steve heminger executive director, mtc american public transportation association washington dc...
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Steve HemingerExecutive Director, MTC
American Public Transportation Association
Washington DC
March 12, 2007
System MaintenanceSystem Maintenance
89% 91% 91% 91%
39%48% 50% 52%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1997 2000 2002 2004
AcceptableGood
Pavement Ride QualityPavement Ride QualityNational Highway System for 2004
Source: U.S. DOT
Transit System ConditionsTransit System Conditions
0
1
2
3
4
5
1995 1997 2000 2002 2004
Bus VehiclesRail Vehicles
RA
TIN
G (
1 =
Poo
r, 5
= E
xcel
lent
)
Source: U.S. DOT
3.48 3.38 3.47 3.50
2.88 2.94 3.05 3.07 3.08
3.42
Traffic CongestionTraffic Congestion
In Congestion for At Least 40 Hours Annually
In Congestion for At Least 40 Hours Annually
Source: Texas Transportation Institute
Nearly half of the growth in total Transit Passenger Miles from 1995 to 2004 has come from the Heavy Rail mode.
MotorbusHeavy
RailCommuter
RailLightRail
DemandResponse
Vanpool Ferryboat
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Source: U.S. DOT
Growth in Transit RidershipGrowth in Transit Ridership23% Growth in Total Ridership from 1995 to
2004
SafetySafety
U.S. and G.B. Traffic Fatalities
Per 100 Million VMT
U.S. and G.B. Traffic Fatalities
Per 100 Million VMT
Source: Leonard Evans, Traffic Safety, 2004
FreightFreight
1,4371,437
6,1656,165
(TEUs in thousands)
20202020
20042004
HoustonHouston
13,10113,101
LA/LBLA/LB1,0101,0102,15
22,152
MiamiMiami
2,0432,0433,3823,382
OaklandOakland
4,4784,478
15,83515,835
NY/NJNY/NJ
1,8091,809
5,5665,566
VirginiaVirginia
1,8601,860
6,6396,639
CharlestonCharleston
1,6621,662
9,4209,420
SavannahSavannah
1,7981,7984,3964,396
TacomaTacoma
1,7761,776 2,5572,557
SeattleSeattle
59,42059,420
Forecast figures based on 10-year linear regression
Dramatic Increase in U.S. Maritime Trade
Dramatic Increase in U.S. Maritime Trade
Volume of trade: 2004 and 2020
Source: U.S. DOTv
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
1830 1850 1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990 2010
Class I Railroads Track-Miles Owned
Sources: L. Thompson/World Bank and American Association of Railroads
Rail Network TodayRail Network TodayToday’s rail network has been rationalized and downsized to a
core network that is descended directly from the 19th Century design
Fuel Efficiency(“Energy Independence”)
Fuel Efficiency(“Energy Independence”)
Sources: Environmental Protection Agency; Energy Information Administration
Ho
rsep
ow
er
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1997 19961995
1994 19931992 1991
1990 19891988
19871986
19851984
19831982
1981
1998
2004
20032002
20012000
1999
230
210
190
170
150
130
110
00 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Miles per Gallon
59 percent more energy performance
52 percentmore output
U.S. Fuel Economy for New Light-Duty Vehicles
U.S. Fuel Economy for New Light-Duty Vehicles
1975–2004 Model Years Sales-Weighted Horsepower and MPG
International Fuel Economy Comparison
International Fuel Economy Comparison
Comparison of fleet average fuel economy and GHG emission standards for new-sale light-duty vehicles
Sou
rce:
UC
Berk
ele
y
What’s Broken?What’s Broken?
Environmental Impact StatementEnvironmental Impact StatementProcessing Time (FY 1998–2006)
Source: FHWA
Length of Time to Complete the New Starts Process
Length of Time to Complete the New Starts Process
Source: Holland & Knight
FinanceFinance
Estimated Highway and Transit Program Levels and HTF Account
Balances*
Estimated Highway and Transit Program Levels and HTF Account
Balances*
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Do
lla
rs (
in B
illi
on
s)
Highway Program
Highway Balance
Transit Program
Transit Balance
* Based on President’s 2006 Budget and 2006 Budget Mid Session Review revenue estimates
Assuming Level Funding After 2009
Year
600
Gap to Maintain = $50 Billion per year
Gap to Maintain = $50 Billion per year (through 2015)
(through 2015)
Gap to Maintain = $50 Billion per year
Gap to Maintain = $50 Billion per year (through 2015)
(through 2015)
100
200
300
400
500
2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030
Year-
of-
Expendit
ure
Dolla
rs (
in B
illio
ns)
Gap to Improve = $107 Billion per year
Gap to Improve = $107 Billion per year (through 2015)
(through 2015)
Gap to Improve = $107 Billion per year
Gap to Improve = $107 Billion per year (through 2015)
(through 2015) Revenue
Cost toMaintain
Cost toImprove
National Funding GapNational Funding Gap
Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce