strictly financials 2014: digging deeper into key areas by jimmy gentry
Post on 18-Oct-2014
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Jimmy Gentry presents "Digging Deeper into Key Areas" during the Reynolds Center for Business Journalism's annual Business Journalism Week, Jan. 3, 2014. Gentry is the Clyde M. Reed Teaching Professor at the University of Kansas' School of Journalism and Mass Communications. The annual event features two concurrent seminars, Business Journalism Professors and Strictly Financials for journalists. For more information about business journalism training, please visit http://businessjournalism.org.TRANSCRIPT
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Digging Deeper Into Key Areas
Strictly Financials
Jan. 3 , 2014
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Donald W. Reynolds National Center For Business Journalism At Arizona State University
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n James K. Gentry, Ph.D. n Clyde M. Reed Teaching Professor n School of Journalism and Mass Communications n University of Kansas n [email protected]
n Gary Trennepohl, Ph.D. n ONEOK Chair and President’s Council Professor of Finance n Oklahoma State University n Trustee, Oklahoma Teachers Retirement System n Member, OSU Foundation Investment Committee
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Topics n Goodwill, impairment n Pro forma n Bank financials n Comparing companies n And a “disruptive technology”
Goodwill, Impariment
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Goodwill n Difference between what a firm pays to buy
another company and the book value (total assets minus total liabilities) of that company.
n Has been written off over time, typically 40 years
n No longer amortize n Other intangible assets will continue to be
amortized over useful lives
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Impairment n Instead of writing off over time, now use “impairment testing”
n The impairment is expensed on the income statement
Examples n Crocs n McClatchy n Gannett n New York Times
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Pro Forma
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Pro Forma Results n Critics: Selectively defined earnings n Expenses against earnings are not
standardized across an industry n SEC’s Regulation G (1/03) states that
non-GAAP numbers used in an earnings release must be accompanied by, and reconciled with, the “most directly comparable GAAP number”
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Pro Forma Results
n Recommendation: GAAP results should precede pro forma results in earnings releases
n Headlines should show GAAP earnings n Companies say pro forma has value n Common form: EBITDA. Also, OIBDA n “As a matter of form”
Examples n Sprint n Lowe’s
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Bank Financial Statements
1. The business of a bank 2. The balance sheet 3. The income statement 4. Some key financial ratios 5. Sources of bank data
The Business of a Bank
n Banks are a “financial intermediary,” taking in money from “savers” and loaning it out to “investors” - they buy and sell money.
n For most banks, the majority of their earnings come from interest income on loans, and interest earned on securities.
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The Business of a Bank n Banks also earn fee income for
services. n Banks’ two main risks are:
n interest rate risk n “credit risk”
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“CAMELS” and Banks n Most bank analysis is based on the
“Camels” acronym: n Capital adequacy n Asset quality n Management quality n Earnings n Liquidity n Systematic risk
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The Income Statement Net interest Income
- Provision for loan losses = Net Income after PLL +/- Net non-interest income = Net Income Before Taxes - Taxes (many small banks are S corps) = Net Income
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Assets = n Cash +
n Fed Funds loaned
n Securities n U.S. Governments
n Loans n Real Estate n Commercial n Consumer
n Premises- Fixed Asset
n Misc. Assets
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Liabilities + Capital
Primary Reserve
Secondary Res.
n Deposits n Demand Deposits n Savings Deposits n Now/Money Market Accts. n CDs, Time Deposits
n Non-deposit Borrowings n Fed Funds purchased n Repo agreements
n Long term debt n Equity Capital
The Bank Balance Sheet
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Three Key Ratios n Return on Assets = Net Income/Avg. Total Assets
n Typically runs around 1.0% to 1.5% n Averages 4 quarters of total assets for the
denominator to smooth effect of asset swings n Return on Equity = Net Income/Equity capital
n Will be different for publicly traded banks versus private banks
n Capitalization Ratio = Equity/Total Avg. Assets n Tier 1 Capital should be ≥10%
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The Texas Ratio n Texas Ratio = (non-performing loans+OREO)
n Think of it as the ratio of troubled loans to “capital” n OREO is Owned Real Estate Owned n Early warning system to measure a bank’s potential for
failure. n Banks tend to fail as TR approaches 100% (troubled bank) n Don’t get a mortgage loan from a troubled bank n Data to calculate at http://www2.fdic.gov/sdi/main.asp. Use “non-performing assets and bank real estate owned/equity and loss reserves”
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Equity + Loan loss Reserves
Key Issues for Banks in 2014 n True form and impact of Dodd/Frank Bill
n CFPB begins life January 2013 and most rules still being written
n CFPB answers only to Fed n Banks are either OCC; Fed or State/FDIC regulated. How
will these regulators interact with CFPB?
n Basel III - More new and complicated rules for calculating “risk based” capital.
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Sources of Banking Data n The Uniform Bank Performance Report
(UBPR) is provided by U.S. Federal regulators so analysts can compare bank performance against peer groups.
n Web link: n www.ffiec.gov
n Another source for large banks is: n www.BankRegData.com
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Comparing Companies n Common size analysis is an excellent
tool for comparing companies, regardless of size.
n Companies in the same industry might have similar or widely differing statements. Common size brings out those similarities and differences.
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The “Traditional” Companies n CVS Caremark n Walgreen n Rite Aid n They’ve been evolving
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Model is Changing n The business model for pharmacies has
been changing for several years. Now, a somewhat new entrant poses a bigger threat.
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A “Disruptive Technology”? n Express Scripts n How will it change and how will its
model change the business? n Is this an example of a “disruptive
technology” in the Clayton Christensen sense?
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