spencer s retail q1 fy-21 earnings conference call” - transcript of...spencer’s retail limited...
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“Spencer’s Retail Q1 FY-21 Earnings Conference Call”
September 18, 2020
MANAGEMENT: MR. DEVENDRA CHAWLA – MANAGING DIRECTOR &
CEO, SPENCER’S RETAIL LIMITED
MR. TANMAY KUMAR – CFO, SPENCER’S RETAIL
LIMITED
MR. B.L. CHANDAK – EXECUTIVE GROUP, RPSG
GROUP
MODERATOR: MR. MANOJ MENON – ICICI SECURITIES LIMITED
Spencer’s Retail Limited September 18, 2020
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Moderator: Ladies and gentlemen good day and welcome to the Spencer’s Retail Limited Q1 FY21
Earnings Conference Call hosted by ICICI Securities Limited. As a reminder all participant
lines will be in the listen-only mode and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions
after the presentation concludes. Should you need assistance during the call, please signal an
operator by pressing ‘*’ then ‘0’ on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is
being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Manoj Menon from ICICI Securities.
Thank you and over to you sir.
Manoj Menon: Good afternoon or good evening depending on where you’re dialing from. It’s an absolute
pleasure to host the results conference call of Spencer’s Retail Limited. The company is
represented today by Mr. Devendra Chawla – Managing Director and CEO, Mr. Tanmay
Kumar – CFO and Mr. B.L. Chandak – Executive Director, RPSG Group. Now over to the
management for their opening remarks and then goes that we will have the interactive session.
Over to you sir.
Devendra Chawla: Thank you very much and welcome everyone. I am Devendra Chawla, Managing Director for
the Company and I’m just going to take you through the earnings call post which we can have
a Q&A. So, at Spencer’s we offer experiential shopping experience to customers through our
varied assortment and we aim to make Spencer’s a preferred retailer and we are undertaking
our journey as a true omni-channel retailer. In the pandemic we have had a massive digital
transformation and a lot of our business now comes through our omni-channel route.
Spencer’s reported a standalone turnover of 439 crores and a gross margin of 19.1% for the
quarter ended June 30th, 2020. At Spencer’s, we operate 158 stores with the trading area of
13.4 lakh square feet and currently we operate the 73 large format stores and 85 small format
stores. We are primarily in East, South and North. As Nature’s Basket we are across the
country including Mumbai, so overall, we are in 42 cities, 40 cities for Spencer’s and 3 cities
for Nature’s Basket. Nature’s Basket predominantly being in Mumbai but also has 8 stores in
Bangalore and 2 in Pune.
Our results reflect the impact of lockdown, limited operational hours and restrictions on the
selling of higher margin nonessential items such as apparel, general merchandise and other
nonfood items which were not allowed to sell. The loss of business hours was partly offset by
the e-commerce business or the omni-channel business which grew around five times. We
have coined a term, we call it ‘out of store’ business which compromises of our e-commerce
business, a large RWA program where we reached out to societies, Residential Welfare
Association and served our consumers where they were and also through various delivery
methods and telephone delivery also being one of them. The ‘out of store’ business has now
roughly in the pandemic time constituted between 15% and 20%. At a business level we have
transformed our working capital cycle and it now operates a negative working capital which is
resultant of our operational and supply chain efficiency.
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We are happy that we were able to operate and the 90% of our store’s operation from day one
of the lockdown on March 23rd and throughout the pandemic we have been able to have 90%
plus stores serving our consumers in our country. We treated the pandemic as an opportunity
which helped our business growth, propelled by the essential commodities and responded with
agility to treat our stores as hubs and we felt if consumers can’t come to us we will reach out to
consumers and thus the ‘out of store’ program. This includes initiatives such as hyper local
customer connect, e-commerce, phone delivery. We also pioneered the chatbot in the country
and we could take orders on a chatbot through WhatsApp and quickly we tied up with partners
creating store as a platform and we partnered with Uber, Rapido, Swiggy, many third parties to
create an ecosystem because when our staff was less we could partner with third-parties to
ensure that we could make multiple times delivery to our consumers then pre-pandemic. These
initiatives, we believe, have been instrumental for our resilient performance as compared to
peers in the industry as far as growth rate or degrowth is concerned.
During ‘19-20 we completed the acquisition of Nature’s Basket. This gave us entry into
Mumbai and the Western part of the country, I mentioned Bangalore and Pune. Nature’s
Basket comes with a strong private brand portfolio, attractive, intrinsic profitability and a
complimentary business model to our Spencer’s business model. Since the takeover of
Nature’s Basket Ltd., we have effectively managed the cost structure of NBL and reduced
business losses by the closure of few loss-making stores. We got sourcing benefits and the
integration with supply-chain management, IT, our teams and by leveraging Spencer’s
presence, opening NBL stores along with our private brands. We have achieved significant
cost savings which are resultant of the effective integration with Spencer’s.
Nature’s Basket reported a standalone turnover of 108 crores and a gross margin of 26.2% for
the quarter ended June 30th, 2020. As I mentioned Nature’s Basket operates 31 stores across
Mumbai, Pune and Bangalore with a total trading area of 84,000 square feet and Nature’s
Basket Limited has reported positive EBITDA within one year of acquisition due to successful
integration efforts and has witnessed significant growth given the pandemic time of April-
May-June, the sales growth has been to the tune of 25% which was actually during very
challenging times of the pandemic which goes on to show that we were able to win the trust of
our consumers.
I’m also happy to inform that the operating cost structure of the Nature’s Basket has improved
considerably and the company reached the desired negative working capital position. Recently
we concluded our rights issue which was oversubscribed and we gathered or collected 79.48
crores. This would help us to achieve our liquidity position and repay debts.
I will just make a statement on our future plan, a generic one without much numbers. We are
focusing on becoming a true omni-channel player. We would be driving growth via various
‘out of store’ initiatives, including multiple tie-ups. We shall be pushing sales of higher-margin
categories, now that non-essentials have opened, for example apparel and general merchandise
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which are very high margin which in the first quarter the sales were lesser because of not being
allowed to sell and we have also re-launched our own private brand and we are focusing on
increasing its share because they give us much more margin.
We perceive gifting as a large business for the coming festive and Diwali. It is a large business
for us in Nature’s Basket and even Spencer’s and become a retailer of choice for local festivals
and our festival initiatives over the last one-year has given us very good growth. So that is the
summation I had on the business outlook and at this point I’m very happy to open the floor for
any questions if there any. Thank you very much.
Moderator: Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session. The first question
is from the line of Pratiksha Daftari from Aequitas.
Pratiksha Daftari: In your annual report, you’ve mentioned that the unit economics of your online delivery has
improved and now that we have come like your out of store business is 15% to 20% of the
total business. If you could share some highlights on how the unit economics of this business
work and how as compared with the other business?
Devendra Chawla: There are two components when it comes to omni-channel - e-commerce and an out of store
business. One, during the pandemic what’s happened is since consumers were coming out
lesser to reduce the risk of the virus the average bill value which is a key metrics in retail has
gone up. So, the basket value has gone up from before, even for e-commerce and even for the
stores. So, this gives you efficiency because if you are delivering one order of a larger value,
the cost of delivering the order is the same, also the marketing cost on digital is lower than the
pre-pandemic marketing costs. There are three components to the omni-channel cost, one is
customer acquisition cost, one is the digital marketing cost or you may call it a coupon code or
incentive when you give to the consumer and third is the logistics cost. So, all these three got
optimized and on top of that, the order value went up significantly. So, the rupee gross margin
from the online order became high and these costs went down and thus at an order level, the
business in unit economics, is positive right now if I may say.
