stimulating international research and innovation ...€¦ · 6. sasisa: the european market for...
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ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
Stimulating International Research
and Innovation Collaboration:
Working in Partnership with the
European Space Agency
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
Shaping the Future of the UK Space Economy
Jan. 29th 2015, London
A. Ginati, European Space Agency (ESA)
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
• European Space Agency (ESA) & Market• Telecom & Integrated Applications Directorate• ARTES & Integrated Applications Promotion (IAP)• Socio Economic Impact Assessment• Examples of Established Operational Services• Summary
Table of content
ARTES= Advanced Research on TElecommunication Satellite SystemsIAP= Integrated Applications Promotion programme
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Houston
Washington
Kourou
Moscow
ESA sites/facilities
Offices
ESTEC(Noordwijk)
Brussels
ESA HQ(Paris)
Toulouse
ESAC(Madrid)
ESRIN(Rome)
EAC (Cologne)
ESOC(Darmstadt)
ESA’S LOCATIONS
ECSAT(Harwell)
Redu
Salmijaervi(Kiruna)
ESA ground stations
New Norcia
Santa Maria
Cebreros,Villafranca
Oberpfaffenhofen
Maspalomas
PerthMalargüe
→
SCIENCE & ROBOTIC EXPLORATION
TIA C/M results 2008-2014
26/01/2015 | Slide 6
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
Contributions 2015 Onwards
Level of contribution to ESA based on GNP
Contributors GNP %
United Kingdom 15%
France 15%
Germany 20%
Spain 8%
Italy 12%
Netherlands 5%
Others 25%
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ECSAT, The Roy Gibson building
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Nationalities at ECSATStaff and Contractors
Satellite IndustryWorldwide figures
Operational Satellites on 2013source: SIA Report Sep2014
Launches in 2013
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Satcom: 44% of launches in 2013
Satellite IndustryWorldwide figures
Revenues in 2013
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
Satellite Services account for 61% of total revenues
Satellite ServicesWorldwide figures trend
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
source: SIA Report Sep2014
Data source: Euroconsult
Data source: Euroconsult
2009-2019: Revenues shifting downstream in the value chain
Avanti, SES Astra Inmarsat, Eutelsat
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
ESA’s Telecommunications and Integrated Applications programme has a dual objectives:
• To enhance the competitiveness of Industry by means of Research Development and Innovation of Satcom products, services and applications
• To support the economy growth, contribute to the resolution of problems that affect the European Institutions and the European society at large
Advanced Research on TElecommunication Satellite Systems (ARTES)
The scope of ESA’s Telecomunications and Integrated Applications Programme
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use – Slide 14
PARTNERSHIP ARTES PROGRAMMES
Alphabus – multipurpose platform exploited by
European industry to build future high-power
communication satellites. Its first mission,
Alphasat, was launched in 2013 (in partnership
with Inmarsat).
Hylas-1 (2010– ) the ‘Highly Adaptable Satellite’
project with Avanti, to provide broadband internet
services to remote areas across Europe.
Small GEO – general-purpose small geostationary
satellite platform, with subsequent mission in 2012
(with Hispasat). Will strengthen position of European
industry in commercial medium-sized telecoms
platform market.
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use – Slide 15
NEW TELECOM PROGRAMMESAND INTEGRATED APPLICATIONS
EDRS (2013/15) the European Data Relay
Satellite system. An independent European
system to reduce time delays in transmission
of large data quantities, making on-demand
data available at the right place, at the right
time.
Integrated Applications Promotion (IAP)
bringing together diverse space
infrastructures to facilitate innovative
solutions, leading to sustainable services.
