standard bank group doing business in africa a challenge for every opportunity poor governance...
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DOING BUSINESS IN
AFRICA5 NOVEMBER 2019
Standard Bank Group
AGENDA
2
Banking in Africa
Standard Bank Group
Our impact
Looking forward
BANKING IN
AFRICA
AFRICA – OPPORTUNITIES APLENTY
Mineral resources
30% of global reserves of
mineral resources are in Africa
Agriculture
60% of world’s uncultivated
land is in Africa
Population growth
Africa will comprise 40% of the
world’s population by 2050
(2.3 billion people)
Power and Renewable energy
Vast sources of power - hydro,
thermal and solar
Economic growth prospects
A billion people with rising
purchasing power
Young population
In 2034, Africa is expected to have
the world’s largest working-age
population (1.1 billion people)
Mobile penetration
Penetration of smart phones is
expected to hit at least the 50% mark
in 2020 from only 2% in 2010
Projections are Africa’s
consumers will spend $2 trillion
by 2025
4
AFRICA – STRONG GROWTH PROSPECTS
TOP 7 ECONOMIES AVERAGE REAL GDP ANNUAL
GROWTH – STANDARD BANK AR (2018 – 2024)*
2.0
2.0
2.4
5.5
5.7
5.9
6.9
Angola
Namibia
Nigeria
Ghana
Mozambique
Kenya
Uganda
Real GDP annual growth
SSA EXPECTED TO GROW AT AN AVERAGE OF 3.5% BETWEEN 2018 - 2024
AVERAGE EXPECTED REAL GDP ANNUAL GROWTH –
REGIONS (2018 – 2024)*
1.7
1.9
1.4
3.5
Europe
North America
Middle East
Sub-Saharan Africa
Real GDP annual growth
*Source: IMF 2019 5
AFRICA – KEY CHALLENGESA CHALLENGE FOR EVERY OPPORTUNITY
POOR GOVERNANCE – WEAK
INSTITUTIONS / CORRUPTION
SECURITY
MACRO-ECONOMIC
INSTABILITY – GROWING
INDEBTEDNESS
LEADERSHIPUNEMPLOYED YOUTH – LOW
PRODUCTIVITY
LAND REFORM/ SUBSISTENCE
FARMING / CLIMATE CHANGE
UNEMPLOYMENT
DEPENDENCE ON COMMODITIESLACK OF INFRASTRUCTURE
BARRIERS TO MOVEMENT
(GOODS, PEOPLE, CAPITAL)
6
Relatively mature markets
Higher GDP per capita and
higher branch penetration
• Egypt
• Mauritius
• Morocco
• South Africa
Sleeping markets
Large markets where banking
penetration is lower than would
be expected at their income
levels
• Algeria
• Angola
• Nigeria
Nascent markets
Both GDP per capita and asset
penetration are still low
• DRC
• Ethopia
• Tanzania
• Uganda
• Zimbabwe
AFRICA – BANKING SECTORFOUR ARCHETYPES*
*Source: IMF; McKinsey Global Banking Pools, 2018 7
Transition markets
Competitive retail banking markets,
with high levels of mobile banking
Growth rate relatively high in these
markets
• Cote d’Ivoire
• Ghana
• Kenya
• Senegal
• Zambia
8
AFRICA – BANKING OPERATING ENVIRONMENTLONG WAY TO GO IN TERMS OF DEPTH, BREATH AND SOPHISTICATION
Digitisation
Regulatory
Environment
Competition
Skills and
Expertise
Localisation pressure
Financial inclusion
Increased regulatory attention
and focus on recovery and
resolution planning in many
jurisdictions
Skills shortages driving a war
on talent
Skills required changing
Competition from local &
foreign financial services
organisation
New entrants into the industry
(telco’s, start-ups etc.)
