strong corn exports for russia and ukraine...2017/01/12 · ukraine’s situation is different:...

Grain:

World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

United States

Department of

Agriculture

Foreign

Agricultural

Service

January 2017

Strong Corn Exports for Russia and Ukraine

For email subscription, click here to register: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USDAFAS/subscriber/new

Record global corn consumption, large exportable

supplies, and favorable exchange rates have

supported growth for Russia and Ukraine's corn

exports. For example, since 2014, both the hryvina

(Ukraine’s currency) and ruble (Russia’s currency)

have depreciated more than 40 percent against the

U.S. dollar.1 Moreover, Russia and Ukraine

prohibit plantings of genetically modified corn,

therefore providing a competitive edge in certain

markets.

For Russia, exports for 2016/17 (Oct-Sep) are

projected to break the previous record. Compared

with 2011/12, exports have more than doubled.

Russia’s proximity to both the Middle East and

Asia has helped fuel recent growth, as many

countries in these regions have boosted imports to

meet burgeoning demand.

Ukraine’s situation is different: 2016/17 exports are

forecast up from last year and the third-largest on

record. Ukraine has not seen the degree of Russia’s

growth, even though the country still manages to

export about two-thirds of production. Large

exports have been sustained by robust demand

from Europe and Asia, as well as growth in North

African and Middle Eastern countries.

These trends are noteworthy since Ukraine and

Russia compete with the United States in several

markets, especially Egypt, South Korea, and Japan.

Both Black Sea countries have sustained export

growth that helps meet record global corn

consumption.

1Using data from the National Bank of Ukraine and Central Bank of Russia,

the December 31, 2013 values for the UAH/USD and RUB/USD were

compared to December 31, 2014. It is important to note that the hryvina and

ruble also fell over 40 and 30 percent against the Euro during the same

period.

0

5

10

15

20

25

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Mil

lio

n M

etri

c T

on

s

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Mil

lio

n M

etri

c T

on

s

A Record for Russia

Ukraine’s Exports To Rebound

http://www.fas.usda.gov/data/grain-world-markets-and-trade

https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USDAFAS/subscriber/new

https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USDAFAS/subscriber/new

2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4

Rice .................................................................................................................. 10

Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 15

Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 35

Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 54

The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD)

database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply

and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m.

To download the tables in the publication, go to the Production, Supply and Distribution

Database (PSD Online): (https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads),

select PSD Reports, and then on the left click Grains.

FAS Reports and Databases:

**Updated** Current World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads Archives World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

**Updated** Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online):

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/home

Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx Export Sales Report:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

Other USDA Reports:

World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

Economic Research Service:

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops National Agricultural Statistics Service:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA January 2017Office of Global Analysis

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads


http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/home

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Million Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2016/172015/162014/152016/172015/162014/152016/172015/162014/15

Production

United States (Jun-May) 55.1 56.1 62.9 7.1 6.1 7.1 361.1 345.5 384.8

Other 673.0 679.4 689.8 471.5 466.3 472.9 654.0 615.6 653.1

World Total 728.1 735.5 752.7 478.6 472.4 480.0 1,015.1 961.1 1,037.9

Domestic Consumption


Other 669.1 677.6 700.8 471.0 465.2 471.3 661.7 680.3 700.6

World Total 700.4 709.6 734.8 475.3 468.8 475.5 963.5 979.2 1,014.6

Ending Stocks


Other 196.8 213.9 221.0 113.1 115.0 117.1 165.3 165.9 161.2

World Total 217.3 240.5 253.3 114.7 116.5 118.7 209.3 210.0 221.0

TY Imports


Other 155.0 165.6 170.8 38.8 36.2 37.7 124.9 136.8 137.5

World Total 159.0 168.7 174.2 39.6 37.0 38.5 125.7 138.6 138.9

TY Exports


Other 138.8 150.2 151.0 39.2 36.2 37.2 81.6 93.7 85.6

World Total 161.8 172.1 177.0 42.6 39.7 40.8 128.4 144.9 142.1

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and

exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:

Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat

only.


4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global wheat production, already at a record, is raised even higher this month mainly on larger crops in Argentina, the EU, and Russia. Global trade is boosted to a new record with stronger import demand from several Asian countries and Brazil. Larger exports for Australia, Argentina, and the EU are partially offset by a decrease for Canada. The U.S. season-average farm price is raised $0.10 to $3.80 per bushel. U.S. PRICES:

Domestic: Price changes for wheat classes were relatively modest during December. Hard Red Winter (HRW) was up $8/ton to $191 and Hard Red Spring (HRS) gained $2/ton to $255 based on a slight pickup in foreign demand, highlighted by India’s announced elimination of its import duty. Soft Red Winter (SRW) and Soft White Winter (SWW) were both down $1/ton to $174 and $187 respectively, continuing to be weighed by large global supplies.

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

230

240

250

260

270

$/M

T

U.S. Daily FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW SWW HRS


5

INDIA SHIFTS TO NET IMPORTER AS SUPPLIES TIGHTEN

India’s wheat supplies in 2016/17 have tightened relative to growing domestic demand, leading the country to shift from a net exporter to a net importer. Reacting to tight supplies, the government eliminated its import duty in December 2016. Imports are estimated at 3.7 million tons in 2016/17, which would be the highest in 10 years. This is particularly noteworthy given that just 3 years ago India was exporting over 6 million tons, making it the eighth largest exporter at the time. This is not the first time that India has switched from an exporter to an importer. India followed a similar pattern in 2005/06 when production was down and stocks were exceptionally tight. Akin to the current situation, the government eliminated its import duty and imports surged in 2006/07 to the highest level in over 30 years (6.7 million tons). Furthermore, exports were banned during that period. With a build-up in supplies toward the end of that marketing year, the duty was reinstated and imports fell substantially the next year. Production and stocks grew for several years until the export ban was lifted in 2011 and India re-emerged as a net exporter. India’s recent exports have mainly been to Bangladesh, Indonesia, and the United Arab Emirates. Currently a net importer, India joins these markets in sourcing wheat from Australia, Russia, and Ukraine. With abundant global supplies, it will not be difficult to find the needed wheat in exporting countries.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0

2

4

6

8

Stoc

ks (M

MT)

Trad

e (M

MT)

Ending Stocks MY Imports MY Exports


6

TRADE CHANGES IN 2016/17

Selected Exporters

• Argentina is up 800,000 tons to 9.0 million on a faster pace of shipments as well as a larger crop.

• Australia is boosted 500,000 tons to 23.5 million due to ample supplies, competitive prices, and larger expected demand from Asian countries.

• Canada is lowered 500,000 tons to 21.0 million due to slower-than-expected exports.

• The EU is raised 500,000 tons to 25.5 million based on a faster-than-expected pace of

trade.

• Ukraine is lifted 200,000 tons to 15.7 million based on stronger demand from Asian countries.

Selected Importers

• Bangladesh is raised 200,000 tons to 5.3 million on a stronger pace of trade and higher expected food use.

• Brazil is up 300,000 tons to 7.3 million on rebounding food use, evidenced by the fast

pace of trade.

• India is boosted 700,000 tons to 3.7 million as the removal of the import duty is expected to spur additional demand.

• Vietnam is up 300,000 tons to 3.6 million based on stronger trade and expectations of

larger feed and residual use.


