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Sextant Grand Large October 2019

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  • Sextant Grand Large

    October 2019

  • Amiral Gestion: key figures

    An independent fund management company founded in 2003

    • 100%-owned by its management and employees

    • A team of 45 people, with 24 dedicated to fund management*

    • PRI signatory since March 2019

    AuM as of August 2019: €3.8Bn

    • Mutual funds (Sextant funds): €2.8Bn

    • Institutional segregated accounts: €650M

    • Wealth management: €320M

    Adding manpower in France and abroad

    • Fund management team (Singapore office)

    • Middle office

    • Risk Management

    • Development (sales, marketing, client servicing)

    Source : Amiral Gestion – Data as of 29/03/2019, but may change over time. For additional information, visit the company website:

    www.amiralgestion.com

    * Including Weath management and the Madrid and Singapore offices

    Sextant Grand Large October 2019 2

  • Our approach

    TeamPhilosophy

    MethodologyDecision-making

    process

    The source of ourperformance

    A unique identity

    Sextant Grand Large October 2019 3

  • Sextant Grand Large

    Emphasis on human resources

    A quality fund management team is our priority

    • 24 analysts/fund managers* focused on funding the best investment ideas

    • Fund managers/analysts from the top financial institutions and schools

    Stability over time

    • All members of the investment team are company shareholders

    • Responsibility and autonomy allow employees to thrive

    Employees and investors have the same objectives

    • All fund managers are invested in all Sextant funds

    • No evaluation or compensation is based on short-term criteria

    October 2019 4

    * Fund management team, Paris and Singapore offices

  • Our values

    Integrity

    • Loyalty to our convictions and transparent communication

    • Employees and investors have the same objectives

    Independent thinking and collective creativity

    • Nurturing original ideas, permanent apprenticeship and critical exchanges…

    • But encouraging individual, responsible decision-making

    Solidarity and benevolence

    • A shared passion for investment underpins our solidarity

    • Pursuit of a collective goal

    Our investments benefit the economy

    • Our mission: bring our investors’ future projects to fruition

    • Our responsibility: foster growth of our companies

    Sextant Grand Large October 2019 5

  • The investment team – Collective management

    Sextant Grand Large October 2019 6Source : Amiral Gestion – Data as of 30/08/2019, but may change over time. For additional information, please visit the website:

    www.amiralgestion.com

    François BADELONESCP

    30 years experience

    Julien LEPAGEESC Bordeaux

    23 years experience

    Eric TIBIHEC

    30 years experience

    David POULETENS Cachan, DEA Droit

    14 years experience

    Louis D’ARVIEUHEC, DEA Fiscalité

    12 years experience

    Raphaël MOREAUESSEC

    10 years experience

    Bastien GOUMAREDauphine

    5 years experience

    Julien FAURERotterdam School of

    Management

    3 years experience

    Jacques GOUT LOMBARDUniversité de Montpellier,

    4 years experience

    (Singapore office)

    Jacques SUDREESCP

    14 years experience

    Youssef LBOUKILIReims Management

    School

    2 years experience

    Otilia BOLOGANBocconi, ESSEC

    5 years experience

    Paul MANIGAULTHEC

    1 years experience

    Siddharth CHORARIANY University, Columbia

    10 years experience

    (Singapore office)

    Jon XUYale

    1 years experience

    (Singapore office)

    John KUMLondon Business School,

    2 years experience

    (Singapore office)

    Etienne GUICHERDL’investisseur Français

    5 years experience

    Mario SANTOSLondon Business

    School

    5 years experience

  • Since inception(annualized) AuM2019 1 year 3 years 5 years

    SEXTANT PEAEquity stock-picking

    Inception date: 18/01/2002

    2,1% -15,9% 4,0% 43,2% 12,9% 261 M€

    SEXTANT EUROPEEuropean Mid & Large, stock-picking

    Inception date: 29/06/2011

    8,5% -12,5% -4,0% 12,7% 5,6% 23 M€

    SEXTANT PMEEuropean SMEs, Stock picking

    Inception date: 01/01/2014

    1,8% -22,0% 1,4% 39,2% 8,9% 88 M€

    SEXTANT AUTOUR

    DU MONDEInternational stock picking

    Inception date: 08/07/2005

    7,2% -3,1% 14,7% 31,9% 5,5% 118 M€

    SEXTANT BOND PICKING

    International Bond picking

    Inception date: 30/03/2017

    2,2% 2,4% - - 1,7% 236 M€

    SEXTANT GRAND LARGEMulti assets, flexible

    Inception date: 11/07/2003

    2,0% -1,0% 5,2% 30,3% 9,6% 2 115 M€

    Data as of 30/08/2019

    Sextant funds range

    Lo

    ng

    on

    lyfu

    nd

    sFle

    xib

    le, m

    ult

    i-

    ass

    et

    fun

    d

    Investors should note that past performances are not a guide to future performances.

