stock report€| €| nasdaqgs symbol: mnst … › micnova › file › public › club...

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Analyst's Risk Assessment LOW MEDIUM HIGH While the company operates in an industry that has historically exhibited stable revenue streams, it must compete against much larger peers. Revenue/Earnings Data Revenue (Million USD) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Year 2020 1,062 -- -- -- -- 2019 946 1,104 1,134 1,017 4,201 2018 851 1,016 1,016 924 3,807 2017 742 907 909 810 3,369 2016 680 827 788 754 3,049 2015 627 694 757 645 2,723 Earnings Per Share (USD) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Year 2021 E 0.54 E 0.64 E 0.66 E 0.56 E 2.40 2020 0.52 E 0.50 E 0.56 E 0.52 E 2.10 2019 0.48 0.53 0.55 0.47 2.03 2018 0.38 0.48 0.48 0.43 1.76 2017 0.31 0.39 0.38 0.35 1.42 2016 0.26 0.30 0.33 0.30 1.19 Fiscal year ended Dec 31. Next earnings report expected: Early Aug. EPS Estimates based on CFRA's Operating Earnings; historical GAAP earnings are as reported in Company reports. Dividend Data No cash dividends have been paid in the last year. Price Performance 30-Week Mov. Avg. 10-Week Mov. Avg. GAAP Earnings vs. Previous Year Volume Above Avg. STARS 12-Mo. Target Price Up Down No Change Below Avg. Source: CFRA, S&P Global Market Intelligence Past performance is not an indication of future performance and should not be relied upon as such. Analysis prepared by Equity Analyst on May 08, 2020 10:29 AM, when the stock traded at Garrett Nelson USD 64.15. Highlights We estimate net sales will rise about 7% in 2020 after increasing by 10.3% in 2019, driven by new product launches, price increases, volume growth in existing markets, and international expansion on increased distribution. MNST’s revenue increase was driven by a 9.2% jump in sales volume and a 1.1% increase in average selling price. In 2020, we expect 8% growth for volumes and a 1% decline in price realizations. In 2020, we expect gross margins to decline by about 100 bps from its 2019 level of 60.0%, reflecting increased input costs (aluminum and sweeteners) and an unfavorable geographic mix as international sales grow faster than domestic sales. We estimate operating EPS of $2.10 in 2020 and $2.40 in 2021, up from $2.04 in 2019. MNST does not pay a dividend, but has a history of aggressively repurchasing stock. In Q1 2020, MNST materially stepped up share repurchase activity, buying back 10.5M shares at an average price of $55.22/share for $579M in Q1 (by comparison total buybacks in 2019 were $707M). The company has a history of generating strong free cash flow and possesses a very strong balance sheet, with no debt and $935 million of cash and short-term investments as of March 31, 2020. Investment Rationale/Risk Our Hold recommendation reflects a valuation that we consider fair at current levels, balancing MNST's superior earnings growth profile with concerns regarding increased competition in the energy drinks category and the risk of multiple contraction given slowing economic growth in several overseas markets, which have been key to the company's overall sales growth. At the same time, we think MNST's debt-free balance sheet, share repurchases, and strong free cash flow are attributes which should serve it well in the face of coronavirus fears. In June 2015, MNST formed a long-term partnership with KO, in which KO took a 16.7% stake in MNST and transferred its energy business to MNST in return for MNST's non-energy business. Risks to our recommendation and target price include unfavorable findings pertaining to the safety and effectiveness of energy drinks, higher commodity costs, less favorable weather conditions, and the unsuccessful launch of new products. Our 12-month target price of $65 applies a 2021 P/E of 27.1x, below MNST's ten-year P/E of 32.1x, but above peers, reflecting our view the company is likely to grow faster than peers, while balancing concerns regarding competitive pressures. HOLD Stock Report | | NasdaqGS Symbol: June 06, 2020 MNST | is in the S&P 500 MNST Monster Beverage Corporation Recommendation Price USD 72.23 (as of Jun 04, 2020 4:00 PM ET) 12-Mo. Target Price USD 65.00 Report Currency USD Investment Style Large-Cap Growth Equity Analyst Garrett Nelson GICS Sector Consumer Staples Sub-Industry Soft Drinks Summary Monster Beverage, through its subsidiaries, develops, markets, sells, and distributes energy drink beverages and concentrates in the United States and internationally. Key Stock Statistics (Source: CFRA, S&P Global Market Intelligence (SPGMI), Company Reports) 52-Wk Range USD 73.43 - 50.06 Oper. EPS 2020E USD 2.10 Market Capitalization(B) USD 38.03 Beta 1.03 Trailing 12-Month EPS USD 2.07 Oper. EPS 2021E USD 2.40 Yield (%) NA 3-Yr Proj. EPS CAGR(%) 11 Trailing 12-Month P/E 34.89 P/E on Oper. EPS 2020E 34.40 Dividend Rate/Share NA SPGMI's Quality Ranking B+ $10K Invested 5 Yrs Ago $17,259 Common Shares Outstg.(M) 526.56 Institutional Ownership (%) NA Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 2020 CFRA. This document is not intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors should seek independent financial advice regarding the suitability and/or appropriateness of making an investment or implementing the investment strategies discussed in this document and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. Investors should note that income from such investments, if any, may fluctuate and that the value of such investments may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than they originally invested. Investors should seek advice concerning any impact this investment may have on their personal tax position from their own tax advisor. Please note the publication date of this document. It may contain specific information that is no longer current and should not be used to make an investment decision. Unless otherwise indicated, there is no intention to update this document. 1

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Page 1: Stock Report€| €| NasdaqGS Symbol: MNST … › micnova › file › Public › Club Portfolio...USD 72.23 (as of Jun 04, 2020 4:00 PM ET) 12-Mo. Target Price USD 65.00 Report

Analyst's Risk Assessment

LOW MEDIUM HIGH

While the company operates in an industry that hashistorically exhibited stable revenue streams, it mustcompete against much larger peers.

