smart cities | smarter citizens vienna - 25 nov 2014 lr

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Smart Ci)es|Smarter Ci)zens? Tim Jones | Vienna | 25 Nov 2014

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A keynote at the Zero Emission Cities Conference in Vienna focused on shifts in focus of smart cities. Key contrast is made between what is being embedded in city infrastructures to make them more intelligent and efficient vs. how people in cities can use, share and interpret data to make more intelligent decisions. Talk is split into three parts: What we say about the future of cities from the first Future Agenda programme in 2010 An overview of some of the key developments and collaborations that have taken place since Some key questions that we see are being asked about citizen engagement that we will explore in the second future agenda programme in 2015

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Page 1: Smart cities | Smarter citizens   Vienna - 25 Nov 2014 lr

Smart  Ci)es|Smarter  Ci)zens?  -­‐  Tim  Jones  |  Vienna  |  25  Nov  2014  

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Scope  This  a6ernoon,  we  will  explore  three  different  perspecAves    of  the  evolving  smart,  digital,  intelligent  city,  discuss  some    

implicaAons  and  also  raise  some  quesAons  for  further  debate.  

Future  Agenda  2010  

Recent  Developments  

3  Future  Challenges  

World’s  largest  open  foresight  programme        CollaboraAons  and  change  since  2010        QuesAons  for  the  next  decade  

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Future  Agenda  2010:  The  World  in  2020  

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Future  Agenda  The  Future  Agenda  is  the  world’s  largest  open  foresight  

 program  that  looks  at  the  big  issues  for  the  next  decade  so    that  organisaAons  can  bePer  focus  and  sAmulate  innovaAon.  

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Future  Agenda  view  of  the  Future  of  Ci)es  The  first  program  in  2010  shared  50  insights  on  2020  that    

have  been  used  widely.  Of  these,  a  number  were  specifically    related  to  the  changes  taking  place  in  our  ciAes.  

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Imbalanced  Popula)on  Growth  By  2020  we  will  add  another  750m  people  to  the  planet,    and  mostly  in  places  least  able  to  accommodate  them:    

With  a  conAnued  shi6  to  urban  living,  we  are  stressing  the  system.  

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Developing  World  Mobility  Next  year  32  people  an  hour  will  be  moving  into  Shanghai,    39  into  Kinshasa  and  Jakarta,  42  into  Mumbai  and  Karachi,    

50  into  Dhaka  and  58  into  Lagos.    

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Richer  Poorer  Widening  differences  in  wealth  between  and  within  urban  and  rural  

communiAes  will  conAnue  to  extend  the  gap  between    rich  and  poor  -­‐  but  they  will  sAll  need  each  other.  

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Energy  Consump)on  We  know  that  Asian  ciAes  are  more  efficient  than  American  ciAes:  Los  Angeles  uses  25%  of  its  GDP  in  moving  people  and  goods.    

In  Hong  Kong  the  corresponding  figure  is  only  5%.  

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Dense  Ci)es  As  urban  migraAon  increases,  efficient,  densely    populated  ciAes,  not  distributed  opAons,  are  the    

ideal  benchmarks  for  more  sustainable  places  to  live.    

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Paris  –  The  Role  Model?  For  many,  the  blueprint  for  the  sustainable,  livable  city    

is  Paris:  Many  urban  planners  and  architects  see  this  as  a  highly    efficient  and  social  urban  model  that  is  aPracAve  to  residents.  

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Ubiquitous  Data  Access  We  will  be  connected  everywhere  -­‐  everything  that  can  benefit  from    

a  network  connecAon  will  have  one.  50  billion  devices  and  a  trillion  sensors    will  be  generaAng  so  much  data  that  we  are  doubling  capacity  every  month.  

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Intelligent  Highways  Mesh  networks  and  ubiquitous  mobile  connecAons  deliver    the  automated  highways  ambiAon  and  so  improve  safety,    

increase  capacity  and  reduce  congesAon.  

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Intelligent  buildings  Smarter,  bePer  connected,  self-­‐monitoring  homes    and  offices  provide  safer,  more  secure,  low  energy    

buildings  able  to  self-­‐manage  uAliAes.    

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Mega  City  States  Increasing  compeAAon  between  ciAes  over-­‐rides  naAonal  prioriAes  as  mayors  lead  bold  iniAaAves  to  place  their  ciAes  at  the  forefront  of  the  global  stage:  

The  C40  becomes  more  influenAal  than  the  G20.  

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Recent  Developments  and  Collabora)ons  

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Smart  Cars  Every  vehicle  has  thousands  of  sensor-­‐connected  computers    that  collecAvely  deliver  the  intelligent  car  that  is  able  to    

monitor  itself,  its  environment  and  its  passengers.    

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Autonomous  Vehicles  Led  by  urban  delivery  pods  and  long  distance  trucks,    the  rise  of  automaAcally  driven  vehicles  leads  to  the    

reinvenAon  of  the  travel  experience  around  infotainment.  

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From  Cars  To  People  We  are  seeing  a  shi6  of  focus  from  ciAes  designed  for  cars  to  ciAes    

designed  for  people.  The  influence  of  GM,  Ford  and  Exxon  is    giving  way  to  a  new  group  of  authoritaAve  bodies.  

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Amsterdam  –  People  Centric  Transport  O6en  seen  as  Europe’s  most  sustainable  city,  Amsterdam  is    the  global  leader  in  supporAng  non-­‐motorized  transport.    70%  of  mobility  in  Amsterdam  is  either  walking  or  cycling.  

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The  Smart  City  Ideal  Many  see  the  perfect  smart  city  to  be  one  where  renewable  energy    

systems,  effecAve  transport  networks  and  digital  infrastructures  all  align    to  create  a  super-­‐efficient  sustainable  environment  for  everyone.  