    Sextant Grand Large October 2019 7

  • October 2019Sextant Grand Large 8

    SEXTANT GRAND LARGE

  • October 2019Sextant Grand Large 9

    SEXTANT GRAND LARGE

    INTRODUCTION

  • Sextant Grand Large

    Why choose this fund?

    • To benefit from Amiral Gestion’s expertise in stock and bond-picking with optimal exposure to the equity market

    A flexible multi asset fund

    • Exposure to equities ranges from 0% to 100%

    • Benchmark index: 50% MSCI AC World / 50% EONIA

    • Equities and bonds from all sectors, all regions (25% maximum EMs) and all capitalisations

    An original allocation strategy

    • Exposure to equities varies with a quantitative model for long-term market valuation

    • No macro-economic or stock-market scenario

    Stock and bond selection

    • Selection by a committee of the most defensive investments (equities and bonds) already included in other Sextant

    funds

    Sextant Grand Large October 2019 10

  • October 2019Sextant Grand Large 11

    SEXTANT GRAND LARGE

    INVESTMENT PROCESS

  • "I never met a man who could forecast the market" Warren Buffett, 1987

    • " Forecasts may tell you a lot about the forecaster, they tell you nothing about the future“ W. Buffett

    Sextant Grand Large October 2019 12

  • Presentation of the Shiller PE

    History of the Shiller PE

    • 1934: Graham & Dodd invent method

    • 1988/2001: studies by Campbell and Shiller affirm its relevance

    Nobel Prize for Economics in 2013

    • Robert Shiller was awarded the Nobel Prize for Economics for making it possible to « predict general long-run

    price trends for equities and bonds »

    A long-term market valuation indicator

    • An indicator that sits nicely with our fundamental stock-picking approach

    • A weak indicator for a 5-year investment

    Sextant Grand Large October 2019 13

    Shiller PE =𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥

    𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡𝑠 𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟 10 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠 𝑎𝑑𝑗𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛

  • A relevant indicator

    Sextant Grand Large October 2019 14

  • Applying the Shiller PER to Sextant Grand Large

    Sextant Grand Large October 2019 15

    The Shiller PER determines our ideal exposure to equities

    • The historical average of the Shiller PER is 17

    • At this average level of valuation, our exposure is 50%

    The Shiller PER used is a global indicator

    • Based on the weighted average of Shiller PERs of 5 regions

    • Weightings are coherent with our investment universe and the breakdown of global market capitalization

    Eurozone USA Asia ex-Japan Japan UK

    30% 30% 25% 10% 5%

    Cyclically adjusted PER Markets valutation Equity Exposure

    23 High 25%

    17 Average 50%

    13 Low 75%

  • «Buy on the rumor, sell the fact»

    October 2019Sextant Grand Large 16

    Equity exposure over the last 5 years

    Source: Amiral Gestion as of August 2019

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    45%

    50%

    15

    16

    17

    18

    19

    20

    21

    22

    23

    24

    25

    08/14 02/15 08/15 02/16 08/16 02/17 08/17 02/18 08/18 02/19

    Shiller PE (L scale) Historical net exposure (R scale)

  • Common management principles for equity and bond markets

    October 2019Sextant Grand Large 17

    EQUITIES BONDS

    Focus on company fundamentals rather

    than markets

    Reason like a co-owner of company Reason like a creditor

    Selecting investments

    (picking)

    Model and value each company

    without relying on brokers

    In-house credit analysis without

    relying to rating agencies

    Unlimited investment universe All countries and all capitalisations Government bonds, Investment Grade,

    High Yield, corporates, financial, senior,

    subordinated

    Prefer less efficient segments Small & Midcaps Unrated issuers, convertible bonds,

    subordinated, perpetuals etc.

