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SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment Wells + Associates - April 2, 2019 1

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Page 1: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

SSPA# 2018-1-1MSTransportation Assessment

Wells + Associates - April 2, 2019 1

Page 2: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

SSPA# 2018-1-1MSTransportation Schedule

• Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology 2045 Baseline Conditions Results – Current Comprehensive Plan Build Out 2045 Total Future Conditions Results – Without Mitigation Potential Mitigation Measures Measures of Effectiveness - Mitigation Measures Scoring Mitigation - Categories

• Task Force Meeting #12 – April 9, 2019 Questions from Task Force on Meeting #11 Materials 2045 Total Future Conditions With Mitigation Results Results of Scoring Mitigation Measures

• Task Force Meeting #14 – April 30, 2019 Discussion of Transportation Mitigation and Results by Task Force Staff Response to Transportation Results and Proposed Mitigation

Wells + Associates - April 2, 2019 2

Page 3: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Traffic Study Process

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Page 4: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

SSPA Transportation Assessment

• Built on existing 2018 weekday AM and PM peak hour traffic conditions completed by RK&K for FCDOT

• 2045 Baseline Conditions – Adopted Comprehensive Plan Land Use and Transportation Recommendations (includes Approved Entitlements)

• 2045 Total Future Conditions (Non-Mitigated) -Adopted Comprehensive Plan Land Use and Transportation Recommendations with the Two Nominations

Wells + Associates - April 2, 2019 4

Page 5: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

What is a travel demand forecast model?

A systematic mathematical process for translating demand (people moving from one land use to another) and supply (available transportation systems) into projections of future travel demand.

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Page 6: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

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Page 7: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Model Limits

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Page 8: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Study Limits

Wells + Associates - April 2, 2019 8Source: Fairfax County

Page 9: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

2018 Transportation Network

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Page 10: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

2018 Existing Conditions

Wells + Associates - April 2, 2019 10Source: RK&K

Page 11: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

2018 Existing Conditions

Wells + Associates - April 2, 2019 11Source: RK&K

Page 12: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Transportation Performance Measures

• Merrifield Suburban Center (MSC) Congestion Target – Minimum overall intersection LOS D

• Vehicle delays at all study intersections and assignment of LOS “Grade”

• Maximum queues at all study intersections• Volume to Capacity ratios (V/C) on major links

(Gallows Road, Lee Highway, Arlington Boulevard and Fairview Park Drive)

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Page 13: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

2045 Baseline Conditions

• Assessment includes:Comprehensive Planned Land Uses throughout

MSC and regional growth consistent with Council of Governments (COG) ModelForecasts obtained from FCDOT and reviewed by

FCDOT, VDOT and consultant teamComprehensive Planned Transportation NetworkEvaluated 26 key intersections within the MSC

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Page 14: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

2045 Baseline Transportation

Network

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Source: Fairfax County

Page 15: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

2045 Baseline Conditions Results

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Page 16: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

2045 Baseline Conditions Results

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Page 17: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Proposed Land Use ChangesFairview Park and ICPH

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Page 18: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

2045 Total Future Conditions

• Assessment includes:2045 Baseline Conditions – Adopted Comprehensive

Planned Land Uses throughout MSC and regional growth consistent with Council of Governments ModelAdopted Comprehensive Planned Transportation

NetworkLayered trips generated by two nominations on 2045

Baseline forecastsEvaluated all 26 intersections for levels of service and

queuing without mitigation

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Page 19: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

2045 Total Future Results without Mitigation

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Page 20: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

2045 Total Future Results without Mitigation

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Page 21: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

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Page 22: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Nominations Trip Impact

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Page 23: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Mitigation

“The action of reducing the severity, seriousness or painfulness of something.”

In Traffic Engineering terms, “mitigation” is the process that estimates the vehicle trips associated with a proposed land use in a particular location then requires that new land use to “lessen or reduce” the resultant traffic impact through roadway capacity increases or decreases in demand in order to maintain auto levels of service (LOS).

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Page 24: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Mitigation

• Potential measures identified to achieve minimum overall LOS “D”

• Tiered approach Tier 1 – No right-of-way impacts (signal optimization, modification to

lane use, trip distribution, wayfinding, etc.) Tier 2 – Minimal right-of-way impacts (additional or new turn lanes,

through lanes) Tier 3 – Significant or large scale improvements (improvements

serving broader area, new grid links)

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Page 25: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Identification of Potential Mitigation Measures

• Reviewed 2045 Total Future Forecasts and resultant levels of service without mitigation

• Applied accepted Traffic Engineering practices to identify potential mitigation measures such as: Provide left-turns in the median of all divided highways Volume of turning movements – for example locations with more than

300 left-turns indicates a potential need for dual lefts Intersections with split phased signals should be evaluated for timing

changes and/or optimizations

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Page 26: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

FCDOT GeneratedStrategies

Wells + Associates - April 2, 2019 26Source: Fairfax County

Page 27: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Existing Traffic Issues

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Source: Google and Magister, Court of Camelot

Page 28: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Existing Traffic Issues

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WeaveWeave

Bottleneck

5 Lanes(1 Aux.

+

4 Lanes

4 Thru)

I-495 perationsO

Bottleneck

Page 29: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Existing Traffic Issues

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Merge

I-495 Access

Route 50and

Gallows RoadOperations

Merge

I-495 Access

Page 30: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

ICPH Access

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Accessto and from

Route 50and

I-495

GallowsRoad

Operations

• Unique Site• Planning Level Study• Multiple Roadway Links• Various Intersections• Several Concepts

Page 31: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Identified Improvements

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Remove Bottleneck

Remove Weave

Facilitate Gallows Road Traffic

Improve Merge

• Planning Level Study• Implementation of Mitigation Next Meeting

Page 32: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Identified Improvement

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BraidRemove Weave

ImproveMerge

• Enhances I-495 and Route 50 Operations• Increases Safety

Page 33: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Identified Improvement

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Remove Bottleneck

• Adds Approx. 1,800 Vehicles/Hour Capacity

Page 34: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Potential Improvement

Locations

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Page 35: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Screening Matrix

• Developed by Dewberry in consultation with FCDOT and VDOT

• Considers two broad categoriesImpactsBenefits

• Categories weighted on numerical scale

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Page 36: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Screening Matrix

• Impacts of mitigation measuresAccess to existing/proposed parcelsRight-of-way acquisitionEnvironmental elementsPark land encroachmentSignificant utility impactsCost to implement

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Page 37: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Screening Matrix

• Benefits of mitigation measuresTraffic operationsBicycle and pedestrian connectivityRoadway connectivity

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Page 38: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Task Force Meeting #12 – April 9, 2019

• 2045 Total Future Conditions Analysis Results – With Mitigation

• Screening Matrix results• ICPH Mitigation Package• Fairview Park Mitigation• Questions/Comments from Task Force

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Page 39: SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Assessment · SSPA# 2018-1-1MS Transportation Schedule • Task Force Meeting #11 – April 2, 2019 Overview of SSPA Transportation Assessment Methodology

Questions?

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