shippers’ meeting - grtgaz · shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 important maintenances in 2014...
TRANSCRIPT
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
Shippers’ Meeting
Works
January 29th, 2015
1
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
1.Overview 2014
2.North to South link availability and
visibility
3.2015 maintenance schedule
12:00 Cocktail lunch
2
Agenda
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
Overview 2014
3
Aurore Blot
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
Important Maintenances in 2014
Minimizing the impact of maintenance
A reliable maintenance schedule
About maintenance publication
4
Agenda
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
2
3
1
Montoir
Dunkirk
Taisnières
Obergailbach
Oltingue
Fos
5
Important maintenances in 2014
• transit from North to South zone
• take away gas from North PIRs
• evacuate gas from Fos / supply South zone
• Taisnières H counting system
• Cuvilly interconnection
• Voisines compressor counting system
• Plateau du Vexin pipe
• Nord-Est pipe
2 major piggings
3 major repairs
3 major upgrades
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
How?
When?
Why?
Where?
GRTgaz sometimes release capacity
As soon as GRTgaz has the information
Pipe inspection and repair
Obergailbach in August
Project planning update
Dunkirk in May
Flow configuration
(Terminal flow schedule)
North-to-South link
6
Minimizing the impact of maintenance
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 7
A reliable maintenance schedule
Rate of firm variation capacity
February publication –VS – capacity effectively proposed
Target : 0%
A more and more reliable maintenance planification
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
12,3%
2,4% 2,4% 2,3%
3,5%
2,7%
1,2%
2,3%
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 8
About maintenance publication
Where ?
On TRANS@ctions portal
https://transactions.grtgaz.com/
On GRTgaz website
http://www.grtgaz.com/fileadmin/engagements/documents/fr/indic-CRE-maintenance-nov-14.pdf
On Smart GRTgaz website
http://www.smart.grtgaz.com
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
D-1 Jan. 1st of March Aug.
9S
About maintenance publication
Maintenance
Schedule Consolidated Update Guidelines
Shippers B2B Meetings
Shippers’ Meeting
Restriction updates TRANS@ctions
First Publication
WD-5 D-60 Nov.
Adjacent
Operator Consultation
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
Overview 2014
10
Aurore Blot
Thank you for your attention.
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
The North to South Link Availability
2014 vs 2013
Jean-Damien LENOIR / DSG
11
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
Reminder : The North to South Capacity
One global physical capacity
depending on :
- Supply scenario
- Consumptions
- Works and maintenance
2 contractual points :
Split into
N>S link
North Atlantic storage
(in injection) = INA
12
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
One of the priorities of the Gas System Division
North to South link availability optimisation
Study
Challenging the limits of the network
Developping optimization tools
Works Planification
Methodology
Coordination with adjacent operators
Organization
Operationnal
Maximising hourly flows on the N>S pipes
13
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
14
Increase of the North to South link availability compared to Summer 2013
Average daily
available capacity F + I (GWh/d)
Summer
2013
Summer
2014
Delta
GWh/d %
N>S + INA 492
517 +25 +5%
N>S + INA (inc. Montoir 2013)
539 +47 +10%
JTS : + 11 GWh/d (2014 / 2013)
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
The North to South Link Visibility
Flashback on Summer 2014
Forecast on Summer 2015
15
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
16
What will be the value of the CTE on the N>S link during maintenance?
CMXTt 2014 = 95 TWh
Annual uncertainty range = 43 TWh
=> A difficulty for you to optimize your supply chain
CMNTt 2014 = 52 TWh
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
3 North PIRs
high and balanced
Oltingue
low
Injection
2013
Fos « standard »
Montoir
= 0
PIR Midi
high
Link N>S
high
Provide the best forecast of the CTE on the N>S link in summer
Reminder of GRTgaz proposal (Concertation gaz - July 2013)
Shipper Survey
Mid-approval
scenario
Forecast of the daily N>S link Capacity
17
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18
Summer 2014 : forecast vs actual figures
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
19
Summer 2014 : forecast vs actual figures
Average accuracy = +10%
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20
Summer 2014 : forecast vs actual figures
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
21
The mid-scenario for summer 2015
3 North PIRs
balanced
Oltingue low
Injection
2014
Fos « standard »
PIR Midi
high
Link N>S
high
New : 2 supply scenarios
for Montoir
1. 0 GWh/d 2. 80 GWh/d
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
Summer 2015 forecasts
Increase of the forecasted capacity during Summer 2015 versus Summer 2014 : +11 TWh / +11%
22
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23
Key points
Reminder of GRTgaz contractual commitments:
The forecast of the CTE is an indicative value.