Pratiksha Daftari: And how many deliveries do we do on an average now and how does it compare to the early
lockdown phase?
Devendra Chawla: So, as I mentioned as the pure omni-channel or e-commerce through our app or through
website, the number has exceeded five times and that continues even right now. If you add
other initiatives to it which is RWA program or even through telephone deliveries or if I may
classify the whole thing as out of store or delivery business that is between 15% and 20%.
Pratiksha Daftari: No, as a number of deliveries if you could tell me like how many deliveries per store or per
day something like that?
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Devendra Chawla: So, I can tell you on a month level, the number of deliveries while I will not be able to give the
exact number but they far exceed more than 1 lakh per month only on e-commerce itself.
Pratiksha Daftari: And also, Nature’s Basket whatever cost savings we had to see in terms of synergies or
integration, can we assume that they are all factored in or do we expect more synergies to step
in because of integration?
Devendra Chawla: So by and large the integration efficiencies have been factored in but some bit of savings
which we are achieving because of rental negotiation in Bangalore will continue to come in
subsequent quarters as well both on Nature’s Basket as well as Spencer’s. But purely on
account of integration I think by and large 80%-90% is behind us.
Pratiksha Daftari: For Nature’s Basket, I think of the dominant business is in Bombay, so Bombay the lockdown
was far extended as compared to other places. So, do we see that this kind of numbers are
sustainable going ahead or do we think that it will normalize?
Devendra Chawla: I will answer it like this, that all small stores, and this is true for Nature’s Basket, Spencer’s,
for retail industry as a whole, small stores benefited because footfalls at the malls were down
but people were still comfortable going down to a store which is walking distance or very close
to your place on high street. So, Nature’s Basket are all small stores and got the benefit of this
phenomena and if you see Spencer’s also and divide the stores into very large stores and malls
or small stores, the small stores also grew in Spencer’s in the pandemic time even though
overall the numbers look negative if you divide into large stores and malls and small stores,
small store actually grew. It is the large store and malls which were negative and that is also
generally what we have been hearing around that other smaller stores have grown. So that
benefit has come and of course continues to come though as the world opens and goes out and
as more and more traffic goes back to mall or as we return to normal of course the growth rate
of Q1 were higher and may come down in the subsequent quarter.
Pratiksha Daftari: Private brands I think contribute about 14% of revenues in FY20 and since that is going higher
margin and you also mentioned about relaunching some private brands. So, do we have a
milestone that we target that this is the contribution we want to take to in near future for both
Spencer’s as well as Nature’s Basket?
Devendra Chawla: Absolutely, so as you rightly said last year our private brand mix in Spencer’s was around
12.5%, it stands at 14%, at Nature’s Basket the mix is around 9% and at both the companies
we have a target—I would not like to share the target—but absolutely we are chasing a target
to grow the mix because we make higher margin, also the higher margin product of Nature’s
Basket as integration the benefit of some of the higher-margin gourmet product can come to
some of the stores of Spencer’s overall increase in the margin on the food side which is
underway as we speak.
Moderator: The next question is from the line of Manoj Menon from ICICI Securities.
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Manoj Menon: I have a few questions but I will just ask one this time. This one question is actually on the
Spencer’s side of it, if you could talk about consumer behavior on the personal care category
and the other perceived discretionary categories outside of food?
Devendra Chawla: In the beginning, the mix of commodities or essential was very high but as April-May passed
by and if you see May-June-July and without getting into numbers of these, post the first
quarter, discretionary is coming back to some extent. If you see fashion was by and large shut
in April-May. In the last month of the quarter has come back to 40%-45% of the business.
Obviously, it might recover a lot more as we speak right now. Personal care given the people
were at home if you divide it, the DIY category has started going up and a lot of new launches
like epilators, shavers, machine shavers, manicure-pedicure sets which are high value, a lot of
shaving products with electrical combine, their sales have gone up. In the beginning things like
eye-care, lip-care, personal care did go down for the first 2-3 months but is now recovering
very quickly. So as far as groceries are concerned including high-value FMCG, I would say by
and large business is back as we speak. The challenge continues to remain on the non-food
side unfortunately which is very high margin for us which is on fashion and general
merchandise which is also recovering. Obviously, it’s far better than Q1 right now, far better
and while I can’t comment on V shape, W shape of the recovery the conversations we have but
definitely the businesses recovering very quickly at an overall level. And on the electronic side
if I may add, there is a lot of new items like we never used to sell earlier, like oximeters or
even new range of microwaves or even the television panels just before the IPL, I think sales
of that have even more than last year same time.
Moderator: The next question is from VP Rajesh from Banyan Capital.
V.P. Rajesh: Just wanted to get a sense of your revenue from apparels, not in Q1 but if you can just
direction we give an idea let’s say last year, what was the percentage contribution from
apparel, groceries and the general trade items that are higher margin?
Devendra Chawla: So roughly if you see the mix we have, pure grocery roughly constitutes 70%. We are also a
seller of liquor or alcohol which constitutes roughly 9% to 10% and the rest of 20% is what we
call pure non-food, out of which 9% to 10% is general merchandise which has got the utensils,
household goods, 6% would be fashion—this is I’m giving you last year’s full year average
number without going into Q1 or pandemic numbers because they have gone down this time—
and the other 4% to 5% would be what we call electronics and electrical. It would be like 70-
30, 70 is grocery and 30 if you take alcohol as a non-food or not exactly grocery then the mix
is 70-30 for the last financial year. Obviously, this has got impacted and the 70 has become
larger and the non-food side in Q1 took a hit because two months we weren’t allowed to
operate fashion and general merchandise and even alcohol for the large part of the quarter.
V.P. Rajesh: And what would be the gross margins of the groceries and the other market for last year?
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Devendra Chawla: So, the non-food if I take apparel and general merchandise, the margins come to around 30%
to 33% and the grocery side if you take would be around 18%, so our blended average comes
to between 20% and 21%.
V.P. Rajesh: Sorry 32 is for liquor non-food, fashion and electronics?
Devendra Chawla: No, 32% is only for general merchandise and apparel, electronics and electrical it would be
roughly around 15%-16% and liquor is lesser and on the food side 70% which is the grocery
side, it varies 18% to 19%.
V.P. Rajesh: And then you were talking about, you were putting Nature’s Basket products, so how are you
thinking about it because I would think that the Nature’s Basket’s customer profile is very
different from a Spencer’s customer profile?
Devendra Chawla: Allow me to explain, some of the gourmet items or international products which Nature’s
Basket source in and some of our stores which are in the up-market catchments in Calcutta or
in Gurgaon or in NOIDA, the consumers in these cities of Spencer’s can consume those
products but the supply chain exist by and large only for gourmet products currently in the
country and a lot of those items do not end up reaching because distributors of those brands or
importers if I may call, don’t set up distribution hub in many parts of the countries because it
becomes unviable. But since we have already a chain Spencer’s and we do sell a lot of food,
we believe a portion of Nature’s Basket assortment, a small part but with very high margin can
be sold at Spencer’s stores. Now Nature’s Basket is also a leader in India in gifting. When it
comes to gifting during the festival the gifting mix is very high and we believe this is a very
big untapped opportunity in India. There is no gifting brand or per se I mean no app or a
website, barring one or two. But gifting is becoming very large where people give gift
hampers, sometimes the cheese, wines, couple of gourmet foods. I think Spencer’s can big
time capitalize on that and as we speak we are working on bringing a part of that assortment,
high margin from Nature’s Basket because for us we don’t have to incur any cost, we already
have warehouses, we already have stores, we already have the teams. So, without incurring any
cost we can just increase sales and thus improve our gross margin, weighted average, food
margin by bringing those items including the private label of Nature’s Basket.
