smart structures in the construction industry 2016-2025 slides

Smart Structures In the Construction Industry: A Market and Technology Forecast—2016-2025

Nano-865

Issued March 2016

n-tech Research

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About n-tech Research

n-tech ResearchPO Box 3840 Glen Allen, VA 23058

Phone: 804-938-0030



• The rebrand of industry analyst firm NanoMarkets founded back in 2004

• Specialization in analyzing and forecasting market opportunities arising from advances in and application

of advanced materials. Special focus on functional and smart materials and coatings and their impact on

markets

• Provide full length market reports, focused subject matter analysis and individualized consulting

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• Founders have decades of experience in producing analysis of emerging technologies and markets

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Smart Structures In the Construction Industry: A Market and Technology Forecast: 2016-2025

n-tech believes that the market for smart structures in buildings, bridges and tunnels is about to take off based onimproved energy efficiency, reduced construction costs, increasing the lifespan of buildings and even improving buildingaesthetics. These developments fit well with the current buzz about the Internet-of-Things (IoT) and smart cities and willcreate opportunities for smart materials suppliers, building materials firms, structural health monitoring system (SHM)companies, energy companies and the construction firms themselves.

This report pinpoints the potential for smart structures in the construction sector and quantifies them in form of ten-yearforecasts expressed in volume and value and also segmented by the building geography and type.

The report provides analysis of the markets for smart structures in seismic and wind damage avoidance, SHM systems andsmart building skins. It also quantifies the opportunities for the smart materials and components used in the smartbuilding structures. These include shape memory alloys and polymers, piezoelectric technology, self-cleaning and self-healing materials, color-shifting surfaces, specialized biomaterials, and a variety of sensors.

Our analysis includes large international firms and interesting new startups. Some of the companies covered include:Agilent, Alcoa, Arkema, Autonomic Materials, Covestro, Cytec, Dow Chemical, Dynalloy, Ferro, Honeywell, Heliatek, IBM,Johnson Controls, Lord Corporation, Mitsubishi, Oxford Photovoltaics, PPG, SLIPS Technologies, Teijin, and Toray.

About the Report


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The Executive Summary presents a succinct summation of our analysis, conclusions and forecasts

Chapter One sets context for the market and reasoning for the report. We set out the scope, objectives and methodology

Chapter Two of this report provides an analysis of the construction industry and its need for smart structures and includes a quantitative evaluation of the addressable market for these and related products.

In Chapter Three we examine the latest smart building materials and discuss how they map into the smart structure needs for buildings, bridges and tunnels.

The remaining chapter—Chapters Four is devoted to forecasting the classes of smart structures.

Plan of the Report


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3.3 Towards More Effective SHM: Technology Trends3.4 The Rise of Smart Buildings Skins3.5 A Note on Smart Floors3.6 Influencing the Influencers3.7 Policy Considerations for Smart Building Skins3.8 Key Points from this Chapter

Chapter Four: Smart Structure Deployment in Construction: Geographies and Markets4.1 Smart Structures Inside: An International Comparison4.2 Beyond New Prestige Buildings and Bridges: Retrofits and Residential Markets4.3 The Impact of Smart Cities on the Future of Smart Structures4.4 Similarities to the BIPV Market4.5 Smart Structures in the U.S. Construction Market4.6 Smart Structures in the European Construction Market4.7 Smart Structures in the Japanese Construction Market4.8 Smart Structures in the Chinese Construction Market4.9 Smart Structures in the Other Parts of Asia and Australasia4.10 Smart Structures in the Persian Gulf Construction Market4.11 10-Year Forecast of Addressable Market for Smart Structures by Geography4.12 Key Points from this Chapter

Acronyms and Abbreviations Used In this ReportAbout the Author

Top Level Table of Contents


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Executive Summary: A Summary of OpportunitiesE.1 Opportunities Presented by Smart Structures Deployment in the Construction IndustryE.2 Firms to Watch in this SectorE.3 Summary of Market Opportunity by Addressable MarketE.4 Summary of Market Opportunity by Geography: Ten-Year Forecasts

