities
Church
Army
(trust very much + trust a fair amount)
34 SMMRI
What party would you vote for if the parliamentary What party would you vote for if the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday?elections were held next Sunday?
2.6
3.5
5.5
10.4
18.4
19.9
39.7
0 20 40 60 80 100
DA
Liberalna partie
PDP
DPA
Other
VMRO-DPNE
SDSM
Base: total sample excepting those who would not vote or don’t know
35 SMMRI
What do you think would be the best way for our What do you think would be the best way for our country to protect its interests?country to protect its interests?
1.4
2.1
10.6
12.9
34.7
38.4
0 20 40 60 80 100
Don’t know/NA
To join NATO
To join EU
To have astrong army able toprotect the country
To join EU and NATO
To have a strong economy
36 SMMRI
Opinion on statements:Opinion on statements:
““At least two strong political parties competing in At least two strong political parties competing in the elections” the elections”
Extremely important
42.0%
DK/NA1.6%
Important29.7%
Not very important
8.9%
Neither important nor unimportant
10.2%
Not important at all7.6%
37 SMMRI
Opinion on statements:Opinion on statements:
““A government that guarantees economic equality of A government that guarantees economic equality of its citizens ” its citizens ”
Extremely important
69.0%
Important25.5%
DK/NA1.0%
Not very important
1.4%Neither
important nor unimportant
2.2%
Not important at all
0.9%
38 SMMRI
Opinion on statements:Opinion on statements:
““A justice system treating everybody equally ” A justice system treating everybody equally ”
DK/NA0.6%
Important18.6%
Neither important nor unimportant
0.9%
Not very important
0.5%
Not important at all0.3%
Extremely important
79.1%
39 SMMRI
Opinion on statements:Opinion on statements:
““The freedom to criticise the government ” The freedom to criticise the government ”
Extremely important
58.5%
DK/NA0.8%
Important25.9%
Not very important
3.0%Neither important nor unimportant
10.0%
Not important at all1.8%
40 SMMRI
Opinion on statements:Opinion on statements:
““A government that guarantees meeting the basic A government that guarantees meeting the basic economic needs of all the citizens ” economic needs of all the citizens ”
DK/NA0.5%
Neither important nor unimportant
1.2%
Not very important
0.4%
Not important at all
0.1%
Important17.2%
Extremely important
80.6%
41 SMMRI
Opinion on statements:Opinion on statements:
““Equal representation of women and men in elected Equal representation of women and men in elected positions ” positions ”
Extremely important
45.7%
Important29.5%
DK/NA0.4%
Not very important
7.7%
Neither important nor unimportant
13.9%
Not important at all2.9%
42 SMMRI
Opinion on statements:Opinion on statements:
““Economic prosperity in the country ” Economic prosperity in the country ”
DK/NA0.6%
Important14.9%
Neither important nor unimportant
0.6%
Not very important
0.3%
Extremely important
83.6%
INTERNATIONAL ISSUES
44 SMMRI
Trust in international personalitiesTrust in international personalities
7.1
11
17
18.6
18.7
19.4
21.2
25.8
35.4
24.9
22.6
22
0 20 40 60 80 100
Thorvald Stoltenberg
Marti Ahtisaari
Romano Prodi
Tony Blair
Javier Solana
Carla del Ponte
George Robertson
Gerhard Schroeder
Jaques Chirac
George W. Bush
Kofi Annan
Vladimir Putin
(trust very much + trust a fair amount)
45 SMMRI
International personalities awarenessInternational personalities awareness
59.4
63.2
87.6
91.1
96.7
97.9
98
99.2
99.7
99.2
99.1
98.2
0 20 40 60 80 100
Thorvald Stoltenberg
Marti Ahtisaari
Romano Prodi
Gerhard Schroeder
Jaques Chirac
Tony Blair
Carla del Ponte
Kofi Annan
Vladimir Putin
George Robertson
George W. Bush
Javier Solana
46 SMMRI
Trust in international institutionsTrust in international institutions
21.5
21.9
23.8
24.2
25.5
25.6
32
35.3
34.1
0 20 40 60 80 100
SPSEE
ICTY
WTO
OSCE
NATO
IMF
WB
UN
EU
(trust very much + trust a fair amount)
47 SMMRI
International institutionsInternational institutions awarenessawareness
93.8
94.1
96.4
96.6
97.8
97.9
98.5
98.7
98.6
90 92 94 96 98 100
SPSEE
WTO
WB
IMF
ICTY
OSCE
UN
EU
NATO
48 SMMRI
How much have you read or heard about How much have you read or heard about the Stability Pact in SouthEastern Europe ?the Stability Pact in SouthEastern Europe ?
