statutory reports & research overview. statutory reports fact book lottery scholarship public...
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Statutory Reports & Research Overview
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Statutory Reports
• Fact Book
• Lottery Scholarship
• Public Agenda (Master Plan)
• Off-Campus Locations
• Profiles & Trends
• Articulation and Transfer
• Joint Report on Pre-K through Higher
Ed.
• Workforce Needs
• Student Activity Fees
• LEAP Program Overview
Other Reports
• Legislative County Profiles Report
• High School Senior Opinion Survey
• THEC/ACT Freshmen Success Reports
• TELS reports
• FAFSA Requirement
• Educational Attainment
• College-Going Rate
• Employment & Earnings
Research• General Education
• Performance Funding
• State Appropriations
• Supply & Demand
• Drop Out Study
• Institutional Default Rate
• TELS research
• TTC & CC wage returns
• Cost of excess credits
Reports & Research
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• Statutory Reports – http://tn.gov/thec/Legislative/Reports.html
• Other Reports & Research – http://thec.ppr.tn.gov/THECSIS/
• GIS – http://thec.ppr.tn.gov/THECSIS/GIS/GIS.aspx
• Tennessee Employment & Earnings Dashboard -
http://esm.collegemeasures.org/esm/tennessee/
Reports & Research
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Tennessee Education Lottery Scholarship Program Annual Report
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Purpose
The report provides an overview of…
• Revenues & Expenditures
• Student demographics and trends
• Scholarship renewal rates and trends
• Retention rates and trends
• Graduation rates and trends
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Tennessee Education Lottery Scholarship (TELS) Program
• Merit-based, lottery-funded scholarship program;
• Implemented in 2004;
• Program reached maturity in 2008-09;
• Primarily serves traditional-aged students;
• Unique in that it has a need-based component;
• Students can now use the award for summer (began
Summer 2012)
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Section 1: Program Overview
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Lottery Revenues & Expenditures, Fiscal Years 2008-09 to 2012-13
2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013(Projected)
$250
$260
$270
$280
$290
$300
$310
$320
$330
$340
$350
265.5
276
281.8
310.3313.5
294.8
292.6
307.2
323.2 324.4
285.5
293.9 300.2
326.8 327
(in m
illio
ns)
RevenueExpendituresRevenue w/ Interest
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Lottery for Education Reserve at June 30, Fiscal Years 2003-04 through 2011-12
2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-120
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
6 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 100
115
202
315
385 408
322 323 316
273
1
4
6
10 13
General Shortfall Reserve Lottery for Education Account Local Government Reserve
Fiscal Year
($)
in M
illio
ns 255
371
445471
372 373 366
122
373
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2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-120
20
40
60
80
100
120
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
40 56 67 76 88 97 102 103
$93
$137
$192
$226
$260
$284 $298
$313
Students Dollars
(in t
hous
ands
)
(in m
illio
ns)
Recipients and Expenditures, 2004-05 through 2011-12
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2004
-05
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
2010
-11
2011
-12
2012
-13
$0$500
$1,000$1,500$2,000$2,500$3,000$3,500$4,000$4,500
$3,000$3,300
$3,800$4,000 $4,000 $4,000 $4,000 $4,000 $4,000
$1,500 $1,650$1,900 $2,000 $2,000 $2,000 $2,000 $2,000 $2,000
4-year 2-year
Max
imum
Aw
ard
Am
ount
HOPE Max Award (Fall & Spring Only), 2004-05 to 2012-13
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2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-130%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
71% 71%
78%77%
72%
67%
63%
57%54%
68% 69%
77% 76%72%
67%
62%
57%54%
4-year
2-year
HOPE Max Award as a % of Average Tuition & Fees at Public Institutions, 2004-05 to 2012-13
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Section 2: First-time Freshmen Recipient
Demographics
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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
36% 36% 36% 35% 35% 36% 36% 36% 34%
22% 20% 22% 22% 21% 23% 21% 22% 23%
26%27% 26% 26% 27% 25% 26% 26% 28%
15% 17% 16% 17% 17% 17% 17% 16% 16%
20,449 19,660
21,425 22,825 23,320
24,463 24,149 24,680 24,404
TBR Universities TBR Community Colleges UT CampusesPrivate Colleges Total
TELS First-time Freshmen Cohort Year
% o
f TEL
S Fi
rst-
time
Fres
hmen
Enr
olle
d by
Sys
tem
# of
TEL
S Fi
rst-
time
Fres
hmen
Growth of TELS FTF and distribution of TELS FTF by system, Fall 2004 – Fall 2012
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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
67%69%
81% 82%
42% 44%
89%96%
UT Campuses
TBR Univ.