World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2016/17

Jan

none

TY Exports

9,0008,2008,7504,2001,6757,450 Argentina

23,50023,00015,78216,57518,33921,269 Australia

1,6001,6001,0631,688811,753 Brazil

21,00021,50022,14124,87722,15618,584 Canada

25,50025,00034,67735,41832,03222,786 European Union

8,5008,5007,6005,5078,0006,801 Kazakhstan

1,5001,5001,5681,1041,322729 Mexico

29,00029,00025,54322,80018,60911,308 Russia

5,6005,6005,6094,1344,2933,583 Turkey

15,70015,50017,43111,2699,7557,190 Ukraine

10,1129,99710,04911,22114,73118,084 Others

151,012149,397150,213138,793130,993119,537 Subtotal

26,00026,00021,85622,99931,51927,734 United States

177,012175,397172,069161,792162,512147,271 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,7002,7002,7002,0002,0501,600 Afghanistan

8,2008,2008,1537,2577,4846,484 Algeria

5,3005,1004,6933,9293,3542,725 Bangladesh

7,3007,0005,9225,8697,0617,547 Brazil

3,5003,5003,4761,9266,7732,960 China

2,0002,0002,0321,6271,7331,507 Colombia

11,80011,80011,92511,30010,1508,400 Egypt

6,5006,5006,9165,9753,9765,276 European Union

3,7003,0003002732220 India

8,8008,80010,1167,4787,3917,146 Indonesia

2,3002,3002,2202,2533,2463,948 Iraq

5,8005,8005,7155,8786,1236,598 Japan

5,0005,0004,4203,9424,2885,439 Korea, South

4,6004,6004,8054,4764,6393,823 Mexico

5,0005,0004,5034,0863,9283,825 Morocco

4,5004,5004,4104,2444,5804,168 Nigeria

5,0005,0004,8505,0553,4763,620 Philippines

3,5003,5002,9313,4873,4291,921 Saudi Arabia

2,3002,3002,0212,6322,6641,793 Sudan

2,3002,3009658651,603963 Syria

3,8003,8004,8723,4921,7591,840 Thailand

5,0005,0004,3965,9604,1493,312 Turkey

2,7002,7002,6542,2302,2241,863 Uzbekistan

3,6003,3003,0692,2962,1571,671 Vietnam

3,3503,3503,3233,2453,4253,207 Yemen

52,26652,18654,24453,23254,02149,609 Others

170,816169,236165,631155,007155,705141,265 Subtotal

2,7962,7613,3822,8212,0472,555 Unaccounted

3,4003,4003,0563,9644,7603,451 United States

177,012175,397172,069161,792162,512147,271 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2016/17

Jan

none

Production

15,00014,40011,30013,93010,5009,300 Argentina

33,00033,00024,50023,74325,30322,856 Australia

6,7006,7005,5406,0005,3004,380 Brazil

31,70031,70027,59429,42037,53027,205 Canada

128,850128,850130,190126,208121,930121,023 China

8,1008,1008,1008,3008,2508,500 Egypt

144,324143,974160,012156,922144,583133,949 European Union

90,00090,00086,53095,85093,50694,882 India

15,50015,50015,00013,00014,50013,800 Iran

16,50016,50013,74812,99613,9419,841 Kazakhstan

25,30025,30025,10025,97924,21123,473 Pakistan

72,50072,00061,04459,08052,09137,720 Russia

17,50017,50019,50015,25018,75016,000 Turkey

27,00027,00027,27424,75022,27815,761 Ukraine

7,2007,2007,2007,1506,8006,700 Uzbekistan

50,65750,68056,74554,36457,47451,942 Others

689,831688,404679,377672,942656,947597,332 Subtotal

62,85962,85956,11755,14758,10561,298 United States

752,690751,263735,494728,089715,052658,630 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,45010,45010,25010,0509,8509,450 Algeria

11,50011,30010,50010,70011,40010,900 Brazil

10,2009,9007,8349,0939,4159,555 Canada

117,000117,000112,000116,500116,500125,000 China

19,70019,70019,20019,10018,50018,700 Egypt

129,200129,200130,984124,677117,300119,250 European Union

96,84096,14088,55193,10293,84883,824 India

9,2009,2009,1007,3657,1656,950 Indonesia

18,50018,50018,00017,50017,00016,000 Iran

10,20010,2009,8009,0009,0008,300 Morocco

24,50024,50024,40024,50024,10023,900 Pakistan

39,00039,00037,00035,50034,10033,550 Russia

17,80017,80018,00017,50017,75017,650 Turkey

11,80011,80012,30011,50011,50011,400 Ukraine

9,7009,7009,3508,9008,4008,000 Uzbekistan

165,224164,924160,281154,087150,394146,845 Others

705,898704,608680,266674,404663,679641,457 Subtotal

33,99335,16332,02131,33434,26137,810 United States

739,891739,771712,287705,738697,940679,267 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,6617,3285,9714,6704,5584,663 Australia

6,1565,9525,1717,05410,4055,112 Canada

111,592111,59297,04276,10565,27453,960 China

10,13110,28114,00712,7409,93810,711 European Union

11,00011,00014,54017,22017,83024,200 India

5,9765,9768,1767,9167,3015,116 Iran

10,60110,1015,6016,2855,1774,933 Russia

58,88458,79163,42764,81358,38149,584 Others

221,001221,021213,935196,803178,864158,279 Subtotal

32,28531,11726,55220,47716,06519,538 United States

253,286252,138240,487217,280194,929177,817 World Total


Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Dec

2016/17

Jan

2016/17

TY Imports none

7,759 North America 9,841 8,930 8,353 8,485 8,485

1,654 Central America 1,833 1,834 1,833 1,950 1,950

14,422 South America 14,866 13,132 13,340 14,675 15,030

5,276 European Union - 28 3,976 5,975 6,916 6,500 6,500

1,632 Other Europe 1,858 1,760 1,828 1,795 1,795

7,248 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,506 7,681 7,371 7,520 7,520