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use – Slide 16
SAT-AIS Programme
What is SAT-AIS?SAT-AIS Microsatellites
ESA-LuxSpace Contract &
ESA-exactEarth Agreement
Signature Event
Farnborough, 15 July 2014
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ESA HELPS TO MAKE SPACE PART OF
DAILY LIFE FOR EUROPEAN CITIZENS
The Three Value Chains in Commercial Satellite ApplicationsGlobal Space Market Revenue in US$Bn
1. Sat communications are dominant with >75% of the downstream services revenue
2. Navigation is emerging 21%
3. EO is currently 2%
Source: Euroconsult & GSA, 2009/10
+ HSF
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
Foster (new) utilization of existing space capacity and
capability, in close partnership with users, through the
development of integrated (different space and non space
technologies) applications projects which demonstrate a
potential for sustainable operational services.
ARTES Applications Objective
- Existing space infrastructure
- Partnerships
- Customers
- Sustainable services
- Attract Investors attention
Institutional CooperationStrategic partnerships
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
ECSAT
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
ARTES Applications Elements providing a steady stream of opportunities
≈300 projects
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use - Privileged Slide 23
Socio-economic impact analysisARTES Applications programmes
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use - Privileged Slide 24
1
2
2
3
3
3
6
6
8
9
12
12
13
14
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16
18
19
26
39
59
81
0 20 40 60 80 100
EE
CA
RO
DK
GR
SE
PL
PT
CZ
IE
FI
NO
AT
ES
LU
FR
CH
BE
NL
DE
IT
UK
Number of companies engaged in the ARTES Applications programmes
366 different entities
involved as a prime or a sub-
contractor (running or
completed activities).
from 22 countries.
>80% of the entities are in
the top ten countries, 56%
are in the top four.
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use - Privileged Slide 25
Case studies of projects with sufficient maturity and available data
19Num
ber
of pro
jects
/ s
erv
ices
Success Rate 5 KPIs 10 Indicators
Commercial, 60,
36%
Operational
, 31, 18%
Seed, 33, 20%
No Follow-on, 44, 26%
Revenue, JobsExport Sales, Market Value Creation, Investment leverage
46 products/services analysedwith 5 KPIs against Profitability
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use - Privileged Slide 26
Revenue in €M from 19 case studiesRatio of revenue to date vs ESA co-funding of 4:1
€M
27
107
553
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Total for 19 cases
€M
Revenue from 19 Case Studies (€ M)
Ratio of Revenue to Date vs ESA Funding is 4:1
ESA funding
Revenue to date
Revenue projection 2020
20:1
4:1
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use - Privileged Slide 27
Export impacts: most of the case studies are strongly export-led
1. VECMAP of Avia-GIS has 87% of its sales revenue from exports, 16% being outside the EU. It trades
in five countries and has carried out demonstration activities in nine.
2. ISIDE is delivering the Digital Cinema Package (DCP) to 11 countries in Europe.
3. eLEAF has started 2 associated partnerships in South Africa worth ± 500 k€ in the last two years.
4. FlySafe services are available in 16 countries with their bird tracking system used in 42 projects
worldwide (South Africa, Australia, Russia…)
5. SatADSL revenue is 100% export sales: Sea&Space has created SatADSL spin-off dedicated to
delivery of services to 39 African countries.
6. TreeMetrics technology is being used in 20 countries and 95% of its revenue is from export sales.
7. 21Net sales in 2013 were 40% Belgium, 50% Italy and 10% India, with a pipeline of potential in UK,
France, Spain, Turkey, Russia and Australia.
8. Vista has 60 customers across 8 countries, with 50% of revenue being from export sales (5%
outside Europe).
9. MediaMobil is increasing export sales through the SASS@Sea activities. Approximately 20% of
revenue from SASS@Sea is from export sales (within Europe) and this is expected to increase to
50% over the next 3 years.
10. Companies involved in SatElections/SWAY4Edu have been running projects and business in 10
countries (80% in Africa).
ESA helps to open new export markets not otherwise accessible to most SMEs.
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use - Privileged Slide 28
Jobs: early stage results with anticipated growth in line with revenue projections
1. The 19 projects analysed have created or sustained a total of
197 FTE jobs (an average of more than 10 per project), plus
some external contractors.
