smart and resilient citiesmedia.firabcn.es/content/smart-city-montreal/docs/... · 2015. 4. 29. ·...
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Smart and Resilient Cities Stefan Denig, Center of Competence Cities, London
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Why Resilience? The number of natural disasters is increasing
Hazard
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Why Resilience? The costs of natural hazards call for action
Hazard
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Why Resilience? 75% of world’s cities located in exposed coastal zones
Exposure
Source: Center for Climate Science Research
Hazard
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Why Resilience? Fast-growing cities are expanding into risk zones
Hazard
Ho Chi Minh City and other fast-growing urban zones are developing into
risk areas.
1700 – 1950 0.5 million
1950 – 1975 2 million
1975 - 2005 ˜8 million
Exposure
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Hazards Regional & Global Impacts Bangkok, Thailand Floods, 2011
6 months flooding affected over 13 million people.
14,000 factories under water Manufacturing stoppages led to
rise in global product prices Estimated damages: $US 45
billion Honda plant production halted
for six months 2011 growth projections cut from
4.1% to 2.6%
Photo source: Bazuki Mohammed – Reuters
Risk (Impact) Resilience Hazard Exposure
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Blackouts in Lower Manhattan
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Exposure & Vulnerabilities Revealed by Hurricane Sandy, NYC 2012
13th Street Substation, Manhattan Located in flood zone, designed
for 12.5 foot surge
14 foot surge during Sandy
Sea water inundated equipment
Power lost to 250,000 customers
Back-up generators failed at NYU-Langone Medical Center
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Changing Hazards For the New York Metropolitan area
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Past
(1
970-
2000
) Pr
ojec
ted
Futu
re
Freq
uenc
y of
Occ
urre
nce
Flooding Events
• 1 in 100 years
• 1 in 15 years
Drought
• 1 in 100 years
• Unclear
Heat Wave
• 2 per year
• 8 per year
Wind events (Nor’easter, Hurricane)
• 1 storm per 3 years
• More frequent
Source: NYC Panel on Climate Change, 2009; ClimAID, NYSERDA, 2012.
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Investment options into smarter energy systems for NYC
4/7/2015 IC CC Page 10
Short-term Longer-term Medium-term
Technology &
Investment
Enabling actions
• Flood defences • Gas-insulated
switchgear • Undergrounding • Manual demand
management
• Assessment of critical systems
• Building codes • Integrated control
centers • Reg. reform
• Decentralized generation
• Smart grid ready appliances
• Smart meters & IT infrastructure
• GIS asset monitoring
• Communication with customers
• Relocating installations
• Automated demand management
• EV to grid
• Real-time pricing • Integrated
development & energy planning
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($4)
($2)
$0
$2
$4
$6
0 5 10 15 20
US$
Bill
ions
Years No Action Partial Investment Full Implementation
Action Plan The investments pay back
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“Do Nothing” • Anticipated damage to
the power grid over 20 years: USD 1-3 bn
“Protection only”
• Investment pays back through reduced damage
• But city still has net losses
“Full Grid Resilience”
• Protection PLUS system resilience, reliability and efficiency
• Net benefits
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Virtual Power Plant Munich, Germany
Initiative of Munich City Utilities & Siemens
Small-scale, distributed energy sources pooled & operated as single installation
Improves reliability of planning & forecasting decentralized sources
Promotes efficient use of decentralized energy, & greater diversity of sources
Enables decentralized sources to operate flexibly either as a single unit, or in island-mode to serve a more localized network
Includes cogeneration modules (8MW), hydropower & wind farm (12MW)
Distributed Energy Management System
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Vehicle-to-Infrastructure Communications Houston, Texas, USA
Pilot project in Harris County, Texas, in response to Hurricane Ike
Traffic lights & vehicles communicate in real time
Data from smart phones in vehicles are aggregated to produce real-time estimates of numbers of vehicles on the road, & their speeds
Data mapped in a database accessible to drivers via smartphone
During evacuation, allows drivers to choose route with shortest travel time
Traffic lights can detect emergency vehicles & turn green to facilitate rapid response
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3D simulation of human behavior enables advanced evacuation planning London, UK
The behavior of building occupants during an emergency can be modeled prior to an event, using advanced 3D simulation software
The software enables movement through a building or space to be forecast up to ten times faster than real time with relative accuracy, including places where blockages may occur
This tool improves human preparedness, coordination and response. With a faster than real time reaction, this technology also helps to gain valuable time in a situation where every second counts
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Resilience plans benefit from community knowledge Hat Yai, Thailand
Hat Yai, the main commercial hub in the south of Thailand, experienced two disastrous floods between the years 2000 and 2010
Despite the government’s $116 million (£76.2 million) investment in major flood mitigation infrastructure following the 2000 event, the 2010 floods caused even more damage.
A group of residents, government officials, non-government organizations and the business sector conducted a city vulnerability assessment and developed a strategy for resilience
The bottom-up approach has strengthen the capacity of the local community
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Action points
Resilience is a must to become and remain competitive
Resilience should be an integral part of planning and can be achieved through normal operational investment cycles
Resilience provides additional benefits, e.g. energy efficiency, safety & security etc.
Intelligent, automated, infrastructure is a major lever for resilience
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