Revenue/Earnings Data

Revenue (Million USD)1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Year

2020 1,062 -- -- -- --2019 946 1,104 1,134 1,017 4,2012018 851 1,016 1,016 924 3,8072017 742 907 909 810 3,3692016 680 827 788 754 3,0492015 627 694 757 645 2,723

Earnings Per Share (USD)1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Year

2021 E 0.54 E 0.64 E 0.66 E 0.56 E 2.402020 0.52 E 0.50 E 0.56 E 0.52 E 2.102019 0.48 0.53 0.55 0.47 2.032018 0.38 0.48 0.48 0.43 1.762017 0.31 0.39 0.38 0.35 1.422016 0.26 0.30 0.33 0.30 1.19Fiscal year ended Dec 31. Next earnings report expected: EarlyAug. EPS Estimates based on CFRA's Operating Earnings;historical GAAP earnings are as reported in Company reports.

Dividend Data

No cash dividends have been paid in the last year.

Price Performance

30-Week Mov. Avg. 10-Week Mov. Avg. GAAP Earnings vs. Previous Year Volume Above Avg. STARS

12-Mo. Target Price Up Down No Change Below Avg.

Source: CFRA, S&P Global Market IntelligencePast performance is not an indication of future performance and should not be relied upon as such.Analysis prepared by Equity Analyst on May 08, 2020 10:29 AM, when the stock traded at Garrett Nelson USD 64.15.

Highlights

We estimate net sales will rise about 7% in2020 after increasing by 10.3% in 2019, drivenby new product launches, price increases,volume growth in existing markets, andinternational expansion on increaseddistribution. MNST’s revenue increase wasdriven by a 9.2% jump in sales volume and a1.1% increase in average selling price. In 2020,we expect 8% growth for volumes and a 1%decline in price realizations.In 2020, we expect gross margins to decline byabout 100 bps from its 2019 level of 60.0%,reflecting increased input costs (aluminum andsweeteners) and an unfavorable geographicmix as international sales grow faster thandomestic sales.We estimate operating EPS of $2.10 in 2020and $2.40 in 2021, up from $2.04 in 2019.MNST does not pay a dividend, but has a historyof aggressively repurchasing stock. In Q1 2020,MNST materially stepped up share repurchaseactivity, buying back 10.5M shares at anaverage price of $55.22/share for $579M in Q1(by comparison total buybacks in 2019 were$707M). The company has a history ofgenerating strong free cash flow andpossesses a very strong balance sheet, with nodebt and $935 million of cash and short-terminvestments as of March 31, 2020.

Investment Rationale/Risk

Our Hold recommendation reflects a valuationthat we consider fair at current levels,balancing MNST's superior earnings growthprofile with concerns regarding increasedcompetition in the energy drinks category andthe risk of multiple contraction given slowingeconomic growth in several overseas markets,which have been key to the company's overallsales growth. At the same time, we thinkMNST's debt-free balance sheet, sharerepurchases, and strong free cash flow areattributes which should serve it well in the faceof coronavirus fears. In June 2015, MNSTformed a long-term partnership with KO, inwhich KO took a 16.7% stake in MNST andtransferred its energy business to MNST inreturn for MNST's non-energy business.Risks to our recommendation and target priceinclude unfavorable findings pertaining to thesafety and effectiveness of energy drinks,higher commodity costs, less favorableweather conditions, and the unsuccessfullaunch of new products.Our 12-month target price of $65 applies a2021 P/E of 27.1x, below MNST's ten-year P/Eof 32.1x, but above peers, reflecting our viewthe company is likely to grow faster than peers,while balancing concerns regardingcompetitive pressures.

HOLD

Stock Report | | NasdaqGS Symbol:   June 06, 2020  MNST | is in the S&P 500MNST

Monster Beverage Corporation

Recommendation Price

USD 72.23 (as of Jun 04, 2020 4:00 PM ET)

12-Mo. Target PriceUSD 65.00

Report CurrencyUSD

Investment StyleLarge-Cap Growth

Equity Analyst Garrett Nelson

GICS Sector Consumer StaplesSub-Industry Soft Drinks

Summary Monster Beverage, through its subsidiaries, develops, markets, sells, and distributes energydrink beverages and concentrates in the United States and internationally.

Key Stock Statistics (Source: CFRA, S&P Global Market Intelligence (SPGMI), Company Reports)

52-Wk Range USD 73.43 - 50.06 Oper. EPS 2020E USD 2.10 Market Capitalization(B) USD 38.03 Beta 1.03 Trailing 12-Month EPS USD 2.07 Oper. EPS 2021E USD 2.40 Yield (%) NA 3-Yr Proj. EPS CAGR(%) 11 Trailing 12-Month P/E 34.89 P/E on Oper. EPS 2020E 34.40 Dividend Rate/Share NA SPGMI's Quality Ranking B+ $10K Invested 5 Yrs Ago $17,259 Common Shares Outstg.(M) 526.56 Institutional Ownership (%) NA

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 2020 CFRA. This document is not intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the specific investmentobjectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors should seek independent financial advice regarding the suitability and/or appropriateness of making aninvestment or implementing the investment strategies discussed in this document and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. Investors should note that income from suchinvestments, if any, may fluctuate and that the value of such investments may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than they originally invested. Investors should seek advice concerning any impact thisinvestment may have on their personal tax position from their own tax advisor. Please note the publication date of this document. It may contain specific information that is no longer current and should not be used to make aninvestment decision. Unless otherwise indicated, there is no intention to update this document.

