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    Final Report

    Market Assessment for Agricultural Warehousing

    Kundli (Sonepat district), Haryana

    March, 2014

    Shree Shubham Logistics Ltd

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    CRISIL KundliMarket Assessment

    About CRISIL Limited

    CRISIL is a global analytical company providing ratings, research, and risk and policy advisory services. We are India's leading

    ratings agency. We are also the foremost provider of high-end research to the world's largest banks and leading corporations.

    About CRISIL Research

    CRISIL Research is India's largest independent and integrated research house. We provide insights, opinions, and analysis on

    the Indian economy, industries, capital markets and companies. We are India's most credible provider of economy and industry

    research. Our industry research covers 70 sectors and is known for its rich insights and perspectives. Our analysis is supported

    by inputs from our network of more than 4,500 primary sources, including industry experts, industry associations, and trade

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    Disclaimer

    CRISIL Research, a division of CRISIL Limited (CRISIL) has prepared this report (Report) based on the information

    obtained by CRISIL from sources which it considers reliable. By accessing and using the Report, the user acknowledges and

    accepts the following: While CRISIL takes reasonable care in preparing the Report, CRISIL does not guarantee the accuracy,

    adequacy or completeness of the Report and/or their suitability for any specific purpose. CRISIL is not responsible for any

    errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of the Report. The information contained in the Report is general

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    BACKGROUND .............................................................................................................. 1

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................ 2

    SONEPATDISTRICT PROFILE ................................................................................... 4

    OPPORTUNITY ASSESSMENT .................................................................................... 7

    RISK/CONSTRAINTS....................................................................................................20

    MARKET SPEAKS ........................................................................................................21

    ANNEXURE ...................................................................................................................22

    Contents

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    1

    BACKGROUND

    About the Client

    Shree Shubham Logistics Limited (SSL) (the client) is an end-to-end logistics solutions provider to commodity

    stakeholders and provides services encompassing storage and preservation with a chain of dry and cold storage

    units, weighing, testing and certification (grading and sorting facilities for standardization of agricultural produce),

    collateral management for commodity financing against warehouse receipts/stocks with the help of banks,

    fumigation and pest management, commodity procurement etc.

    SSL has developed global standard agri-logistics parks in the states of Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and

    Maharashtra. Currently, SSL is managing warehouses across 120 locations with storage capacity over 1.40 Million

    Metric Tonnes.

    Shree Shubham Logistics Ltd (SSL), hereafter referred to as the Client has commissioned CRISIL Research to

    perform detailed market assessment for establishing new agricultural warehouses in 30 districts in India as part of

    their Phase 3 expansion.

    The 30 districts were selected post a secondary research based analysis encompassing 20 parameters (potential

    demand, infrastructure related, risk/constraints) across 174 districts across the 6 states of interest of the client (UP,

    AP, Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Delhi, Karnataka). The parameters used in the analysis considered indicators for agri-

    warehousing demand potential as well as the risks associated with it.

    For the 30 districts selected, primary and secondary research activities were undertaken to perform detailed market

    assessment that qualifies and quantifies the market opportunity for agri-warehousing. Further to detailed marketassessment, financial assessment was performed on 15 identified districts to assess financial viability of a

    proposed warehouse in a selected location in the district.

    Objective of the report

    This report attempts to assess the opportunity for key commodities of Kundli district from a warehousing

    perspective. The process involves studying various parameters relating to both demand and supply sides,

    forecasting warehousing demand and assessing the opportunity based on the prevailing and expected supply

    scenario.

    Approach towards preparation of report

    CRISIL Research has assessed the potential of agri-warehousing based on its detailed understanding in terms of

    the current demand-supply dynamics, key trends and evolving market dynamics on both demand and supply fronts.

    For the report, we have visited the district and interacted with Mandi officials, Traders, CWC/SWC Managers and

    Cold Chain players etc. Inputs and assumptions for financial assessment were arrived at based on primary

    research interactions with market participants, banks and inputs from SSL on historical costs typical for their type of

    warehouses.All references of current year in this report pertain to FY 2012-13.