24,250 Middle East 28,434 26,921 24,376 25,275 25,275

22,047 North Africa 25,246 25,430 27,852 28,100 28,100

18,508 Sub-Saharan Africa 20,503 21,261 23,164 22,750 22,775

17,354 East Asia 19,465 14,115 16,224 16,810 16,810

5,308 South Asia 6,721 8,163 8,785 12,006 12,906

16,294 Southeast Asia 17,176 20,545 25,487 23,450 23,750

2,964 Others 3,040 3,224 3,158 3,320 3,320

144,716 Total 160,465 158,971 168,687 172,636 174,216

Production none

91,734 North America 99,012 88,254 87,462 98,459 98,459

18,011 South America 19,762 24,152 21,273 24,844 25,311

133,949 European Union - 28 144,583 156,922 160,012 143,974 144,324

3,431 Other Europe 4,103 3,929 4,018 4,606 4,606


37,038 Middle East 41,708 35,414 41,795 39,310 39,310

17,501 North Africa 19,661 17,013 19,912 14,131 14,131


122,490 East Asia 123,248 127,650 131,515 130,136 130,136

126,412 South Asia 125,917 130,154 119,840 123,645 123,645

23,345 Oceania 25,751 24,157 24,925 33,430 33,430

181 Others 187 186 191 191 191

658,630 Total 715,052 728,089 735,494 751,263 752,690

Domestic Consumption none

53,990 North America 50,326 47,277 46,855 52,183 51,313

26,212 South America 27,126 26,780 26,675 27,815 28,015

119,250 European Union - 28 117,300 124,677 130,984 129,200 129,200

4,721 Other Europe 4,807 4,850 4,880 5,120 5,120


56,786 Middle East 58,767 58,462 60,240 61,110 61,110

41,340 North Africa 42,475 42,726 43,646 44,875 44,875


140,071 East Asia 130,201 129,524 125,239 131,200 131,200

121,007 South Asia 132,041 132,302 128,959 137,861 138,661

16,515 Southeast Asia 16,610 19,295 23,195 23,240 23,440

8,111 Oceania 8,280 8,569 8,612 9,365 9,365

3,366 Others 3,494 3,571 3,574 3,774 3,774

687,084 Total 690,483 700,408 709,571 734,477 734,807

Ending Stocks none

24,925 North America 26,789 28,059 32,239 37,465 38,837

3,538 South America 6,834 8,268 4,709 5,280 5,019

10,711 European Union - 28 9,938 12,740 14,007 10,281 10,131

1,057 Other Europe 935 1,101 1,112 1,018 1,018


14,300 Middle East 18,801 18,344 18,441 15,271 15,271

12,069 North Africa 14,049 13,204 16,537 12,983 13,213


57,214 East Asia 68,314 79,217 100,432 114,788 114,788

27,995 South Asia 21,661 23,219 21,224 17,564 17,664

3,718 Southeast Asia 3,491 3,891 5,310 4,618 4,735

4,978 Oceania 4,861 4,956 6,228 7,595 6,928

341 Others 367 388 359 380 380

177,817 Total 194,929 217,280 240,487 252,138 253,286

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.


10

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW For 2016/17, global rice production is lowered this month on downward revisions to the crops in the United States, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, and Brazil. However, production remains at a record. Global trade is up, with higher imports for Sri Lanka and the EU. Exports are raised for Thailand. Global stocks are revised lower with reductions to Vietnam and Sri Lanka, though still up from the previous year. FEATURE After a brief absence from the market in 2016, Sri Lanka is forecast to return as an importer in 2017, based on expectations of a 30 percent smaller crop amid a drought (see World Agricultural Production January 2017). As prices have risen, the Sri Lankan government has taken measures to facilitate imports of rice by removing levies and import taxes, authorizing private sector imports, and initiating government purchases from overseas. Historically, India has been the primary supplier. However, the 1-million-ton shortfall is not expected to be met exclusively by imports, nor are imports forecast to rise to the 2014 level. In contrast to that period, Sri Lanka has begun this year with more ample carry-in stocks still available from the record 2015/16 crop. The government has already announced plans to release the majority of its reserves and has called upon the private sector to draw down its stocks as well.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Thou

sand

Met

ric T

ons

Sri Lanka Rice Imports

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

Thou

sand

Met

ric T

ons

Sri Lanka Rice Ending Stocks


http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewDocumentInfo.do?documentID=1860

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewDocumentInfo.do?documentID=1860

11

PRICES

Exporter quotes for long-grain rice remained fairly stable over the past month. Thai and Indian quotes are $379/MT and $355/MT, respectively. The Vietnamese quote declined slightly to $339/MT, reflecting weak demand from traditional Asian buyers. The Western Hemisphere quotes remained at $465/MT for Uruguay and $455/MT for the United States on thin offshore demand. SELECTED TRADE CHANGES for 2017

• Indonesia imports are lowered 250,000 tons to 1.0 million on sufficient supplies and declining per capita demand.

• Sri Lanka imports are raised sharply by 130,000 tons to 150,000 on a much smaller crop.

• Thailand exports are raised 200,000 tons to 9.7 million on continued competitiveness amid ample supplies.

SELECTED TRADE CHANGES for 2016 – based on trade data

• Pakistan exports are raised 100,000 tons to 4.3 million.

• Philippines imports are lowered 200,000 tons to 800,000.

• Thailand exports are raised 300,000 tons to 9.5 million.

• Vietnam exports lowered 300,000 tons to 5.1 million.

300

350

400

450

500

550

$/MT Weekly FOB Price Quotes: Last 12 Months

U.S. #2/4 (long-grain) THAI 100B VIET 5%

INDI 5% UGY 5%


World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2016/17

Jan

none

TY Exports

550550560310494526 Argentina

250250150323404460 Australia

650650641895852830 Brazil

1,4001,4001,1001,7351,6881,163 Burma

1,0001,0009001,1501,0001,075 Cambodia

275275275262393447 China

300300200250600700 Egypt

280280270251284203 European Union

500500460486446346 Guyana

10,00010,00010,20011,04611,58810,480 India

4,2004,2004,3004,0003,7004,126 Pakistan

470470490371380365 Paraguay

9,7009,5009,5009,77910,9696,722 Thailand

840840920718957939 Uruguay

5,8005,8005,1006,6066,3256,700 Vietnam

1,0151,0451,0981,0901,0811,116 Others

37,23037,06036,16439,27241,16136,198 Subtotal

3,5503,5503,5253,3552,9473,295 United States

40,78040,61039,68942,62744,10839,493 World Total

none

TY Imports

475475450450500430 Angola

650650731363586712 Brazil

530530530525610550 Cameroon

5,0005,0004,5005,1504,4503,500 China

1,3501,3501,3001,150950830 Cote d'Ivoire

510510530575377413 Cuba

1,8501,8001,8001,7861,5561,375 European Union

650650650500590725 Ghana

500500450350380360 Guinea

490490470447387416 Haiti

1,0001,2501,1001,3501,225650 Indonesia

1,0501,0501,1001,3001,4002,220 Iran

1,0001,0509001,0091,0801,294 Iraq

700700700688669690 Japan

470470460450440410 Kenya

9501,0009501,051989885 Malaysia

750750700719685749 Mexico

600600575575590500 Mozambique

550550450529510340 Nepal

1,9001,9002,0002,1003,2002,400 Nigeria

1,4001,4008002,0001,8001,000 Philippines

1,5501,5501,5001,6001,4591,326 Saudi Arabia

990990985990960902 Senegal

9259251,000912910990 South Africa

610610600580560540 United Arab Emirates

11,26911,19910,99511,72813,51511,561 Others

37,71937,94936,22638,87740,37835,768 Subtotal

2,3111,8862,6982,9922,9753,050 Unaccounted

750775765758755675 United States

40,78040,61039,68942,62744,10839,493 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2015/16 is calendar year 2016, 2014/15 is calendar year 2015, and so on.