V.P. Rajesh: And then what will be your percentage of your private label business as the total overall
revenue?
Devendra Chawla: So, as I mentioned it at Spencer’s it is 14%, it used to be 12.5% last year, 14% this year and at
Nature’s Basket the mix of private brand is around 9%.
V.P. Rajesh: Do you have a target in mind to take it through?
Devendra Chawla: Absolutely and I was answering in the previous one that I would not like to give the target but
absolutely this is something we are furiously working on and we want to increase it because
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this gives us much-much more margins than other national brands. This is the sure shot way to
increase the margins.
Moderator: The next question is from the line of Pratiksha Daftari from Aequitas.
Pratiksha Daftari: If you could just tell us a little about the rental negotiations that are going on and what kind of
arrangements are we seeking with our store owners and what kind of savings can we expect?
Devendra Chawla: The conversations with the landlords for both Spencer’s and Nature’s Basket happened in
April-May-June, by and large 80%-90% is done and various models emerged through savings
and I will just give a sense of it. With some landlords, we have arrived as a solution that they
will give us either a rental waiver or a percentage of rent reduction in April-May, some gave us
in April-May-June a percentage of rentals and some landlords gave a portion in Q1 and then
some in Q2-Q3 and they all signed and agreed. So, let me put it this way, a large portion of the
rental advantage or savings have come in Q1 but it is not as if 100% has come, some bit of it
will flow through in the balance three quarters as well.
Pratiksha Daftari: So what kind of waivers have we been able to get like 10%-15% if you could quantify?
Devendra Chawla: If I have to go on Q1 numbers as a percentage of rental of Q1, obviously they are large, they
will be much more than 10%-20% at both the companies if I take on the Q1 level. If I take on a
year level, I would not like to give a number but let me put it this way, in Q1 the number is
much more than 10%-20% as a percentage of rental itself, the savings.
Pratiksha Daftari: And also, if you could tell like what kind of same-store-sales growth—I know that this is not
going to be a normal first half at least—but from FY19 to FY20 we saw deterioration in same
store sales growth, so if you could tell us what are the plans on that front and what kind of
trajectory you want to see there and how are we planning to…
Devendra Chawla: Allow me to explain, allow me to give a context. Divide the stores into two, for the last
financial full year, the stores which were what we call same-store or which we track same-
store growth, their per square feet sale has gone up. But we added a lot of new stores and just
to give you a sense roughly, our mature stores roughly do Rs. 1500 per square feet plus. It is
the new stores which used to start at a lower square feet and for example if you open 25% of
new stores then the weighted average per square feet comes down and thus the EBITDA
comes down. But if I only take the last year store, actually we have grown those stores. Will
you divide the business in Q2 and you will realize that it’s not as if the business has gone down
or sales have gone down per square feet, sales of existing stores have continued to move up by
some percentage points. In fact, I’m happy to report that all the new stores we have opened last
year, normally they used to take roughly 5 years to breakeven. We are going to shorten that
time if I may say between 3 to 4 years. So even the new stores are opening on day one at a
much high per square feet sales than ever before. So, the average of these two is what pulls
down the average per square feet and results into EBITDA. But if I take only the previous
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stores last year when we had reported our first profitability then the stores are continuing to
grow. But we’ve opened a large number of stores, very large number of stores in a year, so
roughly 20%-25% of the business or the mix came from new stores which pulled down the
EBIT per square feet. And if I may add, Nature’s Basket was not there, we acquired Nature’s
Basket from July 1, so we can’t do an apple to apple, April-May-June comparison, so let’s try
to do it sequentially. So, if you take Q4 2020, even the last quarter of the year, put together as a
consolidated both the companies was 640 crores and in Q1 in the pandemic we have done 547
crores. So even if you see, we’re negative by only 15% in the pandemic, despite that this has
the 25- 30% Spencer’s as the mix of non-food & alcohol which by and large was not allowed
to run throughout the quarter including alcohol. To my mind I think if you see sequentially it
gives an idea of the direction we are taking.
Pratiksha Daftari: What kind of expansion plans or number of stores or retail area plan we have for this year, like
to cut down increase marginally?
Devendra Chawla: We had planned pre-pandemic that we would be adding around a 1.5 to 2 lakh square feet
every year. Last year we did meet more or less that target. Now because of the pandemic of
course you can’t have people going out, so that has slowed down. But absolutely we will be
opening new stores, as we speak we are opening new stores in this month and in the balance of
the year we will be opening new stores. The number I am not able to give you because it is all
a function of the pandemic, the city and what we are able to arrange people, landlord being
able to complete his work and hand over the store to us. So, there are multiple delays at various
partners’ end but the plans to open new stores remain. We have opened a new store of Nature’s
Basket in Kolkata on Park Street, so from three cities we have gone to four cities and I may say
that we also have plans to expand Nature’s Basket in NCR. Hopefully in this financial year
itself should be able to open. So, we will take Nature’s Basket when we acquired last year
from three cities to five cities and in Spencer’s also we should be able to open couple of stores
in this year.
Pratiksha Daftari: If you could, from expectation on the festive season this side I mean on the gifting front that
the opportunity that you see and apart from that how the consumption you expect to play out in
this festive season?
Devendra Chawla: So, on that account I will say that we did make an attempt on Rakshabandhan, which just went
by a last month, and we said let’s test the result of advertisement or discounts and see what is
the elasticity of demand and well the results weren’t very encouraging as far as
Rakshabandhan, of course we grew but not where we thought we should. Then we also had
what we call the big days of the 15th August sale and by and large the industry was quiet but
we did make a large attempt. We grew in double-digit but that was far less of than what we
used to grow earlier in normal years. So definitely this gives us a view that demand is still
subdued, it is more uniform, the spikes have gone out within the month. Whether it is
Saturday-Sunday, the weekend skew used to be very high, people would work for 5 days and
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shop a lot on weekends, given they are at home or they have lot more time, the skew in the
week has gone. So, Saturday-Sunday are no more that high as it used to be. Now when it
comes to the coming festive, we’ve started seeing green shoots in apparel, in general
merchandise, in footfalls itself if I may say, the footfalls are far more than in Q1. Our footfalls
are back at 75% to pre-pandemic level and 75% footfall does not mean that 75% of business is
happening because people are coming lesser and buying more than earlier. So, if it is 75%
people are coming but if they were buying 1, now it’s like 1.1-1.2. So, the sales per trip is
much higher. So, to my mind, if we reach 80%-85% of the footfalls I think we are back
completely in business because people are buying a lot more than earlier. That will make up
for footfalls into average bill value is equal to sale. We are also seeing green shoots in B2B
which is institutional gifting. So, we believe a lot of gifting, lot of corporates used to buy gift
and give to their employees and for both Spencer’s and Nature’s Basket it’s a large business. I
think a lot of it is moving into coupons or e-coupon where companies would be gifting their
people rather than a physical gift and given it to them in offices because a lot of people may
not come in office or even deliver it to their home, e-vouchers and that business I think we
should be able to capture which is again large for us. And then you can get an e-voucher and
redeem it online on Nature’s Basket or even Spencer’s and you could buy a gift or a gift
hamper or a basket or even any product and then it could be delivered. So, the B2B one,
institution is seeing green shoots, unfortunately the B2C the consumers buying gifting and
giving it to people is down over last year even now because there are not as many people going
to other people’s home for dinner and at occasions or festivals or some function and thus they
normally go with the gift and that part is definitely down. I have a sense—now again this is my
personal belief, that gifting could come back but it could just be immediately before Diwali, it
will not be like couple of weeks before Diwali but just couple of days before. So, let’s see, so I
think we are very-very cautiously optimism and we’ve reduced our inventory, we are in good
negative working capital, so we don’t want to increase our inventory being too optimistic and
thus sitting with inventory later. So, I think a lot of just-in-time or delaying decision-making
till the last moment till you know you can make some forecast.