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Global  Drivers  of  Change  In  the  past  few  years  we  have  seen  clear  progress  on  the    Smart  CiAes  ambiAon  –  much  of  which  has  been  focused  

on  collaboraAon  with  some  key  mulAnaAonals.  

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IBM  |  Rio  de  Janeiro  IBM’s  Smarter  CiAes  /  Smarter  Planet  iniAaAve  has  been  embraced    by  mayors  in  many  key  ciAes:  Massive  sensor  networks,  cloud-­‐based    storage  and  predicAve  analyAcs  have  all  been  coming  to  the  fore.  

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Cisco  |  Songdo  Songdo  in  Korea  has  embraced  Cisco’s  ‘Smart+Connected’  view  of  the  city.  Ubiquitous  data  sharing,  automated  buildings,  high-­‐speed  networks  and  

pervasive  interacAon  are  all  part  of  the  connected  ideal.  

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Intel  |  San  Jose  Intel’s  collaboraAon  with  the  city  of  San  Jose  is  a  demonstrator  of  

the  capability  of  the  ‘Internet  of  Things’  focused  on  improving  air  quality,    noise  polluAon  and  traffic  flows  via  a  more  connected  infrastructure.  

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Siemens|  Masdar  Although  behind  schedule,  Masdar  is  sAll  aiming  to  be  one  of  the  most  

sustainable,  environmental  and  smart  ciAes  on  the  planet.  Key  partnerships  with  Siemens  are  focused  on  more  effecAve,  low  energy  systems.  

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Smarter  Ci)zens  A  big  quesAon  however  concerns  how  much  ciAes  can  be  intelligent  in    

themselves  vs.  enabling  ciAzens  to  be  more  informed,  take  bePer  decisions  and  so  parAcipate  more  in  the  development  and  execuAon  of  key  strategies.  

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Pervasive  Smart  Phones  At  the  core,  1bn  ‘always-­‐connected’  smartphones  and  the  associated  high  speed  wireless  networks  are  enabling  a  fundamental  shi6  in  

how  personal  data  is  generated,  shared  and  used  globally.    

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Predic)ve  Analy)cs  The  mining  and  (re)combinaAon  of  mulAple  disparate  data  sources  to    model  and  analyze  current  and  historical  facts  is  already  enabling  more    

organisaAons  to  bePer  anAcipate  and  share  emergent  needs.  

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Singapore  –  Urban  Mobility  With  its  populaAon  doubling,  Singapore  sees  mass  transit  as  a  core  driver  for  a  more  effecAve  city  –  By  2030,  80%  of  households  will  be  within  a  10  

minute  walk  of  a  train  staAon  and  75%  of  journeys  will  be  on  public  systems.  

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New  York  –  Engaged  Ci)zens  As  the  pioneer  in  providing  open  connecAvity  for  all,  New  York  has  been  a  hot-­‐spot  for  the  development  of  ciAzen  based  networks:  The  Bryant  Park  RestoraAon  CorporaAon  was  one  of  the  first  catalysts  for  change.  

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London  –  Open  Data    London  has  more  open  public  data  sets  than  any  other  European  city.  It  is  fast  becoming  a  leading  centre  for  more  intelligent  use  of  shared  informaAon  for  greater  collaboraAon  and  bePer  decision  making.  

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Christchurch  –  Sensing  City  Following  the  2011  earthquake,  Christchurch  in  New  Zealand  is  taking  advantage  of  an  unprecedented  opportunity  to  rethink  the  city  and  is  

introducing  integrated  sensor  networks  to  improve  data  sharing  

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Calgary  –  Flooding  Liability  Following  the  2013  floods,  the  government  in  Calgary,  Canada,  gave  

homeowners  a  one-­‐off  payment  with  the  opAon  to  either  rebuild  or  relocate.  No  future  state  help  would  be  available.  

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Floa)ng  Ci)es  The  ten  most  ‘at  risk  ciAes’  from  climate  change  globally  already  have  a  combined  populaAon  of  over  150m  and  are  projected  to  have  grown  by  a  

further  50%  by  2025  –  Few,  if  any,  will  be  insured.  

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Different  Ci)es  –  Different  Solu)ons  In  seeking  new  models,  organisaAons  such  as  Shell  have  recognised  that    global  challenges  require  local  soluAons  -­‐  but  different  city  types  can    

also  adopt  similar  approaches  to  improving  efficiency.  

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Three  Future  Challenges  |  Ques)ons  for  Future  Smart  Ci)es  

The  world’s  leading  open  foresight  program  

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Informa)on  vs.  Ac)on  How  do  we  know  that  people  will  make  bePer  decisions  when  equipped    

with  more  relevant  informaAon?  Calorie  labeling  in  New  York  helped  some  but  others  used  it  to  make  unexpected,  lower  health  decisions.  

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Owning  Your  Digital  Shadow  Increasing  consumer  awareness  of  the  value  of  their  digital  footprints    is  driving  the  desire  for  greater  control  of  personal  data  –  so  who  will    own  the  data  we  need  to  share  to  enable  smarter  ciAes  and  ciAzens?  

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Ci)zen-­‐Led  Change  How  can  boPom-­‐up  ciAzen-­‐iniAated  change  best  align  with  the  

major  challenges  we  have  to  address  around  energy,  water  and  food  consumpAon  in  a  world  of  less  space  and  more  waste?  

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“CiAes  have  the  capability  of  providing  something  for  everybody,  only    because,  and  only  when,  they  are  created  by  everybody.”    Jane  Jacobs  -­‐  The  Death  and  Life  of  Great  American  Ci4es  

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Future  Agenda  84  Brook  Street  London  W1K  5EH  +44  203  0088  141  futureagenda.org  [email protected]  

The  world’s  leading  open  foresight  program