World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2016/17

Jan

none

Milled Production

34,51534,51534,50034,50034,39033,820 Bangladesh

7,8208,0257,2108,4658,3008,037 Brazil

12,50012,50012,20012,60011,95711,715 Burma

4,7004,7004,7054,7004,7254,670 Cambodia

144,850144,850145,770144,560142,530143,000 China

4,5544,5544,0004,5304,7504,675 Egypt

106,500106,500104,320105,482106,646105,241 India

36,60036,60036,20035,56036,30036,550 Indonesia

7,7907,7907,6707,8497,9317,907 Japan

4,2004,2004,3274,2414,2304,006 Korea, South

3,1003,1003,1003,1003,3613,003 Nepal

6,6406,9006,8006,9006,7985,536 Pakistan

11,50011,50011,35011,91511,85811,428 Philippines

18,60018,60015,80018,75020,46020,200 Thailand

27,80027,80027,45828,16628,16127,537 Vietnam

41,23041,91740,84440,12939,82138,857 Others

472,899474,051466,254471,447472,218466,182 Subtotal

7,1177,4546,1337,1066,1176,348 United States

480,016481,505472,387478,553478,335472,530 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

35,00035,00035,10035,10034,90034,500 Bangladesh

7,8507,9007,8007,9257,9007,850 Brazil

11,00011,00010,80010,50010,45010,400 Burma

3,7253,7253,7003,6153,6503,550 Cambodia

144,000144,000144,000144,500143,000141,000 China

4,0004,0003,9004,0004,0004,050 Egypt

3,6503,5503,5503,4003,2503,250 European Union

97,00097,00093,48098,24498,72793,972 India

37,50037,70037,90038,30038,50038,127 Indonesia

8,5008,5008,5008,6008,3808,351 Japan

4,4844,4844,3744,1974,4224,489 Korea, South

5,0005,0005,2005,4005,5005,300 Nigeria

13,10013,10013,10013,20012,85012,850 Philippines

10,30010,6009,40010,30010,60010,600 Thailand

22,70022,20022,60022,00022,00021,600 Vietnam

63,50063,82661,87061,73361,81259,157 Others

473,620473,546466,986473,461474,371461,649 Subtotal

4,1914,2223,5554,3013,9773,779 United States

477,811477,768470,541477,762478,348465,428 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

69,31069,31063,73557,43653,10249,832 China

17,90017,90018,40017,80022,80025,500 India

3,6113,6613,5114,1115,5016,476 Indonesia

2,5162,5162,6112,8213,0072,857 Japan

1,8211,8211,6971,406899780 Korea, South

1,7601,7602,0602,2101,6951,487 Philippines

7,0206,6208,17010,97011,99912,808 Thailand

13,18414,72214,84916,35613,84312,988 Others

117,122118,310115,033113,110112,846112,728 Subtotal

1,5911,8971,4751,5521,0251,156 United States

118,713120,207116,508114,662113,871113,884 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Dec

2016/17

Jan

2016/17

TY Imports none

1,779 North America 1,801 1,839 1,815 1,890 1,865

969 Caribbean 911 1,174 1,160 1,155 1,155

1,833 South America 1,814 1,685 1,931 1,762 1,762

125 Other Europe 132 128 135 140 140

557 Former Soviet Union - 12 626 569 491 501 501

7,252 Middle East 6,711 6,467 5,795 6,150 6,100

487 North Africa 485 391 470 670 670


5,349 East Asia 6,045 6,686 6,076 6,631 6,631

722 South Asia 2,566 1,692 850 930 1,060

3,606 Southeast Asia 5,023 5,674 4,088 4,710 4,420

2,197 Others 2,392 2,531 2,805 2,625 2,675

36,443 Total 41,133 39,635 36,991 38,724 38,469

Production none

6,479 North America 6,248 7,285 6,282 7,627 7,290

974 Caribbean 1,054 979 992 982 982

15,852 South America 16,384 16,431 15,397 16,127 15,922

2,100 European Union - 28 1,937 1,954 2,050 2,026 2,050


2,251 Middle East 2,450 2,443 2,392 2,521 2,521

4,704 North Africa 4,789 4,530 4,000 4,554 4,554


157,953 East Asia 157,701 159,486 160,211 159,584 159,584

150,660 South Asia 154,377 153,218 152,411 154,478 153,508

115,490 Southeast Asia 116,867 115,367 111,439 115,471 115,471

1,501 Others 1,339 1,207 811 1,378 1,378

472,530 Total 478,335 478,553 472,387 481,505 480,016


4,987 North America 5,216 5,539 4,788 5,477 5,446

1,171 Central America 1,200 1,203 1,338 1,333 1,333

1,954 Caribbean 1,992 2,051 2,142 2,201 2,201

14,341 South America 14,582 14,637 14,707 14,828 14,788

3,250 European Union - 28 3,250 3,400 3,550 3,550 3,650


8,989 Middle East 9,190 9,235 8,726 8,858 8,808

4,572 North Africa 4,480 4,379 4,220 4,370 4,370


157,459 East Asia 159,414 160,566 159,774 160,209 160,209

137,375 South Asia 143,433 143,291 138,677 142,353 142,103

101,694 Southeast Asia 102,763 102,857 102,644 103,481 103,441

713 Others 717 556 530 545 545

462,825 Total 473,918 475,315 468,829 475,807 475,500

Ending Stocks none

1,349 North America 1,184 1,717 1,595 2,038 1,742

186 Central America 210 233 305 279 293

289 Caribbean 264 223 227 168 168

1,586 South America 1,844 2,151 1,522 1,466 1,357

1,188 European Union - 28 1,163 1,151 1,182 1,290 1,152

2,004 Middle East 1,864 1,777 1,163 951 951

427 North Africa 610 924 924 1,478 1,478


53,832 East Asia 57,296 61,919 68,279 73,903 73,903

26,891 South Asia 24,920 21,428 21,580 20,330 19,840

23,486 Southeast Asia 21,976 20,557 17,515 16,290 15,840

238 Oceania 241 223 73 180 180

179 Others 166 168 166 156 131

113,884 Total 113,871 114,662 116,508 120,207 118,713




15

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

U.S. Gulf Brazil Paranagua Black Sea Argentina Up River

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

Global corn production for 2016/17 is lower from last month with reductions for the United

States and Bolivia more than offsetting an increase for Serbia. Global trade is projected slightly

higher led by larger imports for Bolivia, Brazil, and the United States more than offsetting a

reduction for Indonesia. Exports are raised for the EU and Serbia. The U.S. season-average

farm price is up 5 cents to $3.40 per bushel.

PRICES

Since the release of the December WASDE, South American quotes remain elevated on tight

nearby supplies relative to other origins. Both Argentine and Brazilian quotes are at $183 and

$185 per ton, the same as a month ago. The Black Sea quote has been largely range-bound,

ending up $2 per ton to $169 on steady demand for exports. The U.S. quote is up $6 per ton to

$165 on strong sales and shipments. Since February 2016, U.S. corn has remained the lowest on

a FOB basis, reflecting abundant supplies in the United States relative to other exporters.


16

TRADE CHANGES IN 2016/17

Selected Exporters

EU corn is raised 200,000 tons to 2.0 million in light of the brisk pace for “customs

surveillance” data.

Serbian corn is boosted 300,000 tons to 2.5 million on account of higher production and

competitive prices.

Selected Importers

Brazilian corn is raised 700,000 tons to 1.8 million reflecting stronger imports to date.

Marketing year (MY) 2015/16 (Mar 2016-Feb 2017) imports are boosted 700,000 tons to

3.0 million on the stronger pace to date. Consequently, trade year 2016/17 (Oct 2016-Sep

2017) imports are raised the same amount to 1.8 million. MY 2015/16 exports are cut 1.5

million tons to 15.0 million on the slower pace to date. With larger imports and smaller

exports, domestic consumption is projected higher. Estimated ending stocks are increased

modestly, although remain relatively tight. Domestic consumption for 2016/17 is

projected higher on growing demand for feed, particularly from the pork and poultry

sectors.

