Southern California Association of Governments

Freight Transportation:Freight Transportation:Emerging Issues for Southern CaliforniaEmerging Issues for Southern California

Alan BowserAlan Bowser

Goods Movement PlanningWorkshopGoods Movement PlanningWorkshop

Detroit, MichiganDetroit, Michigan

July 10-12, 2001July 10-12, 2001

2025 Forecast for Population & Employment Growth (Millions)

1997 2025 Increase

Population 16.1 23.0 43%

Employment 7.0 10.0

44%

“Like adding two Chicago's toSouthern California”

SCAG’S regional domestic product is $438 billion, which would make it the world’s 12 largest economy, just following Canada

“The RTP Balancing Act”

MOBILITY

Growth and RTP Projects and Programs

Performance Measures (Air

Quality Mandate)

Constrained Funding

(Financial Mandate)

Goods Movement System

Purpose is to improve efficiency of all modes (truck, rail freight, marine shipping, and air cargo) and all cargo types (domestic import/export, containerized, break-bulk and bulk).

Policy Committee Policy Committee Issue Review and ApprovalsIssue Review and Approvals

EECEEC TCCTCC CEHDCEHD

Regional CouncilRegional Council

•RTP EIR

•AQMP

•Mitigation monitoring

•RTP

•EIR

•RTP Conformity

•Plan Implementation

•IGR (Transportation)

•Growth Forecast

•RHNA

•IGR

2001 RTP UPDATE

TCC

RTP Task ForcesRTP Task Forces

Long Range

Finance

RTPTAC Aviation

TruckLanes

High SpeedRail/

MAGLEV

RegionalTransit

TransitCorridors

GoodsMovement

FourCorners

Growth

SCAG Committee & Task Force Planning Process

Goods Movement Advisory Committee

Mission: “The Goods Movement Advisory Committee will

advise the Regional Council on the conditions prevailing in

moving goods in Southern California; on establishing

appropriate transportation, infrastructure, air quality and

environmentally sound land use policies; and propose

programs and priorities to ensure the safe, efficient and

economical movement of goods within the region and its

competitive advantage in international trade.

SCAG Committee & Task Force Goods Movement Planning Process

GMAC (con’t)

... responsible for guiding SCAG in the development of an

understanding of the freight transportation issues and needs

of the region, and will work interactively with SCAG staff to

fulfill its charge. The Committee will meet periodically to

review the progress of SCAG work, and may establish sub-

committees at its discretion to focus on particular concerns.

It will seek to reflect the diverse interests of the region, the

public and private needs, and the goals of the Regional

Comprehensive Plan and Guide.”

SCAG Committee & Task Force Goods Movement Planning Process

GMAC (con’t)

Membership Includes:

- Elected/Appointed Officials - Local Gov’t Staff

- Caltrans - Federal DOT Agencies

- Private Companies - railroads, truckers steamship lines, air cargo operations, package express operators

- Representatives of Seaports, Airports, Environmental Groups, law enforcement agencies, local neighborhood groups consultants

SCAG Committee & Task Force Goods Movement Planning Process

GMAC (con’t)

OUTCOMES

Advocate Goods Movement System Efficiency:

Higher throughput, bottleneck elimination, greater

reliability, reduced congestion and environmental

impacts & corresponding economic benefits - region,

state, nation.

Los Angeles CountySan Bernardino County

Orange County

VenturaCounty

1990 Home-Work Trips

2020 Home-Work Trips Riverside County

County to County TravelCounty to County Travel

SCAG’s Travel Demand Model Improvment

Trip Generation Model Trip Distribution Model Mode Choice Model

New Traffic Analysis Zones Other improvements

Taz99VenturaL.A NorthL.A SouthSan BernardinoVictor Valley / Morongo ValleyOrangeRiversideCochella Valley

New SCAG Taz’s

Heavy Duty Truck Model

• Developed and incorporated the Heavy Duty Truck Model into SCAG’s new travel demand model.

40

5

15

10

210

15

405

10

5

605

215

110

13280105

710

30440

32 28 0

10 3616 027360

1232

0

40

16900

48380

28120

1846085

480

31360

14060

22400

145 4

0

6312

0

26080

3762

0

63600

4726047340

39 56042580

28260

18140 41740

23560

19240

24 000

13920

6620

0

Kern

Victorville

San Bernardino

Palm Springs

Riverside

Burbank

PasadenaOxnard

Santa Clarita

Los Angeles

Torrance

Barstow

Temecula

Palmdale

Thousand Oaks

Santa Ana

Long Beach

Newport Beach

Simi Valley

Corona

Ontario

Anaheim

Irvine

Ventura

Los Angeles San Bernardino

RiversideOrange1995 Daily Truck Volumes0 to 18,00018,000 to 24,00024,000 to 40,00040,000 to 90,000

Other

1995 Daily Truck Volumes

SCAG 1995 & 2020SCAG 1995 & 2020Freight Mode ShareFreight Mode Share

(Million Tons)(Million Tons)

1995 2020 Increase

Rail 91 309 240%

Truck 319 527 65%

Air 3 8.9 197%

Goods Movement Issues

Options

• How do we meet the future demand of goods traffic on the region’s roads, railroads, and airports?

• How do we fund improvements in an efficient and equitable manner?

• Build dedicated truck lanes on I-710, I-15, SR-60• Evaluate the regional grade crossing system• Study the costs of converting the truck fleet to

alternative fuels; develop incentives• Promote cargo airports on closed military bases and

in the Inland Empire

Regional Transportation P lanPerformance Indicators

Performance indic ators ass ist in determiningoptimum transportation solutions bycomparing investment al ternatives.

The nine performance indicators are:

• Mobility

• Accessibility

• Cost-effectiveness

• Reliability

•Air Quality

• Safety

• Customer Satisfaction

• Equity

• Livable Communities

8.2 9.1

12.5

17.4

24.3

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

ACTUAL1999

2005 2010 2015 2020

TE

U (

Mil

lio

ns)

Container GrowthContainer Growth(Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach)(Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach)

1.8

0.8

3.2

1.6

4.0

2.3

4.6

2.9

5.3

3.6

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

Mill

ion

To

ns

1996 2005 2010 2015 2020

Years

Domestic

International

SCAG Air Cargo ProjectionsSCAG Air Cargo Projections

Major Infrastructure ComponentsMajor Infrastructure Components

• Alameda Corridor / East

• Orangethorpe Corridor

• Other railway grade crossing improvements

• Exclusive Truck Lanes

• Inter-modal facilities

• Freight throughput productivity enhancement

• Air cargo distribution

Funding IssuesFunding Issues• Lack of funding for freight throughput

enhancement

• Lack of funding for freight movement mitigation

• Difficulty in selecting projects between freight and people movement

• Freight factors

• Traditional funding limitations between truck and rail infrastructure

• Within-the-fence mentality

Management/Operation IssuesManagement/Operation Issues• Encroachment between people and

freight movement

• Local ordinances limiting delivery

• Ports - limited operation hours

• Transfer among air, truck, and rail cargo

• Individual bottlenecks

• Empty container issues

What Lies Ahead?What Lies Ahead?

• Public/Private Partnerships to deliver freight projects

• Explore use of multi-modal performance measure to allow tradeoffs

• Increased reliance on technology i.e. ITS

• Stronger freight movement linkage to public funding allocation

Southern California Association of Governments