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    2

    CRISIL KundliOpportunity Assessment

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    Kundli is one of the villages in Rai Mandal, Sonepat district of Haryana. It is surrounded by localities of Sersa, Janti

    Kalan, Nangal Kalan, Nathupur and Bazidpur. It is a cold storage cluster in itself, primarily storing fruits, pulses,

    spices and dry fruits.

    Good road and rail connectivity

    Kundli lies on NH 1, also known as G.T. Road, connecting Delhi to Karnal. Also there are many railway stations

    such as Holambi Kalan and Narela within 10 km distance of Kundli. Also, Sonepat railway station is a major station

    near Kundli. The region, due to its proximity to Delhi city, is eventually connected to all the parts of India through

    rail and road.

    Declining production of food grains in SonepatCrop production in the district was estimated to be 1,091,169 MT in 2012-13. The growth in food grain production in

    Sonepat district has been falling and this is expected to continue due to the decline in yields and decreasing area

    under cultivation in the wake of rapid urbanisation.

    Cold storage cluster located near highway and proposed mandi

    There are no government dry warehouses or cold storages in this region. The private cold storages are clustered in

    and around the Kundli region villages within a radius of ~ 10 km. This region has an aggregate cold storage

    capacity of ~350,000 MT. These cold storages cater to the traders and merchants of the Azadpur mandi (fruits) and

    wholesale market in Delhi city (spices and pulses). The major commodities stored in these warehouses are pulses,

    spices, dry fruits and fruits. The construction quality of the cold storages is medium to high and there is high

    security environment with boundary walls.

    Limited opportunity for cold storage due to oversupply scenario

    The current cold storage demand of 297,500 MT is estimated to grow by a CAGR of 6 per cent to 375,587 MT in

    2016-17, on the basis of growth in consumption and growth in trading activity in the northern region of India. Given

    the current capacity of ~350,000 MT, there is additional cold storage opportunity of 67,319 MT.

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    3

    Opportunity Assessment for Agri Warehousing in Kundli (Grams and Chillies)

    Potential demand for warehousing

    Supply Analysis

    Estimated Cold Storage Opportunity67,319 MT

    Major aggregation

    center

    Growth factor

    (6%)

    Current Cold Storage

    Demand

    Current

    Capacity(350,000

    MT)

    PeakUtilisation

    (85 %)

    Cold Storage

    Capacity

    (350,000 MT)

    Primary interactions with market

    participants of the district

    Trading activity-Traders, Mandi officials

    Crop Production & Arrivals- Agri dept,

    Mandi officials

    Consumption growth (Population)

    1.94% historic

    growth in

    population

    Current demand

    (297,500 MT)1

    Delhi being an aggregation center,production factor is not relevant. Trading

    and population will drive the cold storage

    demand

    2

    No significantexports from the

    district

    3

    Future years demand(375,587 MT)

    Potential Demand(375,587 MT)

    Expected Supply(350,000 MT)

    5

    Key growth factors

    Current

    Capacity

    (350,000 MT)

    2016-172016-17

    4% increase in

    trading factorduring 2010-12

    4*

    Assuming op t imum level of ut i l izat ion at dry warehousing

    industry level is 90%

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    CRISIL KundliOpportunity Assessment

    SONEPATDISTRICT PROFILE

    3.1 Location & Topography

    Kundli is a small town located in Sonepat district. Also, it falls in the neighbourhood of prominent Haryana towns of

    Rohtak and Panipat. Due to its proximity to Delhi (~ 3 Km), Kundli was developed as a prime industrial region.

