"so you think you are a data driven pm" - moriya kassis and edik mitelman @producttank...

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So you think you are a Data-Driven PM…?

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Post on 10-Jan-2017

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So you think you are a

Data-Driven PM…?

This is an interactive session. Your cellphones are actually welcome here.And here as in life - you should act both fast and smart.

Let’s warm you up. Q #1. Here it

comes:

What is a successful experiment?

A successful experiment leads to

A follow up experiments

Changes to the Product

Experiment building algorithm

An issue or pain-point for the user Problem

hypotheses

Solution experiments

Users Personas

Don’t know thatAren't able toAre distracted byAre forced toNeed to

[Fill in the blank]

..

....

Solution Hypothesis

Q #2. Here it

comes:

Solution Hypothesis Structure

For example:1. If the call-to-action button is red then the number of

people registering will go up because the users will see the button better

2. If we change the copy explaining the value of registering then the number of people registering will go up because they will understand the value they get

3. If we remove all but one call-to-action on the page then the number of people registering will go up because they are not distracted by multiple call-to-actions

Solution Hypotheses create a tunnel vision!That’s why we have Problem Hypotheses!

Shoppers want to see an activity feed of product purchases on their homepage

solution

Why?Because…shoppers aren't buying enough products

business need

Why?Because customers don't think the product recommendations are authentic.

customer need

How to chose a hypothesis?

1. Pick the riskiest!2. High risk -> High Reward3. If you are right on all of them, what will bring

the biggest impact?4. Don’t waste resources on proving what you

already know

Hypothesis Prioritization

Q #3. Here it

comes:

Experiment design - variablesMust be controlled!

Must be measured!

ExperimentDesign

Q #5. Here it

comes:

Experiment design - A/B testing⊸ Small number of variables⊸ Measures one KPI⊸ Small traffic is usually enough⊸ No insight on variables

interaction

Experiment design - Multivariate testing⊸ A lot of variables⊸ Measures different KPIs⊸ Shows full interaction between

variables⊸ Requires a lot of traffic⊸ Longer to develop and analyze

Q #6. Here it

comes:

Are you ready for The challenge?

Experiment design - Testing

Complements!Not opposites.

Experiment design - Variants

Small changes can optimize, but won’t make a leap

Go widely different in the problem space

Q #7. Here it

comes:

Last but not least

Segmentation of the market [Country, Time of day, Day of week, Visitor type

(new versus returning), Search keywords]Segmentation allows you to understand and optimise for different users. There is no point in getting a 30% conversion rate in the wrong market which masks the fact you’ve only got a 5% conversion rate in your target market.

The next step is to ask yourself two questions:● What do these results mean for development

prioritisation? And● Why did I get these results?