Moderator: The next question is from the line of Mr. Resham Jain from DSP Investment Managers.
Resham Jain: Just one question on the overall rental; so, from the future expansion plan and with your
commentary around rental negotiations happening, are you seeing that the new expansion is
happening at a lower rental and hence the breakeven level of sales for you also will be much
lower than what it was previously? If you can just comment on the overall economics which is
new dynamics around rental?
Devendra Chawla: My answer to that is partly yes because I think there is benefit right now if you go out and sign
up new stores, then negotiations to some extent are easier or better for the retailer or for the
tenant if I may say. So that benefit definitely can come and maybe for the next couple of
months also that may continue depending on how many stores you sign because right now
probably it is a little bit towards the tenant side. So, if I may say without giving out numbers,
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even the new stores which we have not opened were to open in the balance of the year and
which we will open we have also been able to negotiate lower rentals for those stores also. So,
we have re-negotiated our lease terms, even for the new stores which were to open. I won’t say
for all of them but definitely for many of them. So there breakeven become so much better for
us because the OPEX will go down. In fact let me add to it when it comes to OPEX, not just
rental is a large part of the OPEX, we have also learned in the pandemic that sometimes when
you are forced to assess how many people it takes to run a store, there are various models retail
uses, one of them being if you have—let’s say—for example a 10,000 or 50,000 square feet
store, there are rough models in the world and in India within grocery, fashion depending on
who you are that for every 200 square feet or 250 or 150 square feet you should have one
person in the store. I think the pandemic has forced to relook at all of them and even on that
front we have been able to attain efficiencies and I don’t see us going back to adding that kind
of cost even post-pandemic. So, pandemic has forced us to become leaner, meaner and I don’t
see those costs going back. I think we should be able to run business with much better OPEX
going forward, little lesser number of people in the store with the little lower rental. Also part
of the mix of the business is also coming from out of stores, so to that extent if let’s say 95% of
the business used to come from the store and it is now it 80%-85% because you are able to do
though RWA program, through phone delivery, through your app, through chatbot, I think you
could optimize a lot of cost at the store end and those benefits will continue to come I think for
all subsequent quarters.
Resham Jain: Very interesting. Just one theoretical question around my first question. So, with this rental and
other OPEX coming down, earlier your breakeven level of sales and this will depend on
location also, so it’s a very theoretical question. So earlier at 100 your breakeven level of sales
used to come, now with this optimization around cost and all, is there any rough number which
you can think about that your breakeven number of sales will come down by 10%?
Devendra Chawla: I get your question, basically operating cost at a store level or OPEX is actually down by a
decent percentage. The moment fashion, non-food or general merchandise recover and I’m
happy to report that general merchandise which is large part of non-food is it over to the tune
of 70%-80% as we speak, it is fashion which is still not recovered is at around 50%. I think
even if in 3-6 months this part achieves, so even if we were to do the same per square feet sale
of last year and earn the same margin, thanks to this lower OPEX I think our breakeven would
come down by certain percentage points absolutely. That is in fact the whole plan for us that
we will continue to keep our costs down for the coming quarters, in fact even for the coming
year we have done the modeling and we have done 2-3 scenarios and all look favorable one
being pessimistic, one being optimistic and one being in the middle. So, in all three the
operating cost at the store level is coming down in all three. So that definitely the spread the
gap between income through margin which is RGM, rupee gross margin minus OPEX if I may
say will continue to expand absolutely. In fact, I may like to add that going forward as a
retailer because we do have large stores; we plan to increase the non-food mix a lot more, so at
store EBITDA level we are also looking at EBITDA expansion. Now that one is hard to
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answer, it may not happen in a quarter or two, given the pandemic it’s very difficult to put a
number to when exactly consumers will be back as normal. But definitely one can answer over
the next 2 to 3 years; the margin profile for company should significantly change even the
higher mix of non-food.
Resham Jain: Just one last question, given that you have smaller format stores and also larger format store,
going forward what kind of size you feel is right or the optimized size for your bigger
expansion?
Devendra Chawla: So, you see in the pandemic it has come out very differently. Ideally size of 10,000, till 35,000-
40,000 is the right model, anything above 8000 to 10,000 going to 40,000 with 30%-40% mix
of non-food would give a margin model of 25% for those kinds of stores if you are able to take
the food mix up. So that is ideally the sweet spot, however in pandemic the reverse has
happened because large stores are in mall and people didn’t come to the mall, so the footfalls
in mall were 20%-30% lower than in the small stores. So small stores though have very less
gross margins because it’s only food business, practically no non-food, however, square feet
sale has gone up in pandemic and even their SSG in the first quarter was in double digits which
earlier it used to be lesser than double digit, it used to be low growth, single-digit but has gone
to a high or double-digit. I think that will change slowly and we will revert back eventually to
the older model of large stores doing much higher margin and small stores being low margin
but high throughput. So, if you ask me if you remove the pandemic as a company as a model,
stores between 8000 to 30,000 make sense. However, I may add, cities where we are like
Kolkata where we have many stores and one warehouse, there it makes sense to even take
small stores or even in UP or even in NCR, in these 3-4 cities even if we take small stores like
3000 square feet they are profitable because we have operating leverage in these cities. There
is hardly any investment except at store level to be made. In fact, for the next 2 to 3 lakh
square feet which we add, I don’t see any cost going up at HO level or very minimum even at
the regional level, so I think our cost structure will by and large remain the same when we add
another 2 to 3 lakh square feet sale. So it will all be at the store level.
Moderator: The next question is from the line of Ramkrishnan V from Equity Intelligence.
Ramkrishnan V: I just wanted to understand that this Nature’s Basket what is the area they cover as in the past
they used to have 70% to 80% of imported stuff, so what has changed? How you’re going to
stress this asset?
Devendra Chawla: In terms of mix if I may say Mr. Ram it’s not that a lot has changed. I think the way the stores
are run; the efficiency of our Spencer’s Retail who understands retail I think those efficiencies
and SOPs and the way you work with the consumers and marketing I think that part has
changed in Nature’s Basket. I won’t go to the extent for the sake of it say that the mix has
changed by and large. It has not. It is remaining the same what it is and the international food
80%-90% is too high, roughly it’s to the tune of 40% to 50% because the large part of fresh,
bakery, delicatessen and on that to work on freshness and to be able to get more consumers to
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the store and have an outreach program I think that has helped us at Nature’s Basket to
continue to be SSG positive as well as get benefit of cost efficiencies through integration. We
have not lost sales, we have grown sales in the quarter at the same time our costs are lower
because of the integration. So, I think these two have resulted in the Nature’s Basket as a
company becoming EBITDA positive for the first time and we continue to, I maintain that
there is scope for margins to go up in Nature’s have basket and we are working on it. I exactly
can’t go into the details but I believe our margin we have reported at 26.2%, there is scope for
improvement now. That needs some structural changes. It may not happen like in a month or
two but I think over a period of 4 to 6 quarter’s the margin profile should change in Nature’s
Basket as well.
