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State Transportation Commission Kirk T. Steudle, Michigan Department of Transportation Director November 16, 2006

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Page 1: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

State Transportation Commission

Kirk T. Steudle, Michigan Department of Transportation Director

November 16, 2006

Page 2: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Presentation Objectives

Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year Transportation Program

Review revenues available to support the program and MDOT’s investment strategy

Highlight major program emphasis areas

Obtain Transportation Commission agreement to conduct listening sessions

Page 3: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Five-Year Transportation Program Key Messages

Multi-Modal Five-Year Program

Continues focus on system preservation and safety

Continues implementation of Governor Granholm’s “Jobs Today” Initiative

Invests $8.88 billion over five years

Balanced and comprehensive investment to support economic growth and protect quality of life

Page 4: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Five-Year Transportation Program Key Messages

Five-Year Highway Program exceeds estimated revenue by two percent

Highway program size smaller in out years

Projected 2007 overall pavement condition goal achieved, but declines after 2007

Projected 2008 overall bridge condition goal not achieved

Page 5: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

FY 2007-2011 Transportation Program

Page 6: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Federal Revenue Assumptions

Highway ProgramMDOT’s share of federal aid for state trunkline program is estimated to be $3.9 billion

$111 million in congressionally earmarked MDOT highway projects

Aviation ProgramContinues funding under Vision 100

Page 7: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Federal Revenue Assumptions

Local Transit Moderate increases in federal transit funding provided for in SAFETEA-LU

$9.2 million High Priority Project bus replacement earmark to MDOT

Rail and Marine ProgramsNo federal formula funding for passenger rail, rail freight or marine programs.

Funding levels for the Local GradeCrossing Program based on SAFETEA-LU

Page 8: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

State Revenue Assumptions

Highway ProgramTotal state revenue, including bond revenue and debt service, is estimated at $2.6 billion for capital outlay and routine maintenance

Recent state revenue projection down from previous estimate

$618 million in GARVEE notes to support the Jobs Today Initiative and SAFETEA-LU earmarks

Page 9: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

State Revenue Assumptions

AviationSlight decreases in state aviation revenueFunding from ASAP bonds included through December 2007 when bond authorization expires

Comprehensive Transportation Fund supports Local Transit, Intercity Bus, Intercity Rail and Rail Freight

Assumed the FY 2007 CTF appropriation levels continue through FY 2011. However, recent revenue projections suggest this level may not be sustainable.

Page 10: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

2007-2011 Transportation ProgramREVENUES $8.76 billion

Aviation $0.78 B

Bus/Marine/Rail $1.48 B

Highway $6.5 B

Page 11: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

FY 2007-2011 Program Strategy

Provide a safe and secure transportation system

Make government effective, efficient and inclusive

Provide economic development opportunities

Improve operations and air quality and protect natural resources

Page 12: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

FY 2007-2011 Program Strategy

Multi-Modal Program Critical Factors

Project level investment decisions largely made outside of MDOT

Funding levels subject to significant annual influences

Project investment decisions generally made annually

Due to these factors, the Five-Year Multi-Modal Program is program-level, not project-level

Page 13: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

2007-2011 Transportation ProgramINVESTMENTS

$8.88 billion

Highway $6.63B

Aviation $0.78B

Bus/Marine/Rail $1.48B

Positive influences on Michigan’s economy

Page 14: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

FY2007 to FY2011

Five-Year Highway ProgramBy Work Category

$275 $282 $293 $305 $317

$1,039

$889 $890 $869 $884

$165$38 $45 $28

$310

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

$1,800

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Year

Prog

ram

Lev

el ($

in M

illio

ns)

Rout. Maintenance Preserve Capacity Imp. & New Roads

Highway Investment

$1,624

$1,336

$1,221 $1,219 $1,228

Page 15: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

2007 – 2011 Investment PlanMulti-Modal Programs

Multi-Modal Program Annual Avg. 5YP TotalAirport Improvement $154 M $769 MProgram

