sharda cropchem - initiating coverage-sep-15-edelbreport.myiris.com/es1/shacropc_20150903.pdf ·...
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Edelweiss Research is also available on www.edelresearch.com, Bloomberg EDEL <GO>, Thomson First Call, Reuters and Factset. Edelweiss Securities Limited
India M
idcaps
Sharda Cropchem (SCC) pursues a differentiated asset‐light business model underpinned by focus on product registrations. Robust 47.2% CAGR (FY10‐15) in registration in stringent regulation geographies coupled with strong sourcing capabilities reinforce its execution credentials. Moreover, SCC is on cusp of exponential surge riding multiple triggers—rising wallet share in existing products and new launches further bolstered by expansion of in‐house sales team. We estimate revenue and PAT CAGR of 19.2% and 18.8% over FY15‐17 (FY10‐15 CAGR of 24.7% and 37.4%), respectively, with ex‐cash RoE/RoCE of >25% riding these multiple levers. We perceive re‐rating potential in light of strong product registration‐led growth, net cash balance sheet and return ratios. Initiate coverage with ‘BUY’ and target price of INR400.
Unique business model; successfully cracking stringent markets
The agrochemical industry is highly regulated across markets and registration acts as a
strong entry barrier. SCC’s product registrations and outsourced manufacturing based
business model ensures flexibility and nimble, asset‐light & low capital investments.
Bolstered by vibrant experience and requisite knowledge, the company has bagged
product registrations in stringent regulation geographies, primarily Europe and US.
Highly regulated markets entail superior margins on account of limited competition,
handsomely brightening SCC’s prospects.
Emerging global player riding multiple growth levers
The company (current share 0.28%) is tightening its girdle to corner a larger pie
(0.37%) of the USD60bn agrochemical market via aggressively registering products
across geographies. We perceive potent triggers that will propel SCC into higher
growth orbit: (1) rising wallet share in existing products; (2) new launches; and
(3) supported by expansion of in‐house sales team.
Outlook and valuations: Emerging entity; initiating with ‘BUY’
SCC is at an inflection point wherein multiple factors will trigger growth. We believe
the best is yet to come given the potent registration capability and rising participation
in the burgeoning agrochemical industry. Despite robust growth, balance sheet and
RoE/RoCE, the stock is trading at a discount to peers. Hence, we believe valuation re‐
rating is imminent. We value it at P/E of 18x FY17E and initiate coverage with ‘BUY’.
INITIATING COVERAGE
SHARDA CROPCHEMDivergent play
EDELWEISS RATINGS
Absolute Rating BUY
Investment Characteristics Growth
MARKET DATA (R: NA, B: SHCR IN)
CMP : INR 294
Target Price : INR 400
52‐week range (INR) : 408 / 217
Share in issue (mn) : 90.2
M cap (INR bn/USD mn) : 27 / 400
Avg. Daily Vol. BSE/NSE (‘000) : 629.6
SHARE HOLDING PATTERN (%)
Current Q4FY15 Q3FY15
Promoters *
75.0 75.0 75.0
MF's, FI's & BKs 12.6 13.5 14.7
FII's 7.0 5.7 3.9
Others 5.4 5.8 6.4
* Promoters pledged shares (% of share in issue)
: NIL
PRICE PERFORMANCE (%)
Sensex Stock
Stock over Sensex
1 month (9.7) (15.0) (5.3)
3 months (5.2) (5.0) 0.2
12 months (6.2) 26.9 33.1
Manish Mahawar +91 22 6623 3481
(Click on image for video)
Damodaran Kutty +91 22 6623 3302
India Equity Research| Miscellaneous
September 3, 2015
Financials
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Revenues (INR mn) 7,904 10,611 12,159 15,077
EBITDA (INR mn) 1,543 1,895 2,213 2,865
Adjusted Profi t (INR mn) 929 1,416 1,533 2,000
Adjusted Di luted EPS (INR) 10.3 15.7 17.0 22.2
Di luted P/E (x) 28.6 18.7 17.3 13.3
EV/EBITDA (x) 16.2 13.4 11.3 8.6
ROAE (%) 18.2 23.4 21.3 23.2
Miscellaneous
2 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Investment Rationale
Unique asset light business model lends flexibility
SCC, a generics agrochemical company, follows a differentiated asset‐light business model
focusing on product registrations and outsourced manufacturing. It operates in formulations
and active ingredients solely based on generic (off‐patent) molecules which have been in
use in the past, precluding investment of time and capital in basic and applied research. This
differentiates it from an innovator company which expends capital, time and resources
primarily towards R&D.
Fig. 1: Core focussed on product registrations and marketing
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Basic andapplied research
Identification RegistrationActive ingredientmanufacturing
Formulation& Packaging
Marketing& Distribution
Avoids capital andtime intensitvebasic research
Agro‐climaticknowledge of localconditions andmarket potentialdrives theidentification ofnew registrationopportunities
Regulatoryknowledge indifferent countries
Investment inregistrations anddossierpreparation
Key step to accessand sell productsin mostgeographies
Manufacture ofactive ingredient isoutsourced to awidemanufacturerbase; portfolioexpansion is easier
Intense focus onregistration basedformualtionsrather thanbuildingmanufacturingassets
Certain productsare formulatedand packed closeto customerlocations inUnited States andEurope
Global presencethrough extensivedistributionnetwork
Setting up of salesforce
SCC’s differentiated asset‐light business model, focusing on product registrations
and outsourced manufacturing ensures flexibility and helps offer a vibrant range
of products in a timely manner.
Over the years, SCC has successfully navigated the regulatory quagmire in various
geographies, equipping it to anticipate potential issues and comply with
regulatory requirements efficiently.
The company is on cusp of exponential surge riding multiple triggers—rising
wallet share in existing products and new launches further bolstered by
expansion of in‐house sales team.
SCC has refrained from acquisitions or inorganic growth over the years. The
company has built its business in tough regulatory environments via investments
in registrations funded primarily via internal accruals.
The company’s market share is likely to shoot up to 0.37% (currently 0.28%)
assuming the global agrochemical market clocks 3% CAGR over FY15‐17.
Mr. Ashish Bubna Whole‐time Director
We believe this diversification in
terms of geographies and
product portfolio reduces risks of
adverse market, seasonal
conditions or concentration and
dependence on a single
jurisdiction
Sharda Cropchem
3 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Fig. 2: SCC versus traditional business model
SCC`s business model Traditional business model
Source: Edelweiss research
The company proceeds directly with preparation of dossiers and seeks registrations after
identifying opportunities in generic (off‐patent) molecules and corresponding
formulations/active ingredients. During this identification process, SCC weighs several
factors including competition, margins, entry barriers, market size, ability to leverage it
across jurisdictions globally, marketing and the time involved to seek registrations. It then
procures formulations and generic active ingredients in the finished form from third party
manufacturers for onward sale. The company has formidable sourcing capabilities in China
anchored by decade old quality suppliers.
Fig. 3: Flexibility led by outsourced manufacturing
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
This, we believe, ensures flexibility and helps SCC offer a vibrant range of formulations as
well as generic active ingredients in a timely manner. Further, the strategy ensures a nimble,
asset‐light and low‐capital investment approach, which is both downturn resistant and
highly scalable. Moreover, it also equips the company to respond to customer needs,
expand business without significant additional fixed costs and quickly capitalise on new
dynamics/industry opportunities.