Ramkrishnan V: This online delivery is going to continue with this so much of issues, so to cover area one store
may be covering to be it a radius or something like that in the Nature’s Basket because I live in
Mahim, so your Nature’s Basket you have Worli, so they don’t deliver to our side. Do you
have plans to increase the coverage as how you’re going to do?
Devendra Chawla: I will check, I think we do serve Mahim-Prabhadevi area. Let me check.
Ramkrishnan V: Just I wanted to know the coverage how you are going to increase the coverage?
Devendra Chawla: So basically, for Nature’s Basket or even for Spencer’s you define it as a hyper local and you
take a number of families or households or number of homes you can serve and then you do
backward math and decide how many people you need to hire for delivery and thus how many
in-stores for picking. Now in Bombay, because being very dense and there being RWAs and
buildings and societies, within 2 km or even sometimes in 1-1.5 km you can get a couple of
thousand homes which you want to serve. But at Spencer’s depending on which city you are,
you may have to go as far as 4 km or even 4.5 km, so that is the way you decide economics of
how to serve. We are able to cover by and large most of South Mumbai and I am surprised if at
Mahim we are not able to but I will definitely get back to you. We would not like to lose you
as a consumer.
If you say on the e-commerce side I may add, e-commerce also went up couple of times in
Nature’s Basket as well. I am seeing it as more and more people are coming out. The footfalls
in stores are increasing with every passing day Nature’s Basket as well as Spencer’s. So,
number of bills in September per day are more than August, August were more than July and
so on more than the previous months. So both can’t continue to grow because a lot of people
were making choice to buy on e-commerce and not come to the store, many of them are now
coming to the store. So, I think we will achieve a balance between e-commerce sales and
typical off-line retail over the next 2 to 3 months. But obviously you are right; the e-commerce
numbers for both the companies even post pandemic will continue to be much more then pre-
pandemic.
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Ramkrishnan V: One more thing I just wanted to ask whether DMart, they have a hub and spoke model like
ready DMart with the small shops like the 100 square feet area where they deliver you pick up
points, so do you have any plans to do kind of a thing?
Devendra Chawla: I absolutely understand the DMart model but I would not like to comment on any other
company. But I can tell you that in the world and in many places in India people have tried this
what we call ‘click and pick’ that you go online on an app, you make a basket of 10-15 SKUs,
you place the order and then you choose a slot where they don’t come and deliver you, where
you go to the store or you are doing some other work while on your way back home, you stop
at the store and pick up the bag, you can pay there the order, you could have already paid
online on your app through various methods. Unfortunately, many people have tried in India
and it does not work. As we speak, in Spencer’s we have been doing a pilot for it in two cities
from the last 6 months and the learning the Indian consumer still wants to be served at the
door. So, I think the pandemic maybe a little wrong time to try this because very clearly
consumers are saying, if I am coming to the store I will shop or I don’t want to come, I want to
be safe at my house and you deliver to me. So, it’s a very clear view right now. So this middle
path that I will use omni-channel or digital buying but pick it up physically at the store location
I think that part in the pandemic is not working. We have also tried but with very-very limited
success, in fact I would say the Indian consumer is not for it right now. I would say post
pandemic we would give it another shot. But it is very developed in the US, in Europe and in
the US, very large. But it also depends and there is no traffic and its very different dynamics
also there. Even India I think it’s going to turn out to be very different.
Ramkrishnan V: You have the tie up with Flipkart, in Hyderabad you are testing that. So, is that you are
expending that tie up?
Devendra Chawla: Absolutely, so Flipkart approached us and they agreed to do a combi-tie-up so that there is no
conflict that people who are shopping at our app in the same city at same place and we had
done a combi of grocery and done as a pilot. I think it’s still there in Hyderabad and I think
depending on the results on how unit economics for both we will see we want to extend it to
other cities or not. But that was only a pilot. At that point of time none of these companies
were able to do non-essential, so practically they had lot of idle capacity or manpower. I think
the things have pretty much changed now recently.
Moderator: The next question is from Krishnan VS from India Advisory.
Krishnan VS: Just wanted to get an understanding in terms of what the general or permanent changes has
COVID brought about for Spencer’s Retail and what does it mean for us from a revenues and
margins perspective? If you can also provide some numbers around it.
Devendra Chawla: I think in a way I have spoken of it in the last half an hour but let me say it again. So what
pandemic has done is, suppose first have to look at our operational cost, so we have become
leaner-meaner and I see a bit of it remaining permanent even if business comes back to 100%
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of pre-pandemic level I don’t see those cost structures at store level or regional going back to
the previous time. So, to that extent we get efficiencies. Also, we have learned that the margins
took a knock-off 100 to 150 basis points, only on account of non-food not selling because as I
said even in the first quarter 80%-90% or 80% grocery sales were happening. So, this is also
made us propel our private brand program to earn more margin. It has also forced us and we
have relooked that actually the throughput as efficiencies of food can be acquired or can be
generated through slightly lesser square feet area also with in-store and thus allowing us to
bring more non-food in the rest of the space which we can free up. So I think in the pandemic
or let me put it this way pre-pandemic the mix of non-food which we were planning I believe
now post pandemic we would be planning even a higher mix of non-food in our stores, cost
structures permanently at OPEX minus rental because next year rental agreements will kick in
and in some of them or many of them there is an escalation clause whatever 5%-8% depending
on the agreement. While that cost will go up I believe on the cost structure side there is a
saving. So attempt is higher margin we will plan in the future than before and lesser cost than
before. Higher private brand makes than we had planned before and also to expand gifting
which earlier was in by and large in Mumbai but to take it national.
Krishnan VS: My second and last query, I think you’ve again covered it a bit is around same-store sales
growth and also gross sales plus EBITDA margin, what do you think will be the key drivers
for enhancement of the three factors for next 2-3 years?
Devendra Chawla: Again, I will say the biggest thing which we need to do is to grow our non-food mix. I think
that itself will be a biggest task for us to grow our margins. So, we are optimizing store size. I
think we have discovered which best store size worked for us as far as per square feet sale go.
If you see even last year at a per square feet level, we have grown same-store sales growth of
course to a much—the numbers weren’t very large in a single low digit—but they have grown.
But I think if we continue to grow per square feet sale and reduce our cost and improve our
margin and then comes in the higher mix of omni-channel. Now remember in omni-channel
we can divide it into two parts, one is phone delivery which by and large is done with our staff
and is highly profitable because our staff is already paid and there is a very minimal cost for a
bike or petrol to be paid to cover that cost. So that is very-very profitable, far profitable than
done by a third party. The other omni-channel still uses the model like other companies do
where the unit economics have become better but I would not say we are completely there.
There I think on our app if you see we are working on, currently our app only serves food. But
in the pandemic, we have also decided to add non-food general merchandise and in couple of
time we will also be taking our whole assortment of the store online including apparel. So, I
think our margin profile and thus the EBITDA at store level should really move up given that
and I am not even depending on very high SSG growth rates. Let’s say the SSG growth rates
continue to be low as long as my margin improvement is there because of non-food and my
cost structures are better I think EBITDA will improve and that is the plan.
Moderator: The next question is from the line of Mr. Dipesh Parwal, who is an Individual Investor.
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Dipesh Parwal: The first one a very basic one, when can we expect Spencer as in consolidated entity to be a
profitable one and a cash flow generating?
