state participation in the oil and gas sector

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  • 7/28/2019 State Participation in the Oil and Gas Sector

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    February 2010

    THEME 3 State ParticipationIn The Oil and Gas sector

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    Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010

    Objectives

    Understand different options for state participation in

    the oil sector

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    Agenda The national context

    Different options for state participation

    NOC models and how they evolve

    Relationship of NOC to state

    NOC Mission narrow or wide

    The role of the NOC v IOC

    Capital structure

    NOC Governance

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    Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010

    Four Key Governance Functions

    Source: Chatham House Good Governance Report

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    Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010

    Demarcation of GovernanceFunctions

    Source: Chatham House Good Governance Report

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    Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010

    90% of the top 60 per capitaproducers have some form of NOC

    Producers without NOCs tend to be the

    larger economiesless dependent on oil revenues

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    Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010

    NOCs hold thekeys to growth

    Control nearly 3/4of global oil

    reserves . . .

    . . . and more

    than 60 per cent

    of global gasreserves

    0 50 100 150 200 250 300

    Saudi Aramco

    NIOC

    Gazprom

    Iraqi NOC

    PDVSA

    KPC

    ExxonMobil

    RD/Shell

    Qatar Petroleum

    TotalFinaElf

    Abu Dhabi NOC

    Sonatrach

    ENI SpA

    PEMEX

    BP

    Oil (bn bbl)

    Condensate (bn bbl)

    Gas (bn boe)

    Source: Marcel and Castelani

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    Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010

    Why have an NOC?

    Questions to Ask

    1. What is the national development agenda?2. What is the role of the oil and gas sector in the

    national development agenda?

    Direct state participation, typically via a National OilCompany, is the norm when the oil and gas sector is

    believed to be key to national development

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    Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010

    Pros and Cons of NOCs Safeguard against dependence on

    IOCs

    Optimize resource development

    National control

    Allows sole risk

    Develop management and technicalexpertise

    Source of foreign currency

    Support of local service sector

    Control over operational decisions

    Direct country access to rent

    Could be catalyst for cost reduction

    Control reservoir management

    Help implement OPEC policies

    State within a state

    Development of oil and gas industry

    slowed by bureaucratic processes

    Discourage IOC activity

    Becomes a drain on resources by

    investing in un-economic/riskyprojects

    Protects an inefficient support of

    private sector

    Lower exposure to global industry

    trends and technology Conservative strategy and

    investment

    Source Marcel and Castellani

    Chatham House Good Governance Project

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    Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010

    KEY NOC ChoicesNOC Choice OptionsMineral Rights Exclusive Shared

    Upstream RegulatoryResponsibility

    None Some All

    State Ownership 100% Majority Minority

    Number of NOCs Single Multiple

    Mission Narrow Commercial WideNational

    Value Chain Upstream Midstream Downstream

    Geography National Regional International

    Capital Budget Government Budget Balance Sheet

    Corporate Debt

    Corporate Debt and

    Public Equity

    Risk Tolerance Low carried interestsonly

    Development Risk High - exploration &development Risk

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    Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010

    NOC Governance the BoardUnitary Board Non-ExecutiveBoard Executive Board Two-Tier Board

    KPCSaudi AramcoSonatrachPDVSAPetronasONGCNNPC?

    StatoilPemexPetrobras

    Sonangol PertaminaNIOC

    StrengthsExecutives superviseoperations and non-executives guide policyand ensure accountability.

    StrengthsAlignment of NOC withshareholder/stakeholderinterests. Ensuresaccountability of NOCexecutives.

    StrengthsStrong on knowing what isgoing on inside thebusiness.

    StrengthsSeparation of policy andstrategy in supervisoryboard from operationalperformance which is theconcern of the operationalboard.

    WeaknessesPerformance of the boarddependant on thedynamics of the executive-non-executive directorsrelationship

    WeaknessesCEO can becomeoverpowerful if alsoChairman. Board can bedetached from operationalrealities

    WeaknessesChances of delivery offiduciary duty throughindependent, criticalthought is low. Can beweak on monitoring theoutside world.

    WeaknessesPotential for conflict andcompetition between thetwo tiers of board.

    Supervisory Board

    Operational Board

    Managing DirectorExecutive Directors

    ChairmanNon ExecutiveBoard

    Chairman

    CEO

    ChairmanIndependent

    DirectorsManaging DirectorExecutive Directors

    Range ofPractice

    Who is on theboard?

    How are theyappointed?

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    Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010

    How is the NOC held to Account?

    Regulators

    Tax

    HSE

    Licensing

    Procurement

    Audit

    NOC

    SPCSupreme Petroleum

    Council or equiv.

    IOCs

    LocalComm-unities

    CitizensJudiciary

    President/Sovereign

    Prime Minister/Cabinet

    Reports &Accounts

    $

    $

    MinistriesEnergy, Finance etc.

    Budget

    &

    Accounts

    NGOs

    Unions

    Media

    CivilSociety

    Executive

    Parliament/Congress

    Legislature

    OperatorsData

    Disclosure&

    Access

    PublicDisclosure& Scrutiny

    Accountability ModelInternal External

    Shareholders

    &Creditors

    National context controls

    on how accountability works in practice

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    Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010

    Working Groups

    Review the profiles of the NOCs provided

    consider the mission of the NOC, theimplications for Governance and the

    strengths and weaknesses of each choice

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    Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010

    Statoil - NorwayNOC Options Options ChosenMineral Rights Shared

    Upstream RegulatoryResponsibility

    None

    State Ownership Majority

    Number of NOCs Multiple (StatoilHydro and Petoro)

    Mission Narrow Commercial

    Value Chain Upstream Midstream Downstream

    Gas

    Geography National Regional International

    Capital Budget Corporate Debt and Public Equity

    Risk Tolerance High - exploration & development Risk

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    Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010

    Sonangol - AngolaNOC Choice OptionsMineral Rights Exclusive

    Upstream RegulatoryResponsibility Some (Licensing)

    State Ownership 100%

    Number of NOCs Single

    Mission WideNational

    Value Chain Upstream Midstream Down-stream

    Gas

    Geography National (but has some internationl activity)

    Capital Budget Balance Sheet Corporate Debt

    Risk Tolerance Development risk primarily but some exploration risk occasionally

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    Oil and Gas Workshop for Ugandan Legislature February 2010

    NNPC - NigeriaNOC Choice OptionsMineral Rights Shared

    Upstream RegulatoryResponsibility

    Some

    State Ownership 100%

    Number of NOCs Single

    Mission WideNational

    Value Chain Upstream Midstream Downstream

    Gas

    Geography National

    Capital Budget Government Budget

    Risk Tolerance High - exploration & development Risk(In practice tended to low risk activity)