Bolivian corn is up 300,000 tons to 450,000 partly offsetting the decimated crop.

Indonesian corn is cut 700,000 tons to 1.0 million on the slower pace of trade. Import-

restrictive policies are also expected to discourage imports.

U.S. corn is boosted 150,000 tons to 1.4 million on trade to date.


World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2016/17

Jan

none

TY Exports

28,35528,30525,28421,00316,63029,497 Argentina

7,7757,7756,6827,2917,0096,416 Australia

22,03022,03035,41521,95422,05926,078 Brazil

4,0503,9504,6873,5995,4824,658 Canada

8,5308,35510,93415,0687,8418,943 European Union

2,3152,3152,6763,0312,7182,861 Paraguay

9,2359,3608,4659,1557,0744,366 Russia

2,5602,2601,5463,0011,799605 Serbia

1,3251,3257747622,1282,412 South Africa

23,21023,21021,45724,20824,12515,527 Ukraine

7,1257,2207,9598,42111,61010,454 Others

116,510116,105125,879117,493108,475111,817 Subtotal

62,98563,03559,29556,42356,77620,586 United States

179,495179,140185,174173,916165,251132,403 World Total

none

TY Imports

5,4255,4255,2244,8634,9463,289 Algeria

2,2501,5502,1211,0231,1841,238 Brazil

2,0252,0251,8051,7071,6211,327 Chile

13,20013,20017,49925,69912,4455,603 China

5,1405,1404,8244,7474,7954,090 Colombia

9,1059,1058,8497,9408,7755,097 Egypt

13,65513,68014,2619,40816,35511,778 European Union

8,6008,6008,3008,0006,6004,800 Iran

1,8101,8101,5101,6032,0731,564 Israel

16,87016,87017,06316,72617,50117,742 Japan

1,4751,4751,7221,4591,6721,406 Jordan

9,8859,88810,19210,24510,4998,265 Korea, South

1,5001,5001,9051,6851,4931,220 Libya

3,8003,8004,1343,2383,4853,048 Malaysia

14,77514,77514,90411,64011,3127,624 Mexico

3,2003,2003,1822,2172,8581,832 Morocco

3,0353,0353,0772,8632,3362,404 Peru

14,21014,21013,99211,11511,33212,390 Saudi Arabia

2,7302,7302,77869323592 South Africa

4,7004,7004,7813,9384,3464,413 Taiwan

1,8001,8001,7131,5251,4491,608 Tunisia

1,8051,8057132,7191,9771,922 Turkey

2,2002,2001,8002,4332,6272,154 Venezuela

7,5007,5008,6006,7004,3001,600 Vietnam

1,4401,440834720620720 Zimbabwe

19,99620,34120,40221,18619,55216,048 Others

172,131171,804176,185166,092156,388123,274 Subtotal

3,8893,9615,0074,5295,5402,614 Unaccounted

3,4753,3753,9823,2953,3236,515 United States

179,495179,140185,174173,916165,251132,403 World Total



World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2016/17

Jan

none

Production

43,83444,02437,93936,78235,66537,246 Argentina

14,48414,48412,43712,60512,15811,414 Australia

89,01789,01769,12687,66982,60384,253 Brazil

25,63025,63025,61921,99228,74524,445 Canada

227,354227,354231,822222,750225,407212,192 China

12,75012,7509,98514,44213,07912,286 Ethiopia

152,356152,393151,812170,854159,212146,188 European Union

42,26042,26038,04343,07643,21639,910 India

10,20010,20010,5009,0009,1008,500 Indonesia

31,82531,82532,18932,68932,06528,881 Mexico

18,50018,50017,95019,01519,29218,573 Nigeria

40,91541,00037,42740,38635,73528,658 Russia

13,46813,4688,36411,11015,51812,873 South Africa

10,92510,92514,2759,42513,09010,595 Turkey

38,10038,10033,38739,38940,02229,528 Ukraine

153,441153,316151,772158,748147,581145,649 Others

925,059925,246882,647929,932912,488851,191 Subtotal

402,598404,109367,009377,234367,089285,311 United States

1,327,6571,329,3551,249,6561,307,1661,279,5771,136,502 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

15,53415,53414,17114,23213,69512,050 Argentina

61,42760,92259,69360,02358,02855,803 Brazil

22,49522,49521,23621,29522,34520,340 Canada

245,550245,750239,165229,059223,546209,671 China

16,05816,05815,80314,83214,12212,910 Egypt

160,180160,385157,490162,555164,401153,341 European Union

40,97040,87039,49040,40037,60035,075 India

15,92015,92014,12012,02011,32010,520 Iran

17,18117,18117,25816,90317,57017,830 Japan

45,81545,81544,41542,17540,93536,195 Mexico

18,50018,50018,15018,95019,35018,700 Nigeria

30,82530,85029,64031,13928,61925,134 Russia

14,63014,63013,95011,90511,41110,750 Saudi Arabia

13,23013,23014,42513,05513,43013,005 Turkey

14,29514,29513,86515,43015,97714,661 Ukraine

246,439246,447241,670240,472227,554218,848 Others

992,029991,360937,705960,422927,440858,948 Subtotal

327,491327,858312,705311,339305,044275,537 United States

1,319,5201,319,2181,250,4101,271,7611,232,4841,134,485 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,7766,7316,1668,21314,2599,560 Brazil