Sourcing
Active Ingredient
Formulation
(Entirely from Chinafor all geographies)
Europe & U.S.(Formulatedthrough local
players)
Latam / RoW
Formulated in China
Sales Sales Sales
Differentiated business model
ensures a nimble, asset‐light and
low‐capital investment approach,
which is both downturn resistant
and highly scalable
Miscellaneous
4 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Despite subscribing to a asset‐light business model based on product registration and
outsourced manufacturing, SCC’s margins, RoE and RoCE are at par with peers. We believe a
significant proportion of revenue comes from Europe/US which are highly regulated
markets and offer limited competition.
Table 1: Quality financials despite no manufacturing
Source: Edelweiss research
Successfully received registration on extensive domain knowledge
The agrochemical industry is highly regulated across markets and registration is an indelible
vital element of the business. Before any active ingredient (AI) or a formulated product is
sold in any country, it must receive approval or registration from relevant authorities to
verify its efficacy, safety and environmental impact for each specific crop application. This
process is expensive, time consuming and requires specific knowledge of the local
regulatory framework across local jurisdictions, regions and countries.
Further, registration is a long drawn process in difficult regulatory geographies such as
Europe and the US, which follow stringent product and environmental safety norms. In
addition, every country in EU requires specific registration for each formulation. Stricter
efficacy, safety and data requirements recently have ballooned costs of field trials and
heightened risks of commercialisation failure.
Given the complexity of the registration process which typically takes more than 4 years to
complete, EU is the toughest generics market. In EU, average cost is EUR7‐8mn per product
to register the products in first country. However, cost will be less than Euro1mn to register
the same products in subsequent countries as players have to do only few trails or tests.
Gross
Margin
(%)
EBITDA
Margin
(%)
ROE
(%)
ROCE
(%)
Sharda Cropchem 33.1 17.9 23.4 30.3
UPL 50.2 19.5 20.7 21.6
Bayer Cropscience 35.2 13.8 20.3 30.6
Rall is India 45.4 15.5 21.1 26.9
Dhanuka Agritech 37.7 17.3 28.5 33.0
P. I. Industries 42.5 29.0 29.3 37.9
FY15Manufacturing
of Formulation
Manufacturing
of active
Ingredients
Companies
Despite being outsourced
manufacturing, SCC’s margins,
RoE and ROCE are at par with the
peers
In EU, average cost is EUR7‐8mn
per product to register the
products in first country.
However, cost will be less than
Euro1mn to register the same
products in subsequent
countries.
Sharda Cropchem
5 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Fig. 4: Registrations—Expensive and time consuming process
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Over the years, SCC has successfully navigated the regulatory quagmire in various
geographies, equipping it to anticipate potential issues and comply with regulatory
requirements efficiently. The company taps into its experienced pool of consultants who
have the requisite knowledge regarding the application process followed in their respective
countries, which underscores SCC’s registrations success.
The company has successfully obtained registrations in Europe, US and has recently
ventured into Canada as well. In the highly regulated Europe market, the number of the
company’s registrations has catapulted from 40 in FY10 to 623 in FY15, a robust 73.2%
CAGR. Further 335 registrations are in the pipeline as on June, 30 2015.
Compliance Data
Toxicity
Physical
Physio Chemical
Chemical
Field Trials
Biological
Risks
Dossier
GLP Certified Laboratories Approached for Testing
Tests
Identification of relevant formulation or generic AI
Examination of data & studies conducted forapplication submission for registration in the relevantjurisdiction
In case the data is readilyavailable, agreements are
entered into with data holdersfor use
In case, the data is notavailable one has to undertake
relevant studies or tests
Toxicity
Physio ChemicalTesting
Field Trials
Risks / 5 BatchAnalysis
Determination of possible adverse effectson humans
Determine physical properties like density,pH and stability
Testing on crops cultivated in differentclimatic conditions, seasons & soilconditions
Tests purity & profiles the impurities Test are conducted in compliance with norms laid down by EPA, OECD,DG SANCO
1 2
Over the years, SCC has
successfully navigated through
the regulatory quagmire in
various geographies
Miscellaneous
6 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Chart 1: Successfully bagged registrations in highly regulated markets
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Limited competition renders highly regulated markets of Europe and US superior margin
geographies—gross margins in Europe and US are 50‐60% and 40‐50%, respectively,
versus 25‐35% in other geographies. On account of higher contribution of Europe and
NAFTA, SCC enjoys at par/premium gross/EBITDA margin versus peers despite having no
manufacturing.
Multiple levers to propel growth
SCC has clocked 24.7% revenue CAGR over FY10‐15 and estimates to achieve revenue CAGR
of 19.2% over FY15‐17. We believe the company has the following potent triggers at its
disposal which will propel it into a higher growth orbit:
(1) Rising wallet share in existing products.
(2) New product launches.
(3) Supported by expansion of in‐house sales team.
Rising wallet share in existing products
SCC has a minuscule market share in individual products currently. However, the company is
aggressively filing registrations across geographies considering the large opportunity of
global molecules. E.g., in Imidacloprid, one of the largest selling insecticides worldwide, SCC
has miniscule market share of 0.9% currently which is likely to jump in years to come.
In its top 10 products, SCC’s market share is in a paltry 0.5‐7.0% range. According to the
company, these products have market potential of INR350bn (~10% of global agrochemical
market). Hence, SCC has ample scope to improve market share in these products over the
next 3‐4 years by aggressively enhancing registrations in new geographies and competitive
pricing. Further, the company has currently registered existing products in only a few crops
and is targeting to extend (label extension) them to various crops across geographies. Top
10 products contribute ~60% to SCC’s agrochemical sales.
Management believes that revenue from existing products portfolio is likely to grow at
CAGR of 10%, out of 20‐25% of overall revenue growth over next 3‐5 years.
100
400
700
1,000
1,300
1,600
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15(No of registrations)
Europe LATAM NAFTA RoW
Highly regulated markets enjoy
superior margins as present in
limited competition geographies
In its top ten products, SCC has
market share in the range of
mere 0.5%‐7%. According to
company, these products have
market potential of INR350bn
(~10% of global agrochemical
market).
Sharda Cropchem
7 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Chart 2: Ample head room to enhance market share in large global products
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Note: Above chart is based on FY13 data
SCC’s agrochemical operations are spread over 76 countries across Europe, NAFTA, Latin
America and Rest of the World (RoW), offering a diversified range of formulations and
generic active ingredients in fungicide, herbicide, insecticide and biocide segments. Europe,
Latin America, NAFTA (Non American Free Trade Agreement) and RoW contributed 51%,
17%, 20% and 12% to the company’s FY15 agrochemical’s revenue, respectively.
Chart 3: Europe–Growth geography and key contributor (FY15)
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Despite the complexity of the registration process in EU, SCC has successfully bagged 683
registrations in Europe and has a strong pipeline of 335 registrations as on June 30, 2015.