2. The range in number of jobs created is from 1 to 40 per project.
3. Many of these cases are early stage operations that have been
in the market for less than three years.
4. All of the companies are projecting strong growth and all of
those that have provided future staff projections are planning a
significant increase in staff numbers.
Jobs created in these cases have long term sustainability beyond the lifetime of individual projects, due to the ARTES Applications focus on creating viable new businesses.
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use - Privileged Slide 29
Investment leverage related to the ESA co-funding contracts
1. 21NET received €2m equity from shareholders.
2. TreeMetrics has received €700k equity investment from a 3rd party.
3. Microcinema received €1.5m venture capital.
4. Avia-GIS received a higher than normal level of short term bank credit (=25% of
revenue) which helps support their growth.
5. Robin Radar Systems received >€3m investment, plus 800k from the Dutch Defence
R&D Agency, and the Bird Tracks system was supported with €1.2m from three other
bodies.
6. Starlab and FutureWater has obtained 500k€ additional investment (ENDESA grant) to
develop Intogener in Chile.
7. SatADSL received €1m Belgian venture capital to expand their operations into
additional African countries over the next five years.
8. FORSWAY obtained €660k from a VC related to the Low Cost Hybrid Triple Play
solution, plus 437k from the Swedish Research Growth Programme.
The ESA “stamp of approval” adds to company credibility and often attracts further third party investment.
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use - Privileged Slide 30
Addressable markets: size and value
1. EOMST: the satellite broadband train infotainment market is estimated to be worth €18M in
2011, growing to €140M by 2021.
2. SatFinAfrica: total commercial VSAT market in Africa by 2020 is forecast at €30M for the
hardware and €130M for services.
3. Talking Fields: annual addressable market for their precision farming services in Germany
alone is about €14M.
4. SatElections/SWAY4Edu: the annual market for self-paced e-learning products and services is
more than US$300M in Africa (~25% for S. Africa) with an annual growth rate of about 15%.
5. Mercury: the UK mobile breast screening market is worth about €2.5M annually; there are
several other potential clinical application markets.
6. SASISA: the European market for instant airborne intelligence is estimated to be worth about
€37.5M.
7. FlySafe: total market for bird strike risk reduction services based on use of avian radars is
around €100M.
8. SASS@Sea: The value of the German maritime communications market is estimated at US$
8.6 M with a 10% growth rate; the worldwide market is forecast to reach US$ 650 M by 2015.
In many cases, innovation impacts help transform and enlarge markets.
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use - Privileged Slide 31
Extent of the value chain: example of SatElections/SWAY4Edu
Rural Radio element: − services developed with FAO and AMARC (Association
Mondiale des Radiodiffuseurs Communautaires).
− contracts with the “Federation de Radio de Proximité” in the Democratic Republic of Congo which manages 400 rural radios and with “Fondation Hirondelle“ in Lausanne which manages a group of 62 radios (e.g. 26 in Mali).
Electoral element : − services developed for Electoral Management Bodies
(EMB) of the Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS; 10 countries) in collaboration with ECES (European Centre for Electoral Support, a no-profit private foundation in Brussels) and EFEAC (Ecole de Formation Electoral en Afrique Centrale, Kinshasa).
− demonstration project in the Democratic Republic of Congo and 4 EMBs that also led to a contract with Burkina Faso in December 2012
Space4Education element: − services developed with READ Educational Trust
(Durban) that is involved in the “Rally to Read”.
− demonstration project with 12 rural schools in South Africa and a CCN in progress with 12 new rural schools in South Africa and 1 in Italy.
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use - Privileged Slide 32
Extent of the value chain: example of Talking Fields
The project consortium is a comprehensive and operational value chain, from the data collection to the farmers. It involves:
2 national suppliers (i.e. suppliers to the business model from within Germany, the prime’s country)
2 national and 1 international distributors
5 national and 15 European research and academic centres
60 customers across 8 countries.