4,7414,1474,6663,3344,6483,024 Canada

107,130107,110112,156102,02782,65968,386 China

11,85511,88714,55419,10615,56513,055 European Union

6,7146,7147,6747,1345,0944,654 Iran

5,9856,1946,0004,8323,4871,542 Mexico

4,1274,1274,3763,3613,7223,230 Saudi Arabia

42,76143,25441,98451,48747,29036,962 Others

190,089190,164197,576199,494176,724140,413 Subtotal

63,73664,77448,11246,94834,31323,531 United States

253,825254,938245,688246,442211,037163,944 World Total


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Dec

2016/17

Jan

2016/17

TY Imports none

14,661 North America 15,349 16,648 19,976 19,240 19,340

2,470 Central America 2,923 3,456 3,938 3,875 3,875

2,327 Caribbean 2,330 2,444 2,597 2,685 2,685

11,812 South America 13,182 13,354 14,068 14,570 15,635

11,778 European Union - 28 16,355 9,408 14,261 13,680 13,655


25,078 Middle East 26,614 27,768 29,379 31,080 31,080

13,046 North Africa 19,521 18,230 20,873 21,030 21,030


36,176 East Asia 44,865 56,665 49,588 44,738 44,735

7,961 Southeast Asia 12,814 14,736 15,966 14,575 13,875

1,010 Others 1,335 1,386 1,900 1,646 1,636

129,789 Total 159,711 169,387 180,167 175,179 175,606

Production none

338,637 North America 427,899 431,915 424,817 461,564 460,053

136,025 South America 131,844 137,600 120,789 146,301 145,736

146,188 European Union - 28 159,212 170,854 151,812 152,393 152,356

6,567 Other Europe 8,864 10,736 8,976 10,023 10,523


18,632 Middle East 21,630 17,819 23,313 19,903 19,903

10,473 North Africa 11,560 11,092 12,497 9,815 9,815


214,616 East Asia 227,797 225,528 234,465 230,003 230,003

47,642 South Asia 51,986 51,822 46,597 51,088 51,088

29,005 Southeast Asia 30,616 30,945 31,948 32,773 32,773

12,082 Oceania 12,805 13,273 13,144 15,124 15,124

4,846 Others 4,975 4,564 4,418 4,704 4,704

1,136,502 Total 1,279,577 1,307,166 1,249,656 1,329,355 1,327,657


332,072 North America 368,324 374,809 378,356 396,168 395,801

89,796 South America 94,375 96,999 97,240 100,323 100,833

153,341 European Union - 28 164,401 162,555 157,490 160,385 160,180

7,098 Other Europe 7,751 8,117 8,361 8,307 8,497


42,852 Middle East 45,753 45,586 51,331 52,687 52,687

25,171 North Africa 28,059 30,230 32,391 32,013 32,013


242,831 East Asia 257,690 262,947 273,506 280,105 279,902

42,704 South Asia 46,165 49,329 48,985 50,424 50,524

35,387 Southeast Asia 38,543 41,133 44,089 45,866 45,666

6,107 Oceania 5,764 5,846 6,659 6,769 6,769

9,533 Others 10,025 10,266 10,906 11,191 11,191

1,140,370 Total 1,224,947 1,255,784 1,267,246 1,306,740 1,306,540

Ending Stocks none

28,097 North America 42,448 55,114 58,778 75,115 74,462

15,559 South America 21,435 15,499 11,731 12,780 12,809

13,055 European Union - 28 15,565 19,106 14,554 11,887 11,855

618 Other Europe 750 1,069 865 1,218 1,218


9,933 Middle East 11,721 12,634 14,469 12,595 12,595

3,584 North Africa 5,629 5,443 5,880 4,606 4,602


71,687 East Asia 86,671 105,900 116,423 111,209 111,229

2,404 South Asia 4,093 5,289 3,056 3,631 3,631

3,259 Southeast Asia 4,114 4,040 4,758 3,705 3,205

902 Oceania 1,115 1,624 1,493 2,118 2,118

780 Others 936 976 972 1,021 1,020

163,944 Total 211,037 246,442 245,688 254,938 253,825




World Corn Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2016/17

Jan

none

TY Exports

25,50025,50021,67218,44812,84622,789 Argentina

22,00022,00035,38221,90922,04126,044 Brazil

1,1001,1001,0001,2501,100750 Burma

2,0001,8001,9494,0272,4042,194 European Union

8008001,559784501522 Mexico

2,3002,3002,6613,0122,7142,858 Paraguay

5,3005,3004,6913,2134,1941,917 Russia

2,5002,2001,5132,9641,780578 Serbia

1,3001,3007597462,1042,398 South Africa

18,00018,00016,59519,66120,00412,726 Ukraine

4,7504,8605,9625,58210,4519,708 Others

85,55085,16093,74381,59680,13982,484 Subtotal

56,50056,50051,19846,83150,69118,262 United States

142,050141,660144,941128,427130,830100,746 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,5004,5004,3294,1164,1562,918 Algeria

1,8001,1001,566534846869 Brazil

1,0001,0009491,536678492 Canada

1,8001,8001,6001,5161,456844 Chile

3,0003,0003,1745,5163,2772,702 China

4,8004,8004,4584,4964,4363,266 Colombia

1,3501,3501,3511,2021,0111,046 Dominican Republic

9,0009,0008,7767,8418,7265,059 Egypt

13,10013,10013,7688,90816,01411,362 European Union

7,0007,0006,6006,1005,5003,700 Iran

1,5001,5001,1521,2961,6521,224 Israel

15,00015,00015,19414,65715,12114,411 Japan

9,8009,80010,12110,16810,4068,174 Korea, South

3,8003,8004,1343,2383,4853,048 Malaysia

13,80013,80014,01111,34110,9495,676 Mexico

2,3002,3002,2241,9412,3491,684 Morocco

2,9002,9002,9542,7412,2322,254 Peru

3,7003,7003,5832,9042,6842,063 Saudi Arabia

2,5002,5002,579469790 South Africa

4,6004,6004,6563,8104,1794,241 Taiwan

1,2001,2001,0171,042993846 Tunisia

1,5001,5005672,3771,3811,656 Turkey

2,2002,2001,8002,4332,6262,154 Venezuela

7,5007,5008,6006,7004,3001,600 Vietnam

1,4001,400800700600700 Zimbabwe

16,45016,85016,90117,30816,82512,876 Others

137,500137,200136,864124,890125,96194,865 Subtotal

3,1503,2106,2982,7284,1421,616 Unaccounted

1,4001,2501,7798097274,265 United States

142,050141,660144,941128,427130,830100,746 World Total



World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2016/17

Jan

none

Production

36,50036,50029,00029,75026,00027,000 Argentina

86,50086,50067,00085,00080,00081,500 Brazil

13,20013,20013,55911,48714,19413,060 Canada

219,554219,554224,632215,646218,489205,614 China

6,3006,3005,0507,2356,4926,158 Ethiopia

60,68460,70458,48075,84064,93159,142 European Union

24,50024,50021,80024,17024,25922,258 India

10,20010,20010,5009,0009,1008,500 Indonesia

24,50024,50025,80025,48022,88021,591 Mexico

7,2007,2007,0007,5157,7007,630 Nigeria

7,9007,9007,5007,6717,5327,261 Philippines

15,50015,50013,16811,32511,6358,213 Russia

7,5007,0006,0007,7005,9003,750 Serbia

13,00013,0007,90010,62914,92512,365 South Africa

27,00027,00023,33328,45030,90020,922 Ukraine

93,11193,42194,87597,07194,17191,482 Others

653,149652,979615,597653,969639,108596,446 Subtotal

384,778386,748345,506361,091351,272273,192 United States

1,037,9271,039,727961,1031,015,060990,380869,638 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,50010,5009,1509,3008,8007,900 Argentina

58,50058,00057,00057,00055,00052,500 Brazil

13,30013,30012,35412,82012,67511,604 Canada

227,000227,000217,500202,000208,000200,000 China

15,10015,10014,85013,90013,20012,000 Egypt

73,60073,70073,20077,88076,79669,846 European Union

23,40023,30022,65022,30019,60017,500 India

12,30012,50012,10012,20011,90010,900 Indonesia

10,30010,3008,8007,4006,8006,200 Iran

15,10015,10015,20014,60015,00014,300 Japan

9,9009,90010,12310,2509,8918,481 Korea, South

37,50037,50037,10034,55031,70027,000 Mexico

9,6009,6008,7008,1007,5006,400 Russia

11,30011,30011,20011,65011,50011,000 South Africa

12,40012,40012,0009,4007,7006,200 Vietnam

160,846160,646158,399158,378153,268144,087 Others

712,997711,834661,530678,734655,797601,597 Subtotal

313,958314,593298,869301,792292,958262,973 United States

1,026,9551,026,427960,399980,526948,755864,570 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,4426,4425,8427,84213,9729,150 Brazil