Chapter One: Introduction1.1 Background to this Report1.2 Objectives and Scope of this Report1.3 Methodology and Sources of Information1.4 Plan of this Report

Chapter Two: Smart Structures in Construction: Materials and Technologies2.1 Smart Materials for Smart Structures2.2 Sensors for Smart Structures2.3 Ten-Year Technology Forecast for Smart Structures in the Construction Industry2.4 Key Points from this Chapter

Chapter Three: Smart Structures in Construction: Product Evolution3.1 Smart Structures in the Construction Industry: A Product Roadmap3.2 Mature Markets for Seismic and Wind Damage Monitoring and Recovery

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Table of Figures


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Exhibit E-1: Firms to Watch in this SectorExhibit E-2: Ten-Year Forecast of Prestige Building Market for Smart Building StructuresExhibit E-3: Ten-Year Forecast of Bridge Market for Smart Building StructuresExhibit E-4: Ten-Year Forecast of Other Commercial and Industrial Markets for Smart Building StructuresExhibit E-5: Ten-Year Forecast of Residential Markets for Smart Building StructuresExhibit E-6: Ten-Year Summary of Market Forecasts by Type of Construction ($ Millions)Exhibit 1-1: Evolution of Smart Structures in the Construction IndustryExhibit 1-2: Addressable Market Evolution for Smart Structures in the Construction IndustryExhibit 2-1: Selected Smart Materials with Opportunities in Smart Structure-based ConstructionExhibit 2-2: Customer Choice Possibilities of Smart Coatings for Smart WindowsExhibit 2-3: Ten-year Forecast of Smart Structure-based Construction Market by Type of Technology ($ Millions)Exhibit 2-4: Summary of Market by Type of Smart Material and Components ($ Millions)Exhibit 3-1: Smart Wall Functionality and MarketsExhibit 3-2: BIPV Glass Applications and OpportunitiesExhibit 4-1: Summary of Market by Geography ($ Millions)

Market Forecast

• Smart building structures provide new uses for both commerciallyavailable smart materials and those just emerging from the lab. Forexample, the smart structures “revolution” will see the use of nitinolshape memory alloy (SMA) to replace some traditional steel-andconcrete construction, using its ability to self-restore when a buildingor bridge comes under stress. In total the smart building structuremarket will produce around $150 million in smart materials sales in2021.

• In the next few years, the focus in this business will be on SHM.Leveraging the capabilities of smart materials and sensors, SHM willtake the relatively mature market for seismic protection and turn itinto a broader market where money is made protecting building,bridges, etc. against wind and other weather conditions, with finertuned data collection and automatic repair capabilities than has everbeen possible. By 2021, we expect the building SHM market to reach$555 million

• Today smart building skins using smart structures are mostly found inhigh-profile projects and experimental buildings. However, by 2021they will account for $1.4 billion in smart structureshipments. Building skins will make use of leading edge technologiessuch as embedded biomaterials that clean the air in the air in thebuilding, while providing sustainable energy at the same time; orcolor-shifting materials that simultaneously enhance energyefficiency and aesthetics in sync with the weather and time of day

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© n-tech Research 2016

Forecast of Smart Structure-based Construction Market by Type of Technology

Seismic + Damage SHM

Smart Skins-Design Based Smart Skins-Novel Materials

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Market Evolution


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Addressable Market Evolution for Smart Structures in the Construction Industry

Market Segment Current/Future Penetration and Business Case Timeframe

Prestige buildings

Current focus of all activity in the smart structures space. Case

for disaster avoidance seems proven – but other activity may

be intended to support further funding, especially from

government

Current

Other industrial and

commercial buildings

Scaled-down versions of smart structure-based systems could

easily be created if they are proven in existing markets

If the business case can be made then these will

appear in two to five years

Residential buildings

Overlaps with industrial and commercial buildings in that

residential buildings often exhibit similar economics and

business cases for technology deployments.