    Many cold storages are developed in this area which are catering requirement for Delhi and Haryana. It is well

    connected through AH-2 (Grand trunk road). Due to limited space availability in Delhi and nearby areas, Kundli is

    viewed as a next development hub like Gurgaon near Delhi. Further, Haryana State government has announced to

    build up Kundli as a major educational hub. The geographical area is 5 Km. It lies North latitudes 2898N and

    7702E with average elevation of 224.15 meter above the sea level (735.4 ft).

    Below is the district map with marked district border

    Source: Google maps

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    3.2 Economy

    Sonipat district GDP growing at average rate of 10% during 2005-06 to 2009-10

    Sonipat district has witnessed a significant growth of ~10%, slightly lower than the Haryana state.

    3.3 Infrastructure

    Being one of the major industrial hubs in Sonepat district, Kundli has around 641 production units which is the 2nd

    highest in the district. Various types of manufacturing units in Kundli industrial estate belongs to Home furnishing,

    lights, rubber, books, sanitary and stainless steel etc. In recent times Kundli has also seen development of various

    educational universities and institutions namely, Rajiv Gandhi Educational City - (comprising 10 educational

    institutions), National Institute of Food Technology Entrepreneurship and Management (NIFTEM) etc.

    Sonipati: Real GDP at constant prices (2004-05)

    Source: CRISIL Research

    52735

    5844062898

    68729

    77068

    -

    10,000

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    70,000

    80,000

    90,000

    2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10

    Rs Cr

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    CRISIL KundliOpportunity Assessment

    Kundli-Sonepat: Key Facts

    Parameters Units

    Geographical Features

    Latitude 2848' & 2917' North

    Longitude 76 28&7713 East

    Geographical area Sq Km 2,260

    Population

    Male No 798,948

    Female No 681,132

    Total No 1,028,393

    Agriculture

    Total area Hectare 214,250

    Forest cover Hectare 7,359Non agriculture land Hectare 33,194

    Cultivable barren land Hectare 8,403

    Railways length Km 73

    Roads

    National Highway Km 64

    PWD Km 25

    Major District Highway Km 28

    Other District/ Rural Roads Km 419

    Kachha Road Km 76

    Total registered industrial units no. 13,039

    Source: Distr ict Adminis tration, CRISIL Research

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    OPPORTUNITY ASSESSMENT

    The Kundli area is primarily a cold storage cluster. There are about 70 cold storages in this region. All these are

    multipurpose cold storages catering to the cold storage demand arising mainly from Delhi. The Azadpur mandi in

    Delhi is the largest mandi in Asia for fruits and vegetables. The arrivals in the mandis are from different regions of

    India with apples coming from Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir and other fruits like oranges, banana and

    mango coming from Southern states like Maharashtra and Andhra Pradesh. Vegetables like potato come from

    Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, and Haryana etc. Thus most of the arrivals are from different states and some are also

    imported.

    As per our interactions, we have learnt that the major commodities which are stored in the cold storages are pulses

    (chana, rajma), spices, dry fruits and fruits. Chana comes majorly from Rajasthan, whereas spices come from

    Andhra Pradesh and fruits from different parts of India.

    Since, Azadpur mandi is the largest in the world in terms of arrivals and there was limited cold storage capacity in

    Delhi to cater to cold storage demand, Kundli came up as an alternate destination for cold storage in the outskirts

    of Delhi. Also Delhi, is a major trading hub, it acts as an aggregation point where the arrivals of crops are from

    mandis and imports from other countries. At the same time, the dispatch of these crops is towards exports, to other

    states and for local consumption.

    Since, Kundli is a part of Sonepat district; we have given the demand side analysis from the district point of view.

    We have analysed the mandi arrivals of major commodities to proxy the arrivals of fruits to be stored in cold stores.