Total
TBR CC
TELS freshmen as a percent of all FTF by system, Fall 2004-2012
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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
66%62%
5% 6%
28%30%
1% 1%
HOPE
ASPIRE
GAMS
ACCESS
Distribution of TELS FTF by scholarship program, Fall 2004 – Fall 2012
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Distribution of TELS FTF by scholarship program, Fall 2004 – Fall 2012
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
66%68%
62% 62%
5% 6%
28%24%
31% 30%
1% 1%
HOPE
ASPIRE
GAMS
ACCESSACCESS
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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
12% 12%
83%78%
5% 9%
Cau-casian
African American
Other
TELS FTF freshmen by ethnicity, Fall 2004-2012
(74%)
(21%)
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Median family AGI of TELS FTF by Race (2012 dollars), Fall 2004 – Fall 2012
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 $-
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
$80,000
$40,648
$31,435
$75,931
$71,541
$60,834
$51,065
$71,575
$64,884
Cau-casian
Total
Other
African American
= 40,106 = 35,283
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Total Male Female Caucasian African AmericanALL Gender Race/Ethnicity
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
60% 61%59%
64%
36%
29%
22%
34%
25%
52%
11%
16%
7%11% 11%
1% 1% 1% 1% 2%
GPA and ACT GPA Only ACT Only Unknown
Proportion of HOPE & ASPIRE FTF by initial qualifications met, gender, and ethnicity, Fall 2012
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Section 3: Scholarship Renewal
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24 48 72 96Cumulative Credit Hours (Attempted)
3.00
2.75
Cu
mula
tive C
olle
ge G
PA
Provisional Track(3.0 Term GPA also
required)
Scholarship Renewal Requirement
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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
51%
58%
90%92%
41%46%
23%
17%
50%56%
GAMS
HOPE
Total
ASPIRE
ACCESS
1st to 2nd Year Scholarship Renewal Rates by Program, Fall 2004 – Fall 2011 TELS FTF
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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
49% 51%
40% 42%
55%
69%
59%62%
50%
56%
UT Cam-puses
Private Colleges
Total
TBR Univ.
TBR CCs
1st to 2nd Year Scholarship Renewal Rates by System, Fall 2004 – Fall 2011 TELS FTF
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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
64%66%
43% 44%
25%22%20%
31%
48%
54%
Both
Total
GPA Only
Unknown
ACT Only
1st to 2nd Year Scholarship Renewal Rates by Qualifications Met, Fall 2004 – Fall 2011 TELS FTF
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Total
Over $96,000
84,001-96,000
72,001-84,000
60,001-72,000
48,001-60,000
36,001-48,000
24,001-36,000
12,001-24,000
$12,000 and below
Unknown
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
56%
67%
61%
59%
57%
57%
55%
49%
45%
46%
38%
1st to 2nd Year Scholarship Renewal Rates by AGI, Fall 2011 TELS FTF
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1st to 2nd Year Scholarship Renewal Rates by H.S. GPA and ACT Composite, Fall 2011 TELS FTF
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Section 4: Retention for TELS FTF who Lost the
Scholarship during their 1st Year
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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
69%
60%
55%
58%
54%53%56%
65%
58%
HOPE GAMS ASPIRE Access Total
1st to 2nd Year Retention Rates for TELS FTF that Lost Scholarship in 1st Year
by Program, Fall 2004 – Fall 2011
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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
66%
59%
69%
60%63%
52%
63%
53%
65%
58%
Both GPA Only ACT Only Unknown Total
1st to 2nd Year Retention Rates for TELS FTF (HOPE & ASPIRE) that Lost Scholarship in 1st Year by Qualifications Met, Fall 2004 – Fall 2011
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Section 5: Graduation with Scholarship
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2004 2005 2006 20070%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
31%
36% 35% 35%
72%74%
79% 79%
32%
36% 36% 36%
21%
27% 26% 26%
8%5%
8% 8%
Total GAMS HOPE ASPIRE ACCESS
5-year Graduation Rates with Scholarship Intact by Scholarship Type, Fall 2004 - Fall 2007 Cohorts
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2004 2005 2006 20070%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
28%
34% 33% 33%
42%45% 44% 44%
21%23% 22% 23%
11%
15% 14% 12%
6%10%
11% 12%
Total GPA and ACT GPA Only ACT Only Unknown
5-year Graduation Rates with Scholarship Intact by Initial Qualifications Met (HOPE & ASPIRE
only), Fall 2004 – Fall 2007 Cohorts
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Section 5: 6-yr Graduation with
or without Scholarship
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
58%
89%
61%
48%
34%
Total GAMS HOPE ASPIRE ACCESS
6-year graduation rates by scholarship type, Fall 2006 cohort
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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
58%
70%
70%
55%
42%TBR CC
TBR Univ.
UT
Private Institutions
Total
6-year graduation rates by system, Fall 2006 cohort
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2004 2005 20060%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
54%
58% 57%
67% 68% 67%
49%51%
49%
34%
39%36%
30%33%
45%
Total Both GPA Only ACT Only Unknown
6-year graduation rates by initial qualifications met (HOPE & ASPIRE), Fall 2004 – Fall 2006 cohorts
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FTF Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 60%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0.285787631271879 0.3532322053675610.502543757292882 0.584924154025671
100%
54%
44%
39%
16%
81%
72%
67%
45%
6-yr Grad Rate5-yr
Grad Rate
Grad Rateon
TELS4-yr Grad
Rate
Scholar-ship Re-
newal Rate
RetentionRate
6-yr Grad Rate5-yr
Grad Rate
Grad Rateon
TELS4-yr Grad
Rate
Scholar-ship Re-
newal Rate
Longitudinal Scholarship Renewal, Retention, and Graduation Rates, Fall 2006 TELS FTF
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Report will be available at: http://tn.gov/thec/Legislative/Reports.html under the “2013 Legislative/Reports Section.”
Questions?