    No macro-economic bets No trend-following or

    sector-rotation strategy

    Focus on low and moderate modified

    duration

  • Stock-picking

    Sextant Grand Large October 2019 18

    Stocks already present in other Sextant funds

    Stocks that are tracked by - and

    familiar to - one or several Amiral

    Gestion fund managers

    No constraints in terms of

    capitalization, sector or region

    Stocks with limited downside potential

    Recurring and predictable revenue

    streams, barriers to entry, quality

    and transparency

    A minimum valuation close to the

    current price: cash available …

    Examples of past stock-picks

    This information is not intended to serve as investment advice or a recommendation to invest

  • Bond-picking

    October 2019Sextant Grand Large 19

    What we seek

    • Quality of fundamental risk

    • Yield

    • Spread

    • Primo-issuers

    • Solvent issuers in a country or sector in crisis

    • Issuers in difficulty whose next payment is covered

    • Convertible bonds whose conversion option is no

    longer in the money

    • Paper issued in a currency that is not the issuer’s

    main currency

    • …

    What we avoid

    • Interest-rate sensitivity

    • Currency risk

    • Moderate-duration issues

    • Hedging of forex risk (max 20% unhedged)

    • …

    Criteria for bond-picking

    This list does not constitute a commitment by Amiral Gestion concerning the selection of securities. We remind investors that portfolios are constructed at the sole discretion of the

    fund manager, on the basis of yield, credit risk and sensitivity (rate risk and spreads) of the securities selected.

  • October 2019Sextant Grand Large 20

    SEXTANT GRAND LARGE

    THE ENVIRONMENT

  • Context for valuation of equity markets

    Cyclical peaks: 2007 vs 2019 ?

    • Theoretical equity exposure: 5% in 2007, 28% today

    • High dispersion of valuations with more opportunities in Europe and Asia

    >30,0 28,0 25,4 22,8 20,1 17,5 14,9 12,3 9,6 7,0

    Valorisation faibleValorisation élevée

    Sextant Grand Large October 2019 21

    Shiller PE as of January 2007: 28.7x Shiller PE as of August 2019: 21,9x

    Source: Amiral Gestion, Bloomberg, as of August 2019

  • Too lower expected returns on equities?

    October 2019Sextant Grand Large 22

    Correlation between US equity allocation and expected returns

    Source: FRED, Bloomberg, Amiral Gestion as of january 2019

  • Lower yields / higher duration

    European Investment Grade yield and duration during the last decade

    4

    4.5

    5

    5.5

    6

    6.5

    7

    7.5

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    Yield (L scale) Duration (R scale)

    Sextant Grand Large October 2019 23

    Source: Bloomberg as at May 10th 2019

  • October 2019Sextant Grand Large 24

    Markets subject to influence

    Forecasting difficulties and non-financial considerations

    An unprecedented situation which continues

    Money markets stuck at the bottom

    Absolute return remains low, high inverse risk

    Historical margin compression

    -0.5

    0.5

    1.5

    2.5

    déc.-11 déc.-13 déc.-15 déc.-17

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    déc.-11 déc.-13 déc.-15 déc.-17

    German 10Y sovereign rates

    Itraxx Xover 5Y

    Source: Bloomberg as of August 2019

  • October 2019Sextant Grand Large 25

    SEXTANT GRAND LARGE

    PORTFOLIO POSITIONING

  • October 2019Sextant Grand Large 26

    A defensive allocation against a backdrop of overvalued markets

    Equities: Gradual decrease in exposure as valuations

    rise

    Hedge: A hedged bucket that contributed

    to performance (index futures)

    Money market:Actively managed, a significant reserve that

    leaves scope to seize future market

    opportunities

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

    Money market

    Bonds

    Short

    Equity markets net exposure

    Historical breakdown

    Source: Amiral Gestion, from January 2010 to August 2019

  • 0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    France Europe Ex France