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Page 2: Stock Report€| €| NasdaqGS Symbol: MNST … › micnova › file › Public › Club Portfolio...USD 72.23 (as of Jun 04, 2020 4:00 PM ET) 12-Mo. Target Price USD 65.00 Report

Corporate Information

Investor Contact

Office1 Monster Way, Corona, California 92879

Telephone951 739 6200

Websitewww.monsterbevcorp.com

Officers

Vice Chairman, President,COO, CFO & SecretaryH. H. Schlosberg

Chairman & CEOR. C. Sacks

Board Members

B. M. PolkG. P. FayardH. H. SchlosbergJ. P. JacksonK. E. Ciaramello

M. J. HallM. S. VidergauzR. C. SacksS. G. PizulaS. Selati

DomicileDelaware

Founded1990

Employees1,848

Stockholders193

AuditorDeloitte & Touche LLP

Business Summary May 07, 2020

CORPORATE OVERVIEW. Monster Beverage Corporation, formerly Hansen Natural Corporation, is a leadingdeveloper and marketer of 'alternative beverages', a category that combines ready-to-drink iced teas,lemonades, juice cocktails, single-serve juices and fruit beverages, ready-to-drink dairy and coffee drinks,energy drinks, sports drinks and single-serve still water with 'new age' beverages, including 'natural' sodas,sparkling juices and flavored sparkling beverages. The company originally began selling freshnonpasteurized juices in Los Angeles, CA, in the 1930s. At year-end 2019, the company employed a total of3,529 workers (2,655 on a full-time basis), up from 3,142 at year-end 2018 (2,354 full-time).

In 2019, the geographic breakdown of the company’s net sales were 71% U.S. and Canada and 29%International. Its international exposure has grown from 25% of revenues in 2016.

MNST has three segments: Monster Energy Drinks (92.9% of net sales in 2019), Strategic Brands (6.5%),and Other (0.6%). The Monster Energy Drinks segment is comprised of the Monster Energy drinks as wellas Mutant Super Soda drinks. This segment sells ready to drink packaged drinks primarily to bottlers andfull-service beverage distributors. In some cases, the company sells directly to retail grocery and specialtychains, wholesalers, club stores, mass merchandisers, convenience chains, food service customers andthe military. This segment generates higher per case revenues, but lower per case gross profit marginsthan the Strategic Brands segment.

The Strategic Brands segment include various energy drink brands acquired from Coca-Cola in 2014. Thissegment sells concentrates and or beverage bases to authorized bottling and canning operations. Bottlerscombine the concentrates and/or beverage bases with sweeteners, water and other ingredients to produceready to drink packaged energy drinks. Products are then sold to other bottlers, full service distributors,wholesalers, or retailers directly.

The Other Segment mostly includes brands sold to third parties.

The company's customers are mainly full-service beverage distributors, retail grocery and specialty chains,wholesalers, club stores, drug stores, mass merchants, convenience stores, health food distributors, foodservice customers and the military. Full service distributors accounted for 58% of 2019 sales; international33%; club stores and mass merchants 7%; retail, grocery, specialty chains and wholesalers 1%; and other1%. The Coca-Cola Company accounted for only 2% of net sales in 2019, down sharply from 18% in 2017and 41% in 2016 as Coca-Cola transitioned some of its bottlers/distributors to independent operators.

MARKET PROFILE. U.S. liquid refreshment beverage market sales were estimated at $179.9 billion in 2018,up about 3.8% from 2017, according to Beverage Marketing Corporation (latest available data). In 2018,energy drinks had the third-fastest beverage category volume growth rate (8.6%), following onlyvalue-added water (15.5%) and ready-to-drink coffee (8.8%), and growing faster than bottled water(4.9%), sports drinks (2.8%), ready-to-drink tea (-0.3%), carbonated soft drinks (-0.4%) and fruitbeverages (-3.0%).

ACQUISITIONS. In April 2016, MNST acquired flavor supplier American Fruits & Flavors for $688.5 million incash. The deal brought the company's primary flavor supplier in-house.

In June 2015, the company completed a transaction with the The Coca-Cola Company (Coca-Cola),providing for a long-term strategic relationship in the global energy drink category. MNST issued toCoca-Cola 102.1 million new MNST shares (representing 16.7% of total shares at the time) and Coca-Colaappointed two members to MNST's Board. Coca-Cola also transferred its energy drink business to MNST,and MNST transferred its non-energy drink business to Coca-Cola. Additionally, MNST amended itsdistribution agreements to transfer most of MNST's U.S. distribution to the Coca-Cola distribution network.Lastly, MNST received $2.15 billion in cash.

CORPORATE GOVERNANCE. Insiders exercise significant control. As of April 20, 2018, chairman and CEORodney Sacks and vice chairman, president, COO and CFO Hilton Schlosberg owned and/or exercisedvoting control over approximately 8.5% and 8.3%, respectively, of MNST's shares outstanding. Additionally,The Coca-Cola Company owned 18.8% of MNST shares as of March 2018 and is entitled to nominate twodirectors to MNST's board. Among other provisions, agreements related to Coca-Cola’s equity stakerestricts it from competing in the energy drink category, with certain exceptions including an exceptionrelating to the Coca-Cola brand.