Air Service $1.3 M $6.5 Mand All Weather Access

Total Aviation $155.3 M $776 M

Total Bus, Marine, Rail $295 M $1.475 B

TOTAL Multi-Modal $450 M $2.251 B

Page 16: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Supporting Economic Opportunities

FY2007-2011 Highway Program Supports economic activity throughout the state

Jobs Today- approximately $179 millionCreates employment opportunities and stimulates the economy over the next two yearsThis initiative will support over 3,200 jobs Accelerates previous work or adds new work in 2007 and 2008

Page 17: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Preserving the SystemPreserving and maintaining roads and bridgesaccounts for nearly $1.0 billion of the Highway Program annually

Rehabilitate approximately 265 miles of roads annuallyRepair over 300 bridges each yearManaging 1,500 miles of good/fair roads with Capital Preventive Maintenance Program

Roughly half of the $477M Capacity Improvement Program preserves existing pavement adjacent to new lanes

Page 18: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Preserving the System

Preserve First Program invests $183 million in additional road and bridge preservation work in 2007

Jobs Today Trunkline InitiativeInvests $52 M in FY 07 for preserving roads

Local Jobs Today InitiativeWill be used to provide local match for federal aid projectsThe balance of the $80 million two-year investment is programmed for FY 2007, totaling $33 million

Page 19: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Pavement Condition of State Trunkline(Percent Good Condition)

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Year

Perc

ent

Page 20: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Pavement Condition

Will meet the pavement goal, however, existing investment level will not sustain the condition

Statewide Pavement Condition Combined Freeway & Non-Freeway

7573

86

6466

69

71 7578

82 77

89

92

7470

68

90 87

83

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Year

Perc

ent P

avem

ent G

ood

Con

ditio

n

Existing Condition Projected Condition Goal

Page 21: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Bridge Condition

Will not meet the combined bridge condition goal

Statewide - Bridge ConditionCombined Freeway & Non-freeway

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Year

Perc

ent B

ridge

s G

ood

or F

air

Con

ditio

n

1998-2005 Measured 2006 - 2011 Projected Data

Weighted Average of Bridge Goals - 92.5% of Freeway and Non-Freeway Bridges in Good/Fair Condition by 2008.

Page 22: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Preserving the SystemMulti-Modal Program Funding Focus:

Locally owned aviation infrastructure

Local transit services and infrastructure

Intercity bus and rail services

Page 23: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Preserving the System

Aviation- $776 million Runway rehabilitation

Bus/Marine/Rail- $1.475 billionBus replacementPublic transportation operating assistance to maintain existing service levelsMichigan Rail Loan Assistance ProgramOperating support for port development (DWCPA)Capital support for ferry operations

Page 24: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Safe and Secure Transportation System

Investment supports goal to reduce fatalities to 1,000 motorists by 2008

Expanded Comprehensive Highway Safety Program

$297 million investment

Railroad Grade Crossing Safety Improvements

All Weather Airport Access Program

Page 25: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Air Quality, Operations & Natural Resources

Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality Program (CMAQ)-$204 million

Intelligent Transportation System Program (ITS) –$62 million

Other Programs (TEDF, Enhancement, State Programs, Federal Programs) - $617 million

Page 26: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Expanding the SystemTEDF Program supports economic development opportunities

Investment in highway capacity improvements and new roads

Jobs Today invests $127 M in FY 07 and FY 08 for capacity improvements

Facility Improvements – Intermodal stations and airport terminals

Page 27: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Next Steps

Review and incorporate Commission comments

Post to Web site

Summarize comments from the public

Return for final approval in January

Today’s Action: Approval to Conduct Public Listening Sessions

Page 28: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Budgetary Reporting Requirements

Section 307 requires the Five-Year Program to be provided to the Legislature, the state budget office, and the House and Senate fiscal agencies before February 1st

Page 29: State Transportation Commission - origin-sl.michigan.govorigin-sl.michigan.gov/...2007-2011_5-YearPlan...7.pdf · Overview of the FY 2007-2011 Five-Year ... Aviation $0.78B Bus/Marine/Rail

Questions?