Europe will continue to be key focus geography. SCC also intends to explore opportunities in
new markets such as Africa, Central America and Japan by leveraging its knowledge of the
generic agrochemical markets, existing dossiers and seek registrations in these markets for
distributing existing portfolio of formulations and generic active ingredients. The company
will continue to put in efforts for increasing presence in countries such as Canada where it
does not have major operations, by launching new products. Further, SCC has filed a couple
Imidacloprid
Paraquat
2,4 D Acid
Chlorpyriphos Tebuconazole
AcephateNicosulfuron
Diquat
Quizalofop
Metaldehyde0
200
400
600
800
1,000
0.0 1.5 3.0 4.5 6.0 7.5
Market size (U
SD mn)
Market share (%)
Europe51%
NAFTA20%
Latin America17%
RoW12%
Europe will continue to be key
focus geography. SCC also
intends to explore opportunities
in new markets
We believe there is ample room
for SCC to enhance its wallet
share riding its currently marginal
market share across geographies
and robust registration pipeline
Miscellaneous
8 Edelweiss Securities Limited
of registrations in large markets like Brazil and India, where it does not have significant
presence.
We believe there is ample room for SCC to enhance its wallet share riding its currently
marginal market share across geographies and robust registration pipeline.
New product launches
Currently, SCC has a product portfolio of 68, of which 38 are matured. Hence, balance 30
products have yet to be registered in many geographies. Further, it has a launch pipeline of
12‐14 products over the next 3‐4 years. Based on management estimates, these products
have opportunity size of >USD1bn globally.
Further, the company is sharpening focus on strengthening its “registration capabilities”. It
has ~50‐60 consultants along with 18‐20 employees across various geographies for product
registrations. As on June 30, 2015, the company had a pipeline of 726 registrations across
geographies.
Management believes that revenue from new products launches is likely to grow at CAGR of
10‐15%, out of 20‐25% of overall revenue growth over next 3‐5 years.
Chart 4: Registration pipeline firming up
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
0
180
360
540
720
900
As on Sept 30, 2014
As on Dec 31, 2014 As on March 31, 2015
As on June 30,2015
(No of registrations)
Europe NAFTA LATAM RoW
SCC has launch pipeline of 12‐14
products over next 3‐4 years,
entailing >USD1bn opportunity
SCC had a pipeline of 726
registrations across geographies
as on June 30, 2015
Sharda Cropchem
9 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Expansion of in‐house sales team to bolster growth
Marketing and distribution are an integral part of the agrochemical value chain. Currently,
SCC is primarily dependent on third party distributors based in Europe, NAFTA, Latin
America and RoW for distribution of formulations and active ingredients. However, the
company is expanding its own sales force comprising employees and consultants in various
countries in Europe as well as in Mexico, Columbia, South Africa, India and other
geographies, in addition to third party distributors. Since 2010, SCC has increased its sales
force to over 100 globally. Currently, it is selling only 10% of revenue via its own sales force.
We believe this will enable SCC to increase margin and portfolio penetration as well as serve
efficiently. We believe, while overhead cost is higher in case of third party distributors,
inventory requirement is lower versus own distribution. This leads to lower EBITDA margins.
However, RoCE is superior in case of third party distributors versus own sales team.
Chart 5: Sales channel Chart 6: Region‐wise distributors
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Note: Above chart is based on FY13 data
Excellent execution, efficient capital allocation
SCC, unlike other global agrochemical players, has refrained from acquisitions or inorganic
growth over the years. The company has built its business in tough regulatory environments
via investments in registrations funded primarily via internal accruals. Since incorporation,
SCC’s sole acquisition has been a 76% stake in Axis Crop Science with minimal investment,
which focuses on marketing and distribution of formulation products in India. During FY15,
the company raised its stake to 100% in Axis Crop Science.
Over the years, most of the company’s capex has been for getting registrations, which have
been funded primarily through internal accruals. However, SCC has received USD24mn in
2008 from a private equity partner which was also utilized for product registrations. It
continues to focus on utilising future cash flows to get product registrations. Simultaneously,
SCC continues to evaluate the possibility of partnerships with other companies across
different geographies which will provide it with an opportunity to enhance its portfolio of
registrations and grow in those markets. It also continues to evaluate additional markets
and product opportunities, including potential acquisitions and relationships, which we
believe will be crucial for it to enhance its presence in generic agrochemical markets.
Third party90%
Own team10%
Europe35%
LATAM32%
NAFTA12%
RoW21%
Overhead cost is higher in the
case of third party distributors.
However, inventory requirement
is lower versus own distribution.
It resulted to lower EBITDA
margin in third party distributors.
However, RoCE will be superior
versus own sales team.
SCC has built its business in
tough regulatory environments
via investments in registrations
funded primarily via internal
accruals
Miscellaneous
10 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Chart 7: RoE/RoCE improved despite large investments
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Note: Financials till FY14 are taken from red herring prospectus and these are restated numbers
Chart 8: Excellent utilisation of capital—Break up of overall cash outflow
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Note: Financials till FY14 are taken from red herring prospectus and these are restated numbers
1.0
1.8
2.6
3.4
4.2
5.0
8.0
14.4
20.8
27.2
33.6
40.0
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
(x)
(%)
Asset turnover ratio (x) RoE (ex cash and liquid investments)
RoCE (ex cash and liquid investments)
(500)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
(INR mn)
Investment in registrations Investments plus cash in hand Dividend (incl div tax)
Sharda Cropchem
11 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Eyeing larger global pie
SCC currently has a paltry 0.28% share in the USD60bn (in CY14) global agrochemical market.
It is tightening its girdle for a larger global pie via aggressively registering products across
geographies—the number of registrations catapulted at 47.2% over FY10‐15. We estimate
its market share to shoot up to 0.37% assuming global agrochemical market CAGR of 3%
over FY15‐17 and riding SCC’s multiple growth levers.
Chart 9: Large generic agrochemical players—SCC set to capture larger global pie
Source: Industry, Edelweiss research
Note: Above chart is based on CY13 data
0
600
1,200
1,800
2,400
3,000
Adam
a
Nufarm UPL
Arysta
Cheminova
Sipcam
Sharda
(USD
mn)
We have reached a milestone in
which we have established the
minimum operational scale to
make us an agile, young and
growing member of the global
crop protection industry
Mr. R. V. Bubna Chairman & Managing Director
Miscellaneous
12 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Valuation
SCC pursues a differentiated business model versus Rallis India, Bayer, Dhanuka, PI
Industries and UPL in terms of geography mix as well as focus on registrations. The company
is at an inflection point wherein multiple factors—rising wallet share in existing products,
new launches and supported by expanding in‐house sales team—will trigger growth in the
mid to long term. We believe the best is yet to come given SCC’s potent registration
capability and rising participation in the burgeoning crop protection agrochemicals industry.
We estimate SCC to post sales and PAT CAGR of 19.2% and 18.8% (FY10‐15 CAGR of 24.7%
and 37.4%), respectively, over FY15‐17, utilising the multiple growth levers at its disposal.
The company has robust operating cash flow (expected to generate INR1.5bn over FY15‐
17E), a net cash balance sheet and healthy ex cash‐RoE/RoCE (>25%).
Despite a superior growth profile, balance sheet and RoE/RoCE, the stock is trading at a
discount to peers. Hence, we perceive re‐rating potential in light of its strong product
registration led growth, net cash balance sheet and return ratios. We value it at P/E of 18x
FY17E with target price of INR400. We are valuing Bayer/PI/Rallis/UPL at 24x/22x/18x/15x
FY17E EPS, respectively. We initiate coverage with ‘BUY’.