FINANCIAL TRENDS. Monster’s revenues have gone from $3.37 billion in 2017 to $3.81 billion in 2018 and$4.20 billion in 2019, while its EPS has increased from $1.42 in 2017 to $1.76 in 2018 and $2.04 in 2019,respectively, over the same timeframe. In 2019, the company posted a 15.9% increase in EPS over theprior-year period ($2.04 versus $1.76 in the year-ago period), as net sales increased 10.3% to $4.20 billionbut gross margins contracted 30 bps to 60.0%. In Q1 2020, the company posted an 8.2% increase in EPSover the prior-year period ($0.52 versus $0.48 in the year-ago period), as net sales increased 12.3% butgross margins contracted 60 bps to 60.0%.

As of March 31, 2020, Monster had approximately $935 million of cash, cash equivalents and short-terminvestments, down from $1.33 billion on December 31, 2019. MNST had no debt, a level that wasunchanged from December 31, 2019.

The company does not currently pay a dividend, but has been aggressively repurchasing stock in recentyears. Monster repurchased 10.5M shares at an average price of $55.22/share for $579.3M in Q1 2020.The company repurchased $707.3 million of common stock in 2019, $1.34 billion in 2018, and $361.2million in 2017.

Stock Report | | NasdaqGS Symbol:   June 06, 2020  MNST | is in the S&P 500MNST

Monster Beverage Corporation

2Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without prior written permission. Copyright © 2020 CFRA.

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Stock Report | | NasdaqGS Symbol:   June 06, 2020  MNST | is in the S&P 500MNST

Monster Beverage Corporation

Quantitative Evaluations

Fair Value Rank 4 1 2 3 4 5LOWEST HIGHESTBased on CFRA's proprietary quantitative model,stocks are ranked from most overvalued (1) to mostundervalued (5).

Fair ValueCalculation

USD82.57

Analysis of the stock's current worth, based onCFRA's proprietary quantitative model suggests thatMNST is slightly undervalued by USD 10.34 or 14.3%.

Volatility LOW AVERAGE HIGH

TechnicalEvaluation

BULLISH Since May, 2020, the technical indicators for MNSThave been BULLISH.

Insider Activity NA UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL FAVORABLE

Expanded Ratio Analysis

2019 2018 2017 2016Price/Sales 8.27 7.29 10.84 8.72Price/EBITDA 23.49 20.31 28.47 22.05Price/Pretax Income 24.53 21.47 30.40 24.63P/E Ratio 31.31 27.97 44.57 37.26Avg. Diluted Shares Outsg.(M) 547 564 577 600

Figures based on fiscal year-end price

Key Growth Rates and Averages

Past Growth Rate (%) 1 Year 3 Years 5 YearsSales 10.34 11.27 11.25Net Income 11.56 15.84 18.05

Ratio Analysis (Annual Avg.)Net Margin (%) NM NM NMReturn on Equity (%) 28.47 NA NA

Company Financials Fiscal year ending Dec. 31

Per Share Data (USD) 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010Tangible Book Value 3.33 2.27 2.70 1.70 5.10 2.91 1.85 1.19 1.78 1.47Free Cash Flow 1.85 1.95 1.58 1.01 1.16 1.13 0.58 0.46 0.57 0.39Earnings 2.03 1.76 1.42 1.19 0.95 0.92 0.65 0.62 0.51 0.38Earnings (Normalized) 1.63 1.46 1.34 1.21 1.03 0.89 0.69 0.63 0.51 0.39Dividends NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NAPayout Ratio (%) NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NAPrices: High 66.38 70.22 64.79 55.50 53.50 37.83 22.78 27.99 16.39 9.13Prices: Low 47.84 47.61 41.02 37.69 35.59 21.00 15.13 13.33 8.61 4.00P/E Ratio: High 32.7 39.9 45.6 46.6 56.3 41.1 35.0 45.1 32.1 24.0P/E Ratio: Low 23.6 27.1 28.9 31.7 37.5 22.8 23.3 21.5 16.9 10.5

Income Statement Analysis (Million USD)Revenue 4,201 3,807 3,369 3,049 2,723 2,465 2,246 2,061 1,703 1,304Operating Income 1,414 1,310 1,234 1,165 972 752 586 552 458 348Depreciation + Amortization 64.8 57.0 48.9 40.8 30.9 25.7 22.8 20.6 17.1 11.8Interest Expense 0.056 NA NA 0.070 0.030 0.030 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.010Pretax Income 1,416 1,293 1,202 1,080 892 746 564 549 457 349Effective Tax Rate 21.8 23.2 31.7 34.0 38.7 35.2 39.9 38.1 37.4 39.3Net Income 1,108 993 821 713 547 483 339 340 286 212Net Income (Normalized) 892 825 773 725 596 466 361 344 287 219

