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Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity Division Southeast Fishieries Science Center NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service FKNMS Advisory Council Presentation Southeast Fisheries Science Center 21 February 2017 Marathon, FL 1

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Page 1: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish

James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D.Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity Division

Southeast Fishieries Science CenterNOAA National Marine Fisheries Service

FKNMS Advisory Council PresentationSoutheast Fisheries Science Center

21 February 2017 Marathon, FL

1

Page 2: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity
Page 3: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

3

It is not just about fish

Photo: J.A. Bohnsack 1983 Looe Key Reef

Page 4: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Habitat

Page 5: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

1988 1998 2001Griffin, Kellog, Garrison & Shinn 2002

USGS 2002The Shifting Baseline Syndrome is a change in perception of ecological change from generation to generation as true natural conditions drift away from previous conditions. Pauly, 1995

Page 6: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Kuffner and Toth 2016A geological perspective on the degradation and conservation of western Atlantic coral reefs. Conservation Biology

Page 7: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Nassau Grouper Landings

0

500

1000

1500

80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89Year

Cub

a M

etric

Ton

s

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

Flor

ida

Met

ric T

ons

CubaHeadboats

Bohnsack, 2003, Gulf & Carib Research

Shifting Baselines

Page 8: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Nassau Grouper Landings

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88Year

Cub

a M

etric

Ton

s

0

0.9

1.8

2.7

Flor

ida

Met

ric T

ons

CubaHeadboats

Bohnsack, 2003, Gulf & Carib Research

Page 9: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Nassau Grouper Landings

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88Year

Cub

a M

etric

Ton

s

0

1

2

3

4

Flor

ida

Met

ric T

ons

CubaHeadboats

Shifting Baseline

Bohnsack, 2003, Gulf & Carib Research

Page 10: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Biscayne National Park Creel Survey

Harper et al., 2000. Mar. Fish. Rev

78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87

Nassau Grouper

Jolthead Porgy

Page 11: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

11

Extreme Events 2004-2005 – The Florida Keys experienced six Hurricanes or tropical storms in 18 months.

Page 12: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

12

Ecosystem threats

Boaters in Biscayne National Park

Human population growth and demands

Page 13: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity
Page 14: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Less protective More protective

No Regulation

General RegionalRegulation

Marine Protected Area

(added protection)

Marine Reserve (no extraction)

Marine Protected Area Protection Gradient

Page 15: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

15

Examples of spatial management in southern Florida. The ecosystem is a unifying concept, but no agency can monitor it all.Efficiencies can be achieved by combining effort and working together.

Page 16: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Spatial Based Management (no take)Ecosystem Function 2001

2007Ecological Reserve, Tortugas, FKNMS, FLResearch Natural Area, Dry Tortugas Nat. Park

Ecosystem Structure 20011994

Tortugas South, FKNMS, FLGeorges Bank Fishery Closures

Wilderness Value 2001 Tortugas North Ecol. Reserve, FKNMS, FLLand / Seascape 1990 Fla Keys Nat. Marine Sanctuary, FLMultiple Habitats 1997 Sambo Ecological Reserve, FKNMS, FLSpecial Habitat 2000

19971993

Coral Reef Protection ActSanctuary Protected Areas, FKNMS, FLOculina HAPC

Special places 1981196119601947

Looe Key Nat. Marine Sanctuary, FLBuck Is. National Monument, USVIJohn Pennekamp CR State ParkFlorida Bay, Everglades National Park, FL

Page 17: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

17

NOAA Fisheries Quarter 4 Update Stock Status as of December 31, 2015

SE Stocks Overfished and Undergoing Overfishing

Fish Stock Sustainability Index (FSSI):

Page 18: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Reef Fish Vulnerability to Fishing• High value• Large size• Long lives (decades)• Low adult natural mortality• Delayed reproduction• Many species• Many change sex • Location is predictable

in time and space• Aggressive behavior & No fear of humans• Vulnerable to fishing gear

Page 19: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity
Page 20: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

0.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

134164194224254284314344374404434464494524554584614644674704734764

Length (mm)

Freq

uenc

y

F =

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

0.12

134164194224254284314344374404434464494524554584614644674704734764

Length (mm)