    Aggregation

    Exports

    Local Consumption

    Imports Distribution to otherstates

    Mandi arrivals

    Non-mandi arrivals

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    CRISIL KundliOpportunity Assessment

    4.1 Demand Side Analysis

    Declining trend in crop production

    Crop production in the district was estimated to be 1,091,169 MT in 2012-13. The production of crop has beendecreasing at a CAGR of 8.5 per cent during 2006-07 to 2012-13. This is due to reduction in the yields of crops

    along with no significant increase in area under cultivation, which has registered only 1 per cent CAGR during

    2006-07 to 2012-13, owing to rapid urbanisation in Delhi, which it shares its border with, in the past decade.

    Sonepat: Crop Production (lakh metric tons)

    Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Industry, CRISIL research

    18.6

    16.1

    13.3

    11.911.3 10.9 10.9

    -

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 E 2011-12 E 2012-13 E

    Area under Cultivation (hectares)

    Source: Departm ent of Agriculture, CRISIL Research

    254,830 258,096272,474

    265,669 265,941 266,214 266,486

    20,000

    70,000

    120,000

    170,000

    220,000

    270,000

    320,000

    2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 E 2011-12 E 2012-13 E

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    Wheat and rice form ~82 per cent of the agricultural produce

    Wheat and rice constitute nearly 82 per cent of the total agricultural produce in the district, followed by sugarcane,

    potato and bajra. The production in sugarcane has been declining consistently in the past decade, due to

    preference for crops like wheat and rice. Other crops like maize, arhar (tur), cotton etc. form the rest of the pie.

    Other Crops

    Sonepat: Split of major crop forming Others, by production

    Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Industry, CRISIL research

    Sonepat : Split of Crop production 2012-13

    Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Industry, CRISIL research

    Wheat, 58.7%Rice, 23.2%

    Sugarcane,15.1%

    Others, 2.9%

    Bajra, 2.3%

    Maize, 0.2%Arhar(tur),0.4%

    Rapeseedand

    Mustard,

    0.3%

    Cotton(lint),0.2%

    Potato,

    1.4%

    Onion, 0.1%

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    CRISIL KundliOpportunity Assessment

    In the past 5 years, wheat production has consistently been above 610,000 MT. Wheat production has registered a

    CAGR of 1.7 per cent from 2006-07 to 2012-13 and expected to maintain the same growth till 2012-13

    Sonepat: Crop Production (lakh metric tons)

    Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Industry, CRISIL research

    Rice is the 2nd largest crop in the district after wheat with an average production of ~230,000 MT in the last 5years. Rice production is expected to register a CAGR of 7 per cent till 2012-13. Sugarcane, as mentioned earlier

    has been on a declining trend from 2006-07 to 2009-10. This trend has continued over the next three years to

    2012-13. Other crops such as bajra, maize, rapeseed and mustard, arhar etc constitute the remaining ~ 3 per cent

    of production.

    Top six commodities constitute ~ 47 per cent of the total arrivals in Azadpur mandi

    As mentioned earlier, to focus on the cold storage cluster, we have analysed the arrivals of Azadpur mandi that is a

    mandi for fruits and vegetables only. Apple, banana, mango, potato, onion and tomato are estimated to account for

    ~47 per cent of total arrivals in 2012-13.

    6.46.1

    6.9

    6.1 6.2 6.36.4

    1.8 1.9 1.92.2 2.3

    2.4 2.5

    10.0

    7.6

    4.0

    3.02.4

    1.91.6

    0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.3

    -

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 E 2011-12 E 2012-13 E

    Wheat Rice Sugarcane Others

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    Crop share in Mandi Arrivals at Azadpur (2012-13)

    Source: Mandi Samiti, CRISIL Research

    Azadpur: Total Mandi Arrivals

    Source: APMC, CRISIL Research

    Our analysis and market interactions suggest that apple arrivals are the highest in the months of September to

    December, whereas that for mango is between April and July. Other major commodities like potatoes, tomatoes

    and bananas arrive almost throughout the year. Out of these, mainly apples are stored in cold storages apart from

    small quantities of grapes, oranges and mangoes seasonally.