2,3431,5492,2431,4021,6001,549 Canada

106,308106,308110,774100,47281,32367,579 China

2,1012,1012,2112,2952,3981,076 Egypt

5,0155,1356,8319,7326,8915,146 European Union

5,2965,2966,0565,7164,4763,236 Iran

5,2425,4515,2424,0902,603975 Mexico

28,41428,91626,68933,78430,21823,578 Others

161,161161,198165,888165,333143,481112,289 Subtotal

59,82261,04844,12343,97431,29220,859 United States

220,983222,246210,011209,307174,773133,148 World Total


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Dec

2016/17

Jan

2016/17

TY Imports none

10,433 North America 12,354 13,686 16,739 16,050 16,200

2,470 Central America 2,922 3,456 3,938 3,875 3,875

9,651 South America 12,027 12,041 12,629 13,300 14,300

11,362 European Union - 28 16,014 8,908 13,768 13,100 13,100


10,944 Middle East 13,812 15,237 14,916 16,475 16,475

11,154 North Africa 17,036 15,624 16,927 17,700 17,700


29,681 East Asia 33,057 34,208 33,198 32,480 32,480

7,943 Southeast Asia 12,768 14,722 15,951 14,560 13,860

2,327 Caribbean 2,330 2,444 2,597 2,685 2,685

751 Others 979 1,106 1,332 1,135 1,135

99,130 Total 126,688 125,699 138,643 138,450 138,900

Production none

307,843 North America 388,346 398,058 384,865 424,448 422,478

120,997 South America 117,456 125,972 107,559 133,794 133,484

59,142 European Union - 28 64,931 75,840 58,480 60,704 60,684

4,912 Other Europe 7,222 8,963 7,191 8,229 8,729


7,493 Middle East 8,173 7,769 9,159 8,439 8,439

5,919 North Africa 5,898 6,161 6,201 6,201 6,201


207,737 East Asia 220,582 218,095 226,983 221,908 221,908

28,857 South Asia 31,865 31,740 29,170 32,070 32,070

3,755 Central America 3,817 3,416 3,300 3,560 3,560

28,740 Southeast Asia 30,334 30,651 31,653 32,483 32,483

1,378 Others 1,321 1,443 1,366 1,448 1,448

869,638 Total 990,380 1,015,060 961,103 1,039,727 1,037,927


301,577 North America 337,333 349,162 348,323 365,393 364,758

78,981 South America 83,551 86,401 86,621 89,285 89,785

69,846 European Union - 28 76,796 77,880 73,200 73,700 73,600

5,194 Other Europe 5,847 6,147 6,422 6,320 6,520


18,710 Middle East 19,785 21,710 23,795 25,680 25,680

18,450 North Africa 20,800 22,100 23,140 24,020 24,020


229,234 East Asia 239,185 233,237 249,453 258,955 258,955

23,980 South Asia 26,982 30,007 30,720 31,470 31,570

35,109 Southeast Asia 38,254 40,799 43,784 45,560 45,360

6,175 Central America 6,600 6,710 7,175 7,350 7,350

3,516 Others 3,581 3,984 3,984 4,110 4,110

868,891 Total 942,288 963,520 979,195 1,014,739 1,014,604

Ending Stocks none

23,383 North America 35,495 49,466 51,608 68,048 67,407

13,628 South America 19,022 13,434 9,540 10,970 10,969

5,146 European Union - 28 6,891 9,732 6,831 5,135 5,015

371 Other Europe 504 852 716 1,065 1,065


4,108 Middle East 5,872 7,067 7,175 6,264 6,264

1,771 North Africa 3,117 3,306 3,037 2,908 2,908


70,387 East Asia 84,864 103,922 114,648 110,061 110,061

1,744 South Asia 3,005 3,935 2,465 2,835 2,835

3,254 Southeast Asia 4,108 4,034 4,752 3,705 3,205

487 Central America 597 600 627 692 692

332 Others 396 449 421 390 389

133,148 Total 174,773 209,307 210,011 222,246 220,983




World Barley Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2016/17

Jan

none

TY Exports

2,0002,0002,8361,5992,8293,647 Argentina

7,0007,0005,4005,2666,2614,622 Australia

1,7001,6001,1461,3861,7141,316 Canada

6,2006,2008,60310,6424,9266,501 European Union

7070597546546 India

700700776476501151 Kazakhstan

3,9004,0003,7355,8072,7912,366 Russia

606033371826 Serbia

5,0005,0004,6734,3323,8272,659 Ukraine

5050444336107 Uruguay

7575641234258 Others

26,75526,75527,31529,80823,49121,999 Subtotal

150200161291336163 United States

26,90526,95527,47630,09923,82722,162 World Total

none

TY Imports

900900864723778364 Algeria

450450551489337369 Brazil

5,0005,0005,8699,8594,8912,183 China

285285301249253232 Colombia

10010072984637 Egypt

3503503152695853 European Union

1,6001,6001,7001,9001,1001,100 Iran

275275321278304244 Israel

1,1001,1001,1541,0971,2941,356 Japan

800800902759997831 Jordan

400400247412436388 Kuwait

8008001,3241,001681573 Libya

17517513218410847 Mexico

900900958276471148 Morocco

1101109812287103 Peru

10,50010,50010,4008,2008,50010,200 Saudi Arabia

200200100100100300 Syria

600600696483456762 Tunisia

300300146332596266 Turkey

400400467394468541 United Arab Emirates

1,0761,0761,0701,2411,0771,112 Others

26,32126,32127,68728,46623,03821,209 Subtotal

234234-5611,203266522 Unaccounted

350400350430523431 United States

26,90526,95527,47630,09923,82722,162 World Total



World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2016/17

Jan

none

Production

3,1503,3404,9402,9004,7505,000 Argentina

10,60010,6008,5938,6469,1747,472 Australia

2,1002,1001,8491,9881,6741,917 Belarus

8,8008,8008,2267,11910,2378,012 Canada

2,0002,0001,8701,8101,7001,626 China

2,0502,0501,9501,9531,9081,782 Ethiopia

59,75959,74961,51760,65859,67454,875 European Union

1,5101,5101,6131,8311,7521,619 India

3,8003,8003,8003,2002,8002,770 Iran

1,1001,1001,0501,000944500 Iraq

2,7002,7002,6752,4122,5391,500 Kazakhstan

1,0761,0763,5001,7002,7231,201 Morocco

17,50018,00017,08320,02615,38913,952 Russia

4,7504,7507,4004,0007,3005,500 Turkey

9,8009,8008,7519,4507,5616,935 Ukraine

9,0239,0239,1559,1509,4489,675 Others

139,718140,398143,972137,843139,573124,336 Subtotal

4,3394,3394,7503,9534,7194,768 United States

144,057144,737148,722141,796144,292129,104 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,0502,0502,1502,0502,0502,000 Algeria

3,1003,1003,3003,0002,8003,000 Australia

2,1002,1001,8502,0001,8002,000 Belarus

7,1657,1656,9686,4717,7186,811 Canada

7,1007,1007,90011,6006,3004,000 China

2,0252,0251,9901,9751,9251,725 Ethiopia

54,10054,10551,70050,90053,40051,000 European Union

1,5701,5701,5201,4001,2001,525 India

5,6005,6005,3004,6004,5004,300 Iran

2,0002,0002,0002,0002,0001,375 Kazakhstan

2,8002,8003,4502,7002,3001,900 Morocco

13,70013,90013,60014,10012,70012,100 Russia

10,72510,72510,2258,5258,6258,325 Saudi Arabia

5,5005,5006,9005,3506,9506,200 Turkey

4,9004,9004,7004,7005,0005,100 Ukraine

17,11917,11917,63716,86517,04715,754 Others

141,659141,963143,269137,331136,093126,663 Subtotal

4,5284,6384,4064,2354,7754,638 United States

146,187146,601147,675141,566140,868131,301 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,1401,1401,2901,3041,1781,217 Algeria