Table 2: Peer comparison
Source: Edelweiss research
Companies CMP Mcap DPS D‐Yield
(INR) (INR bn) FY15 FY16E FY17E FY15 FY16E FY17E FY15 FY16E FY17E FY15 FY16E FY17E FY15 %
Sharda Cropchem 294 27 15.7 17.0 22.2 52.5 8.2 30.4 18.7 17.3 13.3 23.4 21.3 23.2 2.5 0.9
Dhanuka Agritech 467 23 21.2 21.6 29.9 13.9 2.2 38.3 22.0 21.6 15.6 33.0 30.9 35.9 4.5 1.0
Bayer Cropscience 3,864 142 104.8 134.4 166.2 28.3 28.3 23.6 36.9 28.7 23.3 20.3 22.0 22.6 17.0 0.4
Rall is India 205 40 8.3 9.3 11.9 (0.9) 11.8 28.1 24.7 22.1 17.2 21.1 21.1 23.6 2.5 1.2
PI Industries 712 96 17.1 21.2 30.0 23.5 24.4 41.3 41.7 33.5 23.7 29.3 28.5 31.3 2.5 0.4
United Phosphorus 531 228 26.9 31.5 39.4 9.6 17.2 25.1 19.8 16.9 13.5 20.7 21.4 22.5 5.0 0.9
EPS (INR) EPS Growth (%) P/E ROE (%)
We believe the best is yet to come given SCC’s potent registration capability and
rising participation in the burgeoning crop protection agrochemicals industry.
Despite a superior growth profile, balance sheet and RoE/RoCE, the stock is
trading at a discount to peers. Hence, we perceive re‐rating potential in light of its
strong product registration‐led growth, net cash balance sheet and return ratios.
We value SCC at P/E of 18x FY17E EPS. We are valuing Bayer/PI/Rallis/UPL at
24x/22x/18x/15x FY17E EPS, respectively.
Sharda Cropchem
13 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Key Risks
Weather: The crop protection industry has to contend with the vagaries of nature.
Inclement weather can trigger pest infestations as well as affect demand for crop‐protection
products. Adverse weather conditions in SCC’s regions will negatively affect the company’s
sales. Further, delayed or adverse monsoon could negatively affect collection of receivables.
However, we believe SCC has presence in over 76 countries which minimises country
specific risk and its impact on overall financials.
Genetically modified (GM) crops: The use of crop protection products is significantly less for
GM crops. Hence, growth and acceptance of GM crops by consumers may adversely affect
SCC’s business.
Adverse currency movement: SCC deals in multiple currencies across geographies. Ergo, any
sharp movement could impact the company’s earnings adversely. Further, its relatively long
receivables cycle enhances the currency volatility risk. However, we believe it can pass on
the impact to customers to some extent with a lag. Moreover, SCC’s sales and purchases are
in EUR/ USD and USD, respectively. Hence, it provides natural hedge to significant extent.
However, we see major currency risk in term of EUR‐USD movement.
Regulatory risk: SCC operates in a highly regulated sector; if it fails to comply with
regulations prescribed by authorities, the company’s financials could be adversely affected.
Any negative regulatory changes could adversely impact the industry as well as SCC.
Dependence on Chinese suppliers: SCC is predominantly dependent on Chinese vendors for
its sourcing. Issues like adverse movement in Chinese currency, rising labour costs and
heightened costs of environmental compliance could significantly impact the
competitiveness of Chinese manufacturers. This, in turn, could affect SCC’s sourcing
capabilities. However, the company claims that it has long standing relationships with
suppliers and such challenges will not impact it materially. Further, SCC has 2‐3 suppliers for
individual products which reduce the dependency on single product.
Miscellaneous
14 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Company Description
SCC is a crop protection chemical company marketing and distributing a wide range of
formulations and active ingredients globally. It also procures and supplies belts, general
chemicals, dyes and dye intermediates. Agrochemical and non‐agrochemical businesses
contributed 82% and 18% to FY15 sales, respectively.
Chart 10: Revenue break up (FY15)
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
The company commenced operations via 2 sole proprietary firms, each set up by Mr.
Ramprakash V. Bubna and Ms. Sharda R. Bubna. After incorporation as Sharda Worldwide
Exports in 2004, the generic agrochemical and non‐agrochemical businesses conducted by
both the firms were transferred to the company. The company’s name was changed to
Sharda Cropchem and it was converted into a public limited company in FY14.
Agrochemicals82%
Non‐agrochemicals
18%
SCC is a crop protection chemical company marketing and distributing a wide
range of formulations and active ingredients globally.
The company came out with an IPO in September 2014 at INR145‐156/share and
received overwhelming response—subscribed ~60x.
It has 1,488 registrations across geographies as on June 30, 2015.
Management team has rich experience in agriculture and agrochemical industry.
Sharda Cropchem
15 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Fig. 5: SCC—The journey
Source: Company
Initially, the company was predominantly involved in trading of agrochemical products.
However, it started acquiring registrations aggressively aided by investments from
Henderson Equity Partners (HEP) in 2008. HEP subscribed to 1.7mn equity shares (10% of
shareholding) for INR600mn in March 2008 and 1.1mn equity shares (6% of shareholding)
for INR400mn in May 2008. SCC came out with an IPO in September 2014 with Henderson
Equity Partners selling its entire 15.87% stake and with promoters offering 9.13% stake to
comply with SEBI norm of promoter holding below 75%; there was no fresh issuance of
shares. IPO came at INR145‐156/share and received overwhelming response—subscribed
~60x.
Over the years, SCC has primarily grown organically and its core strength lies in identifying
generic molecules, preparing dossiers, seeking registrations, marketing & distributing
formulations or generic active ingredients in fungicide, herbicide & insecticide segments.
The company has recently entered the biocide segment and has acquired several
registrations from existing registration holders, primarily, in Europe. As on June 30, 2015,
the company owns 1,284 and 204 registrations for formulations and generic active
ingredients, respectively, across Europe, NAFTA, Latin America and RoW. It has 1,488
registrations across geographies as on June 30, 2015.
Incorporated as a privatelimited company
Acquired the businesses of the sole proprietary concerns, M/s. Sharda International and M/s. Bubna Enterprises
Commenced obtaining registrations in the
United States
HEP subscribed to 2,864,099Equity Shares for an aggregate considerationof INR1bn
Acquired 76%shareholding in
Axis Crop Science
Sharda InternationalFZE (subsidiary) was mergedwith the Company
Name changed from ShardaWorldwide Exports
to Sharda Cropchem Pvt Ltdand thereafter to
Sharda Cropchem Ltd, upon conversion to a public
company
Acquired remaining24% shareholding inAxis Crop Science
2004
2006
2008
2011
2012
2013
2014
Miscellaneous
16 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Chart 11: Well diversified—Number of registrations in terms of geographies
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Note: Data as on June 30, 2015
Chart 12: Well diversified—Number of registrations in terms of value chain
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Note: Data as on June 30, 2015
SCC’s revenue is well diversified in terms of geographies. Europe, NAFTA, Latin America and
RoW contributed 47%, 20%, 18% and 15%, respectively, to FY15 revenue.