    Apple, 13%

    Banana, 3%

    Mango, 4%

    Potato, 12%

    Onion, 10%

    Tomato, 5%

    App le

    Banana

    Mango

    Potato

    Onion

    Tomato

    Year Total arrivals in M T

    2010-11 4,532,445

    2011-12 4,503,677

    2012-13 E 4,510,554

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    CRISIL KundliOpportunity Assessment

    4.2 Supply Side Analysis

    As discussed in the previous sections, the principal commodities from the warehousing standpoint in Kundli region

    are pulses, spices, dry fruits and fruits. A majority of these commodities arriving in Delhi are stored at first in the

    cold storages within Delhi city and later in the Kundli cluster. The cluster covers a 10 km radius from the Kundli

    HSIDC (Haryana State Industrial Development Coportation). The main regions in this cluster are:

    1. HSIDC, Kundli

    2. Nathupur

    3. HSIDC, RAI

    4. Piu-Maniyari Road

    A pictorial map showing the few of these villages is shown below:

    Source: Google Maps

    There are no government warehouses in and around this region. The cluster of these cold storages forms an

    aggregate capacity of ~350,000 MT. The major parties storing the food grains are traders and merchants of Delhi in

    the Azadpur mandi.

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    Based on our interactions with warehouse players and key market participants, we learnt that many cold storages

    have come up in the last 2-3 years. The prime reason for this being the proposed shifting of the Azadpur mandi to

    Tikri, which is closer to Kundli. Also since there is no space for cold storages to come up in the city, it wasinevitable for new cold storages to come up on the outskirts and Kundli formed an optimal location.

    In the early phase of setting up cold storages, some traders from the Azadpur mandi came up with these cold

    storages and served the demand from other traders apart from their captive consumption. Later, as the

    warehousing intensity of commodities increased with increase in trade along with commodities like spices and

    pulses also being warehoused, the demand for cold stores also increased. Thus, the utilisation and rentals for the

    same increased eventually making it a profitable business for these traders. This attracted other traders to come up

    with cold stores of their own. With relatively low prices of land, easier land conversion norms of Haryana

    government and high subsidy (maximum of Rs 1.2 crores) setting up a cold store became easier. Also, the majorpart of investment is land. This has led to higher competition and increasing cold store capacities in the last two

    years. Although, the average utilisation in this cluster has remained at similar levels of ~75 per cent, the rentals

    have declined by 30-40 per cent. This shows the increasing competition due to the added capacities.

    All these regions lie along the NH 1 which connects Delhi to Karnal also known as G.T.Road. Thus this cluster

    provides high road connectivity. The new proposed fruit mandi in Tikri, which would replace the Azadpur mandi, is

    just 5 km from Kundli village. This has led to price escalation in this region. The land rates are in the range of Rs

    7000-10000 per sq yard which translates to Rs 3.4 - 4.8 crore per acre, depending upon the proximity to NH1 from

    the location of cold storage. The average land rates in this cluster is estimated to be ~ 4 crore per acre.

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    CRISIL KundliOpportunity Assessment

    Competition Profile

    Competition Profile: Private cold storages

    As mentioned earlier, the aggregate capacity of this cluster is ~350,000 MT with an average size of ~ 5,000 MT.

    The utilisation levels range from 70-80 per cent with average utilisation of ~ 75 per cent. Most of these are

    multipurpose cold storages and their rentals are more or less the same.