Devendra Chawla: That’s a difficult one because that’s a forward-looking guidance and I would refrain from
giving it and of course the pandemic has forced us to relook. So definitely I can only answer
that at Nature’s Basket we have become EBITDA positive and I see things only improving
from here on. At Spencer’s couple of quarters depending on the effect of pandemic and the
way non-food recovers, a lot of answers lie there. So, I really can’t put a date or which quarter
or when exactly we will be PAT positive as a consolidate company but I can tell you the
strategy on both the companies and current numbers.
Dipesh Parwal: That I already got a feel of. And another one is, will this Jio emerging as the biggest player in
the retail space right now with mergers of Future Group and other mergers. So how as a group
we see at it as an opportunity or a threat like how do you see this big merger coming up of Jio
Retail and what are the opportunities and threat for Spencer’s as a group?
Devendra Chawla: Actually, when you are a food retailer I think you anyway grow up in the country with millions
of Kirana who are because of their own cost structures and their delivery cost being low,
highly efficient. So, I think in terms of if you see groceries group of retail I think there is
already enough competition or in a manner of speaking you don’t have to worry about more
players coming in. True penetration of Modern retail grocery is only 5% to 6% in India and
that will grow. Now I believe no one player can take all, so there will be space for everyone
and depending on it all comes down to who serves the consumer, who has the right customer
value proposition and who can delight the consumer’s in the end.
Also, please remember there’s a different set of customers and India can take many different
formats and while it all looks like supermarket and modern trade, actually there is a slight
difference in each store type and thus the customer type. So, we believe the kind of experience
we give in our store and we have our own niche in the way we serve like for example, we are
one of the rare retailers who do liquor alcohol. We are one of the rare ones who do fish and
meat and we deliver right now in two and three hours in many cities and that is really gaining
traction. In fact, that has surprised us the growth rate of that it’s become a large part of our
business, frankly I would say we would be by percentage mix the highest fish and meat selling
retailer on the grocery side. So, when you see the assortment of what we sell, I think we have
our own niche and even Nature’s Basket is gourmet retail and that customer is very discerning
and looking for global products. So, I think you have to find your own niche and serve the
customer very well there and I think that is the task we have set out, so why worry about who’s
doing what else I think as long as we focus on our consumers and serve them well I think we
should be in good state.
Dipesh Parwal: And the last one is, we recently had our rights issue. I was just curious did the promoter group
participated in the rights issue?
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Devendra Chawla: Absolutely and they subscribed to 100% of their portion in fact the rights issue got over
subscribed and currently we’re a negative working capital company and we picked up roughly
80 crores, so are well positioned and even at debt level of around 200 crores on a turnover of
last year’s approx. 2700 crores I think our debt-equity is also very comfortable, so absolutely
comfortable on those levels.
Dipesh Parwal: I think net debt-equity should be zero or negative for us right after the rights issue?
Tanmay Kumar: Yes, our debt proprietary rights issue was close to about 186 odd crores only. Post rights issue
where we have distributed 79 odd crores, clearly it reduces.
Moderator: The next question is from the line of Akhilesh Kumar from Adpro Technologies.
Akhilesh Kumar: I just have couple of questions. First question is again related to the last question on the debt
side. Actually, I’m seeing for last 4-5 quarters our interest cost is little on higher side, even
though we have turnover of around 200 crores odd. What might be the reason because we
don’t have much working capital requirements as well?
Devendra Chawla: While I will let a part of it be answered by Tanmay. I would say that earlier before we acquired
Nature’s Basket we had money in the bank and then the enterprise value which we bought,
Nature’s Basket, let’s say 300 crores. So, what we had in the bank we used so that used to give
us some income earlier in the previous quarters approx. That 200 crores have gone in acquiring
Nature’s Basket & we’ve taken roughly 100 crores Nature’s Basket debt and further we took
100 crores. If you take this change of interest income & debt interest and add to it, the new
store openings which in the beginning takes 3 years to break even. Only these two to a large
extent will answer difference between last year’s profitability and current numbers or last to
last years and last year if I may say. Let’s keep the pandemic aside. Tanmay can you add on
this?
Tanmay Kumar: So absolutely when you’re referring to our interest line in our company’s figures please note it
not only has interest on borrowings but there is also an accounting impact of Ind-AS 116 of
leases. So, there is close to about 14 crores which gets reflected at CFS levels in the quarterly
numbers as interest you might therefore be looking at a slightly higher numbers as ratio to the
debt which is probably what you were asking. But overall, we’re very comfortable with the
interest that we generate we have to pay out from the cash interest on the 186 crores of
borrowings that we have.
Akhilesh Kumar: Okay that’s reason I am not aware of. And last thing on treasury point, since pandemic as you
mentioned that we have learnt the benefits of the omni-channel of distribution and serving the
customers in the radius of 2 to 4 kilometers. My question is why we are not trying to grow that
channel and reach for greater area and like say our fixed cost is limited compared to Big
Basket; we already have a store, warehouses in the city. Why can’t we cover by just employing
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more man power and covering larger area? We will have better unit cost than those third party
Grofers or Big Basket?
Devendra Chawla: Absolutely and that is the exact plan we have. That’s why we’ve coined this new term called
out of store. We don’t have to put warehouses in cities and carry inventory or inventory
carrying cost or higher items to be able to create a hub. Our existing stores are the hubs so I
don’t need to invest any cost. It is the same inventory in my store from which the consumers
come to the store they buy and from the same inventory I’m able to serve the consumers on an
omni-channel or a phone or an RWA. So, neither are my inventory levels going up in fact our
inventory is even down. So, you can in a way say from a lower single digit omni-channel
company pre-pandemic we are high double digit omni-channel company with further reducing
inventory as a company. So, we’ve reduced inventory as if in a manner of speaking let’s say
we were a physical retailer company and we’ve added 20% of online business or 15% and
there is no cost for that 15% barring that manpower. Now we’ve not added manpower at our
store as you rightly said. Some bit of it is through our own manpower we are optimizing it,
stretching it. And the spillover from whatever is our manpower currently we are working with
third parties as I mentioned. Because we need to learn that one has more and more footfalls are
growing back in the store. To give you an example and I will give you real numbers this is
pertaining to the first quarter and I can give, people don’t know that even in the pandemic of
April-May-June when the lockdown was, the number of bills in the store used to be 55%-60%
of pre-pandemic. So more than half people were always coming and buying at the store. While
we all feel everybody was work from home and that hardly anybody was going out, they were
buying a lot more than earlier. The business generated by this 55% was more than 55% of
consumers coming pre-pandemic. Now we need to just learn that the more people were not
coming out, the more online was growing and more with every passing day people have started
coming out, the online growth has come down but online is still large for us. I can safely tell
you even now our online sales are 4-5 times than pre-pandemic even now. So, we need to just
find that balance that and then invest our cost that how much we need people in the store and
how much to deliver and then we can work out how much to give to third parties because third
party deliveries are slightly costlier because they have to cover their cost and for me it’s the
same person in my store who could just go 1 km and deliver. So absolutely we are totally
working on it and I don’t see us reverting back to pre-pandemic level at all. I see us always
having even post pandemic, even 6-9 months or a year from now, our out of store sale will be
in double digit which used to be a very low single digit till January, February this year itself.
