southern california association of governments resolving regional challenges use of ab1467 in...
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Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges
Use of AB1467 in Southern California
Use of AB1467 in Southern California
Mark PisanoSCAG Executive Director
March 24, 2007CFEE
Public Private PartnershipConference
Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges
9.5 13.2
18.3
36.0
44.7 RevisedEstimate
1999 2005 2010 2020 2030
6.99.0
12.3
23.4
Original Estimate
In Million TEU’s (20’ Equivalent Units)
Source: POLA, POLB
Total LA/Long Beach Container GrowthProjected to Triple in 25 Years
Total LA/Long Beach Container GrowthProjected to Triple in 25 Years
25.2
Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges
“Just-In-Time” Savings“Just-In-Time” Savings
The trans-loading of weekly shipments
from Asia affords large, nation-wide
retailers an 18-20% reduction in their total
pipeline plus safety stock inventory
compared to direct shipping from Asia.
Assuming a 6% average error in nationwide one-week-ahead sales forecasts
Leachman & Associates LLC
Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges
Landside Congestion is Putting Our Advantage in Jeopardy
Landside Congestion is Putting Our Advantage in Jeopardy
Without improvements, nothing will be moving
By 2025
Projected to nearlydouble
Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges
The Pollutants it Creates are Putting Our Health in Jeopardy
The Pollutants it Creates are Putting Our Health in Jeopardy
The mega-region continues to have the worst air quality in the U.S.
Over 5,000 premature deaths a year
Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges
Source: SCAQMD, Multiple Air Toxics Exposure Study II, March 2000
They comprise 71% of the
major pollutants
contributing to cancer risk in
the South Coast Air
Basin
Diesel Particulates Are at the Root of the Problem
Diesel Particulates Are at the Root of the Problem
Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges
How Are We Going to Attain PM2.5 Reduction Targets? How Are We Going to Attain PM2.5 Reduction Targets?
TONS PER DAY
Baseline 2014 Reduction
NO
VOC
SO
PM2.5
x
x
654
527
43
102
443
469
19
88
Percent
(31%)
(11%)
(57%)
(14%)
203
59
24
14
Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges
Draft 2007 AQMPDraft 2007 AQMP
Tons/Day
Target
AQMD Stationary Measures
CARB’s Strategy
Unknown
203
-6
-125
-72
2014 NO Attainmentx
Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges
Draft 2007 AQMPDraft 2007 AQMP
Tons/Day
NO Target
AQMD Stationary Measures
CARB’s Strategy
AQMD Additional Measures
Unknown
383
-8
-139
-57
-179
2023 OZONE Attainment
x
Alameda Corridor EastAlameda Corridor East
Alameda Corridor
East-West Corridor
More tracks, alternative routes, grade crossings
ColtonHobart
AB1467AB1467
Authorizes regional transportation agencies to enter into agreementswith public and private entities to develop goods movement projects.
User fees, including tolls, may be used to pay for the projects.
Two in north and two in south.
Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges
Proposed High-Speed SystemProposed High-Speed System
IOS & LAX & SBD81 miles6 stations$11 billion capital cost$110 million annual O&M
IOS & LAX & Ports & SBD99 miles6 stations$19 billion capital cost$296 million annual O&M4 to 13 million TEUs
Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges
Proposed Truck Lane SystemProposed Truck Lane System
I - 71018.0
miles
East/West
37.8 miles
I - 1586.0
miles
2 Lanes inEach Direction
Capital Cost:$16.5 billion
Potential Fee Structure: $60 - $70 (per FEU) + $0.86/mile toll
Center Lane Miles: 142
Average Trip Length: 37 miles
Average San Pedro Bay Port Trips in 2030: 142,003
New Vehicles with 2 or more containers