3
20.3
46.4
26.8
3.6
A lot Pretty much Not very much Nothing Don’t know/NA
49 SMMRI
How likely it is for the international community to How likely it is for the international community to provide the support, it has promised to your country provide the support, it has promised to your country
within the Stability Pact?within the Stability Pact?50.4
54.3
46.5
52.3
51.3
49.5
47.2
46.1
57.5
44.1
59.7
56.8
46.850.4
37.9
37
48.4
39.5
47.9
46.9
47.7
44.5
41
47.4
42
44.7Total
Male
Female
Age 18-29 years
Age 30-44 years
Age 45-59 years
Age 60 years +
Urban
Rural
Region: Skopje
Region: North-West Macedonia
Region: South Macedonia
Region: East Macedonia
Unlikely Likely
50 SMMRI
How likely it is for the international community to How likely it is for the international community to provide the support, it has promised to your country provide the support, it has promised to your country
within the Stability Pact?within the Stability Pact?56.1
42.8
53
55.3
51.1
50.8
49.8
45.3
82.7
40
43.856.2
51.4
14.3
49.9
44
44.2
47
42.4
43.4
52
36.9General school
Vocational school
High school
University degree
Category AB (high)
Category C(medium)
Category DE (low)
Macedonian
Albanian
Other
Don’t know/NA
Unlikely Likely
51 SMMRI
Would it be good for our country to cooperate more Would it be good for our country to cooperate more with the following countries or territories?with the following countries or territories?
(very good + good)
20.3
17.8
19.9
17.3
17.9
24.8
42.1
47.3
30.1
26.6
31.2
42.9
33.6
43.3
48.1
42.6
42.4
50.4
42.4
30.4
39.5
60.4
63.1
63.6
58.5
43.7
48.6
62.3
43.7
41.3
61
64.8
60.8
49.3
60.2
51.8
47.2
52.8
53.5
45.6
55
44.8
26
39.6
80.3
97.4
57.3
50.7
80.4
81.5
83.3
85.8
88.2
88.3
88.5
88.6
91.1
91.4
92
92.2
93.8
95.1
95.3
95.4
95.9
96
Kosovo (not in Kosovo)
Albania (not in Albania)
Bulgaria (not in Bulgaria)
Moldova
Bosnia Federation (not in Bosnia Federation)
Republica Srpska (not in RS)
United States
Greece
Romania (not in Romania)
Russia
Serbia (not in Serbia)
Hungary
Montenegro (not in Montenegro)
Croatia (not in Croatia)
Great Britain
Norway
France
Slovenia
Italy
Turkey
Germany
Sweden
Very good
Good
52 SMMRI
To what extent the following countries represent a To what extent the following countries represent a threat to your country? threat to your country?
(very great extent + great extent )
2.7
3.7
1.9
5.8
5.2
11.2
12
12.2
24.9
18.1
2
1.7
3.7
2.3
3.7
4.8
4.6
11.6
36.9
51.4
8.1
8.9
5.6
5.4
4.7
16
16.6
23.8
61.8
69.5
Republica Srpska (not inRS)
Great Britain
Russia
Bosnia Federation (not inBosnia Federation)
Serbia (not in Serbia)
Greece
Bulgaria (not in Bulgaria)
United States
Albania (not in Albania)
Kosovo (not in Kosovo)
To a great extent
To a very great extent
MASS MEDIA
54 SMMRI
FAVORITE TV STATIONFAVORITE TV STATION
0.10%
0.60%
1.30%
1.70%
2.00%
4.00%
13.30%
14.60%
20.60%
41.00%
MTM Skopje
Kanal 5 Skopje
Don' watch TV
Tera Bitola
Telma Skopje
MTV 2
Local TV stations
MTV1
Sitel
A1
55 SMMRI
FAVORITE RADIO STATIONFAVORITE RADIO STATION
3.80%
4.00%
5.50%
10.10%
10.20%
12.20%
25.10%
28.30%
Fortuna Skopje
Vat Skopje
Radio Ros, Kanal4 Skopje
Antena 5
Don't listen radio
Mak. Radio prvaprograma
Kanal 77
Local radiostation
56 SMMRI
FAVORITE NEWSPAPER FAVORITE NEWSPAPER
1.40%
5.20%
9.40%
10.60%
10.80%
13.10%
16.50%
32.40%
Local newspapers
Nova Makedonija
Utrinski vesnik
Vest
Vecer
Fakti
Don't readnewspapers
Dnevnik
57 SMMRI
Does the media in our country today report the truth Does the media in our country today report the truth about political and national issues?about political and national issues?