Akhilesh Kumar: That makes sense actually there’s on your legacy of the Spencer’s like say the early mover
advantage I don’t see that we lost out last two decades almost. So right now, like online
groceries delivery, they are even without pandemic they have been growing phenomenally
let’s say even metro cities like Bangalore. I can see Grofers and Big Basket; they have
captured almost 50% of the household. So why can’t we compete with them? We can let’s say
margins might be little lower side but our cost and we can serve much more consumers and
they will be loyal because our quality is good.
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Devendra Chawla: We can and we are. The only difference being that unit economics I don’t want to take names
all those companies make a massive loss. As you rightly said what we have is a very strong
brand Spencer’s and Nature’s Basket and I think in times like these most important things to
customer is protection and trust which we have earned. If you see social media or anywhere,
all consumers have praised and liked the way we’ve managed our contactless delivery at
homes or even when they have come to the store, the hygiene standards and whatever we have
done. So, I think on the trust side we have earned it and the brand anywhere from the last 1-2
decades we have earned it. Now if I replicate the other e-commerce model which you have
said, they are highly loss-making. Now I being a listed company I don’t want to go that route
and continue to add losses. But I totally take your point sir, we will do it in a profitable manner
and I’m very happy to report that pre-pandemic our unit economics, we are far better right now
than the pre-pandemic unit economics of an online delivery. At an order level we make money
now, at an order level if not at a business level. Pre-pandemic even at the order level we were
not making money. So, we may not have grown 100 times in e-commerce because that may
come at a very big cost but we have grown it as I mentioned 4 to 5 times and the unit
economics have bettered. So, we are in much better shape even as a physical store with the
cost structure, even the online side as a cost structure unit economics and I completely agree
with you. With the brand we have we need to leverage it in a hyper local area. People know the
brand; they trust the brand and all our endeavor and efforts would be that in the hyper local 2
to 3 km we make as many deliveries. We are doing many programs because it’s an analyst call,
I don’t want it to be the business side initiative. But we have many programs which are serving
us so well like each store now is personalized connected to couple of thousand consumers. See
what the pandemic has done is, people in essentials like I think they have got lot of goodwill
because they have been able to serve the consumers or right now it sounds pretty normal but I
remember end of March or beginning April it was not simple, the fear was at a peak and the
number of people who’ve appreciated that we have been able to serve them at their doorstep
and the numbers were very large. I think if we can continue that connect with the consumer
and which we are through personalized messaging, through personalized offers we are using
data. We are also using very new analytics because we have 90% of customers’ phone
numbers, so whether you shop at our stores or whether you buy online we are able to do a
single view of the customer SVOC, so I’m able to stitch the journey. That if you come to my
store what all you bought, when and when you buy online what all you buy and through
analytics and data I am able to personalize offers and send you. So absolutely we are moving
in that direction, only we need to be profitable and we need to go back into profitability
quickly, so I may not invest some crazy number in customer acquisition cost when with some
other companies do and again that’s a matter of their own decision and I would not like to
comment on their strategy.
Akhilesh Kumar: I’m based in Bangalore, earlier you used to have two stores here and they were very good but
now you have closed one and only one store is operating in Bangalore, I think that maybe loss-
making. What is the point keeping only one store in the city, either you can close down
entirely or leave the city or maybe you can have more stores here?
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Devendra Chawla: With acquisition of Nature’s Basket that part is put to rest and we have 8 stores of Nature’s
Basket and one Spencer. So, since we are the same company and Spencer’s holds Nature’s
Basket as a subsidiary we are able to optimize for our operation of regional or manpower and
so please see it as 9 stores versus 1 store because with Nature’s Basket is the 9 nine stores
operational in one city. And we will absolutely be expanding in those cities opening more
stores.
Akhilesh Kumar: I hope the analyst call will continue for next quarter as well, right?
Devendra Chawla: Yes sir, we do it time to time. I remember I think last July-August I had come down to
Mumbai for two full days and met a lot of analysts with Mr. Chandak and absolutely from time
to time we are very-very happy to answer our investors’ questions.
Moderator: The next question is from the line Deepak Mehta, who he is and Individual Investor.
Deepak Mehta: My question is on a private label, so what is the traction we are seeing in the private label
where we have higher margins?
Devendra Chawla: So, on private brands I mentioned that at Spencer’s put together of all categories, our mix is
14% and of course they make a lot more margin than other brands which we sell. And this did
come up before also that we want to take this mix higher. We have targets internally, for
competitive reasons we just don’t want to announce it. Even in Nature’s Basket the margins in
private brands are much-much more than other brands which we sell and one of the ways in
grocery retail to make money is to increase the mix of private brand. So of course, there are
even in our fashion we have a 2Bme which is growing, even on the food side. I can just give
the number but I can tell you that even now as we speak the mix of private brand is increasing
in our overall business. To make you comfortable it used to be 12.5% in Spencer’s last year,
we are at 14% right now and continuing to improve the mix of private brand even as we speak.
Deepak Mehta: My next question is around the competition, if we see Reliance Retail is gaining traction from
some big investors. Is there any possibility if we are in talk for this kind of strategic investment
from foreign companies such as DMart because Damani ji has some stake in our company, so
if you can throw some light on this?
Devendra Chawla: There is no such proposal in front of the Board and beyond that I cannot comment on this
because there is no such proposal.
Deepak Mehta: My last question is about the online sales, in next 3 to 5 years how much these online sales will
be the percentage of total sales and what is the margin, how much it is higher from the retail
sales or what is the scenario in the margin?
Devendra Chawla: I think there is always an opportunity in the crisis and if you see we are—if I may say since
you said competition and I would take names but among listed companies if you go and see
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probably we will be the—least negative company which have reported numbers. Even if you
see on a quarter-on-quarter January-February-March or we take April-May-June over Jan-Feb-
March sequentially because last quarter Nature’s Basket was not with us, I think we are (-15%)
which probably would be the least of all the retailers at least which I have studied including
some of the unlisted ones which we keep picking up in the market. Now what has happened is
in online what I believe it is the best thing to happen, we have been omni-channels from
anyway from couple of years, so for us we are not like running around the digital
transformation now since pandemic has come and a whole world wants to go digital, suddenly
digital is the way to go. We have had an app for couple of years and a part of our business was
always omni-channel. Now that part was too small, so we have taken an advantage and as I
said as we speak also our e-commerce business is five times, if I take out of store it is even
much more than five times than pre-pandemic. So delivery business now is even more than
five times than the delivery business to the pandemic. The average bill value right now of
online is much more than it used to be pre-pandemic which allows us to make unit economics
profitable. So, I have said this and I will tell you that there are three costs whether it be any
company e-commerce platform or even omni-channel retailer, one is customer acquisition cost,
the one-time cost to acquire a customer which is very high which we have brought down to
even less than half. I can’t give the number because of competitive reasons. The second cost is
maintaining that customer continues to buy in you with the world loosely call coupon or a
discount, for us that has also come down. Third is the cost of digital marketing to connect with
you on social media Instagram, Facebook or other ways. But that we have also brought that
down pre-pandemic. All these costs are down and bill value is up, for example if the bill value
was 500 earlier and your margin is 20% per order you are making Rs. 100 and you have to
reduce all these three costs, customer acquisition cost, digital marketing cost and your logistics
costs and then arrive by the unit economics positive or negative. Now the bill value from 500 if
I may say and again these are not exact numbers but let me say ballpark has gone to 900 to
1000, let’s say double, so from making Rs. 100 which is 20% margin you are making Rs. 200
and these costs have gone down, so our unit economics at an order level are positive. So now
at a business level of course we have to attain a certain size to make omni-channel standalone
business as profitable on which one is going on. But I clearly see that since we were always
omni-channel and the pandemic hit we could accelerate and pick up and we didn’t drop it. I do
believe a lot of companies had to actually set it up and make a start. At least we were lucky
that we already had it and we could pick it up from day one. Secondly 90% of our stores were
running from day one, even from 23rd of March. So, we could convert them overnight into
hubs and start delivering. I remember in UP they didn’t even allow stores to run in the first two
months, in fact the first three months April-May-June, Lucknow they didn’t even allow a
single store to run for nearly three months but we could do home delivery. So actually, we
became an e-commerce company because the store became a hub, no consumers can walk into
the store but we could serve them. So whatever business we did in the city and that’s not a
small city for us was 100% if I may say delivery business through telephone, RWA or e-
commerce. So, I think all these learnings I believe in the next 2 to 3 years our e-commerce mix
will continue to be high because we want to be an omni-channel company and that is the
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future. The world is not going to go back completely the way it used to be. It will go back. I
personally believe once the vaccine comes or herd immunity or depending on what solution the
world finds. My personal belief is that people will want to go out, attend weddings, people will
go out to eat at restaurants and will want to go out to the pubs and thus the traffic at malls
eventually will come back but not 100% because some of it will be digital and to that extent
we are very-very ready to capture that.