Balance Sheet and Other Financial Data (Million USD)Cash 1,331 958 1,202 598 2,920 1,151 614 320 771 599Current Assets 2,316 1,804 2,086 1,432 3,600 1,653 1,183 835 1,183 963Total Assets 5,150 4,527 4,791 4,153 5,571 1,939 1,421 1,043 1,362 1,147Current Liabilities 661 601 560 471 410 356 316 289 266 194Long Term Debt NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NATotal Capital 4,201 3,611 3,897 3,330 4,810 1,515 992 644 979 828Capital Expenditures 101.7 61.9 83.4 99.8 35.6 28.0 40.8 42.9 25.6 12.5Cash from Operations 1,114 1,162 988 701 523 597 342 288 334 229Current Ratio 3.50 3.00 3.72 3.04 8.77 4.65 3.74 2.89 4.44 4.97% Long Term Debt of Capitalization NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA% Net Income of Revenue 26.4 26.1 24.4 23.4 20.1 19.6 15.1 16.5 16.8 16.3% Return on Assets 18.3 17.6 17.2 15.0 16.2 28.0 29.7 28.7 22.8 22.3% Return on Equity 28.5 26.5 22.7 17.5 17.3 38.5 41.4 41.9 31.7 30.0

Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data may be preliminary or restated; before results of discontinued operations/special items. Per share data adjusted for stock dividends; EPS diluted.E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked. UR-Under Review.

3Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without prior written permission. Copyright © 2020 CFRA.

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Sub-Industry: Soft Drinks Peer Group*: Soft Drinks

Recent 30-Day 1-Year Fair ReturnStock Stock Stk. Mkt. Price Price P/E Value Yield on Equity LTD to

Peer Group Symbol Exchange Currency Price Cap. (M) Chg. (%) Chg. (%) Ratio Calc. (%) (%) Cap (%)

Monster Beverage Corporation MNST NasdaqGS USD 72.23 38,034 17.8 12.8 35 82.57 Nil 28.5 NACelsius Holdings, Inc. CELH NasdaqCM USD 9.670 670 111.1 141.1 NM NA Nil 26.5 NA

Coca-Cola Amatil Limited CCLA.Y OTCPK USD 6.152 4,456 12.8 -8.4 24 NA 5.1 19.9 39.4

Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc. CCOJ.Y OTCPK USD 10.17 3,650 10.9 -17.0 NM NA 2.3 -10.6 25.0

Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. COKE NasdaqGS USD 242.95 1,735 1.3 -21.3 70 160.06 0.4 4.1 63.6

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. KOF NYSE USD 46.36 9,739 19.0 -27.2 NM NA 4.1 9.7 29.1

Coca-Cola HBC AG CCHG.Y OTCPK USD 27.33 10,020 13.5 -25.6 9 NA 10.5 33.6 40.0

Embotelladora Andina S.A. AKO.B NYSE USD 15.15 2,189 7.0 -25.9 NM NA 5.2 19.1 41.3

National Beverage Corp. FIZZ NasdaqGS USD 58.27 2,716 12.8 20.3 23 54.89 Nil 42.5 NA

Primo Water Corporation PRMW TSX CAD 16.75 2,762 24.1 -5.5 66 14.86 1.9 -0.0 45.2

Suntory Beverage & Food Limited STBF.Y OTCPK USD 19.89 12,291 5.1 -5.0 NM NA 1.8 9.8 12.7

*For Peer Groups with more than 10 companies or stocks, selection of issues is based on market capitalization.NA-Not Available NM-Not Meaningful.Note: Peers are selected based on Global Industry Classification Standards and market capitalization. The peer group list includes companies with similar characteristics, but may not include all the companies within the sameindustry and/or that engage in the same line of business.

Industry Performance

GICS Sector: Consumer StaplesSub-Industry: Soft Drinks

Based on S&P 1500 IndexesFive-Year market price performance through Jun 05, 2020

NOTE: All Sector & Sub-Industry information is based on theGlobal Industry Classification Standard (GICS).

Past performance is not an indication of future performanceand should not be relied upon as such.Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence

Sub-Industry Outlook

CFRAs 12-month fundamental outlook for theSoft Drinks sub-industry is positive, reflectingan uptick in consumer staples-related spendingin the U.S. and abroad due to Covid-19coronavirus impacts. We expect strong growthfor product categories such as energy drinks andvalue-added water in North America, andresilient sales of carbonated soft drinks andother products in emerging markets. We thinkthese factors help offset weaker on premisesales volumes (sales at restaurants, movietheaters, and other event venues) of carbonatedbeverages, or sales at restaurants, movietheaters, and other event venues. Over the next12 months, we expect earnings and cash flow togrow, driven by growth in emerging markets, andnew product introductions.

For the group, we see a revenue decline ofapproximately 3% in 2020, after an increaseof 6.9% in 2019 and a 1.8% decline in 2018.We see improved demand for non-carbonatedbeverages as consumers continue to seekhealthier products. We see challenging trendsfor carbonated and sugary beverages over thelonger term, as consumer preferences(particularly those of millennials)increasingly shift towards healthier andlower-calorie beverages. According to theBeverage Marketing Corporation, U.S. LiquidRefreshment Beverage volumes increased by 1.4%and revenues by 3.5% in 2019, with thebreakdown of volume growth by product (and inorder) being: Energy Drinks (+8.7%),Value-Added Water (+8.5%), Ready-To-DrinkCoffee (+6.6%), Bottled Water (+3.6%), SportsDrinks (+2.0%), Carbonated Soft Drinks(-1.1%), Fruit Beverages (-1.7%), andReady-To-Drink Tea (-1.8%).

