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Singular Research Conference Jeffrey Glajch, Vice President & CFO Singular Research Conference September 10, 2009

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Page 1: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

Singular Research ConferenceJeffrey Glajch, Vice President & CFOSingular Research Conference

September 10, 2009

Page 2: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

Safe Harbor Statement Regarding Forward Looking Statements

This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of theThis presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of theSecurities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, asamended.

Forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions and can be identified bywords such as “expects,” “estimates,” “projects,” “anticipates,” “believes,” “could,” and other similarwords and expressions. All statements addressing operating performance, events, or developments thatGraham expects or anticipates will occur in the future, including but not limited to, statements relating toanticipated revenues, profit margins, foreign operations, Graham’s strategy to build its global salesrepresentative channel, the effectiveness of automation in expanding Graham’s engineering capacity,representative channel, the effectiveness of automation in expanding Graham s engineering capacity,Graham’s ability to improve its cost competitiveness, customer preferences, changes in marketconditions in the industries in which Graham operates, changes in general economic conditions andcustomer behavior and Graham’s acquisition strategy are forward-looking statements. Because they areforward-looking, they should be evaluated in light of important risk factors and uncertainties.

These risk factors and uncertainties are more fully described in Graham's most recent Annual andQuarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the headingentitled “Risk Factors.” Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any ofGraham's underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from thosey g p p y y ycurrently anticipated. Undue reliance should not be placed on Graham's forward-looking statements.Except as required by law, Graham disclaims any obligation to update or publicly announce anyrevisions to any of its forward-looking statements.

Page 3: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

Our Vision

Our goal is to be a Our goal is to be a world leader in the design world leader in the design o d eade t e des go d eade t e des g

and manufacture of and manufacture of ENGINEEREDENGINEERED--TOTO--ORDERORDER

products for the products for the ENERGYENERGY MARKETSMARKETS

Page 4: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

Graham CorporationFounded: 1936; IPO: 1968;

NYSE Amex: GHM $12.92

Common shares outstanding 9.8 million$Market capitalization $127 million

52-week price range $42.66 – $6.85Avg. daily trading volume (12 mos.) 237,557Stock splits:

► 5 for 4 1/2/2008

► 2 for 1 10/7/2008Ownership:

►Institutional 52.5%►Insider 2.9%

Note: Market data as of September 2, 2009; ownership as of most recent filing.

Page 5: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

P d tProductsCondensers

26%26%

Ejectors40%

Heat Exchangers

9%

Aftermarket19%

Pumps6%

U.S. 51%

International 49%

Note: Percent of Q1 FY2010 revenue.

Page 6: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

Refinery Ejector SystemEjector system lowers the pressure in the distillation column to allow crude oil to

CNOOC Huizhou Refinery–China

240,000 BBL/day refinery

boil at a lower temperature. This allows for more efficient and cost-effective separation of crude oil into valuable products, such as diesel, gas oils, kerosene, and other fuels.kerosene, and other fuels.

An ejector system is a combination of ejectors and condensers connected in series.condensers connected in series. Graham provides the ejectors and condensers as components.

CondensersEjectors

Graham Corporation, 2009

Page 7: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

Di ifi d M k tDiversified MarketsChemical Processing

27%

R fi iOther

Industrial & 46%22% RefiningIndustrial & Commercial Applications

46%22%

5%

Note: Percent of FY2010 revenue.Power

Page 8: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

C lti t Di M k t

OIL REFINING CHEMICAL PROCESSING

Cultivate Diverse Markets

OIL REFINING

Conventional crude oilOil sandsExtra-heavy crude oil

CHEMICAL PROCESSING

EthyleneAmmoniaNitrogen

Ethylene glycolDetergent alcoholsPlastics, resins, fibersExtra heavy crude oil

Sour crudeLube oil

NitrogenMethanol StyrenePolystyrene

Plastics, resins, fibersCoal-to-liquids (CTL)Gas-to-liquids (GTL)

POWER GENERATION

CogenerationWaste to energy

OTHER APPLICATIONSEdible oil/OleochemicalsBiofuels:Waste-to-energy

Heat, power and lightGeothermalNuclearI it

Biofuels:EthanolBiodiesel

HVACIndustrial gasesIn-situ Industrial gasesCryogenic

Page 9: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

Di ersified Geographies & Ind striesDiversified Geographies & Industries 2009 Orders

$34 million Refineries South Korea, China, Bahrain, Oman, South America, USA

$20 million Petrochemical China, North Africa, Trinidad & Tobago, Mexico USAMexico, USA

$4 million Power generation Turkey, USA

$16 illi Edibl il HVAC il USA$16 million Edible oil, HVAC, oil production, government, industrial gases, OEM

