staying up on the real estate market
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Real Estate Infographs and industry factsTRANSCRIPT
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Follow Up Program
Edition
ContentsIndustry Facts Page 2
Mortgage Stats Page 3
Buyer Facts, Trends & Demographics Page 4
First-Time Home Buyer Facts Page 5
Seller Stats, Trends & Demographics Page 6
Distressed Properties Page 7
© 2012 Buffini & Company
I hope you enjoy the latest edition of Brian Buffini’s Real Estate Report. The goal of this piece is to help you stay educated on today’s market and position yourself as a true professional and your clients’ trusted advisor. We hope you’ll put this comprehensive report to use in your business.
n Learn where the market is headed and how it affects your clients
n Find out more about today’s buyers and how to nudge them off the fence
n Give sellers a little perspective and get them to take action
n Further communicate why you work by referral in this industry
It’s a good life!
2011 EXISTING HOME SALES BY REGION (COMPARED TO Q3 2010):
SACRIFICES FOR HOMEOWNERSHIP:
West up 16%
South up 15.5%
Midwest up 25.1%
Northeast up 11.6%
industry faCts
SOURCES: NAR PROfilE Of HOmE bUyERS ANd SEllERS 2011, NAR, ORANgE COUNt y REgiStER, WAll StREEt JOURNAl, CNN mONEy, bANk Of AmERiCA: mORtgAgE iNdEx StUdy, RiSmEdiA
FIvE STATES WITH THE HIGHEST PRICE APPRECIATION:
is1,900
sq. feet
costs$190,000
was on the market for 9 weeks
has3 bedrooms
& 2 baths
34% cut spending on luxury items or other nonessentials to purchase a home
25% of buyers cut spending on entertainment
20% cut spending on clothes
12% cancelled their vacation plans
THE TYPICAL HOUSE PURCHASED:
2-3% in 2012
3% in 2013
4% in 2014
HOME PRICES ARE PROjECTED TO INCREASE:
Rent is projected to increase
3%In 2012, existing home sales are projected to increase
4% - 5%
70% of Americans view owning a home as part of the American dream
affordability is the top priority for consumers who are considering a home purchase in the next 12 months
The median home price to median family income has fallen to
2.6%—below the historical ratio of 2.9%
There is currently
8.5 months of inventory
74% of homeowners feel that owning a home is the best long-term investment
West virginia
4.8% South Dakota
3.1%
New York
3% District of Columbia
24%
Alaska
2.1%
nearly 1 out of 3 home sales in December 2011 went to buyers who paid cash
Homes purchased by investors in December 2011
Of the nation’s GDP, housing accounts for
22.8%
17%
Brian Buffini’s Real Estate Report Page 2
mortgage stats
SOURCES: NAR PROfilE Of HOmE bUyERS ANd SEllERS 2011, NAR, bUffiNi & COmPANy mAgAziNE, WAll StREEt JOURNAl, RiSmEdiA
700800900
600500
The median credit score in the US has remained constant over the last decade at around 700
GROUPS WHO FINANCED THEIR HOME PURCHASE:
87%of buyers
82%of repeat
buyers
95%of first-time
buyers
89% Average amount of purchase financed
Typical first-time buyer’s monthly mortgage principal and interest payment is
$794Typical repeat buyer’s payment is
$1,006
AvERAGE AMOUNT OF DOWNPAYMENT:
5% first-time buyers
15% repeat buyers
FIRST-TIME HOME BUYER MORTGAGE TYPES: 18% of refinances in 2011 were cash-out refinances, a drop from 88% at the peak in 2006
37% of refinances were cash-in refinances
CONSUMERS’ MOST IMPORTANT FACTOR WHEN CHOOSING A LOAN:
8% of borrowers were at least one month behind on their mortgage payments as of Q3 2011, down from 9.1% in the previous year
76% of consumers preferred a higher,
fixed-rate mortgage to a lower, variable-rate one
72% of borrowers plan to remain in their
home for more than 7 years
35% of buyers put down
20% or more
lowest possible monthly payment
lowest possible interest rate39%
23%
BUYERS WHO USED A CONvENTIONAL LOAN:
50% of all buyers
64%of repeat buyers
30%of first-time buyers
Brian Buffini’s Real Estate Report Page 3
64%
18%
10%
7%
1%
Buyer faCts, trends & demograPhiCs
SOURCES: NAR PROfilE Of HOmE bUyERS ANd SEllERS 2011, NAR
FACTORS INFLUENCING NEIGHBORHOOD CHOICE:
67% Quality of neighborhood
49% Convenience to work
45% Overall affordability of homes
39% Convenience to family and friends
32% Neighborhood design
28% Convenience to shopping
27% Quality of school district
21% Convenience to entertainment or leisure activities
45% of recent home buyers believe their home is a better investment than stocks