683
77
395
333
Europe NAFTA LATAM RoW
46%
5%
27%
22%
Active Ingredients
14%
Formulations86%
Sharda Cropchem
17 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Chart 13: Geography‐wise sales
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
SCC’s management team has rich experience in the agriculture and agrochemical industry.
Table 3: Management profile
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Europe47%
NAFTA20%
Latin America18%
RoW15%
Key personnel Profile
Mr.Ramprakash V. Bubna, Chairman
and Managing Director
Holds a bachelor’s degree of Technology in Chemical Engineering from Indian Institute of
Technology, Bombay. He has 45 years of experience in the chemicals, agrochemicals and
related businesses. He is responsible for the company’s overall business operations and
strategy. Earlier, he has been associated with Tata Oil Mills, Zenith, Piramal Rasayan,
Coromandel International and Zuari Agrochemicals.
Mr.Ashish R. Bubna, Executive
Director
Has 22 years of experience in the marketing of chemicals, agrochemicals and related
businesses. He has been instrumental in strategising early investment in product
registrations and building l ibrary of dossiers. He is responsible for marketing,
procurement, registrations and logistics function of agrochemical business.
Mr.Manish R. Bubna, Executive
Director
He has 20 years of experience in the chemicals, agrochemicals and related businesses.
He has spearheaded SCC’s foray into the conveyor belt and general chemicals business.
He also oversees the information technology, logistics and documentation functions.
Miscellaneous
18 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Industry Overview
Global market
The global agrochemical (excluding non crop) industry posted CY01‐14 CAGR of 7% and is
worth USD60bn. In 2007, crop prices began to rise and spiked substantially in 2008,
catapulting the agriculture economy. However, in 2009, crop prices tumbled triggered by
the severe down turn in the global economy following the banking crisis in Europe and US.
This, coupled with a major reduction in glyphosate prices (largest selling herbicide) following
increased supply from Chinese companies, resulted in the overall value of the global crop
protection market declining. The global agrochemical industry is likely to post ~3% CAGR
over CY14‐18 driven by primarily Asia, Middle East and Africa.
Chart 14: Global agrochemicals industry
Source: Industry, Edelweiss research
Agrochemicals are necessary to avoid losses due to weeds, fungal disease and insect
infestations to crops. According to Cheminova (global generic crop protection player), 30‐
50% of crops are saved by use of agrochemicals globally. The global agrochemical industry is
well diversified in terms of geographies as well as product segments.
(9.0)
(2.2)
4.6
11.4
18.2
25.0
20.0
29.6
39.2
48.8
58.4
68.0
CY01
CY02
CY03
CY04
CY05
CY06
CY07
CY08
CY09
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
CY14
(%)
(USD
bn)
Industry Size (USD bn) YoY gr (%) (RHS)
The global agrochemical (excluding non‐crop) industry posted CY01‐14 CAGR of
7% and is worth USD60bn.
It is estimated to post ~3% CAGR over CY14‐18 driven by primarily Asia, Middle
East and Africa.
Crop protection industry players are categorised into innovators and generics.
Patented products contribute only ~25% to the global crop protection market,
balance market is off‐patented (generics). However, 45% of the generic market is
still controlled by innovator companies. Hence, we believe it will be an attractive
opportunity for generic players in the future.
Sharda Cropchem
19 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Chart 15: Geography‐wise global agrochemicals market
Source: Industry, Edelweiss research
Chart 16: Break‐up of global agrochemical market in terms of product segments
Source: Industry, Edelweiss research
Crop protection industry players are categorised into innovators and generics. Innovators
are research & development patented product‐based players like Bayer, Syngenta, BASF,
Monsanto, Dow and Dupont. Off‐patented products‐based players are termed generic
players. Their key strength is low‐cost manufacturing and a wide distribution network. As
per a Philips McDougall Report (2007), while patented products contribute only ~25% to the
global crop protection market, balance market is off‐patented (generics). However, 45% of
the generic market is still controlled by innovator companies. Hence, we believe it will be an
attractive opportunity for generic players in the future.
Latin America26%
Europe25%
NAFTA18%
Asia27%
Middle East/Africa
4%
2013
Herbicide44%
Insecticide 27%
Fungicide26%
Others3%
2013
Herbicide43%
Insecticide 27%
Fungicide27%
Others3%
2018
Latin America26%
Europe25%NAFTA
17%
Asia28%
Middle East/Africa
4%
2018
Miscellaneous
20 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Chart 17: Global patented and off‐patented market Chart 18: Share of innovators in off‐patented market
Source: Philips McDougall, Edelweiss research
One of the defining characteristics of the crop protection industry over the previous few
decades has been the degree of consolidation. This can be attributed to several factors, one
of the most important of which has been an apparent lack of growth opportunities.
Chart 19: Moderating growth triggered industry consolidation
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Patented25%
Off patented75%
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
12.0
15.0
1960‐69 1970‐79 1980‐89 1990‐99 2000‐09 2010‐12
(%)
Generic Players55%
Innovators45%
Sharda Cropchem
21 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Table 4: Global agrochemical industry structure
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Domestic market
According to the industry, the domestic agrochemicals sector posted 14‐year CAGR (FY01‐
15) of 7‐8% and is worth INR130bn currently. It is expected to post 10‐12% CAGR in the near
term riding increasing food consumption, rising MSP, sharpened government focus and
mounting cost of labour. In India, consumption of agrochemicals is well below the global
standard.
Chart 20: Consumption pattern of agrochemicals
Source: Industry, Edelweiss research
Further, 18‐20% of crops are saved due to use of agrochemical products in India. Major
agrochemicals consuming states are from southern and western belts. Paddy (rice) followed
by cotton are major agrochemicals consuming crops.
Market Share
Region >15% 15%‐5% 5%‐1% 1%‐0.5% <0.5%
Europe Bayer, Syngenta BASF Cheminova Sipcam Oxon Isagro, Helm,Phyteurop
USA Dow,
Monsanto,
DuPont
FMC Gowan,
Albaugh
Japan Sumitomo chemical,
Arysta
Ishihara, Nihon
Nohyaku, Nippon
Soda, Nissan,
Mitusi Kumiai
Hokko, Agro Kanesho, SDS
Biotech, Otsuka, Nippon
Kayaku, Kyoyu Agri
Others UPL,
Nufarm,
Adama
Sinochem Rotam, Rallis, Sinon, Excel,
Wynka Red, Sun, Gharda
Agro‐ chemicals Industry Structure – 2013*
0
4
8
13
17
21
Taiwan China Japan US Korea France UK Pakistan India
(Per kg/Hectare)
Miscellaneous
22 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Financial Outlook
Healthy growth momentum coupled with stable EBITDA margin
SCC has posted robust sales CAGR of 24.7% over FY10‐15 primarily driven by volumes on
account of new product launches and addition of new geographies. During FY15, adverse
currency movement in Europe took a toll on the company’s revenue, as it is the largest
contributing geography. Despite this, SCC reported strong revenue growth of 34.2% YoY in
FY15. The company has guided for volume growth of 15‐20% in FY16 considering challenging
market conditions in the global agrochemical market, especially Europe. Management has
guided for 20‐25% revenue CAGR over next 3‐5 years. Of this, 10% growth will be driven by
existing products and new products will drive incremental 10‐15% growth.