Freq

uenc

y

F = F2001

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

134164194224254284314344374404434464494524554584614644674704734764

Length (mm)

Freq

uenc

y

F = 0

F = Fmsy =0.13

F = F2001 = 0.52

“Juvenescense”

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001

Fish

ing

Mor

talit

y Ra

te

Frec Fcomm

RecreationalCommercial

Estimated Fishing Mortality Componentsand Fish Population Effects

Ault et al. 2014 Endg Sp Res

Page 21: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

“The concept of marine reserves is simple:

If protected from human interference, nature will

take care of itself ”

Page 22: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Deplete Target Species

Bycatch Mortality of target and

non-target species

CauseHabitat Damage

Page 23: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Colonization & Growth Abundance Diversity

Spillover Reproduction & Dispersal

Larval DispersalMPA Theory

Page 24: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Photo by David McClellan, NMFS

Recreational fishing boats line the corner of a Sanctuary Preservation Area in the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary

Fishing the Line

Page 25: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Benefits of Marine Reserves• Protect Ecosystem Structure and Function

– (Goods and Services)• Provide Fishery Benefits

• Increase Scientific Understanding of Marine Ecosystems

• Increase Public Education & Appreciation• Enhance Non-Extractive Economic

Benefits

Page 26: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Problems ?• How Many ?• What size ?• Total area ? (20-30% minimum)• Location ? (NIMBY)• Fishing Displacement ? (Crowding)• Highly migratory species ?• Uncertainty ?• Acceptance / Compliance / Enforcement ?

Page 27: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity
Page 28: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Coral reefs are complex and difficult to monitor.

Habitat is spatially heterogeneous.

Reef fishes are highly diverse (>382 species), and despite high site fidelity, are mobile and highly variable in space and time.

Page 29: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Acknowledgments – 35 years of contributions

NMFS -SEFSCJ.A. BohnsackJ. Schull M.W. MillerB. RuttenbergG.T. KellisonD.B. McClellan D.E. Harper A.M. EklundNOAA Corp (multiple)

NPS - DOI

M. FeeleyA. AtkinsonM. PattersonT. Zigler

NHAW 2010

RSMAS – U of Miami

J.S. Ault S.G. SmithJ. BlondeauJ. LuoD. Bryan

FFWCC

J. Hunt. A. Acosta

(many others)

B. WalkerK. Kilfoyle

NOS-NCCOSM. Monaco

FDEPOur Fla ReefsJ. Walczak

New in 2010

2009

Page 30: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

30

Species Observed

Species AbundanceIndividual Sizes

Habitat Type, Depth %Cover, Relief, CompositionProfile

Frequency of Occurrence

Biomass

DerivedMeasured

Tactical innovation: circular plot visual censuses in a small increment of space and time based on ambient visibility:

Page 31: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Low-relief hard-bottom

Patchy hard-bottom

Low-relief spur & groove

Medium-profile reef

High-relief spur & groove

Patch reefs

Rocky outcrops

Reef terrace

Pinnacles

Degree of PatchinessLow High

Ver

tica

l Rel

ief

Low

Hig

hLink Reef Fish Spatial Abundance to Benthic HabitatsInnovation: objectively classify all reef habitat by two variables

Page 32: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Each habitat provides a unique biodiversity signature based on composition

Page 33: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Stratification Variables:Cross-Shelf Habitat typeHabitat relief and patchinessDepthGeographical SubregionSpatial Management Zone

(e.g, no-take reserves, angling only)

Stratified Random DesignHeterogeneous Spatial Distribution

Strategic innovation: stratify based on data variance; not habitat area. Include spatial management zone as a stratum.

