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Sinking in “The Perfect Storm” SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov

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Page 1: Sinking in The Perfect Storm SOURCE:

Sinking in “The Perfect Storm”

SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov

Page 2: Sinking in The Perfect Storm SOURCE:

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense

Sinking in “The Perfect Storm”

The 9th District of Michigan The Candidates The Campaign The Results

SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov

Page 3: Sinking in The Perfect Storm SOURCE:

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense

The 9th District of Michigan

Race / Ethnicity 79.5% White 10.0% Black 7.0% Asian 3.5% Hispanic

Occupation 75.2% White Collar

14.8% Blue Collar

Median Income $71.1k in district $48.6k in state

Partisanship Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index, R +0

‘04 Presidential Vote

Bush, +2%

SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov

Page 4: Sinking in The Perfect Storm SOURCE:

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense

Occupation Insurance agent

Political Experience

Chairman, Oakland County GOP, 1978-1982

First Elected

1992

Committees

Appropriations

Military Service

US Army, 1955-1957

SOURCE: bioguide.congress.gov

The Candidates: Incumbent Joe Knollenberg

Page 5: Sinking in The Perfect Storm SOURCE:

Table 1. Congressional Vote Scores for Joe Knollenberg, 1993-2008

Page 6: Sinking in The Perfect Storm SOURCE:

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense

Occupation Financial advisor College professor

Political Experience

Michigan state senator, 1995-2002

Michigan lottery commissioner, 2003-07

Military Service

US Navy Reserve, 1993-2000, 2001-2005

SOURCE: http://peters.house.gov

The Candidates: Challenger Gary Peters

Page 7: Sinking in The Perfect Storm SOURCE:

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense

The Campaign: The Polls

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense

The Campaign: Finances

Select SourcesSupporting Knollenberg / Attacking Peters

Supporting Peters / Attacking Knollenberg

Knollenberg Campaign $3.7 million

National Association of Realtors $500,000+

National Rifle Association $6,000

Peters Campaign $2.5 million

DCCC $1.6 million

Service Employees International Union

$78,000

Patriot Majority Midwest $450,000

Humane Society of the United States $400,000

Page 9: Sinking in The Perfect Storm SOURCE:

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense

The Campaign: “Valerie”

NOTE: Internet access required.

Page 10: Sinking in The Perfect Storm SOURCE:

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense

NOTE: Internet access required.

The Campaign: “Joe Knollenberg the Go-to-Guy”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense

The Campaign: “Gary Peters”

NOTE: Internet access required.

Page 12: Sinking in The Perfect Storm SOURCE:

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense

NOTE: Internet access required.

The Campaign: “Setting the Record Straight”

Page 13: Sinking in The Perfect Storm SOURCE:

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense

NOTE: Internet access required.

The Campaign: “The Change Michigan Needs”

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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense

The Campaign: “This Time is Enough”

NOTE: Internet access required.

Page 15: Sinking in The Perfect Storm SOURCE:

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense

The Campaign: “Clobbered”

NOTE: Internet access required.

Page 16: Sinking in The Perfect Storm SOURCE:

Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense

The Campaign: “Humane Society”

NOTE: Internet access required.

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The Results

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The Results

Red precincts won by Knollenberg Blue precincts won by Peters White precincts lie outside of district

SOURCE: Oakland County Clerk