We have assumed revenue growth of 14.6% YoY in FY16 on account of single digit growth in
Europe led by adverse currency movement. However, we have considered constant
currency growth of 16% YoY in FY16. We estimate the company to post 19.2% sales CAGR
over FY15‐17 on account of:
rising wallet share in existing products.
new product launches.
Further supported by expanding in‐house sales team.
Management has guided for 20‐25% revenue CAGR over next 3‐5 years. 10%
growth will be driven by existing products and new products will drive
incremental 10‐15% growth.
SCC reported sustainable EBITDA margin of 18‐20% over FY10‐15. We have
considered 18‐19% EBITDA margin over FY15‐17 in our estimate.
The company follows a policy of a amortizing its product registration charges on a
straight line basis over five years versus UPL’s 15 years.
SCC has superior asset turnover ratios which led to strong return ratios versus
peers.
SCC has healthy RoE/RoCE (>25%) and we believe its cash flow will improve
significantly going forward.
Management has guided for 20‐
25% revenue CAGR over next 3‐5
years. Out of this, 10% of growth
will be driven by existing
products and increment growth
of 10‐15% will be driven by
introduction of new products.
Sharda Cropchem
23 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Chart 21: Robust revenue surge to sustain
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Note: Financials till FY14 are taken from red herring prospectus and these are restated numbers
We believe the highly regulated markets of Europe and US are superior margin geographies
as competition is limited. Gross margins in Europe and US are 50‐60% and 40‐50%,
respectively, versus 25‐35% in other geographies. On account of higher contribution from
Europe and NAFTA, SCC enjoys at par/premium margin versus peers despite having no
manufacturing.
Table 5: Strong EBIT margin
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
SCC reported sustainable EBITDA margin of 18‐20% over FY10‐15. We have considered 18‐
19% EBITDA margin over FY15‐17 in our estimate. We estimate, EBITDA and PAT to grow at
CAGR of 23.0% and 18.8%, respectively, over FY15‐17 primarily driven by strong revenue
stream led by multiple levers. The company has superior asset turnover ratios which led to
strong return ratios versus peers.
Table 6: Superior asset turnover ratio
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Note: We have considered fixed assets plus net working capital to calculate asset turnover ratio
0.0
9.0
18.0
27.0
36.0
45.0
0
3,500
7,000
10,500
14,000
17,500
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
(%)
(INR mn)
Europe NAFTA Latin America RoW % Gr (RHS)
Particulars FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Sharda Cropchem 9.8 13.0 13.3 15.9 15.7 15.6 16.5
Bayer Cropscience 8.9 9.6 11.3 11.2 13.1 14.4 15.1
PI Industries 14.1 14.9 13.8 16.1 16.6 17.3 18.9
Rall is India 16.0 14.4 12.6 13.3 12.7 12.9 13.7
Dhanuka Agritech 14.5 14.2 13.3 15.7 16.6 15.8 17.2
UPL 14.9 14.0 14.2 15.0 16.0 16.7 17.3
Particulars FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Sharda Cropchem 1.8 2.4 2.7 2.7 3.1 2.7 2.7
Bayer Cropscience 3.5 4.4 4.5 3.4 3.9 4.8 4.9
PI Industries 1.9 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.6
Rall is India 3.6 2.3 2.1 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.3
Dhanuka Agritech 2.6 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.4
UPL 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8
On account of higher
contribution of Europe and
NAFTA, SCC enjoys at
par/premium margin versus
peers despite having no
manufacturing
SCC has superior asset turnover
ratios
Miscellaneous
24 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Table 7: Robust RoCE
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
SCC follows a policy of a amortizing its product registration charges on a straight line basis
over five years. Product registration charges generally include costs incurred towards
creating product dossiers, fees paid to registration consultants, application fees to the
ministries, data compensation charges etc. Its peer UPL however follows a policy of
amortizing expenditure incurred on product acquisitions over a period of 15 years on a
straight line basis.
Chart 22: Stable margins Chart 23: Robust PAT growth trajectory
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Note: Financials till FY14 are taken from red herring prospectus and these are restated numbers
Strong balance sheet coupled with healthy return ratios
SCC has a strong balance sheet with minimal gross debt. The company has only short‐term
borrowings of INR0.4bn as on March 31, 2015, which are primarily working capital loans.
However, its current investment and cash balance stand at INR1.6bn.
Particulars (Pre‐tax %) FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Sharda Cropchem 16.0 23.5 24.2 25.0 30.3 29.0 32.3
Bayer Cropscience 29.0 33.5 27.7 24.8 30.6 33.6 34.4
PI Industries 27.0 26.5 25.3 34.9 37.9 39.7 44.0
Rall is India 35.7 28.7 26.6 30.5 26.9 27.8 31.4
Dhanuka Agritech 38.3 31.2 30.7 36.1 33.0 30.9 35.9
UPL 16.8 16.6 16.7 19.5 21.6 24.2 26.5
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
24.0
500
1,100
1,700
2,300
2,900
3,500
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16E
FY17E
(%)
(INR mn)
EBITDA EBITDA % (RHS)
5.0
22.0
39.0
56.0
73.0
90.0
300
700
1,100
1,500
1,900
2,300
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16E
FY17E
(%)
(INR mn)
PAT Growth % (RHS)
SCC follows a policy of a
amortizing its product
registration charges on a straight
line basis over five years versus
UPL’s 15 years
Sharda Cropchem
25 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Chart 24: Net cash balance sheet
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Note: Financials till FY14 are taken from red herring prospectus and these are restated numbers
The company has healthy RoE/RoCE (>25%) and we believe its cash flow will improve
significantly going forward. On account of rising cash level, SCC has started paying dividend
from FY13—payout stood at 16% in FY15.
