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Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges Use of AB1467 in Southern California Mark Pisano SCAG Executive Director March 24, 2007 CFEE Public Private Partnership Conference

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Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

Use of AB1467 in Southern California

Use of AB1467 in Southern California

Mark PisanoSCAG Executive Director

March 24, 2007CFEE

Public Private PartnershipConference

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

9.5 13.2

18.3

36.0

44.7 RevisedEstimate

1999 2005 2010 2020 2030

6.99.0

12.3

23.4

Original Estimate

In Million TEU’s (20’ Equivalent Units)

Source: POLA, POLB

Total LA/Long Beach Container GrowthProjected to Triple in 25 Years

Total LA/Long Beach Container GrowthProjected to Triple in 25 Years

25.2

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

“Just-In-Time” Savings“Just-In-Time” Savings

The trans-loading of weekly shipments

from Asia affords large, nation-wide

retailers an 18-20% reduction in their total

pipeline plus safety stock inventory

compared to direct shipping from Asia.

Assuming a 6% average error in nationwide one-week-ahead sales forecasts

Leachman & Associates LLC

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

Landside Congestion is Putting Our Advantage in Jeopardy

Landside Congestion is Putting Our Advantage in Jeopardy

Without improvements, nothing will be moving

By 2025

Projected to nearlydouble

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

The Pollutants it Creates are Putting Our Health in Jeopardy

The Pollutants it Creates are Putting Our Health in Jeopardy

The mega-region continues to have the worst air quality in the U.S.

Over 5,000 premature deaths a year

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

Source: SCAQMD, Multiple Air Toxics Exposure Study II, March 2000

They comprise 71% of the

major pollutants

contributing to cancer risk in

the South Coast Air

Basin

Diesel Particulates Are at the Root of the Problem

Diesel Particulates Are at the Root of the Problem

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

How Are We Going to Attain PM2.5 Reduction Targets? How Are We Going to Attain PM2.5 Reduction Targets?

TONS PER DAY

Baseline 2014 Reduction

NO

VOC

SO

PM2.5

x

x

654

527

43

102

443

469

19

88

Percent

(31%)

(11%)

(57%)

(14%)

203

59

24

14

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

Draft 2007 AQMPDraft 2007 AQMP

Tons/Day

Target

AQMD Stationary Measures

CARB’s Strategy

Unknown

203

-6

-125

-72

2014 NO Attainmentx

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

Draft 2007 AQMPDraft 2007 AQMP

Tons/Day

NO Target

AQMD Stationary Measures

CARB’s Strategy

AQMD Additional Measures

Unknown

383

-8

-139

-57

-179

2023 OZONE Attainment

x

Alameda Corridor EastAlameda Corridor East

Alameda Corridor

East-West Corridor

More tracks, alternative routes, grade crossings

ColtonHobart

AB1467AB1467

Authorizes regional transportation agencies to enter into agreementswith public and private entities to develop goods movement projects.

User fees, including tolls, may be used to pay for the projects.

Two in north and two in south.

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

Proposed High-Speed SystemProposed High-Speed System

IOS & LAX & SBD81 miles6 stations$11 billion capital cost$110 million annual O&M

IOS & LAX & Ports & SBD99 miles6 stations$19 billion capital cost$296 million annual O&M4 to 13 million TEUs

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

Proposed Truck Lane SystemProposed Truck Lane System

I - 71018.0

miles

East/West

37.8 miles

I - 1586.0

miles

2 Lanes inEach Direction

Capital Cost:$16.5 billion

Potential Fee Structure: $60 - $70 (per FEU) + $0.86/mile toll

Center Lane Miles: 142

Average Trip Length: 37 miles

Average San Pedro Bay Port Trips in 2030: 142,003

New Vehicles with 2 or more containers

Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

Use of AB1467 in Southern California

Use of AB1467 in Southern California

Mark PisanoSCAG Executive Director

March 24, 2007