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Report Overview

A severe tightness in global butadiene markets has

drawn considerable attention to the C4value chain and its

prospects for future development. Structural changes in

global olens feedstock selection, supply, and production

have resulted in both shortages and unpredictability in

mixed C4supply. Several factors have contributed to

unprecedented highs in recent C4values. These include

the following:

A trend towards lighter feedstock cracking promoted

primarily by advantaged feedstock pricing andavailability in the Middle East and more recently in

the U.S. market, inuenced by the impact of shale

gas.

Increased production of ethylene and propylene from

non-conventional technologies such as CTO, PDH,

metathesis and biomass.

Despite the current malaise of the global economy the

automotive sector continues to exhibit modest trend

line growth. This is largely the result of increasing

consumption from emerging markets such as Asia,

spurred principally by China and India, and LatinAmerica. Demand fundamentals for synthetic rubbers,and C

4intermediates such as butadiene and butylenes,

continue to exhibit consistent demand growth which is

more than off-setting maturity seen in other markets.

Future prospects of growth will remain tied to economic

prosperity as well as changes in technology that mayresult from the tire sector.

Nexants multi-client study, Developing Fortunes of

the C4s Market, examined the current and developing

fortunes of the C4market, and focused on the following

key aspects of the sector:

Evolving feedstock slate and capacity developmentsfor regional ethylene production and resulting C

4

availability.

Renery integration and C4supply potential.

Alternative routes to butadiene and production

competitiveness such as dehydrogenation and

bio-based technologies.

Emerging trends in the global automotive sector and tyre

markets/technologies.

Sector market dynamics and pricing for butadiene,

butylenes and major derivatives.

Nexants study provides a detailed analysis of industry supply

on a cracker by cracker basis, including history and forecast

data covering the period 2000-2020.

Market dynamics are presented on a region by region basis with

additional detailed focus on key countries including China and

India.

The resulting impact of changing industry dynamics on C4

pricing and protability are outlined along with discussions

around the key implications to the C4sector.

For further information or to purchase the Developing

Fortunes of the C4s Market report, please contact STMC@

nexant.com.

Special Report: Developing Fortunes of the C4s Market

NexantThinking Programs provide subscribers and users with comprehensive analytics,

forecasts and insights for the energy, chemicals, polymers and clean tech industries

For more information, please visit us at: http://thinking.nexant.com

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