Overall, we think domestic non-alcoholic unitsales volume growth will improve on increasedadvertising and promotional spending, as wellas new product launches. Longer term, we think

volume trends will benefit from increasedpenetration into non-traditional markets andgrowing consumer demand for non-alcoholicproducts, which should continue to raisenon-alcoholic beverage per-capitaconsumption levels. In the near term, we thinkmanufacturers will look to address concernssurrounding artificial sweeteners in the U.S.,which have led to declines in diet sodavolumes over the past few years.

We are more positive on near-term prospectsfor U.S. beverage companies in foreignmarkets, where we see significantopportunities for consumption growth inemerging markets. Certain soft drinkcompanies are also diversifying their productmix by acquiring smaller and faster-growingbeverage and snack foods brands. We thinklonger-term prospects are good, given ourview of improving profit margins stemmingfrom productivity enhancements, higherprices for products and favorable product mixtrends. We expect dividend yields and ongoingshare repurchases to lend support to shareprice levels, noting that the two largest playersin the space, Coca-Cola and PepsiCo, aremembers of the S&P Dividend AristocratsIndex. However, we think share repurchasesare likely to be far less than in recent years.

Year to date through May 29, the S&P SoftDrinks Index is down 8.7% versus a 6.7%decline for the S&P 1500 Index. In 2019, theS&P Soft Drinks Index was up 20.7% versus a28.3% gain for the S&P 1500 Index, and wasdown 2.1% versus a 6.8% decline for the S&P1500 in 2018. The industry's five-year CAGR is5.1%, which compares to 6.5% growth for theS&P 1500 Index.

/Garrett Nelson

Stock Report | | NasdaqGS Symbol:   June 06, 2020  MNST | is in the S&P 500MNST

Monster Beverage Corporation

4Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without prior written permission. Copyright © 2020 CFRA.

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Stock Report | | NasdaqGS Symbol:   June 06, 2020  MNST | is in the S&P 500MNST

Monster Beverage CorporationAnalyst Research Notes and other Company News

May 07, 202005:24 pm ET... CFRA Maintains Hold on Shares of Monster Beverage Corporation(61.3***): We raise our 12-month target by $5 to $65, valuing the stock at 27.1x our '21 EPS estimate, a discount to MNST's 10-year average forward P/E of32.1x. We lower our EPS estimates by $0.15 to $2.10 for ‘20 and by $0.05 to $2.40 for ’21. MNST posts Q1 EPS of $0.52 vs. $0.48 (+8.2%), $0.05 ahead of consensus. Net sales increased 12.3% to $1.06B ($70M aboveconsensus) driven by a 14.1% increase in sales volume, partially offset by a1.6% decline in average selling price, but gross margin contracted 60 bps to60.0%, 40 bps short of consensus. MNST materially stepped up share repurchaseactivity during the quarter, buying back 10.5M shares at an average price of$55.22/share for $579.3M in Q1 (by comparison total buybacks in 2019 were $707.3M). We maintain a Hold on valuation, expecting the drop in convenience storesales (its largest channel) to weigh on volumes. At the same time, MNST’sdebt-free balance sheet, robust share repurchases, and strong free cash flow areoffsetting positive attributes. /Garrett Nelson

February 28, 202009:32 am ET... CFRA Maintains Hold on Shares of Monster Beverage Corporation(65.88***): We maintain our 12-month price target of $60, based on a ‘21P/E of 24.5x, below MNST's 10-year average forward P/E of 31.9x. We lower our’20 EPS estimate by $0.05 to $2.25 and introduce a ’21 estimate of$2.45. MNST posts Q4 adjusted EPS of $0.47 vs. $0.43 (+9.3%), in-line withconsensus. Net sales increased 10.1% to $1.02B ($10M above consensus) drivenby an 8.8% increase in sales volume and a 1.3% improvement in selling price,and gross margin expanded 30 bps to 60.0%, ahead of the 59.8% consensus. MNSTrepurchased 4.1M shares at an average price of $55.75/sh during the quarter.We maintain a Hold, as we see increasing competition in the energy drinkscategory and the risk of multiple contraction given slowing economic growth inseveral overseas markets, which have been key to the company’s overallsales growth. At the same time, we think MNST’s debt-free balance sheet,share repurchases, and strong free cash flow are attributes which should serveit well in the face of coronavirus fears. /Garrett Nelson

November 08, 201911:55 am ET... CFRA Maintains Hold on Shares of Monster Beverage Corporation(58.75***): We raise our 12-month target price by $2 to $60, valuing the stockat 26.1x our '20 EPS estimate, below MNST's 10-year average forward P/E of 31.5x. We maintain our EPS estimates of $2.05 for '19 and $2.30 for '20. MNSTposts Q3 adjusted EPS of $0.55 vs. $0.50 (+10.0%), ahead of the $0.53consensus. Net sales increased 11.6% to $1.13B ($20M above consensus), butgross margin contracted 40 bps to 59.4%, well short of the 59.9% consensus.International sales continue to drive overall top line growth, as sales tocustomers located outside the U.S. increased to over 34% of revenues in Q3,up six percentage points. MNST repurchased 4.3M shares at an average price of$58.60/sh during the quarter and authorized an additional $500M of buybacks.We maintain a Hold, as we find MNST’s current multiples hard to justifyin light of slowing earnings growth and increasing competition, but its strongbalance sheet, buybacks and strong free cash flow keep us from becoming morebearish on the name. /Garrett Nelson