Often23%
Only sometimes
58%
Don’t know/NA
1%
Never14%
Always4%
58 SMMRI
In general, do you think mass media In general, do you think mass media in our country are…in our country are…
Independent14%
Don’t know/NA4%
Often influenced by
powerful people and
organizations82%
CIVIL AND MINORITIES RIGHTS
60 SMMRI
Would you like to be a member of:Would you like to be a member of:
10.8
32
13.4
13.1
44.7
50.4
49.5
32.1
28.4
71
63.6
81.2
82.1
52
46.2
48.6
64.2
66.6
16.9
3
2.2
2.4
1
1.3
0.2
1.4
1.3
1.2
2.1
2.4
2.3
2.2
2.1
2.4
1.6
3.5
A political party
Professional association
Trade union
Religious organization or Church
Cultural association
Environment/ ecology organization
Civil liberties organization
Any non-governmental organization
Women association
Yes
No
I am a member of
DK/NA
61 SMMRI
Those who would like to become Those who would like to become member of… member of…
10.8
13.1
13.4
28.4
32
32.1
44.7
49.5
50.4
Political party
Religious organization or church
Trade unions
Women association
Professional association
Any NGO
Cultural association
Civil liberties organization
Environment/ecology organization
62 SMMRI
Which of the rights listed below you think the Which of the rights listed below you think the minorities ethnic group should be entitled to? minorities ethnic group should be entitled to?
82.7
72.7
31.4
76.1
27.264.8
13.8
57.7
19.7
10.2Preserve their culture and tradition through any
organisations and associations of their own
Tuition in their mother tongue in primary school,junior high and high school
Higher education programmes delivered intheir mother tongue
Representatives in the Parliament
The right to use their mother tongue for legalpurposes, for instance in justice or in legal
contracts
Not agree Agree
63 SMMRI
Do you agree or disagree with the following Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? statements?
88
85.9
85.3
55.5
70.5
9.9
58.9
85.2
28.4
42.7
77.8
68.712.5
17.6
23.9
49.7
4.9
24.7
75.6
9.5
24.3
3
4.9
5.1Many things in my country are decided from the outside
Mass unemployment is going to strike us all
Democracy is a value yet to be understood in our country
Our people is endangered by a civil war
Our transition to post-communism will last a lot longer than it isexpected
I fear sometimes that my country will interfere into other countries’affairs
The army and the police in this country are serving partisaninterests and not the interests of the people
Privatization is making only a few people rich while leaving the restof us poor
Voting makes me feel I can influence the government
Whatever problems democracy might bring, it is the bestgoverning system for us
Ethnic minorities have too great demands in their fight for rights
Women have little political influence in our country
Not agree Agree
64 SMMRI
In the next years, what do you think is the key of In the next years, what do you think is the key of success in our country? success in our country?
11.9
16.9
41.2
19
13.9
18.3
9.6
88.2
94.93.8
10.5
88.3
79.7
84.3
79.6
57
82.5
86.9Work
To work in yourcountry
To work for thestate sector
To stay in thecountry
Your education
To go to a knownway
What you can doby yourself
To rely on others
Trickery and fraud
Relationships with others
To work in another country
To work for the private sector
To leave for another country
What you can do through others
To go on new but more uncertain ways
What parents/heritage give you
To rely only on yourself
Honesty