HOME BUYERS BY HOUSEHOLD TYPE:
married couples
single women
single men
unmarried couples
other
The typical repeat buyer purchased a
2,100 square foot home for $219,500
The average buyer searched for
12 weeks
and visited12 homes
19% of home buyers own more than one home
AvERAGE DISTANCE BETWEEN PREvIOUS HOME & NEW HOME PURCHASED:
West 11 miles
South 15 miles
Midwest 10 miles
Northeast 10 miles
51% of buyers said that finding the right property was the most difficult part of the buying process
84% of buyers purchased a previously owned home for a median
price of $180,000
AGE OF HOME PURCHASED:
HOME BUYERS WITH CHILDREN UNDER AGE 18:
None 64%
One 16%
Two 14%
Three + 6%
Year built %
2011 4%
2008 - 2010 13%
2005 - 2007 10%
2000 - 2004 11%
1985 - 1999 21%
1960 -1984 22%
1911 - 1959 16%
Before 1910 3%
16% purchased a new home for a median price of
$230,000
Brian Buffini’s Real Estate Report Page 4
FIRST-TIME BUYERS BY REGION:
34% Midwest
34% South
42% West
43% Northeast
first-time home Buyer faCts
TOP PURCHASE MOTIvATIONS FOR FIRST-TIME HOME BUYERS:
FIRST-TIME HOME BUYERS BY HOUSEHOLD TYPE:
TYPE OF HOME
PURCHASED:
A TYPICAL FIRST–TIME BUYER IS:
54% married couples
21% single women
12% single men
12% unmarried couples
60% desire to own home
11% affordability of home
73% detached single-family home
9% townhouse
12% condo6%
other
SOURCES: NAR PROfilE Of HOmE bUyERS ANd SEllERS 2011, mOvE, iNC.
37% of the market in 2011 was comprised of first-time home buyers
31 years old
earns
$62,400 in income
bought a 1,570 square foot home for
$155,000
plans to spend
10 years in their new home
76.6% of potential first-time homebuyers are millennials
First-time buyers searched for
3 weeks before they contacted an agent
79% used savings
26% received a gift from a friend or relative
9% sold stocks or bonds
8% used their 401(k)
7% received a loan from a relative or friend
METHODS OF FINANCING:
Brian Buffini’s Real Estate Report Page 5
LENGTH SELLERS LIvE IN THEIR HOMES:
OF SELLERS:
Sellers moved a median distance of
20 miles
8.6 The average number of home showings in 2011
12.1 The average number of showings in 2010
The average seller who used an agent sold their home for
$215,000
seller stats, trends & demograPhiCs
SOURCES: NAR, NAR PROfilE Of HOmE bUyERS ANd SEllERS 2011, CNN mONEy, RiSmEdiA, Jd POWER ANd ASSOCiAtES
41% of sellers offered incentives to prospective buyers
Most coMMon incentives:
n Reducing price
n Paying closing costs
n Making repairs
n Buying home warranty
n Paying origination fees or points
$26,000 (a gain of 16%, purchased 9 years ago)
$57,900 (a gain of 39%, purchased 11-15 years ago)
46% traded up
23% traded down
31% bought a comparably sized home
The average FSBO seller sold their home for
$150,000
for 11-15 years
for 8-10years
for 6-7
years
for 4-5
years
18% 17% 16%13%
39% of sellers did not reduce their asking price
The average price cut was
26% 14% 10% 10%
reduced it once
reduced it twice
reduced it three times
reduced it 4 or more times
53 The average age of a seller
38% of sellers have one or more children under 18 living at home
92% of sellers said that their home was listed or advertised online
35% of homes were on the market for less than 2 months before they sold
28% were on the market for more than 6 months
SELLERS’ MEDIAN EQUITY GAIN:
8%
Brian Buffini’s Real Estate Report Page 6
SOURCES: NAR PROfilE Of HOmE bUyERS ANd SEllERS 2011, REUtERS, RiSmEdiA
On average, foreclosed homes sell for a
34% discount
distressed ProPerties
over 50% of buyers considered purchasing a foreclosure
29% didn’t buy because
they couldn’t find the right house
15% didn’t buy because of
the poor condition of the property
15% didn’t buy because of
the “difficult process”
In September 2011, default notices were
down 23% compared to October 2010
In September 2011, total foreclosure filings were
down 31% from September 2010
16 weeks Average time it takes lenders to sign off on a short sale
In 2005 and 2006, foreclosure sales consistently accounted for
less than 5%of all sales nationwide
Foreclosure related sales in Q3 2011 accounted for
57% of all residential sales in Nevada, the highest percentage of any state
20% of all residential sales in Q3 2011 were distressed homes, down from 22% in Q2
Short sales sell for a
24% discount
Brian Buffini’s Real Estate Report Page 7