Only the CMNTt is a contractual value.
Distribution between the N>S link and the North Atlantic
storage facility based on the mean value observed over the
period 2013/2015 :
65% N>S link / 35% North Atlantic storage (injection)
Potential evolving process in case of significant and
sustainable change of the supply scheme (increase in LNG
for example)
Published specifically, simultaneously with the maintenance
schedule.
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 24
Thank you for your attention
Any Questions....
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
Maintenance schedule 2015
25
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 26
Sophie MENARD
Olivier PICHAYROU
Pascal FONROUGE
Fabrice CONQUES
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
1. GRTgaz keep his objectives
2. New projects, more capacities
3. Major maintenances
4. Few maintenances postponed in 2016
5. Summer capacity availability : 2015 vs 2014
6. Available capacity in details
27
Agenda
Shippers meeting - 2015.01.29 28
GRTgaz keep his objectives
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
Optimize its works schedule in cooperation
with all the adjacent operators
Manage the network safely
Maximize North to South link capacities
Plan main works between mid-April to
mid-October
Publish a reliable maintenance schedule
29
5 main objectives
Shippers meeting - 2015.01.29 30
New projects, more
capacities
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 31
Projects linked with Dunkirk LNG terminal
Hauts de France II pipe, a new entry pipe to our network
Clipon pipe, terminal
outlet
Flandres pipe, outlet to Belgium
Start of
DK LNG
01/11/2015
Relocation of odorization station
from Loon to Pitgam +
modification of Pitgam interconnexion
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 32
Projects linked with Arc de Dierrey
New interconnexion at Cuvilly station
Modification of Dierrey interconnexion
Arc de Dierrey
Implementation of Arc de
Dierrey pipe on 01/11/2015
Shippers meeting - 2015.01.29 33
Major maintenances
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 34
Pigging and pipe repairs that impacted flows
34
1
• Hauts de France I pipe - April
2 • Centre pipe - April
3 • Berry pipe - May
4
• Hauts de France II pipe - August
Installation approval
Regulatory pigging
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 35
And other important works …
Plateaux du Vexin pipe repairs
Taisnières H automatic machine updates
Nord Est pipe repairs
Marches du Nord Est pipe repairs
Rhône pipe repairs
Cruzy interconnexion maintenance
Vendomois pipe repairs
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 36
Week 37 : North to South optimisation
NS + INA + ISA
DK +
TSN
TSN
Fos TIGF deliveries
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 37
Focus on Hauts de France pipe
Loon
Pitgam
Cuvilly
11 km
174 km
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
HdF I pigging
[ 440 GWh/d ; 515 GWh/d] HdF I pipe repairs
(between Loon – Pitgam) 70 GWh
38
Focus on Hauts de France pipe
HdF I pipe repairs (between Pitgam - Cuvilly) Ø restriction
Results
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 39
Wk 25 - 28 : Hauts de France pipe repairs
Situation in 2014
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 40
Wk 25 - 28 : Hauts de France pipe repairs
Situation in 2015
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 41
Wk 25 - 28 : Hauts de France pipe repairs
Situation in 2015
with 70
GWh
Shippers meeting - 2015.01.29 42
Few maintenances
postponed in 2016
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 43
Maintenances with high restrictions
in 2015 ...