    Kundli: Cold Storages

    Cold Store Location

    Sai Kripa Cold Storage HSIDC Kundli

    KHI Cold Storage HSIDC Kundli

    Shiv Shakti Cold Storage HSIDC Kundli

    R J Cold Storage HSIDC Kundli

    Kartar Devi Cold Storage HSIDC Kundli

    Kufri Cold Storage HSIDC Kundli

    MDH Cold Store Kundli village

    Sumagalam Cold Storage Kundli village

    Golden Almonds Kundli villageJ M Coolhouse Kundli village

    Vrindavan Cold Storage Kundli village

    Jubin Cold Storage Nathupur

    Harshana Cold Storage Nathupur

    Seven Star Nathupur

    Ishwar Cold Storage Nathupur

    KMC Cool Chain Nathupur

    Avalanche Cold Storage HSIDC RAI

    Pragati Cold Storage HSIDC RAI

    Leh Cold Storage HSIDC RAI

    Others

    Total capacity 350,000

    Source: CRISIL Rese arch

    Commodity Rental

    Chilies (month) Rs 12-15/40 kg bagFruits (month) Rs 10-12/box

    Pulses (month) Rs 15-20/50 kg bag

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    Construction quality of cold storage is medium to high

    The observed construction quality of many cold storages is high with boundary walls and a secure environment.

    However, they did not have dedicated weighing service like own weigh bridges. Since, the customers are mainly

    wholesalers and traders, who have their own means of financing, none of the cold storages provided collateral

    management services.

    Kundli: Cold Warehouses Competition Profile

    Observedconstruction Quality

    Security Environment Dedicated Weighingservices

    Equipments/Technolo

    gy (Lifting Machinery)

    Sai Kripa Cold Storage Medium High No Medium

    KHI Cold Storage Medium High No Medium

    Shiv Shakti Cold Storage High High No Medium

    R J Cold Storage High High No Medium

    Kartar Devi Cold Storage High High No Medium

    Kufri Cold Storage High High No Medium

    MDH Cold Store High High No Medium

    Sumagalam Cold Storage Medium High No Medium

    Golden Almonds High High No MediumJ M Coolhouse High High No Medium

    Vrindavan Cold Storage Medium High No Medium

    Jubin Cold Storage High High No Medium

    Harshana Cold Storage High High No Medium

    Seven Star High High No Medium

    Ishwar Cold Storage Medium High No Medium

    KMC Cool Chain High High No Medium

    Avalanche Cold Storage High High No Medium

    Pragati Cold Storage High High No Medium

    Leh Cold Storage High High No Medium

    Note: Rankings: Low-Poor Quality, Medium- Medium Quality, High- Good quality

    Observed construction quality-include parameters like, height, ventilation and relative newness of the building

    Soucrce: Industry,CRISIL Research

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    CRISIL KundliOpportunity Assessment

    4.3 Opportunity Analysis

    To assess the opportunity for cold storages in Kundli region, we have analyzed the demand-supply situation in the

    district for the key items stored in the cold stores. The chart below presents the demand and supply side factors

    considered for the demand outlook and cold storage opportunity assessment.

    Kundli: Cold Storage Customer Concentration

    Retailers/ FarmersWholesellers/traders/

    Industrial Customers

    Sai Kripa Cold Storage 5-10% 90-95%

    KHI Cold Storage 5-10% 90-95%Shiv Shakti Cold Storage 5-10% 90-95%

    R J Cold Storage 5-10% 90-95%

    Kartar Devi Cold Storage 5-10% 90-95%

    Kufri Cold Storage 5-10% 90-95%

    MDH Cold Store 5-10% 90-95%

    Sumagalam Cold Storage 5-10% 90-95%

    Golden Almonds 5-10% 90-95%

    J M Coolhouse 5-10% 90-95%

    Vrindavan Cold Storage 5-10% 90-95%

    Jubin Cold Storage 5-10% 90-95%

    Harshana Cold Storage 5-10% 90-95%

    Seven Star 5-10% 90-95%

    Ishwar Cold Storage 5-10% 90-95%

    KMC Cool Chain 5-10% 90-95%

    Avalanche Cold Storage 5-10% 90-95%

    Pragati Cold Storage 5-10% 90-95%

    Leh Cold Storage 5-10% 90-95%

    Soucrce: Industry,CRISIL Research

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    4.3.1 Cold Warehousing Opportunity Analysis

    Demand for cold storages to increase at 6 per cent CAGR in the district

    The commodities stored in the cold storages are meant for consumption as well as trading. The current cold

    storage demand of 297,500 MT is arrived by considering aggregate cold storage capacity of 350,000MT at a peak

    utilization of 85 percent. However, we expect the demand for warehousing to grow at a CAGR of 6 per cent over

    the next five years. The CAGR of 6 per cent is mainly contributed by the following factors

    i) 1.94 per cent growth in population and hence the growth in consumption

    ii) 4 per cent growth in trading activity

    We expect the above historic factors to maintain the same trend, going forward.

