speculation on the origin of sub- baseline excursions of ...€¦ · speculation on the origin of...
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of CH4 at Cape Grim GMAC 2016, Boulder, Colorado
OCEANS & ATMOSPHERE
Zoë Loh | Research Scientist 17 May 2016
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Co-authors
• O&A: • Paul Krummel, Rebecca Gregory, Paul Steele, Marcel van der Schoot, Darren
Spencer, David Thornton, Bronwyn Dunse and Ian Galbally
• O&A/University of Bristol: • Ann Stavert
• Cape Grim BoM staff: • Jeremy Ward and Nigel Somerville + all those at Casey in recent years
• ANSTO • Scott Chambers and Alastair Williams
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
Continuous methane data: Cape Grim
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
Continuous methane data: Cape Grim & Casey
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
Sub-baseline methane excursions
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
Sub-baseline methane excursions
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CRDS and GC-FID measurements
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
Cape Grim methane residuals: 2013
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• Intrusions of stratospheric air – Expect ozone to be anti-correlated with methane during the event
• Long range transport around the Southern Ocean
– ‘Dynamic isolation’? – Look at the radon & trajectories
• Marine boundary layer chlorine radical attack
– Look at the correlation with ethane
Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
Possible mechanisms
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
June 2013: Ozone
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
June 2013: Radon
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
June 2013: Ethane
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
Trajectories
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
Trajectories
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
Trajectories
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
December 2013: Ozone
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
December 2013: Ethane
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
December 2013: Propane
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
December 2013: Radon
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
Trajectories
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
Trajectories
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
Trajectories
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
Trajectories
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• Intrusions of stratospheric air – Wintertime seems to have some of these type of events
• Long range transport around the Southern Ocean
– Radon is sub 100mBq.m-3, but not notably lower, however; – Trajectories do look to be long range SO transport
• Marine boundary layer chlorine radical attack
– Depleted ozone, ethane and propane
Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
Possible mechanisms
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Conclusions
• Sub-baseline excursions of CH4 • Do not (all) seem to be due to stratospheric intrusions • Possibly long range transport over the Southern Ocean – dynamic isolation • Possibly chlorine radical depletion of methane
• Do similar events occur at Casey? • If so, they are much smaller in magnitude. Does this tell us anything?... Mean
latitudinal OH or source of MBL chlorine radical?
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O&A Zoë Loh Research Scientist t +61 2 9239 4518 e [email protected] w www.csiro.au
OCEANS & ATMOSPHERE
Thank you
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Residuals at Casey
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
Synoptic conditions: 13 Dec 2013
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
Synoptic conditions: 16 Dec 2013
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Speculation on the origin of sub-baseline excursions of methane at Cape Grim
December 2013: Hydrogen
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Australian Greenhouse Gas Observation Network
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• Cape Grim
• Gunn Point – tropical site • Burncluith & Ironbark – coal seam
gas fugitives • Macquarie Island (LoFlo only) • Casey Picarro G2301
• RV Investigator G2301 & Aerodyne N2O/CO
• Arcturus & Otway (CCS) decommissioned