    Americas Asia ex Japan

    Japan

    October 2019Sextant Grand Large 27

    Towards greater geographic diversification

    USA: Down, market valuations look excessive

    France: Down

    • Less small caps,

    •Need for a better geographic breakdown

    Asia – especially Japan: Regular increases, good risk/reward profile

    Historical breakdown

    Source: Amiral Gestion, from January 2010 to August 2019

  • Focus on Japan, the largest position after France

    October 2019Sextant Grand Large 28

    • A structural rise in shareholder returns from low bases

    • A structural rise in ROE as margins improve from low bases

    Median net debt of Japanese, European and US companies

  • October 2019Sextant Grand Large 29

    A more liquid portfolio

    Large cap: Increase

    • Following the stock-market rally by small

    caps from 2015 to 2017

    Small Cap:

    • Back on stocks since the 2019 summer,

    especially in Asia and Europe

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    Small Caps 2Mds

    Historical breakdwon

    Source: Amiral Gestion, from January 2010 to August 2019

  • Top 5 holdings

    October 2019Sextant Grand Large 30

    TOP 5 Equity TOP 5 Bonds

    Sources : Amiral Gestion, as of August 2019

    This information is not intended to serve as investment advice or a recommendation to invest

    Name Country %

    Berkshire Hathaway USA 3,1%

    Rocket Internet Germany 2,0%

    Alibaba China 1,4%

    Hoshizaki Japan 1,1%

    Hyundai Mobis South Korea 1,1%

    Name Country %

    Casino Guichard Perp France 1,3%

    Solocal 2022 France 1,2%

    USB Realty 2022 USA 1,0%

    Playtech 2019 UK 1,0%

    Econocom 2023 Belgium 0,9%

  • A defensive positionning

    September 2019Sextant Grand Large 31

    Bonds bucket: 15,4%• Corporate: 10,4%

    • Financials: 3,3%

    • Convertibles: 1,7%

    32.5%

    1.0%

    2.0%49.9%

    15.4%

    Equities Gross exposure

    Hedge

    Gold

    Money market

    Bonds

    Asset classes breakdown

    Sources : Amiral Gestion, as of August 2019

    This information is not intended to serve as investment advice or a recommendation to invest

    Indicators FI bucket Global fund

    Yield 6,5% 1,0%

    Yield

    after currency hedging 6,1% 0,9%

    Spreads in bps 667 103

    Maturity 2,9 0,4

    Modified duration 2,3 0,4

  • October 2019Sextant Grand Large 32

    SEXTANT GRAND LARGE

    PERFORMANCE PROFILE

  • Sources : Amiral Gestion, Quantalys, as of August 2019 – A share

    Please note that past performances are not a guide to future performances, and that they are not constant over time

    Cumulative

    performance

    Annualised

    performance

    Sextant Grand Large 341,1% 9,6%

    EuroStoxx 50 (total return) 119,7% 5,0%

    International flexible alloc. 79,6% 3,7%

    50% MSCI World

    + 50% Eonia172,9% 6,4%

    Historical performances

    Sextant Grand Large September 2019 33

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    0 10 20 30

    Annualized volatility in %A

    nn

    ual

    ize

    dp

    erf.

    In %

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

    Sextant Grand Large Eurostoxx Alloc. Flexible Monde 50% MSCI World + 50% ML Global

    Changement de process de gestion

  • 50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

    Sextant Grand Large Eurostoxx Alloc. Flexible Monde

    Resilience in falling markets

    Sources : Amiral Gestion, Quantalys, as of August 2019 – A share

    Please note that past performances are not a guide to future performances, and that they are not constant over time

    October 2019 34

    Event/period Sextant Grand Large EuroStoxx 50International flexible

    alloc.

    Sovereign debt crisis (2011) -12.0% -30.2% -8.8%

    Stock-market crash in China (2015) -1.3% -17.5% -7.0%

    End 2015 / early 2016 -5.8% -19.6% -9.2%

    January/February 2018 -1.6% -7.7% -3.1%

    October/December 2018 -3.2% -12.8% -7.1%

    August 2019 -0.2% -1.0% -0.4%

  • Why select Sextant Grand Large?