August 08, 201910:03 am ET... CFRA Keeps Hold on Shares of Monster Beverage Corporation (56.3***): We reduce our 12-month target price by $7 to $58, valuing the stock at25.2x our revised '20 EPS estimate, below MNST's 10-year average forward P/Eof 31.1x. We lower our EPS estimates by $0.10 to $2.05 for '19 and by $0.05to $2.30 for '20. MNST posts Q2 EPS of $0.53 vs. $0.48 (+10.4%), $0.03 shortof consensus. Net sales increased 8.7% to $1.10B, but gross margin contracted120 bps to 59.9%, well short of the 60.7% consensus. Gross margin wasnegatively impacted by geography and sales mix as well as higher input costs.MNST also did not repurchase any stock during the quarter. We maintain a Holdrating, as we find MNST’s current multiples hard to justify in light ofslowing earnings growth, recent margin contraction, increasing competition anda lull in share repurchase activity, but its strong balance sheet and robustfree cash flow generation keep us from becoming more bearish on the name. Wealso think its international expansion could come at the expense of margindilution. /Garrett Nelson

May 03, 201908:49 am ET... CFRA Keeps Hold on Shares of Monster Beverage Corporation(57.99***): We maintain our 12-month target price of $65, valuing the shares at27.7x our revised '20 EPS estimate, below MNST's 10-year mean forward P/E of30.7x, but above peers, reflecting stronger growth expectations. We raise our EPSestimates by $0.10 to $2.15 for ’19 and by $0.05 to $2.35 for ’20. MNST posts Q1adjusted EPS of $0.49 vs. $0.39 (+25.6%), ahead of the $0.43 consensus. Net salesincreased 11.2% to $946M and gross margins were flat at 60.6%, but above the60.4% consensus. Shares are supported by a robust repurchase program, as MNSTbought back roughly 2.6M shares at an average price of $54.18/share for $139M inQ1, leaving $521M of remaining share repurchase capacity. We expect ongoingbuybacks to help provide support for the shares. MNST said its strategic alignmentwith Coca-Cola bottlers in the U.S. is now complete. We maintain a Hold, as weconsider the stock’s valuation fair and think increased competition in energy drinksis likely to limit upside. /Garrett Nelson

February 28, 201908:04 am ET... CFRA Keeps Hold on Shares of Monster Beverage Corporation (58.74***): We maintain our 12-month target price of $65, valuing the shares at28.3x our '20 EPS estimate, below MNST's 10-year mean of 30.5x, but abovepeers, reflecting expectations for faster top and bottom line growth. We raiseour EPS estimates by $0.07 to $2.05 for ’19 and introduce a ’20estimate of $2.30. MNST posts Q4 adjusted EPS of $0.43 vs. $0.30, $0.02ahead of consensus. Net sales increased 14.1% to $924.2M and gross margincontracted 240 bps to 59.7%, short of the 61.0% consensus. On the negativeside, gross margins have been impacted by higher aluminum and freight costs.Shares are supported by a robust repurchase program, as MNST bought backroughly 9.4M shares at an average price of $56.99/share in Q4, driving a 1.7%reduction in its outstanding share count. We expect ongoing repurchases toprovide support to the shares. However, we think the stock’s premiumvaluation and increased competition in energy drinks is likely to limit upsidefor the shares over the next 12 months. /Garrett Nelson

Note: Research notes reflect CFRA's published opinions and analysis on the stock at the time the note was published. The note reflects the views of the equity analyst as of the date and timeindicated in the note, and may not reflect CFRA's current view on the company.

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Forecasts are not reliable indicator of future performance.Note: A company's earnings outlook plays a major part in any investment decision. S&P Global Market Intelligence organizes the earnings estimates of over 2,300 Wall Street analysts, andprovides their consensus of earnings over the next two years, as well as how those earnings estimates have changed over time. Note that the information provided in relation to consensusestimates is not intended to predict actual results and should not be taken as a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note: For all tables, graphs and charts in this report that do not cite any reference or source, the source is S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Wall Street Consensus Opinion

BUY/HOLD

Wall Street Consensus vs. Performance

For fiscal year 2020, analysts estimate that MNST will earnUSD $2.09. For the 1st quarter of fiscal year 2020, MNSTannounced earnings per share of USD $0.52, representing24.9% of the total revenue estimate. For fiscal year 2021,analysts estimate that MNST's earnings per share willgrow by 15% to USD $2.41.

Analysts' Recommendations

Monthly Average Trend Buy Buy/Hold Hold Weak Hold Sell MNST TickerB BH H WH S

No. ofRecommendations

% of Total 1 Mo.Prior 3 Mos.Prior

Buy 7 37 7 7Buy/Hold 3 16 3 2Hold 7 37 7 7Weak Hold 1 5 1 0Sell 1 5 1 1No Opinion 0 0 0 0Total 19 100 19 17

Wall Street Consensus Estimates

Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2019 Actual (Normalized Diluted) $1.63

Fiscal Years Avg Est. High Est Low Est. # of Est. Est. P/E2021 2.41 2.60 2.21 13 30.02020 2.09 2.20 1.98 14 34.52021 vs. 2020 15% 18% 12% -7% -13%

Q2'21 0.61 0.66 0.55 6 NMQ2'20 0.48 0.53 0.42 12 NMQ2'21 vs. Q2'20 27% 25% 31% -50% NA

Stock Report | | NasdaqGS Symbol:   June 06, 2020  MNST | is in the S&P 500MNST

Monster Beverage Corporation

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Abbreviations Used in Equity Research ReportsCAGR - Compound Annual Growth RateCAPEX - Capital ExpendituresCY - Calendar YearDCF - Discounted Cash FlowDDM - Dividend Discount ModelEBIT - Earnings Before Interest and TaxesEBITDA - Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & AmortizationEPS - Earnings Per ShareEV - Enterprise ValueFCF - Free Cash FlowFFO - Funds From OperationsFY - Fiscal YearP/E - Price/EarningsP/NAV - Price to Net Asset Value PEG Ratio - P/E-to-Growth Ratio PV - PresentValueR&D - Research & Development ROCE - Return on Capital Employed ROE -Return on EquityROI - Return on InvestmentROIC - Return on Invested CapitalROA - Return on AssetsSG&A - Selling, General & Administrative ExpensesSOTP - Sum-of-The-PartsWACC - Weighted Average Cost of Capital

Dividends on American Depository Receipts (ADRs) and American DepositoryShares (ADSs) are net of taxes (paid in the country of origin).