Timeframe for apartment blocks and multi-tenant

building three to five years. Use in small homes may

be a long way off

Retrofits Extensive rebuilds will include smart structures, but probably

little penetration for minor re-design or refurbishingSoon

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Considerable effort has been directed towards using technology to protect buildings against damage from seismic

activity and heavy winds. These have been long-standing concerns in the construction industry, of course, but

technological and economic forces are now turning smart structures into possible solutions in this area.

The next stage of evolution in this space can be categorized as structural health monitoring (SHM), which deploy

smart structures in order to achieve real time—or at least near real time measurement of the structural health of the

building. These are generally regarded as expensive options at the present time and this had held back the market,

as has a credibility problem with building specifiers such as general contractors or architects.

SHM systems are intended to have a fairly narrow range of functionality but n-tech believes that eventually these

systems will evolve into smart building skins. Structural health is just one factor inspiring building skins and they are

typically as concerned—or more concerned—with issues such as energy efficiency, daylighting or improved

aesthetics.

Instrumentation costs for SHM have declined dramatically making it possible to equip and monitor bridges, dams,

buildings, and water and environment resources in a more economical manner than in the past. The cost of

connectivity has also fallen enabling for new high-bandwidth features for SHM. The rise of cloud technology also

provides a level of flexibility and scalability for SHM systems that was not available until a few years ago.

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• Smart skins take a lot of this technology to the next stage. They could potentially incorporate all or any of thetechnologies that we have reviewed in this chapter. But they add an ability to adapt to environmental conditions;which means that they have the ability to control heating, lighting, ventilation, etc. And they are also intended toimpact aesthetics to some degree.

• In addition to the inclusion of self-dimming windows the energy-related aspects of smart skins can be tied to (1) skinsthat provide improved environmental conditions for people in the buildings and (2) skins that generate their ownenergy, often through the use of solar capabilities. Several examples of smart building skins integrated photovoltaicslayers and are therefore also examples of BIPV.

• To make smart structure-based construction thrive, we believe that the construction industry and the architecturalcommunity need to have a deeper understanding of what can be achieved using this technology. In any case, buildersand architects need to become proficient in the technology so as to be able to explain its advantages to clients.

• Finally, much of the funding for smart structure-enabled construction comes from government at the present timeand this will not change in a dramatic way. We see government funding of both subsidies and research playingimportant roles in this market

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Companies to Watch


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Firms to Watch in this Sector

Acellent

Technologies

Established (founded in 1999) SHM company and a good firm to look to for signs of mainstream changes in SHM

technology and applications. Supplies SHM technology to the aerospace industry as well as the construction sector

Autonomic

Materials

This start-up is well funded and in the process of commercializing autonomic self-healing additives for paints and coatings.

This would represent an advantage over current self-healing systems that require heat in order to self-repair. Self-healing

technology is not discussed much in the context of smart building skins, but their use seems inevitable as these systems

move towards multifunctionality.

HeliatekLeading developer of organic PV and is already actively working on BIPV and putting a solar layer on concrete. So at the

forefront of many of the solar-related trends discussed in this report

Kieran

Timberlake

Kieran Timberlake’s Smart Wrap is a thin plastic film designed to envelop a building, acting as a multi-tasking, intelligent

wall. SmartWrap integrates the functions of a conventional wall and combines them into composite that insulates, stores

energy, and digitally regulates temperature, as well as providing and controlling light.

Sage

Electrochromics

Leading provider of electrochromic smart windows and subsidiary of Saint-Gobain. The Saint-Gobain connections

potentially strengthens the business both financially and in terms of supply chains

SLIPS

Technologies

Well-funded start-up developing ultra-slippery surfaces. Omniphobic coatings likely to be used extensively in next-

generation smart skins and coatings from this firm may have the required functionality

View Another leading smart windows supplier, that has been able to attract substantial recent funding

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