Page 34: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

HAWK CHANNEL

Nearshore

Inshore Patch

MidchannelOffshore

Patch

Reef FlatFore Reef

Deep Reef

TransitionFlorida Bay

HawkChannel

FloridaReef Tract

Cross-Shelf Habitat Classification

Page 35: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

35

2014 Samples by Domain(n = 436) Dry Tortugas (810 km 2) 1999 - 2014(n = 433} Florida Keys (500 km 2) 1980 - 2014(n = 320) SE Fla Coast (253 km 2) 2013 - 2015

Dry TortugasFlorida Keys

SE FlaFlorida reef tract (~1563 km 2) dividedinto 3 sampling domains

Page 36: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Requires accurate & precise habitat maps(NOS & FWC)

(200 x 200 m cells)Innovation: better maps allowed shift to 100 x 100m cells in 2014

Page 37: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Cross-shelf habitat classification

Florida Keys ~500 km2

mapped reef

Page 38: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

- 500

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

1994- 1997 1 2 3 4 5

Years protected

Per

cen

t C

han

ge

Blackgrouper

Graysnapper

Yellowtailsnapper

St ripedparrot f ish

Stotp lightparrot f ish

Protected areas

- 500

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

1994- 1997 1 2 3 4 5

Years protected

Per

cen

t C

han

ge

Blackgrouper

Graysnapper

Yellowtailsnapper

St ripedparrot f ish

Stotp lightparrot f ish

Protected areas

- 500

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

1994- 1997 1 2 3 4 5

Years protected

Per

cen

t C

han

ge

Blackgrouper

Graysnapper

Yellowtailsnapper

St ripedparrot f ish

Stotp lightparrot f ish

Protected areas

Not exploited

Exploited

Page 39: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

- 500

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

1994- 1997 1 2 3 4 5

Years protected

Per

cen

t C

han

ge

Blackgrouper

Graysnapper

Yellowtailsnapper

St ripedparrot f ish

Stotp lightparrot f ish

Fished areas

Page 40: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Yellowtail Snapper, Exploited, Protected and Fished

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Mea

n D

ensi

ty

* **

*

1994 -1997

Fishery Regulations: 1985 - 12” Minimum length, 1986 – max 10/day

Page 41: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity
Page 42: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Stoplight Parrotfish, Protected and Fished

0

1

2

3

4

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Mea

n De

nsity

1994 -1997

*

* * * **

**

***

**

No Fishery Regulations

Striped Parrotfish, Protected and Fished

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Mea

n De

nsity

1994 -1997

*

***

* * * *

*

*

Page 43: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

43

Sample sites

Page 44: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Reef Terrace

Low-Relief Hardbottom

Rocky Outcrops

Pinnacles

Low-ReliefSpur & Groove

Medium Profile Reef

High-ReliefSpur & Groove

Patchy Hardbottom in Sand

Reef Terrace PatchReefs

Tortugas Domain~325 km2

mapped reef

Page 45: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

45

Tortugas MPA Management EvaluationSublegal size

Page 46: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

46

Adaptive ManagementTortugas Bank North Ecological Reserve(No-take) in 2001

Dry TortugasNational Park

__

Recreational angling only

Tortugas BankFished

DTNP RNANo-take 2007

Page 47: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

47

Measure Management Effectiveness MPAs

OPEN ACCESS

NO TAKE

RECREATONAL ANGLING ONLY

Page 48: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Partnerships

Tortugas Cruises

Page 49: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

MPA Success Attributes

Di Franco et al 2016. Five key attributes can increase MPA performance for small-scale fisheries management. www.nature.com/scientificreports 6:38135

Healthier fish stocks: averaged 2x fish numbers (>25 cm TL)5x large fish biomass14x shark biomass

than fished areas

1. No-take rule established2. Well-enforced3. Age (>10 yr)4. Large size (>100 km2)5. Isolation (deep water or sand)

Graham, E.J., R.D. Stuart-Smith, T.J. Willis, et al. 2014. Global conservation outcomes depend on MPA with five key features. Nature 506:216-220.

Healthier fish stocks, Higher fishermen incomes, Social acceptance

1. Well-enforced2. Management plan present3. Fishermen engagement in

MPA management4. Fishermen represented on

MPA Board5. Sustainable fishing promoted

Page 50: Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish · Status and Trends in the Florida Keys - Coral Reef Fish James A. Bohnsack, Ph.D. Director, Protected Resources and Biodiversity

Common Beliefs / Myths

• Ocean resources cannot be exhausted.• Spatial boundaries can’t be enforced.• People can have no significant impact

on ocean resources.– The solution to pollution is dilution– Recreational angling is not a problem– Fishing is decoupled from coral health