NATO UNCLASSIFIEDNATO UNCLASSIFIED

SO/LIC SYMPOSIUM 10 Feb 2009

NATO Future Security Environment - 2025

SECTION ISTRATEGIC OVERVIEW

SECTION IIGEOPOLITICAL CHALLENGES

SECTION IVGLOBAL SECURITY CONCERNS

SECTION VFUTURE CHALLENGES AND

OPPORTUNITIES

SECTION IV: REGIONAL TRENDS

SECTION IIIGLOBAL SECURITY RISKS

•Extremism and terrorism•Proliferation•Reliance on computer networks•Cyber war•Information operations (INFO OPS)•Criminal issues of concern•Criminal organizations and networks•Illegal immigration and human trafficking•Diminished law and order

NATO SPECIAL OPERATION TRANSFORMATION INITIATIVE

NSTI NSTI –– the the VanguardVanguard of NATO Transformationof NATO Transformation

2007 2008NSTIRIGANOV 06

1.EnlargeSSOO

2.Establish

NSCC

3.Federation

TrainingCentres

SSOOSHAPE Spec Ops Office

4 Nations2 - Officers, NCO

DSOODirector Spec Ops Office

2009

NSTEPNATO SOF

Training and EducationProgram

CJFSOCCCourses

IntelligenceCourses

CTSeminar

SOF AirPlanning

Federation ofTraining Centres

NSCCNATO SOF

Co-ordination CentreFramework Nation USA 23 Nations

100- Officers, NCO, Civ

NSCC MissionNSCC Mission

The NSCC will enable and support NATO SOF as the focal point for strategic SOF advice and operational planning to the NATO Chain of Command

NB: NSCC is a NATO coordination and advisory organization. It does not fulfill a command function

NSCC LoD

1. Provide SOF Subject Matter expertise

2. Support Force generation

3. Develop SOF policy, increase interoperability

4. Support SOF training and exercise

5. Establish a NATO SOF Network

SOF Capabilities Working List

ITEM Rational/Remarks

FAC Operational RequirementSOF Commanders Requirement

Biometric Systems Operational Requirement

CIS for SOF SACEUR’s task/ MMR CIS for SOF submitted (includes Intel Systems)

Non Lethal Capabilities Applicability for SOF

NATO UNCLASSIFIEDNATO UNCLASSIFIEDNATO UNCLASSIFIEDNATO UNCLASSIFIED

Depth of NSCC Support Depth of NSCC Support

NATOHQs

ACT

ISAFSOCCE

NATOExercises

NATOSchools

Nations &Nation’s SOF

CrisisResponse

DJTF/DJSEHRF/NRF

DSACEUR: Deputy Supreme Allied Commander EuropeDCOS: Deputy Chief of StaffSOCCE: Special Operations Command & Control Element

HRF: High Readiness ForceNRF: NATO Response ForceACT: Allied CMD Transform.

JFC: Joint Forces CommandDJTF: Deployable Joint Task ForceDJSE: Deployable Joint Staff Element

HQ NATO

NSCC Support to Afghanistan PrePre--NSTI/NSCC NSTI/NSCC

Special Operations Command Special Operations Command & Control Element (SOCCE)& Control Element (SOCCE)

PrePre--NSTI/NSCC ISAF SOFNSTI/NSCC ISAF SOFSpecial Operations Task GroupsSpecial Operations Task Groups

(SOTGs)(SOTGs)

• 32 pax • 2 x SOTGs -

SOCCECurrent SOCCECurrent SOCCE Current ISAF SOFCurrent ISAF SOF

32

SOCCE SOTGs

2

• 70 pax • 7 x SOTGs -

78 7

120 %INCREASE

250%INCREASE

Projected SOCCE Projected SOCCE ‘‘0909

• 83 pax

83

Projected ISAF SOF Projected ISAF SOF ‘‘0909

• 9+ x SOTGs

9+

160%INCREASE

350%INCREASE

Pre NSTI/NSCCCurrentProjected Spring ‘08

MA KLE

MEDCAP

NON KINETIC MISSIONS

HA

22

HeratHerat

ShindandShindand

ZaranjZaranj

QalatQalat

Jacobabad

Mazar-E SharifMazar-E Sharif

BaghlanBaghlan

GereskGeresk

GardezGardez

ShkinShkin

KonduzKonduz

Bari KowtBari Kowt

KandaharKandaharSpin BuldakSpin Buldak

BamianBamian

GheckoGhecko

SalernoSalerno

JalalabadJalalabad

GhazniGhazni

AsadabadAsadabad

QuettaQuetta

PeshawarPeshawar

Lashkar GahLashkar Gah

FarahFarah

ShinkayShinkay

SharonaSharonaOrgun-EOrgun-E

LwaraLwara

NangalamNangalam

ParachinarParachinar

ChamanChaman

MiramShahMiramShah

WanaWana

ZormatZormat ChapmanChapmanKhowstKhowst

BagramBagram

BaghranBaghran

MaimanaMaimana

Qala NawQala NawChaghcharanChaghcharan

Deh RawodDeh RawodDeh ChopanDeh ChopanChopan

OruzganOruzgan

Tarin KowtTarin KowtMusa Qalah Musa Qalah

KabulKabul

-RC (S)

RC (E)

RC (N)

RC (W)

SOF in AFG Theatre

UNITY OF EFFORTCoordination of SOF in theatre

AFGHAN CRISIS RESPONSE UNIT

NSCCNSCC