session i212 standard deviation

Upload: masdipo

Post on 02-Jun-2018

237 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    1/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 1 of 18

    Part I Review of Fundamentals

    Module 2 Basic Physics and Mathematics

    Used in Radiation Protection

    Session 12 StatisticsMean, Mode etc

    Session I.2.12

    IAEA Post Graduate Educational CourseRadiation Protection and Safe Use of Radiation Sources

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    2/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 2 of 18

    In this session we will discuss fundamentalstatistical quantities such as

    Mean Mode

    Median

    Standard deviation

    Standard error

    Confidence Intervals

    Overview

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    3/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 3 of 18

    The sum of the values of observations

    divided by the number of observations is

    called the mean which is designated .

    Mean

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    4/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 4 of 18

    Consider the following 6 observations

    1.7 3.2 3.2 4.6 1.4 2.8

    the mean is calculated as follows

    =

    = = 2.82

    Mean

    (1.7 + 3.2 + 3.2 + 4.6 + 1.4 + 2.8)

    6

    16.9

    6

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    5/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 5 of 18

    The median is the middle observation when the

    observations are arranged in order of their

    magnitude (size).

    For an even number of observations, the median

    is the mean of the two middle observations.

    Median

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    6/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 6 of 18

    The ordered set of the 6 observations used to

    demonstrate the mean is

    1.4 1.7 2.8 3.2 3.2 4.6

    Median

    (2.8 + 3.2)

    2

    = = 36

    2

    Because the number of observations is even

    (6) the median is calculated as

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    7/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 7 of 18

    The mode is the measurement that occurs

    most often in a set of observations.

    Mode

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    8/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 8 of 18

    For the dataset

    1.4 1.7 2.8 3.2 3.2 4.6

    the mode is 3.2

    Some datasets may have more than one

    mode and some have none.

    Mode

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    9/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 9 of 18

    The standard deviation () is a measure of how

    much a distribution varies from the mean.

    Standard Deviation

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    10/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 10 of 18

    For the dataset

    1.7 3.2 3.2 4.6 1.4 2.8 (= 2.82)

    = =

    Standard Deviation

    (xi- )2

    (n-1)

    (1.42.82)2+ (1.72.82)2+ (2.82.82)2+ (3.22.82)2+ (3.22.82)2+ (4.62.82)2

    (61)

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    11/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 11 of 18

    =

    = = 1.16

    Standard Deviation

    (2.02 + 1.25 + 0.0004 + 0.14 + 0.14 + 3.17)

    5

    6.725

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    12/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 12 of 18

    The standard deviation is often called the

    standard error of the mean, or simply the

    standard error.

    Standard Deviation

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    13/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 13 of 18

    A confidence interval for a parameter of

    interest indicates a measure of assurance

    (probability) that the interval includes the

    parameter of interest.

    Example

    We are 95% confident that the mean of a

    series of mass measurements is between 8.4

    and 10.1 kg.

    Confidence Intervals

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    14/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 14 of 18

    Confidence Intervals

    95%

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    15/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 15 of 18

    It is possible to define two statistics, t1and t2

    such that a parameter being estimated

    Pr(t1 t2) = 1 -

    where is some fixed probability.

    The assertion that lies in this interval will be

    true, on average, in proportion to 1 - of the

    cases when this is true.

    Confidence Intervals

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    16/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 16 of 18

    A confidence interval about the mean of a

    normal population assumes:

    a two-sided confidence interval about

    the population mean is desired

    the population variance, 2, is known

    the confidence coefficient is 0.95

    Confidence Intervals

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    17/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 17 of 18

    For a standardized normal distribution, this

    means that 95% of the normal distribution lies

    between1.96 and +1.96

    Pr { (Y-1.96) < < (Y+1.96) }

    where Y =

    Confidence Intervals

    (xi)n

  • 8/11/2019 Session I212 Standard Deviation

    18/18

    3/2003 Rev 1 I.2.12slide 18 of 18

    Where to Get More Information

    Cember, H., Introduction to Health Physics, 3rd

    Edition, McGraw-Hill, New York (2000)

    Firestone, R.B., Baglin, C.M., Frank-Chu, S.Y., Eds.,Table of Isotopes (8thEdition, 1999 update), Wiley,

    New York (1999)

    International Atomic Energy Agency, The Safe Useof Radiation Sources, Training Course Series No. 6,

    IAEA, Vienna (1995)