USA

Page 10: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

Global Distillation Capacity Growth

Total Net Growth: 6 mb/d

Global Distillation Capacity Growth(through 2015)

Europe: 0.2 mb/d

Total Net Growth: 6 mb/dRussia and Eastern Europe:

US & Canada:0.9 mb/d

Europe: 0.2 mb/d

Latin

Asia-Pacific: 2.9 mb/d

America & Africa: 0.3 mb/d

Africa:

Middle East: 1.3 mb/d

0.4mb/dmb/d = million barrels per daySource: OPEC World Oil Outlook 2009

Page 11: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

CNorth American Competition

Market GHM CompetitorsMarket GHM Market Share

Competitors

Refining vacuum distillation ~ 75% Gardner DenverRefining vacuum distillation 75% Gardner Denver

Chemicals/Petrochemicals ~ 25% Croll Reynolds; Schutte Koerting;Gardner Denver

Turbomachinery OEM – refining ~ 50% Ambassador; Yuba; KreugerTurbomachinery OEM refining, petrochemical

50% Ambassador; Yuba; Kreuger

Turbomachinery OEM – power and power producer

~ 15% Holtec; Babcock; Thermal Engineering; Yuba; Krueger

HVAC ~ 10% Alfa Laval; APV; ITT; Ambassador

Page 12: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

CInternational Competition

Market GHM CompetitorsMarket GHM Market Share

Competitors

Refining vacuum distillation ~ 35 to 50% Gardner Denver; GEA Jet Pump; g ; p;Korting Hannover; Edwards

Chemicals/Petrochemicals ~ 25% Croll Reynolds; Schutte Koerting;Gardner Denver; GEA Jet Pump; K ti H Ed dKorting Hannover; Edwards

Turbomachinery OEM – refining, petrochemical

~ 50% Donghwa-Entec; Bumwoo; Oiltechnik; Kreuger; various local fabricators

Turbomachinery OEM – power and power producer

~ 15% Holtec; Babcock; Thermal Engineering; Yuba; Krueger

Page 13: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

Financial PerformanceFinancial PerformanceFinancial PerformanceFinancial Performance

Page 14: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

C t d R i E i C lCaptured Revenue in Expansion Cycle

$101.1$93 6

($ in millions)

$55 2$65.8

$86.4$93.6

$65.0$60 - $70

$41.3

$55.2

FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 Q1 FY10 FY2010 E tFY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 Q1 FY10 TTM

FY2010 Est.

Page 15: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

I d P d ti itImproved ProductivityBeyond Volume Enhancements

Sales per Employee(in thousands)

Inventory Turnover(times per year)

10.011.0

12.6 12.4

308.0

374.0 363.0

5.7

7.9

172.0

222.0248.0

FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 Q1FY10 TTMFY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 Q1FY10 TTM

Page 16: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

St th d G P fit M iStrengthened Gross Profit Margin

$86.4$101.1

$93.6

$41.3

$55.2$65.8 39.5%

41.3% 40.4% Potential FY2010 range:

28% - 31%

18.2%

28.9%25.6%

FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 Q1FY10 TTM

Gross MarginRevenue

Page 17: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

N t I d EPS

$17 467

Net Income and EPS

$15,034$17,467

$15,301($ in thousands)

$5,761

$296

$3,586,

FY2005* FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 Q1FY10 TTM

Earnings $1 71$1 49$0 58**$0 38$0 03 $1 50

Note: All earnings per share amounts adjusted for stock splits

* From continuing operations. ** Includes R&D tax credit of $0.16.

per Share $1.71$1.49$0.58**$0.38$0.03 $1.50

Page 18: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

St B l Sh t$61.1 $64.4

Equity Long-term Liabilities

($ in millions)

Strong Balance Sheet

$16 6$27.1 $30.7

$48.5

Cash, Cash Equivalents and Investments

($ in millions)

$16.6$6.1 $2.8 $1.6 $1.8 $2.6 $2.6

FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009Q1FY10$36.8

$46.2 $45.3*

$11.0$15.1

$57.4

$72.7 $73.9

Current Assets Current Liabilities

$2.7

FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 Q1 FY10$22.1

$27.4$36.7

$57.4

$10 9 $10 6$16.6 $20.4 $23.2 $20.8

* $42 7 million in U S banks and $10.9 $10.6

FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 Q1FY10

$42.7 million in U.S. banks and U.S. Treasury securities.

