small cell industry update from mobile world congress 2013
DESCRIPTION
Update on the small cell industry presented by the Small Cell Forum at Mobile World Congress, Barcelona 2013TRANSCRIPT
Small Cells industry update Mobile World Congress 2013 Gordon Mansfield, Chairman Monday 25 Feb
[email protected] www.smallcellforum.org
• Small Cell Forum
• Deployment Data
• Small Cell Benefits
• The Future • Q&A
Agenda
Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 2
Last year…we announced…
Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012
Evolution
3
The Small Cell Forum
Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012
Aims Ecosystem Development
Market Education
Driving open standards
Promoting & enabling small cell technology based on licensed spectrum, operator managed, edge-based intelligence
Not-for-profit, founded in 2007
Independent, Inclusive, International
68 operators covering 2.93 billion mobile subscribers – 44% of total
74 providers of small cell technology representing all parts of the ecosystem
4
Our scope – illustrated
Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 5
Applications of small cells
Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012
etc!
User deployed Enterprise / SI or operator deployed
Operator deployed
Operator / community deployed
Shared backhaul Shared or dedicated backhaul
Dedicated wired or wireless backhaul
Dedicated wired or wireless backhaul
An increasingly wide range of femto-enabled small cells: Small Cell Forum works to enable and promote all of these
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New organization structure
Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012
Sept/Oct 2012
Chairman Gordon Mansfield, AT&T
Vice-chair – Europe Alan Law, Vodafone
Executive Board (15 members)
Chief Executive Graham Wright
VP Americas Andy Germano
Chief Operating Officer Richard Kennedy
Member Services Manager Lynne Price-Walker
Press and PR Officer Oliver Chapman
Vice-chair – Asia Yoshihito Shimazaki, Softbank Mobile
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Small Cell Forum Groups
Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012
Marketing (MKT)
Lisa Garza
Networks (NET)
Peter
Musgrove
Radio and Physical
Layer (RPH)
Nick Johnson
Regulatory (REG)
Stephen
Priestman
Inter operability
(IOP)
Karim Sharf Kreso Bilan
Services (SVC)
Andy Germano
Operator Group (OG)
Working Groups LTE
Neeraj Gupta Malek Shaid
Rural Richard
Deasington
Backhaul Viraj
Abhayawardhana
3GPP2 Andy Germano
Special Interest Groups
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Informa’s small-cell survey from Dec illustrates that 97.5% of mobile operator respondents believe that small cells are key for the future of mobile networks. According to Informa Telecoms & Media’s estimates, the number of small cells deployed overtook the total number of macro cells between October-November 2012. The small-cell market is growing at a rapid pace: The largest deployments have already reached 1 million active cells.
Market Status December’s Report
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46 deployments in 23 countries
Commercial deployments and commitments
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Q3 2009
Q1 2010
Q2 2010
Q3 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
6 9 13
17 18 19
31 36 37
40 41 45 46
8 12
16
24 30
34
43 44
52 53 56
60 61
Deployments
Commitments
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Source: Informa
Operators with commercial deployments
Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012
Includes 9 of top 10 operator groups (by revenue)
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Source: Informa
Deployments
Scaling up units: • Sprint: Over 1 million • Softbank: more than 100,000 • SFR: more than 100,000 • Vodafone UK: Hundreds of thousands of users • AT&T: near 1 million (analyst estimates)
Today:
Over 6 million small cells deployed commercially
Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012
2007: 0 femtocells
Source: Informa
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• June 2011: There were more 3G femtocells than 3G macrocells • End of 2012: More small cells than macrocells (all technologies) • Informa forecast: 88% of all cells will be small cells by 2016
Conclusion: the shape of mobile networks has changed
More small cells than macrocells
Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012
-
10,000,000
20,000,000
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
60,000,000
70,000,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Source: Informa
End 2012: 6.4 million small cells 6.0 million macrocells
femtocells marcocells
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Rapid growth in small cell deployments, due to advantages small cells provide
Key benefits include:
• Improved coverage
• Greater capacity
• Spectrum efficiency
• New applications
• These benefits apply equally in the home (femtocells), office (enterprise) or outside environments (metro, rural)
• ...whilst devices remain under control of licensed network operators and operate within their own spectrum
Benefits of small cells
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Traffic offload via outdoor 3G small cells
Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012
21%
56%
75%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
1x 4x 10x
% t
raff
ic o
n s
mal
l cel
ls
Small cells per macrocell Results from recently published SCF white paper www.smallcellforum.org
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Results from recently published SCF white paper on Open Access Small Cells www.smallcellforum.org
User experience improvements from public access small cells
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58%
315%
523%
31%
138%
246%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
600%
1 4 10
All Users
Macro Users
% in
crea
se in
med
ian
th
rou
gh
pu
t ov
er m
acro
cells
alo
ne
Small cells per macrocell
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• Small cells (licenced spectrum) and Wi-Fi are complementary
• Products already exist with both • But by integrating in the network as well as the access
point, the benefits are greater still • Data can be seamlessly shifted between the cellular
and Wi-Fi networks based on the user, type of service, network congestion or quality of service requirements etc.
• More advanced implementations allow both small cell cellular and Wi-Fi to be used simultaneously for different traffic flows or to create a single large pipe for HD media or to create a highly resilient connection.
Integrated small cell/Wi-Fi networks: beyond offload
Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012
Small cells + Wi-Fi = smart, fine grained traffic management
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Future growth
Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012
Source: Informa
91 million small cells by end 2016
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Significant activity continues. Residential Femtocells continue to accelerate while new use cases and value propositions are emerging.
Significant facts: • The market is growing rapidly
• We have seen the initial deployments focus on Residential
• Enterprise is becoming a more significant market
• A shift has occurred towards outdoor and public space deployments
• Rural applications are emerging
• The importance of small cell backhaul increases with every new use case
Industry Evolution
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• Operator requirements • Small cell backhaul • Rural small cells • FAPI • LTE metrocells • LTE timing and synchronization • LTE small cell form factor and environmental specifications • Small cell services, applications and API’s • Developer outreach • RF planning • Multi-standard Radio Resource Management • X2 interoperability • Integrated small cell Wi-Fi networks • Enterprise architecture • Security • Regulatory • Plug-fest
A Sample of Forum work in progress
Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 20
Towards Open & Multi-Technology
• Mobile World Congress; Barcelona; Small Cell Zone; February 25 – 28 • Small Cells Asia & SCF’s 23rd Plenary; Seoul, Korea; March 2013 • Small Cell World Summit – London UK; June 2013
We welcome your membership & participation
Upcoming events
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Sign Up, Engage , Shape the Market
Questions?
Q & A
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Thank you! Gordon Mansfield, Chairman, Small Cell Forum [email protected] www.smallcellforum.org
Feb 2013 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2012 23