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    CRISIL KundliOpportunity Assessment

    The current cold storage demand of 297,500 MT is estimated to grow by a CAGR of 6 per cent to 375,587 MT in

    2016-17. The current supply of warehouses is 350,000 MT and no additions are expected to come in near future.

    Thus, 67,319 MT of additional cold storage capacity is estimated to be required. The opportunity is estimated

    Crops: Cold Storage Demand (MT)

    Source: Department of Agriculture, CRISIL Research

    2,97,5003,15,350

    3,34,271

    3,54,3273,75,587

    -

    50,000

    1,00,000

    1,50,000

    2,00,000

    2,50,000

    3,00,000

    3,50,000

    4,00,000

    2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

    (MT) CAGR: 6.0%

    Opportunity: Cold Storage (MT)

    Source: CRISIL Research

    2,97,500

    3,15,3503,34,271

    3,54,3273,75,587

    3,50,000 3,50,000 3,50,000 3,50,000 3,50,000

    -

    50,000

    1,00,000

    1,50,000

    2,00,000

    2,50,000

    3,00,000

    3,50,000

    4,00,000

    2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

    Demand Supply

    (MT)

    (19,444) 389 21,412 43,69767,319

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    based on the 90 per cent optimal utilisation of the existing supply in the long term, which is in line with the market

    trend.

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    CRISIL KundliOpportunity Assessment

    RISK/CONSTRAINTS

    Socio economic factors

    The chapter provides key socio economic risk factors which play pivotal role for agriculture warehouse. The risk

    factors/constraints are graded on High, Medium and Low scale depending upon the intensity of risk related to

    particular factor. Key factors identified are as follows: 1. Naxal activity, 2. Drought intensity, 3. Flood intensity and 4.

    Law & order.

    There are no Naxalite incidences in Delhi. Hence risk intensity for Naxal activity is low.

    The region has seen instances of drought in the past. Southern and western regions of Haryana are at a greater

    risk of drought and hence, the drought intensity is medium.

    There have been occasional floods in the region. However, the areas lying near the tributaries of the river Yamuna

    are at higher risk during monsoons.

    In historic years, law & order situation in the state remained at medium levels. Considering the impact of various

    socio economic factors on particular district we have assigned risk intensity as follows:

    Risk factors status: Kundli

    Factors Risk Intensity

    Naxal activity Low

    Drought intensity Medium

    Flood intensity Medium

    Law & order Medium

    Source: Industry, CRISIL Research

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    MARKET SPEAKS

    This section presents the summary of market interactions with key market participants in the district

    Nowadays as apples which are being suppl ied from Shimla and J&K are also stored in cold storages

    there itself , the requirement for cold storage has part ial ly reduc ed in the Delhi region Manager, Private

    cold storage

    The possib i l i ty of Tikr i being the replacement of Azadpur mandi h as led to a craze to set up cold s torages

    here. Owner, private cold storage

    The comp etit ion is very h igh . The rentals here are half the rentals offered in Lawrenc e Road (cluster of

    cold s torages in the ci ty) just to have higher ut i l isat ion. Manager, private cold storage

    Ear l ier say one trader used to serve four other traders. Now, two o f those have set up their own

    warehouses thus increasing the compet i t ion.Owner of cold storage and trader in spices

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    CRISIL KundliOpportunity Assessment

    ANNEXURE

    Private cold storage

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