Chart 25: Healthy return ratios Chart 26: Cash‐flows set to improve
Source: Company, Edelweiss research
Note: Financials till FY14 are taken from red herring prospectus and these are restated numbers
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
(INR mn)
Gross debt Cash & Cash equivalents
10.0
16.0
22.0
28.0
34.0
40.0
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
(%)
Pre‐tax RoE (%) Pre‐tax RoCE (%)
(200)
240
680
1,120
1,560
2,000
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
(INR mn)
Operating cashflow Free cashflow
Miscellaneous
26 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Financial Statements
Key assumptions
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Macro GDP(Y‐o‐Y %) 6.9 7.4 8.0 8.7
Inflation (Avg) 9.5 5.9 5.0 5.0
Repo rate (exit rate) 8.0 7.5 6.8 6.5
USD/INR (Avg) 60.5 61.2 64.5 65.0
Company Sales growth YoY (%)
Europe 33.7 35.2 5.0 24.0
NAFTA (15.2) 67.3 23.0 24.0
Latin America (28.6) 18.1 23.0 24.0
RoW 8.0 19.4 23.0 24.0
Cost Assumptions
Raw Material Cost as % Net Rev. 65.0 66.9 67.0 66.8
Employee expenses as % Net Rev. 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2
Other Expenses as % Net Revenue 13.2 12.9 12.5 12.0
Financial Assumptions
Deprec. rate as % of avg. gross block 12.2 8.6 9.5 9.3
Int. rate as % of avg. gross debt 3.2 2.0 5.3 NA
Tax rate as % of PBT 32.3 27.0 28.0 28.0
Capex (INR mn) (855) (801) (762) (750)
Net borrowings (INR mn) (1,509) (1,180) (1,528) (1,996)
Receivable (days) 185 156 165 165
Inventory (days) 57 72 72 72
Payable (days) 219 171 179 178
Cash conversion cycle (dayes) 23 57 58 59
Income statement (INR mn)
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Net revenues 7,904 10,611 12,159 15,077
Raw material costs 5,140 7,101 8,146 10,071
Gross profit 2,763 3,510 4,012 5,006
Employee expenses 181 246 280 332
Other expenses 1,039 1,369 1,520 1,809
Operating expenses 1,221 1,615 1,800 2,141
Total expenditure 6,361 8,716 9,946 12,212
EBITDA 1,543 1,895 2,213 2,865
Depreciation & amortisation 289 233 313 377
EBIT 1,253 1,662 1,899 2,487
Less: Interest Expense 14 8 10 10
Add: Other income 132 287 240 300
Profit Before Tax 1,372 1,941 2,129 2,777
Less: Provision for Tax 443 524 596 778
Add: Exceptional items (net of tax) 182 (187) 74 ‐
Reported Profit 1,111 1,230 1,607 2,000
Less: Exceptional Items (Net of Tax) 182 (187) 74 ‐
Adjusted Profit 929 1,416 1,533 2,000
No. of Shares outstanding (mn) 90.2 90.2 90.2 90.2
Adjusted Basic EPS 10.3 15.7 17.0 22.2
No. of Dil. shares outstanding (mn) 90.2 90.2 90.2 90.2
Adjusted Diluted EPS 10.3 15.7 17.0 22.2
Adjusted Cash EPS 13.9 19.5 20.5 26.3
Dividend per share (DPS) 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5
Dividend Payout Ratio (%) 19.0 22.1 20.2 18.9
Common size metrics (% net revenues)
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Gross margin 35.0 33.1 33.0 33.2
Operating expenses 15.4 15.2 14.8 14.2
EBITDA margins 19.5 17.9 18.2 19.0
EBIT margin 15.9 15.7 15.6 16.5
Interest 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Net profit margin 11.8 13.3 12.6 13.3
Growth metrics (%)
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Revenues 1.6 34.2 14.6 24.0
EBITDA 10.2 22.8 16.8 29.5
PBT 25.2 41.4 9.7 30.4
Net profit 22.0 52.5 8.2 30.4
EPS 22.0 52.5 8.2 30.4
Sharda Cropchem
27 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Balance sheet (INR mn)
As on 31st March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Share capital 902 902 902 902
Reserves & surplus 4,655 5,643 6,925 8,546
Shareholder equity 5,557 6,545 7,827 9,448
Total Borrowings 399 381 ‐ ‐
Long Term Liabilities & Provisions 2 5 5 5
Deferred Tax Liability (net) 102 215 215 215
Sources of funds 6,061 7,147 8,048 9,669
Intangible assets 621 868 1,305 1,678
Tangible assets 19 15 15 15
Capital work in progress 1,335 1,488 1,500 1,500
Total Fixed Assets 1,975 2,371 2,820 3,193
Non current investments 53 90 90 90
Cash and cash equivalents 1,909 1,561 1,528 1,996
Inventories 808 1,396 1,607 1,987
Sundry debtors 4,002 4,544 5,496 6,816
Loans and advances 291 491 491 491
Other Current Assets 104 12 12 12
Total current assets (ex cash) 5,205 6,443 7,606 9,305
Trade payable 2,049 2,281 2,678 3,311
Other Current Liab. & ST Prov. 1,032 1,038 1,318 1,605
Total current liabilities & prov. 3,081 3,319 3,997 4,916
Net Current Assets (ex cash) 2,124 3,124 3,610 4,389
Uses of funds 6,061 7,147 8,048 9,669
Book value per share (INR) 62 73 87 105
Free cash flow (INR mn)
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Reported Profit 1,111 1,230 1,607 2,000
Add: Depreciation 289 233 313 377
Interest (Net of Tax) 10 6 8 8
Others 43 (279) ‐ ‐
Less: Changes in WC (120) 723 486 780
Operating cash flow 1,563 461 1,435 1,597
Less: Capex 855 801 762 750
Free cash flow 708 (340) 673 847
Cash flow metrics
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Operating cash flow 1,563 461 1,435 1,597
Financing cash flow (191) (212) (706) (379)
Investing cash flow (1,508) 237 (762) (750)
Net cash flow (136) 486 (33) 469
Capex (855) (801) (762) (750)
Dividends paid 105 211 325 379
Profitability ratios
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Pre‐tax Return on Capital Employed 25.0 30.3 29.0 32.3
Return on Average Equity (ROAE) (%) 18.2 23.4 21.3 23.2
Current ratio 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.3
Quick ratio 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5
Cash ratio 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4
Debtors Days 185 156 165 165
Inventory Days 57 72 72 72
Payable Days 219 171 179 178
Cash Conversion Cycle 23 57 58 59
Operating ratios (x)
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Total asset turnover 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.7
Fixed asset turnover 12.3 13.9 11.0 10.0
Equity turnover 1.5 1.8 1.7 1.7
Valuation parameters
Year to March FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Adjusted Diluted EPS (INR) 10.3 15.7 17.0 22.2
Y‐o‐Y growth (%) 22.0 52.5 8.2 30.4
Adjusted Cash EPS (INR) 13.9 19.5 20.5 26.3
Diluted Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E) ( 28.6 18.7 17.3 13.3
Price to Book Ratio (P/B) (x) 4.8 4.1 3.4 2.8
Enterprise Value / Sales (x) 3.2 2.4 2.1 1.6
Enterprise Value / EBITDA (x) 16.2 13.4 11.3 8.6
Dividend Yield (%) 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2
Miscellaneous
28 Edelweiss Securities Limited
Holding Top ‐10
Perc. Holding Perc. Holding
DSP Blackrock 4.06 L&T Investment Management 1.51
HDFC Asset Management Co Ltd 2.66 UTI Asset Management 0.86
SBI Funds Management 1.95 Reliance Capital Trustee 0.62
Goldman Sachs 1.92 USAA Investment Management 0.52
Pinebridge Investments‐Asia 1.53 Morgan Stanley Investment Management 0.44
*as per last available data
Insider Trades Reporting Data Acquired / Seller B/S Qty Traded
No data available
*as per last available data
Bulk Deals Data Acquired / Seller B/S Qty Traded Price
23 Sep 2014 MILLENNIUM STOCK BROKING PVT LTD Sell 1019582 239.18
23 Sep 2014 MILLENNIUM STOCK BROKING PVT LTD Buy 1019582 238.74
23 Sep 2014 MARWADI SHARES AND FINANCE LIMITED Sell 928657 247.88
23 Sep 2014 MARWADI SHARES AND FINANCE LIMITED Buy 928657 245.82
*as per last available data
Additional Data
Directors Data Ramprakash V. Bubna Chairman and MD Sharda R. Bubna Executive Director
Ashish R. Bubna Executive Director Manish R. Bubna Executive Director
M.S. Sundara Rajan Independent and Non‐Executive Director Urvashi Saxena Independent and Non‐Executive Director
Shitin Desai Independent and Non‐Executive Director P.R. Srinivasan Independent and Non‐Executive Director
Shobhan Thakore Independent and Non‐Executive Director
Auditors ‐ S.R. Batliboi & Co.