Page 19: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

P i it C h M tSales increased 145% and cash conversion cycle

was lowered from 112 to 17 days at 3/31/09

Priority: Cash Management

86 4

101.193.6 100

120

100

120

ycle

(Day

s)

$ m

illio

ns) 112

55.2

65.8

86.4

60

80

60

80

h C

onve

rsio

n C

y

Sale

s ($

41.34040

Cas

41 Expected to be in

th

0

20

0

20

FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 Q1 FY10 TTM

17

the 20- to 30-day range

in 2010

Note: cash conversion cycle equals days sales outstanding plus days inventory on hand minus days payables outstanding

TTMSales Cash Conversion Cycle

Page 20: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

St t & O tl kStrategy & Outlook

Page 21: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

D ti C l ShiftDramatic Cycle Shift

$75 7$86.5

$107.1($ in millions)

$54.2

$75.7

$48.3$49.9

$66.2$73.9

$54.9

$22.4$33.1

$37.0

FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 Q1FY2010 TTMTTM

Backlog Orders

Page 22: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

R d i I t f C li litReducing Impact of Cyclicality

$101.1FY09

$65.7

FY98

Mid-Point FY 2010 Guidance

$51.8

$34.931.3%

41.3%

29.5%

26.0%

FY00

Sales

Gross Margin

O ti M i

23.9%

29.5%

9.5%

1.0%

9.0%

Operating Margin

* Assumes mid-point of FY 2010 guidance: a 35% reduction in revenue, a 29.5% gross margin and $13.5 million in SG&A expenses

Page 23: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

P t h i l P t ti lPetrochemical PotentialU S: Limited petrochem investmentGlobal recession slows demand growth

U.S: Limited petrochem investment

Middle East: Becoming active

Cap and Trade heavily penalizes U.S. refiners

Middle East: Becoming active

Asia/Middle East: Integrating refining/petrochem;

Over capacity in U.S. refining

Asia/Middle East: Integrating refining/petrochem; Considering new ethylene capacity

Strong growth in emerging economiesInternational: Ammonia/fertilizer plantsSome project revamps, others grassroots

Page 24: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

N T St tNear-Term Strategy• People

DevelopmentPeople

• Processes• Capital Plan

Customers• Stay close: consultative selling• Gain market advantage• Selling support for pipeline

Performance• Maintain profitability and positive cash flow• Evaluate potential acquisitions in disruptive market• Capture greater market share

Upturn• Be ready• Ascend growth curve more quickly than in last cycle• Take market share• Continue investing to improve and expand business

Page 25: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

Pi li f M j P jPipeline of Major ProjectsPower &

Refining PetrochemicalPower &

other

Very active currentlyVery active currently

Timing of orders notTiming of orders not clear

Page 26: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

A i iti C it iAcquisition CriteriaEngineered-Engineered

to-order products

Geographic Expansion

and/or

Strong management

team /Up to

$60 million and/orDiversify Products

team / quality culture

$60 million in revenue

Return exceeds cost ofcost of capital

Page 27: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

Singular Research ConferenceJeffrey Glajch, Vice President & CFOSingular Research Conference

September 10, 2009

Page 28: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

C t ti i E I d tContraction in Energy Industry

Decline in projected U S consumption

Global recession slows demand growth

Decline in projected U.S. consumption

Cap and Trade heavily penalizes U.S. refiners

Over capacity in U.S. refining

Expanding economies in emerging/developing countries

A i Middl E t S th A iAsia Middle East South America

Page 29: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

Ch d Gl b l Oil D d P j tiChanged Global Oil Demand Projections

World Oil Outlook 2008: 50% demand increase by 2030World Oil Outlook 2008: 50% demand increase by 2030

World Oil Outlook 2009: 23% demand increase by 2030

► Consumption dropping in developed areas

► Energy policy changing

► Crude oil pricing lowered sharply

► Capacity utilization is down► Capacity utilization is down

Page 30: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

P M k tPower Market

• Waste to energy renewables

• GeothermalUnited States • NuclearStates

• Growing power requirements

• NuclearChina and

India • Hydro, geothermal, fossil fuels

India

Page 31: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

N C ti l Oil S l G thNon-Conventional Oil Supply Growth

Oil SandsBiggest contributor =

5 mb/d by 2030

C l

by 2030

Increases Gas-to-liquid

Coal-to-liquid

output by 6 mb/d to 7.5 mb/d

by 2030

Extra-heavyExtra heavy crude

Source: OPEC World Oil Outlook 2008

Page 32: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

C di Oil S d S diCanadian Oil Sands Spending

$100 to $150 million

potential demand fordemand for

Graham products

fromfrom 2010 to 2016

Page 33: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

P d t Di t C t t C dProducts: Direct Contact Condenser

An 11 MW turbine-generator set at a geothermal power producing plant in Papua New Guinea

Page 34: Singular Research Conference - graham-mfg.com Singular... · 2014-09-21 · Quarterly Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, included under the heading entitled

P d t S f C dProducts: Surface Condenser

Supports a steam turbine and enables the conversion of maximum energy in high pressure steam into power