Investment in one project creates value for a range of companies in the value chain nationally and, in most cases, internationally.
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use - Privileged Slide 33
Extent of the value chain: example of FlySafe
ROBIN Radar Systems has contracts in 10 countries: the Netherlands, Belgium, UK, Turkey, Estonia, Bulgaria, Poland, France, Norway and Spain. 17 systems are operational in Europe. It is expanding its business to the Middle East, Asia & Australia plus a tender with Central Indian Gov for 45 systems.
Website service extending service to wide international community.
FlySafe-2 extended their geographic coverage via co-operation with new European weather institutes (OPERA network) & users: 16 countries (> 60 radars),
A new e-COST action “ENRAM” with NL and UK lead, to increase and strengthen the international research network (e.g. to cover insect migration, bird migration, meteorology),
UvA-BiTS: 42 projects all over the world (South Africa, Australia, Siberia, Oman, Europe), 40 research institutes/companies.
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use - Privileged Slide 34
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
GAF (1997-2004): 360 collisions strikes/year
FAF (1998-2005): 320 collisions strikes/year
RAF(<2004): 110 documented serious accidents
Estimated conservative cost due to damage
and delays of commercial aircraft worldwide
1.2 billion USD per year
Birds and Flight Safety
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
- EO data &
meteorology
- Long Range Military
Surveillance Radars(150km radius,migration)
- Weather radars for migration (altitude distributions migration)
- Short Range
Specialized Radars
on air fields (local bird behaviour 5-10 km range)
-Individual birds
Tracking (species specific information)
FlySafe elements and Sensors
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
http://public.flysafe.sara.nl/bambas/
http://www.flysafe-birdtam.eu/
FlySafe web service
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
Birds and EnergyBirds and Agriculture
Birds and Health
Avian Influenza H5N1 outbreaksSource: Declan Butler http://declanbutler.info/blog/?p=58
FlySafe, Spin-off Applications
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
Every year between 700-1000 people die during long duration flights(>6 h) due to medical reasons
Each day 1- 1.5 planes are landing in emergency conditions formedical reasons the statistic data on these landings showed that45% can be avoided if a single electrocardiogram could betransmitted from the plane to an emergency medical department inan hospital;
The cost of such re-routings is about 80K€.
Increase flights duration, A380, 15 hours non stop
Increase number of passengers will increase with the new capacitiesof the planes
AMAZON, Management of Medical Emergency
for commercial aviation => the issues
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
AMAZON, Management of Medical Emergency service
ESA UNCLASSIFIED – For Official Use
AMAZON, Management of Medical Emergency Service
Deployed and operated by airlines (Virgin Atlantic, bmi, Etihad, Emirates, Virgin Australia), commercial shipping companies, luxury yachts and military health services
CE marked and cleared to market by US FDA
EIB sectoral priorities in the Mediterranean Partner
Countries
Million EUR
Energy
Transport
Telecoms
SMEs & Industry
Environment
Human Capital
Credit Lines
Risk Capital
Algeria
Morocco
Tunisia
Egypt
Syria
Lebanon
JordanPalestinian Territories
Israel
Regional
“Space for Med”Space for Mediterranean
a Common EIB/ESA Initiative
Energy and Renewable Energy
Transport and Logistics
Water Management
Space Budgets 2013Achieving a £40 billion UK space industry by 2030
ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use
source: OECD Report 2014
USA
CHN
RUS
IND
JPN
FR
DE
IT
CA
UK
ES
IE
LUspace budget per
capita
space budget
1626 20.1
2431 38.0
1223 20.7
339 5.3
Budget
MU
SD
Budget
per
Capita U
SD
39332 123.2
10775 7.9
8692 61.0
301 6.7
25 5.6
17 34.5
3422 26.9
4269 3.3
396 11.5
UK:5.3 USD/person
UK:339 MUSD
45
Thank You!
“Space is the Limit”