*as per last available data
Sharda Cropchem
29 Edelweiss Securities Limited
`
200
250
300
350
400
450
Sep‐14
Oct‐14
Nov‐14
Nov‐14
Dec‐14
Jan‐15
Jan‐15
Feb‐15
Mar‐15
Mar‐15
Apr‐15
May‐15
Jun‐15
Jun‐15
Jul‐15
Aug‐15
Aug‐15
(INR)
Edelweiss Securities Limited, Edelweiss House, off C.S.T. Road, Kalina, Mumbai – 400 098.
Board: (91‐22) 4009 4400, Email: [email protected]
Nirav Sheth
Head Research
Coverage group(s) of stocks by primary analyst(s): Miscellaneous
Agro Tech Foods, Bayer Cropscience, CCL Products India, Dhanuka Agritech, Jain Irrigation, PI Industries, Rallis India, Supreme Industries, Solar Industries,
UPL.
Distribution of Ratings / Market Cap
Edelweiss Research Coverage Universe
Rating Distribution* 155 45 8 208* stocks under review
Market Cap (INR) 151 54 3
> 50bn Between 10bn and 50 bn < 10bn
Date Company Title Price (INR) Recos
Buy Hold Reduce Total
Recent Research
01‐Sep‐15 Agro Tech Foods
Structural play; Visit Note
601 Buy
28‐Aug‐15 PI Industries Innovation, expansion to drive growth; Visit Note
700 Hold
13‐Aug‐15 Dhanuka Agritech
Growth pangs; Result Update
547 Buy
Rating Interpretation
Buy appreciate more than 15% over a 12‐month period
Hold appreciate up to 15% over a 12‐month period
Reduce depreciate more than 5% over a 12‐month period
Rating Expected to
One year price chart
Miscellaneous
30 Edelweiss Securities Limited
DISCLAIMER
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ESL and its associates, officer, directors, and employees, research analyst (including relatives) worldwide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the Securities, mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such Securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the subject company/company(ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender/borrower to such company(ies) or have other potential/material conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions at the time of publication of research report or at the time of public appearance. ESL may have proprietary long/short position in the above mentioned scrip(s) and therefore should be considered as interested. The views provided herein are general in nature and do not consider risk appetite or investment objective of any particular investor; readers are requested to take independent professional advice before investing. This should not be construed as invitation or solicitation to do business with ESL.
Sharda Cropchem
31 Edelweiss Securities Limited
ESL or its associates may have received compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months. ESL or its associates may have managed or co‐managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past 12 months. ESL or its associates may have received compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months. ESL or its associates may have received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months. ESL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the Subject Company or third party in connection with the research report. Research analyst or his/her relative or ESL’s associates may have financial interest in the subject company. ESL and/or its Group Companies, their Directors, affiliates and/or employees may have interests/ positions, financial or otherwise in the Securities/Currencies and other investment products mentioned in this report. ESL, its associates, research analyst and his/her relative may have other potential/material conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions at the time of publication of research report or at the time of public appearance.
Participants in foreign exchange transactions may incur risks arising from several factors, including the following: ( i) exchange rates can be volatile and are subject to large fluctuations; ( ii) the value of currencies may be affected by numerous market factors, including world and national economic, political and regulatory events, events in equity and debt markets and changes in interest rates; and (iii) currencies may be subject to devaluation or government imposed exchange controls which could affect the value of the currency. Investors in securities such as ADRs and Currency Derivatives, whose values are affected by the currency of an underlying security, effectively assume currency risk.
Research analyst has served as an officer, director or employee of subject Company: No
ESL has financial interest in the subject companies: No
ESL’s Associates may have actual / beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities of the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of research report.
Research analyst or his/her relative has actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities of the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of research report: No
ESL has actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities of the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of research report: No
Subject company may have been client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report.
There were no instances of non‐compliance by ESL on any matter related to the capital markets, resulting in significant and material disciplinary action during the last three years except that ESL had submitted an offer of settlement with Securities and Exchange commission, USA (SEC) and the same has been accepted by SEC without admitting or denying the findings in relation to their charges of non registration as a broker dealer.
A graph of daily closing prices of the securities is also available at www.nseindia.com
Analyst Certification:
The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
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Disclaimer for U.S. Persons
This research report is a product of Edelweiss Securities Limited, which is the employer of the research analyst(s) who has prepared the research report. The research analyst(s) preparing the research report is/are resident outside the United States (U.S.) and are not associated persons of any U.S. regulated broker‐dealer and therefore the analyst(s) is/are not subject to supervision by a U.S. broker‐dealer, and is/are not required to satisfy the regulatory licensing requirements of FINRA or required to otherwise comply with U.S. rules or regulations regarding, among other things, communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account.
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Miscellaneous
32 Edelweiss Securities Limited
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This research report is a product of Edelweiss Securities Limited ("ESL"), which is the employer of the research analysts who have prepared the research report. The research analysts preparing the research report are resident outside the Canada and are not associated persons of any Canadian registered adviser and/or dealer and, therefore, the analysts are not subject to supervision by a Canadian registered adviser and/or dealer, and are not required to satisfy the regulatory licensing requirements of the Ontario Securities Commission, other Canadian provincial securities regulators, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada and are not required to otherwise comply with Canadian rules or regulations regarding, among other things, the research analysts' business or relationship with a subject company or trading of securities by a research analyst. This report is intended for distribution by ESL only to "Permitted Clients" (as defined in National Instrument 31‐103 ("NI 31‐103")) who are resident in the Province of Ontario, Canada (an "Ontario Permitted Client"). If the recipient of this report is not an Ontario Permitted Client, as specified above, then the recipient should not act upon this report and should return the report to the sender. Further, this report may not be copied, duplicated and/or transmitted onward to any Canadian person. ESL is relying on an exemption from the adviser and/or dealer registration requirements under NI 31‐103 available to certain international advisers and/or dealers. Please be advised that (i) ESL is not registered in the Province of Ontario to trade in securities nor is it registered in the Province of Ontario to provide advice with respect to securities; (ii) ESL's head office or principal place of business is located in India; (iii) all or substantially all of ESL's assets may be situated outside of Canada; (iv) there may be difficulty enforcing legal rights against ESL because of the above; and (v) the name and address of the ESL's agent for service of process in the Province of Ontario is: Bamac Services Inc., 181 Bay Street, Suite 2100, Toronto, Ontario M5J 2T3 Canada. Disclaimer for Singapore Persons
In Singapore, this report is being distributed by Edelweiss Investment Advisors Private Limited ("EIAPL") (Co. Reg. No. 201016306H) which is a holder of a capital markets services license and an exempt financial adviser in Singapore and (ii) solely to persons who qualify as "institutional investors" or "accredited investors" as defined in section 4A(1) of the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore ("the SFA"). Pursuant to regulations 33, 34, 35 and 36 of the Financial Advisers Regulations ("FAR"), sections 25, 27 and 36 of the Financial Advisers Act, Chapter 110 of Singapore shall not apply to EIAPL when providing any financial advisory services to an accredited investor (as defined in regulation 36 of the FAR. Persons in Singapore should contact EIAPL in respect of any matter arising from, or in connection with this publication/communication. This report is not suitable for private investors.
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