Qualitative Risk AssessmentReflects an equity analyst's view of a given company's operational risk, or therisk of a firm's ability to continue as an ongoing concern. The Qualitative RiskAssessment is a relative ranking to the U.S. STARS universe, and should bereflective of risk factors related to a company's operations, as opposed to riskand volatility measures associated with share prices. For an ETF this reflects ona capitalization-weighted basis, the average qualitative risk assessmentassigned to holdings of the fund.

STARS Ranking system and definition: 5-STARS (Strong Buy):

Total return is expected to outperform the total return of a relevant benchmark,by a notable margin over the coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on anabsolute basis.

4-STARS (Buy):Total return is expected to outperform the total return of a relevant benchmarkover the coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on an absolute basis.

3-STARS (Hold):Total return is expected to closely approximate the total return of a relevantbenchmark over the coming 12 months, with shares generally rising in price onan absolute basis.

2-STARS (Sell):Total return is expected to underperform the total return of a relevantbenchmark over the coming 12 months, and the share price is not anticipated toshow a gain.

1-STAR (Strong Sell):Total return is expected to underperform the total return of a relevantbenchmark by a notable margin over the coming 12 months, with shares fallingin price on an absolute basis.

Relevant benchmarks:In North America, the relevant benchmark is the S&P 500 Index, in Europe and inAsia, the relevant benchmarks are the S&P Europe 350 Index and the S&P Asia50 Index, respectively.

Glossary

STARSSince January 1, 1987, CFRA Equity and Fund Research Services, and itspredecessor S&P Capital IQ Equity Research has ranked a universe of U.S.common stocks, ADRs (American Depositary Receipts), and ADSs (AmericanDepositary Shares) based on a given equity's potential for future performance.Similarly, we have ranked Asian and European equities since June 30, 2002.Under proprietary STARS (Stock Appreciation Ranking System), equity analystsrank equities according to their individual forecast of an equity's future totalreturn potential versus the expected total return of a relevant benchmark (e.g., aregional index (S&P Asia 50 Index, S&P Europe 350® Index or S&P 500® Index)),based on a 12-month time horizon. STARS was designed to meet the needs ofinvestors looking to put their investment decisions in perspective. Data used toassist in determining the STARS ranking may be the result of the analyst's ownmodels as well as internal proprietary models resulting from dynamic datainputs.

S&P Global Market Intelligence's Quality Ranking(also known as ) - Growth andS&P Capital IQ Earnings & Dividend Rankingsstability of earnings and dividends are deemed key elements in establishing S&PGlobal Market Intelligence's earnings and dividend rankings for common stocks,which are designed to capsulize the nature of this record in a single symbol. Itshould be noted, however, that the process also takes into consideration certainadjustments and modifications deemed desirable in establishing such rankings.The final score for each stock is measured against a scoring matrix determinedby analysis of the scores of a large and representative sample of stocks. Therange of scores in the array of this sample has been aligned with the followingladder of rankings:

A+ Highest B Below Average A High B- Lower A- Above Average C Lowest B+ Average D In Reorganization NR Not Ranked

EPS EstimatesCFRA's earnings per share (EPS) estimates reflect analyst projections of futureEPS from continuing operations, and generally exclude various items that areviewed as special, non-recurring, or extraordinary. Also, EPS estimates reflecteither forecasts of equity analysts; or, the consensus (average) EPS estimate,which are independently compiled by S&P Global Market Intelligence, a dataprovider to CFRA. Among the items typically excluded from EPS estimates areasset sale gains; impairment, restructuring or merger-related charges; legal andinsurance settlements; in process research and development expenses; gains orlosses on the extinguishment of debt; the cumulative effect of accountingchanges; and earnings related to operations that have been classified by thecompany as discontinued. The inclusion of some items, such as stock optionexpense and recurring types of other charges, may vary, and depend on suchfactors as industry practice, analyst judgment, and the extent to which sometypes of data is disclosed by companies.

12-Month Target PriceThe equity analyst's projection of the market price a given security will command12 months hence, based on a combination of intrinsic, relative, and privatemarket valuation metrics, including Fair Value.

CFRA Equity ResearchCFRA Equity Research is produced and distributed by Accounting Research &Analytics, LLC d/b/a CFRA ("CFRA US"; together with its affiliates andsubsidiaries, "CFRA"). Certain research is produced and distributed by CFRA MYSdn Bhd (Company No. 683377-A) (formerly known as Standard & Poor'sMalaysia Sdn Bhd) ("CFRA Malaysia"). Certain research is distributed by CFRA UKLimited ("CFRA UK"). CFRA UK and CFRA Malaysia are wholly-owned subsidiariesof CFRA US.

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Monster Beverage Corporation

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