Deepak Mehta: So, this online sales and demand is coming from the app only, Spencer’s app only?
Devendra Chawla: Whenever I say omni-channel it is 99% from the app, 1% we have an apparel website called
2Bme, you can even buy apparel from it and we could deliver it. As we speak we are
integrating even that into our app. So right now, it will be 99% on app, 1% there and in a
month or two it will be 100% on the app. So that’s when I say omni-channel, when I say out of
store it is the omni-channel plus telephone delivery plus RWA where we go to the full society
or Resident Welfare Association and we capture a full sell through a combined order or putting
up a store in the cooperative housing society.
Deepak Mehta: So, I have one feedback, so I am using Spencer app also and I have been visiting the store. The
app inter-fleet can be improved and online support and hygiene and all the support in the
storage is great, so thank you so much and have a great time ahead. Thank you.
Devendra Chawla: Thank you for your feedback and absolutely we are working right now in improving our
customer experience and we have revamping UIUX. Please give us a month, month-and-half
and given number of orders or the number of traffic went up like 20-30 times, we realized that
yeah, we need to improve it far more than what it is and many-many thanks for your feedback.
We are absolutely working on making it better.
Moderator: We have the last question from the line of Vismaya Agarwal from ICICI Securities.
Vismaya Agarwal: I have one more conceptual question on the industry actually. So basically, how do you see the
relationship, in fact I should actually put it, the balance of power shifting between the retailers
and the brands? And the reason I asked this is because of all the consolidation happening in
modern trade, the expansion of e-comm that’s definitely you have been talking about it and
that’s out there and also private labels growing. So, any changes in the relationships or how do
you see that happening going ahead?
Devendra Chawla: This question and allow me to answer it not as a Spencer’s CEO but more as a retail
professional because I have been in FMCG industry before and then in retail also for many
years. This question has always come and somehow, I find it a very hard one to answer
because I don’t see versus that FMCG companies or suppliers versus retailers. I will tell you
we have to divide the question into commodities and value-added products. Each channel
brings its own advantages. If you can sell a very expensive hair color or a top-end shampoo or
some of the products like gourmet food, then you to that extent any brand will want to work
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with you and the conversation is always better. So, the whole margin profile which people
keep speaking is all you have to divide it into the categories like commodities and value add
and on both sides I don’t see any challenge because if a brand needs to grow and even brands
or companies needs to grow their margin profile and also the more value added products they
add their gross margins is higher the more their profitability grows and then they absolutely
partner with us. So, most modern retail I may say and including Spencer’s and, in many cases,
since I said we sell some categories which some others don’t, we are retailer of choice for
brands to partner. If you see our margin profile, none of the grocery retailers you will see a
margin of 20%-21%. If you see our margin profile and compare it to others, of course then the
cost structure is different. I don’t want to go into it, some rental cost or maybe you bought the
property. But I will tell you that these are not issues, I have always found there is no struggle
between suppliers and retailers. I think it’s one as an ecosystem. Especially in pandemic you
will be surprised everybody kept aside who you are and right now it’s all an ecosystem. When
we would have thought that Uber would be making deliveries for us? So, let me go back on
23rd March the day of lockdown and the whole public transport shuts, so there were no buses
of local trains plying. Now store staff and we have 6000 of them, not a small number. They
wouldn’t find transport to come to the stores, some of them had bikes so they could share. But
then we had to arrange for transport and a lot of people didn’t even report to the stores. So,
attendance in the beginning couple of weeks was down and the number of orders online had
gone up by 10 times in those weeks. So, imagine your staff attendance goes to half and your
orders go 10 times. So, you have a 20 times gap between capacity available to deliver your
infrastructure and the number of orders which you have. So, we actually partnered with Uber
and many companies and I have given you Uber example. We had hundreds of cars on day
one, we did an agreement while from work from home. We spoke to the Asia Pacific Head of
Uber and we got hundreds of cars the next day and look at the unit economics actually versus
the bikes which can make, if you gave a grocery order you can get two orders on a bike
typically and a bike can come back to the store and to the home 6-7 times in a day within 8
hours working shift. So, we could deliver depending on the size of the order, 10 to 14 orders in
a day, now a car can do 40 or 35 because we could put bags in the dickey and the back seat and
the front seat and we trained. So, the first day our staff went with the Uber driver to train them
how to make contactless delivery, to have a mask and how do you know how distance to be
when you ring the bell and where to leave the bag. From second day the Uber guys were doing
the delivery and we could do 1000. So, to my mind actually I find the whole industry coming
together and things which would have never happened before have happened. So, I don’t see
this power shift between players. I think it’s actually quite mutual and if as a retailer you can
add value to the brands they launch. I will tell you the higher packs of detergent—I don’t want
to take the brand name, the higher the size of detergent pack—of the biggest mass brand in
India and I am sure you can guess which company it is, maximum sale comes from modern
trade while modern trade overall would contribute 6% to 10% this pack for that company,
more than 50% sales come from modern trade. So, there is no power thing I mean companies
make packs for you which they know may not sell it other channel, you can sell that and that
then the margin profile is far better. So I think it’s a mix of many things to make sure that the
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average margins is good for you as a model and I think from brand side I can tell you since I
have been on the brand side, you also manage each channel depending on the strength of the
channel, what the channel brings on the table whether you only sell commodities and small
packs then you have a different margin profile. If we can sell premium and high-value pack
then you have a different margin profile because a lot of what we sell and other sell other
channel I will not say modern trade is frankly non-conflict being and thus there is no challenge
with the brand.
Vismay Agarwal: That’s actually very helpful. It’s a great understanding. Thank you so much for that
Devendra Chawla: Thank you so much.
Moderator: Thank you very much. That was the last question in queue. I would now like to hand the
conference back to Mr. Manoj Menon for closing comments.
Vismay Agarwal: I think his line has dropped. This is Vismaya here again. So, I would like to thank the team at
Spencer’s Retail and all the participants for taking time out for this call. Thank you so much
and have a good weekend.
Devendra Chawla: Thanks everyone at ICICI Securities for planning this and thank you everyone for joining.
Thank you so much.
Moderator: Thank you very much. On behalf of ICICI Securities Limited that concludes the conference.
Thank you for joining us, ladies and gentlemen you may now disconnect your lines.