... Postponed in 2016 to have the
benefit of Arc de Dierrey capacities
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 44
Extension of works in 2016
Pipe repairs period
shortened in 2015
Inspection and repairs postponed
in 2016
Shippers meeting - 2015.01.29 45
Summer capacities
availability:
2014 vs 2015
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 46
Comparison summer period 2014 vs 2015 Entry/Exit firm capacities at interconnection points
Available firm capacities during Summer (TWh)
Tendency
2014 2015
Dunkerque REC 107 103 -4%
Taisnières H REC 110 105 -5%
Obergailbach REC 83 96 +15%
Total 300 304 +1%
Oltingue DEL 44 45 +1%
Taisnières B REC 42 47 +12%
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 47
Comparison summer period 2014 vs 2015 North to South link firm capacity
Available firm capacities during Summer
(TWh) Tendency
2014 2015
North to South link 52 54 +3%
Capacity maximum : 56.7 TWh
2013
40 TWh
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 48
Comparison summer period 2014 vs 2015 Injection capacities in storages
Available firm capacities during Summer
(TWh) Tendency
2014 2015
North B DEL 24 23 -3% North-East DEL 47 47 0% North-West DEL 38 44 +15% South-East DEL 23 25 +5%
South-Atlantique DEL 43 39 -8%
North-Atlantique DEL 33 34 +2%
Total 207 211 1%
2013
149 TWh
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 49
Comparison summer period 2014 vs 2015 Capacity emission from LNG terminals
Available Capacities during Summer
(TWh)
Tendency
2014 2015
Montoir 75 76 +1%
Fos 77 75 -2%
Total 152 150 -1%
Shippers meeting - 2015.01.29 50
Available capacities
in details
Shippers meeting - 2015.01.29 51
Interconnection points with
other countries .1
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 52
Dunkirk PIR
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Minimum Maximum
Loon stop during open hours Coordination with
GASSCO Loon stop
Hauts de France I pipe repairs 4 weeks at 70 GWh/d
Hauts de France I pipe pigging Restrictions refine with run details
Plateaux du Vexin
pipe repairs + 2nd Loon stop with
Cuvilly and
Fontenay station maintenance
Nord 2 pipe repairs postponed in 2016 Benefits : +140 GWh/d during 3 weeks
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 53
Taisnières H PIR
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Minimum Maximum
Valves tests on
EKO pipe
Taisnières H
station works
Taisnières H
compressor
automatic updates
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 54
Obergailbach PIR
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Minimum Maximum
Nord Est pipe repair
Maintenances on Voisines and Nord Est pipe valves
Works on Dierrey station for the
connection with Arc de Dierrey pipe
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 55
Oltingue PIR
0
50
100
150
200
250
Minimum Maximum
Annual
maintenance
at Oltingue + Laneuvelotte
station works
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 56
Taisnières B PIR
0
50
100
150
200
250
Minimum Maximum
Artois Est II pipe
repair Taisnières B
compressor works
Works on Taisnières B valves
Shippers meeting - 2015.01.29 57
North to South link
.2
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 58
North to South link – Firm capacity
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Minimum Maximum
Berry and IDF pipe
repairs + Evry
station
maintenances
Plateaux du Vexin,
Vendomois pipe
repairs + Cherré station
maintenances
Shippers meeting - 2015.01.29 59
Interconnection points with
storages .3
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Storengy availability (%) GRTgaz capacity (GWh/d)
60
North Atlantic PITS C
ap
acity
GW
h/d
A
va
ilib
ilit
y in
%
Safety works on Chémery Principal
+ maintenance station Céré
Berry and IDF pipe repairs + Evry station maintenances
Plateaux du Vexin, Vendomois pipe repairs + Cherré station maintenances
COORDINATION
Maintenance on Céré station
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
0
50
100
150
200
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
01/04/2015 01/05/2015 01/06/2015 01/07/2015 01/08/2015 01/09/2015 01/10/2015
Storengy availability (%) GRTgaz capacity (GWh/d)
61
North West PITS C
ap
acity
GW
h/d
A
va
ilib
ilit
y in
%
COORDINATION COORDINATION
Saint Illiers maintenances
Valves tests on St Illiers outlet
Saint Illiers maintenances
Plateaux du vexin pipe repairs
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
0
50
100
150
200
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
01/04/2015 01/05/2015 01/06/2015 01/07/2015 01/08/2015 01/09/2015 01/10/2015
Storengy availability (%) GRTgaz capacity (GWh/d)
62
North East PITS
Ca
pa
city G
Wh
/d A
va
ilib
ilit
y in
%
Valve maintenances on
Cerville outlet
COORDINATION
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
0
50
100
150
200
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
01/04/2015 01/05/2015 01/06/2015 01/07/2015 01/08/2015 01/09/2015 01/10/2015
Storengy availability (%) GRTgaz capacity (GWh/d)
63