The current and future impact
of robotic evolution
Speed and quality of delivery of
technologically-based solutions
Cloud hosting
GROUPSTANDARD BANK
AN UNRIVALLED AFRICAN FRANCHISE
STANDARD BANK GROUP
10
BANKING MARKET SHARES, BY ASSETS
STANDARD BANK GROUP – AFRICA REGIONS
55
35
27 2522
18 18 16
8 6 5
Leso
tho
Esw
atini
Ma
law
i
Na
mib
ia
Uganda
Bo
tsw
ana
Zim
bab
we
Zam
bia
Gh
an
a
Ke
nya
Nig
eria
% market share
BESPOKE AND COUNTRY-RELEVANT STRATEGIES
Well positioned to deliver a universal financial service organisation
Investment in infrastructure largely complete
Clearly defined areas of focus at country level leveraging off Group expertise and legitimacy where required
Contributing positively to group ROE and earnings growth
11
STANDARD BANK GROUP – AFRICA REGIONS
RETURN ON EQUITY, %
DELIVERING GROWTH AND RETURNS
HEADLINE EARNINGS, Rbn
1.9
2.4
3.7
4.9
5.55.7
6.7
8.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
~23%
CAGR
8.4
10.1
11.9
21.5 20.9 20.6
23.8 24.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Group mid-term ROE target
18 – 20%
12
STANDARD BANK GROUP – AFRICA REGIONS TOP 3 RISKS AND THEIR EFFECT ON STRATEGY
Threatens client experience and shareholder value
CYBER
Client experience, as a strategic imperative, is directly
influenced by effectiveness of technology in providing
relevant, innovative, secure and stable digital service
offerings
TECHNOLOGY
Requirement to comply with the highest possible standards
of responsible business practice. Need to balance driving
digitization against regulatory concerns on data privacy and
cloud computing
REGULATORY
13
STANDARD BANK GROUP – AFRICA REGIONSKEY OPERATING CHALLENGES IN MANAGING THE BUSINESS
EXCHANGE RATES
MOVEMENT OF PEOPLE
INFLATION RISK
ENDOWNMENT RATESCOMMODITY PRICE
RECOVERY
CORRESPONDENT BANKING
US-CHINA TRADE WAR
TELCO’S AND FINTECHS
ELECTRICITY SUPPLY
NEW REGULATIONS
14
FOREIGN CURRENCY
LIQUIDITY
STANDARD BANK GROUP – AFRICA REGIONS KEY OPPORTUNITIES WITHIN THE BUSINESS
WAEMU REGION
AfCFTA
ETHIOPIA
WEALTH BUSINESS
FINTECH COLLABORATION
AFRICA CHINA CORRIDOR
15
IMPACTOUR
OUR COMMITMENT – RESPONSIBLE BANKING
17
FOUNDING SIGNATORY TO THE PRINCIPLES OF RESPONSIBLE BANKING
PRINCIPLES FOR
RESPONSIBLE BANKING
OUR COMMITMENT – DRIVING AFRICA’S GROWTH
18
DOING THE RIGHT BUSINESS, THE RIGHT WAY
Our SEE impact, underpinned by the Sustainable Development Goals
EDUCATION &
SKILLS
DEVELOPMENT
CLIMATE CHANGE
&
ENVIRONMENTAL
SUSTAINABILITY
HEALTH
FINANCIAL
INCLUSION
JOB CREATION
& ENTERPRISE
DEVELOPMENT
AFRICA TRADE
& INVESTMENTINFRASTRUCTURE
DELIVERING IMPACT THROUGH COLLABORATIONS
19
A mobile application which
provides access to new lines
of business, credit and
savings services for millions of
informal merchants across the
continent
Design, build and scale
disruptive technology start-up
across the continent to create
jobs and attract new capital. 140
disruptive tech-enabled
businesses across the continent
by 2021
A new breed of African
innovators harnessing mobile
money, along with advances
in solar power and battery
storage, to leapfrog the
continent’s gaps in electric
power generation
BEING MORE THAN A BANK
20
FORWARDLOOKING
Sub-Saharan Africa, an opportunity for growth
− Economic prospects
− Banking sector penetration
Standard Bank’s role on the continent
− Balancing the need to reduce inequality and poverty
with other stakeholder demands
− 7 SEE* impact areas
SBG Africa Regions’ role
− Deliver on all 3 group key strategic focus areas
− Continue to be a key driver of Standard Bank
Group’s growth and ROE
Signatory to Principles of Responsible Banking
HeForShe champion
SBG AFRICA REGIONS – LOOKING FORWARD
22
*SEE – social, environmental and economic
▪ Thank You
▪ Je vous remercie
▪ Obrigado
▪ Ngiyabonga
▪ Asante
▪ Me daa si
DOING BUSINESS IN
AFRICA5 NOVEMBER 2019
Standard Bank Group