    To profit from the Amiral Gestion team’s expertise in stock and bond picking

    To benefit from a contrarian approach to allocation:- A defensive profile at times of high valuations- An offensive profile when valuations are low

    A defensive fundamental approach for stock’ selection

    Consider increases in volatility as opportunities to strengthen and a reservoir of performance for future years

    Sextant Grand Large October 2019 35

  • September 2019Sextant Grand Large 36

    APPENDIX

  • Main characteristics

    Legal structure A mutual fund (FCP) under French law

    Share category A-shares for all investors

    ISIN code FR0010286013 (A share)

    Bloomberg code AMSEGLA FP

    Inception date 11 July 2003

    Benchmark 50% MSCI World + 50% EONIA

    Valuation Daily

    Recommended investment horizon Minimum 5 years

    Centralisation settlement/delivery J at 10h00 / J+2

    Custodian Caceis Bank

    Centralising agent Caceis Bank

    Entry/exit fee 2% max including tax / 1% max including tax

    Ongoing fees 1.71% (on the basis of the preceding year to December 2018)

    Performance fees 15% including tax of the performance from 5% pa

    Sextant Grand Large October 2019 37

  • Main risks

    • Capital loss

    • Equity markets

    • Size of capitalisation

    • Forex

    • Credit

    • Derivatives

    We invite you to refer to the Key Investor Information Document or the prospectus of funds for a definition of each of these

    risks and to consult us if the definition is unclear. Please see the next page for risk attached to subordinated debt

    Sextant Grand Large October 2019 38

  • October 2019Sextant Grand Large 39

    WarningsPlease note that the past performance of UCIs presented in this document is not a guarantee of future performance and may bemisleading. Performance is not constant over time. The value of the investments and the income derived therefrom may vary up or downand is not guaranteed. It is therefore possible that you will not recover the amount originally invested. Variations in exchange rates mayincrease or decrease the value of the investments and the income derived therefrom, if the reference currency of the UCI is different fromthe currency of your country of residence. UCIs whose investment policy especially targets specialised markets or sectors (like emergingmarkets) are generally more volatile than more general and diversified funds. For a volatile UCI, the fluctuations can be particularlysignificant, and the value of the investment may therefore drop sharply and significantly. The presented performance figures do not takeinto account any fees and commissions collected during the subscription and redemption of the units or shares of the UCIs concerned. Thepresented portfolios, products, or securities are subject to market fluctuations, and no guarantee can be given as to their futureperformance. The tax treatment depends on the individual situation of each investor and may be subject to changes.

    The Undertaking(s) for Collective Investment (UCI) presented above is (are) organised according to French law and regulated by theFrench financial markets authority (AMF). As the UCIs may be registered abroad for their active marketing, it is up to each investor toensure the jurisdictions in which the UCIs are actually registered. For each jurisdiction concerned, investors are urged to refer to thecharacteristics specific to each country, indicated in the “administrative characteristics” section. The issuer of this document is AmiralGestion, which is an investment management company authorised and regulated by the French Financial Markets Authority (www.amf-france.org) under number GP-04000038. The presented information is not intended to be disseminated and does not in any caseconstitute an invitation for US persons or their agents. The units or shares of the UCIs presented in this document are not and will not beregistered in the United States pursuant to the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (hereinafter the “Securities Act”), or admitted underany law of the United States. The units or shares of the said UCIs must not be offered or sold in or transferred to the United States,including its territories and possessions, or directly or indirectly benefit a “US Person”, within the meaning of Regulation S of theSecurities Act, and equivalent persons, as referred to in the US “HIRE” Act of 18 March 2010 and in the FATCA provisions. The informationcontained in this document does not constitute investment advice, an investment recommendation, or tax advice. The information doesnot presume the suitability of the presented UCIs for the needs, profile, and experience of each individual investor. In case of doubts as tothe presented information or the suitability of the UCIs as to the personal needs, and before any decision to invest, we recommend thatyou contact your financial or tax advisor. Investment in units or shares of any UCI is not risk-free. Before any subscription in an UCI, pleaseread the prospectus carefully, especially its section relating to risks, and the key investor information document (KIID). The net assetvalue (NAV)/net inventory value (NIV) is available at www.amiralgestion.com. The sources of the performance data presented in thisdocument are specified on each slide.

  • Pablo MARTÍNEZ BERNAL

    Responsable de Relación con Inversores

    M. +34 622 33 77 [email protected]

    Oficina Madrid

    Calle María de Molina, 54, 5º

    C.P. 28006

    [email protected]

    Francisco RODRÍGUEZ D’ACHILLE

    Responsable de Desarrollo de Negocio Institucional

    M. +34 674 603 869

    [email protected]