South Atlantic PITS C
ap
acity
GW
h/d
Ava
ilib
ilit
y in
%
Centre pipe repairs
Centre pipe pigging
COORDINATION COORDINATION
Safety works on Chémery Principal
+ maintenance station Céré
Maintenance on Céré station
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
01/04/2015 01/05/2015 01/06/2015 01/07/2015 01/08/2015 01/09/2015 01/10/2015
Storengy availability (%) GRTgaz capacity (GWh/d)
64
South East PITS
Ca
pa
city G
Wh
/d
Ava
ilib
ilit
y in
%
Cabriès Manosque pipe
repairs
Security tests on Manosque storage
COORDINATION
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
01/04/2015 01/05/2015 01/06/2015 01/07/2015 01/08/2015 01/09/2015 01/10/2015 01/11/2015
Storengy availability (%) GRTgaz capacity (GWh/d)
65
North B PITS C
ap
acity
GW
h/d
Ava
ilib
ilit
y in
%
COORDINATION COORDINATION
Works to prepare Santerre future pipe implementation
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 66
Filling of North Atlantic Storage Group
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
15/2 6/4 26/5 15/7 3/9 23/10 12/12
%V
U
Injection in Nord Atlantique
Maximum tunnel of storengy
Minimum tunnel of storengy
Filling with works, gates constraints and ferm GRTgaz capacities
Gates
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 67
Filling of North West Storage Group
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
15/2 6/4 26/5 15/7 3/9 23/10 12/12
%V
U
Injection in Nord Ouest
Minimum tunnel of Storengy
Maximum tunnel of storengy
Filling with works and gates constraints
Gates
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 68
Filling of North East Storage Group
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
15/2 6/4 26/5 15/7 3/9 23/10 12/12
%V
U
Injection in Nord Est
Minimum tunnel of Storengy
Maximum tunnel of Storengy
Filling with works and gates constraints
Gates
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 69
Filling of South Atlantic Storage Group
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
15/2 6/4 26/5 15/7 3/9 23/10 12/12
%V
U
Injection in Sud Atlantique
Mini tunnel storengy
Maxi tunnel storengy
Filling with works & gates constraints
Gates
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 70
Filling of South East Storage Group
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
15/2 6/4 26/5 15/7 3/9 23/10 12/12
%V
U
Injection in Sud Est
Minimum tunnel of storengy
Maximum tunnel of storengy
Filling with works and gates constraints
Gates
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 71
Filling of North B Storage Group
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
15/2 6/4 26/5 15/7 3/9 23/10 12/12
% V
U
Filling of Nord B storage group
Minimum tunnel of Storengy
Maximum tunnel of Storengy
Filling with works and gates constraints
Gates
Shippers meeting - 2015.01.29 72
Interconnection points with
LNG terminals .4
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
GRTgaz Elengy
73
Fos PITTM
Cruzy shutdown + Saint Martin station maintenance
Controls security
COORDINATION COORDINATION
Power supply RTE 63kV
ORV inspection
Rhône pipe repairs and compressor
maintenances
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 74
Montoir PITTM
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Elengy GRTgaz
Loire pipe repairs
COORDINATION
COORDINATION West pumps (HP, LP, water)
COORDINATION
Modification on Montoir outlet pipes
LNG safety draining system
Valves tests on Montoir outlet pipes
East pumps (HP, LP, water)
Water pipeline
Shippers meeting - 2015.01.29 75
Modifications with TRS
creation .5
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
No more restrictions on Midi PIR
CRE décision : impact new trading region south
zone (TRS) instead of North to South link
Spain delivery (Pirineos)
Storage injection (Lussagnet)
Exchange between TIGF and GRTgaz of their own capacity available at Cruzy and Castillon
Possible impacts on Fos LNG terminal
76
Modifications in few words
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 77
Which works impact Cruzy or Castillon ?
Impacts on
Castillon
flows
Impacts on
Cruzy
flows
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 78
Example
0 GWh/d instead of 150 GWh/d
• Restrictions on Fos
• Restrictions on Midi
2014
• Restrictions on Fos
• Restrictions on Pirineos & Lussagnet
2015
Rhône pipe repairs +
Bégude station maintenance
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29 79
Pirineos capacity restrictions because of GRTgaz maintenances
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
No
mb
re d
e jo
urs
de m
ain
ten
an
ce s
ur
le m
ois
Cap
acit
é m
en
su
elle (
GW
h)
Capacités au VIP PIRINEOS
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
If PIR Midi have been still in application in 2015
80
Less flow restrictions in 2015
Available firm capacities during Summer
(TWh) Tendency
2014 2015
Midi : Grtgaz -> TIGF 70 73 +4%
Shippers meeting – 2015.01.29
Thank you for your attention
81
Sophie MENARD
Olivier PICHAYROU
Pascal FONROUGE Fabrice CONQUES