state participation in the oil and gas sector
TRANSCRIPT
-
7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector
1/16
February 2010
THEME 3 State ParticipationIn The Oil and Gas sector
-
7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector
2/16
Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010
Objectives
Understand different options for state participation in
the oil sector
-
7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector
3/16
Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010
Agenda The national context
Different options for state participation
NOC models and how they evolve
Relationship of NOC to state
NOC Mission narrow or wide
The role of the NOC v IOC
Capital structure
NOC Governance
-
7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector
4/16
Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010
Four Key Governance Functions
Source: Chatham House Good Governance Report
-
7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector
5/16
Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010
Demarcation of GovernanceFunctions
Source: Chatham House Good Governance Report
-
7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector
6/16
Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010
90% of the top 60 per capitaproducers have some form of NOC
Producers without NOCs tend to be the
larger economiesless dependent on oil revenues
-
7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector
7/16
Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010
NOCs hold thekeys to growth
Control nearly 3/4of global oil
reserves . . .
. . . and more
than 60 per cent
of global gasreserves
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
Saudi Aramco
NIOC
Gazprom
Iraqi NOC
PDVSA
KPC
ExxonMobil
RD/Shell
Qatar Petroleum
TotalFinaElf
Abu Dhabi NOC
Sonatrach
ENI SpA
PEMEX
BP
Oil (bn bbl)
Condensate (bn bbl)
Gas (bn boe)
Source: Marcel and Castelani
-
7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector
8/16
Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010
Why have an NOC?
Questions to Ask
1. What is the national development agenda?2. What is the role of the oil and gas sector in the
national development agenda?
Direct state participation, typically via a National OilCompany, is the norm when the oil and gas sector is
believed to be key to national development
-
7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector
9/16
Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010
Pros and Cons of NOCs Safeguard against dependence on
IOCs
Optimize resource development
National control
Allows sole risk
Develop management and technicalexpertise
Source of foreign currency
Support of local service sector
Control over operational decisions
Direct country access to rent
Could be catalyst for cost reduction
Control reservoir management
Help implement OPEC policies
State within a state
Development of oil and gas industry
slowed by bureaucratic processes
Discourage IOC activity
Becomes a drain on resources by
investing in un-economic/riskyprojects
Protects an inefficient support of
private sector
Lower exposure to global industry
trends and technology Conservative strategy and
investment
Source Marcel and Castellani
Chatham House Good Governance Project
-
7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector
10/16
Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010
KEY NOC ChoicesNOC Choice OptionsMineral Rights Exclusive Shared
Upstream RegulatoryResponsibility
None Some All
State Ownership 100% Majority Minority
Number of NOCs Single Multiple
Mission Narrow Commercial WideNational
Value Chain Upstream Midstream Downstream
Geography National Regional International
Capital Budget Government Budget Balance Sheet
Corporate Debt
Corporate Debt and
Public Equity
Risk Tolerance Low carried interestsonly
Development Risk High - exploration &development Risk
-
7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector
11/16
Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010
NOC Governance the BoardUnitary Board Non-ExecutiveBoard Executive Board Two-Tier Board
KPCSaudi AramcoSonatrachPDVSAPetronasONGCNNPC?
StatoilPemexPetrobras
Sonangol PertaminaNIOC
StrengthsExecutives superviseoperations and non-executives guide policyand ensure accountability.
StrengthsAlignment of NOC withshareholder/stakeholderinterests. Ensuresaccountability of NOCexecutives.
StrengthsStrong on knowing what isgoing on inside thebusiness.
StrengthsSeparation of policy andstrategy in supervisoryboard from operationalperformance which is theconcern of the operationalboard.
WeaknessesPerformance of the boarddependant on thedynamics of the executive-non-executive directorsrelationship
WeaknessesCEO can becomeoverpowerful if alsoChairman. Board can bedetached from operationalrealities
WeaknessesChances of delivery offiduciary duty throughindependent, criticalthought is low. Can beweak on monitoring theoutside world.
WeaknessesPotential for conflict andcompetition between thetwo tiers of board.
Supervisory Board
Operational Board
Managing DirectorExecutive Directors
ChairmanNon ExecutiveBoard
Chairman
CEO
ChairmanIndependent
DirectorsManaging DirectorExecutive Directors
Range ofPractice
Who is on theboard?
How are theyappointed?
-
7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector
12/16
Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010
How is the NOC held to Account?
Regulators
Tax
HSE
Licensing
Procurement
Audit
NOC
SPCSupreme Petroleum
Council or equiv.
IOCs
LocalComm-unities
CitizensJudiciary
President/Sovereign
Prime Minister/Cabinet
Reports &Accounts
$
$
MinistriesEnergy, Finance etc.
Budget
&
Accounts
NGOs
Unions
Media
CivilSociety
Executive
Parliament/Congress
Legislature
OperatorsData
Disclosure&
Access
PublicDisclosure& Scrutiny
Accountability ModelInternal External
Shareholders
&Creditors
National context controls
on how accountability works in practice
-
7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector
13/16
Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010
Working Groups
Review the profiles of the NOCs provided
consider the mission of the NOC, theimplications for Governance and the
strengths and weaknesses of each choice
-
7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector
14/16
Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010
Statoil - NorwayNOC Options Options ChosenMineral Rights Shared
Upstream RegulatoryResponsibility
None
State Ownership Majority
Number of NOCs Multiple (StatoilHydro and Petoro)
Mission Narrow Commercial
Value Chain Upstream Midstream Downstream
Gas
Geography National Regional International
Capital Budget Corporate Debt and Public Equity
Risk Tolerance High - exploration & development Risk
-
7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector
15/16
Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010
Sonangol - AngolaNOC Choice OptionsMineral Rights Exclusive
Upstream RegulatoryResponsibility Some (Licensing)
State Ownership 100%
Number of NOCs Single
Mission WideNational
Value Chain Upstream Midstream Down-stream
Gas
Geography National (but has some internationl activity)
Capital Budget Balance Sheet Corporate Debt
Risk Tolerance Development risk primarily but some exploration risk occasionally
-
7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector
16/16
Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010
NNPC - NigeriaNOC Choice OptionsMineral Rights Shared
Upstream RegulatoryResponsibility
Some
State Ownership 100%
Number of NOCs Single
Mission WideNational
Value Chain Upstream Midstream Downstream
Gas
Geography National
Capital Budget Government Budget
Risk Tolerance High - exploration & development Risk(In practice tended to low risk activity)