1,5131,5131,0131,120693536 Australia

1,4531,6531,4431,2171,950983 Canada

5,0525,0375,2435,9205,6215,044 European Union

1,4181,4181,6181,4186181,418 Iran

3,8443,8444,0593,0743,3893,003 Saudi Arabia

8148149091,265971872 Ukraine

5,5245,6757,3417,0637,6515,615 Others

20,75821,09422,91622,38122,07118,688 Subtotal

2,2512,1422,2231,7111,7911,750 United States

23,00923,23625,13924,09223,86220,438 World Total


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Dec

2016/17

Jan

2016/17

TY Imports none

499 North America 640 779 613 650 600

1,064 South America 886 1,169 1,157 980 980

53 European Union - 28 58 269 315 350 350

126 Other Europe 163 120 84 155 155


13,906 Middle East 12,537 12,480 14,415 14,555 14,555

1,884 North Africa 2,432 2,581 3,914 3,300 3,300

52 Sub-Saharan Africa 116 138 40 120 120

3,668 East Asia 6,320 11,080 7,136 6,225 6,225

2 South Asia 11 22 187 131 131

8 Oceania 46 32 7 25 25

21,640 Total 23,561 28,896 28,037 26,721 26,671

Production none

13,812 North America 15,550 11,918 13,728 13,874 13,874

5,884 South America 5,737 3,769 5,929 4,662 4,472

54,875 European Union - 28 59,674 60,658 61,517 59,749 59,759

1,188 Other Europe 1,187 1,286 1,299 1,307 1,307


9,686 Middle East 12,043 8,653 12,858 10,068 10,068

3,631 North Africa 4,739 3,975 5,375 2,684 2,684


1,920 East Asia 1,991 2,134 2,158 2,291 2,291

1,956 South Asia 2,261 2,340 2,116 2,042 2,042

7,911 Oceania 9,591 9,052 9,030 11,000 11,000

129,104 Total 144,292 141,796 148,722 144,737 144,057


12,349 North America 13,243 11,556 12,299 12,728 12,618

3,152 South America 3,528 3,398 3,768 3,713 3,713

51,000 European Union - 28 53,400 50,900 51,700 54,105 54,100

1,298 Other Europe 1,334 1,404 1,384 1,404 1,404


22,435 Middle East 24,410 22,277 26,170 25,566 25,566

5,790 North Africa 6,282 7,182 8,303 7,038 7,038


5,812 East Asia 8,009 13,162 9,481 8,660 8,660

1,868 South Asia 1,713 1,923 2,053 2,128 2,128

3,425 Oceania 3,250 3,450 3,750 3,525 3,525

131,753 Total 141,090 142,471 145,596 146,397 146,082

Ending Stocks none

3,014 North America 3,974 3,326 4,069 4,183 4,092

657 South America 816 716 958 867 847

5,044 European Union - 28 5,621 5,920 5,243 5,037 5,052

220 Other Europe 205 179 122 122 122


5,733 Middle East 5,781 5,508 7,249 6,281 6,281

1,785 North Africa 2,489 2,089 2,794 1,640 1,640


736 East Asia 1,038 1,090 903 689 759

137 South Asia 247 259 271 276 276

588 Oceania 748 1,174 1,060 1,560 1,560

20,438 Total 23,862 24,092 25,139 23,236 23,009




World Sorghum Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2016/17

Jan

none

TY Exports

8508007729549533,059 Argentina

4004001,0001,7004101,430 Australia

25252913112 Brazil

252525757575 Ethiopia

50508512188231 India

100100501005050 Nigeria

150150120156229124 Ukraine

125125138195218191 Others

1,7251,6752,2193,3142,0345,162 Subtotal

6,3006,3007,8959,2695,7142,136 United States

8,0257,97510,11412,5837,7487,298 World Total

none

TY Imports

90251223 Bolivia

15015013498109404 Chile

5,0005,0008,28410,1624,161631 China

150150119131184291 European Union

7007006499031,0031,897 Japan

10010010511794102 Kenya

700700661291621,793 Mexico

100100231321410 Pakistan

100100150866144 South Africa

10010020012075175 Sudan

4454454824158761,266 Others

7,6357,57011,01612,0956,7416,616 Subtotal

365380-1,0004611,004439 Unaccounted

252598273243 United States

8,0257,97510,11412,5837,7487,298 World Total



World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2016/17

Jan

none

Production

3,6003,6003,3753,5004,4004,700 Argentina

1,5001,5002,0372,2091,2822,230 Australia

1,5301,5301,0802,0551,8902,102 Brazil

1,9001,9001,4361,7081,8801,924 Burkina

1,1501,1501,1501,1501,1501,100 Cameroon

9009008358977451,172 Chad

3,3003,3002,7502,8852,8922,556 China

3,7003,7002,6004,3393,8293,604 Ethiopia

5,5005,5004,4105,4455,5425,281 India

1,3001,3001,3001,2728201,212 Mali

6,5006,5005,5506,2708,5006,174 Mexico

1,3001,3001,9171,4261,3201,376 Niger

6,5006,5006,1506,7006,5925,943 Nigeria

900900900990720650 South Sudan

5,5005,5002,3886,2812,2494,524 Sudan

6,8356,9006,8767,3057,0646,615 Others

51,91551,98044,75454,43250,87551,163 Subtotal

12,19911,74015,15810,9889,9666,293 United States

64,11463,72059,91265,42060,84157,456 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,9502,9502,8002,8002,7002,300 Argentina

1,1051,1051,1055059051,080 Australia

1,5001,5001,1502,0002,0002,300 Brazil

1,8001,8001,4651,7001,9001,850 Burkina

1,1751,1751,1751,1751,1651,110 Cameroon

9009008659008501,150 Chad

8,7008,90011,00012,9006,8003,200 China

3,6503,6503,1004,1003,9003,700 Ethiopia

5,3505,3504,8205,1005,2005,150 India

1,3001,3001,3001,2009501,200 Mali

7,2007,2006,2006,6008,3008,100 Mexico

1,4501,4501,8201,4501,3001,200 Niger

6,4006,4006,0506,6506,5505,900 Nigeria

9609609501,050790650 South Sudan

5,5005,5003,1006,0002,5504,700 Sudan

8,2358,2308,3838,7668,57010,077 Others

58,64058,90054,92162,77055,50752,472 Subtotal

5,8415,4626,2132,4594,1304,796 United States

64,48164,36261,13465,22959,63757,268 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6465968969711,202781 Argentina

307357717706568326 China

19319393588364109 India

349349349338647285 Mexico

268268393271270225 Niger

200200200150200208 Nigeria

321321226743357588 Sudan

1,3031,3071,1131,9041,4761,837 Others

3,5873,5913,9875,6715,0844,359 Subtotal

963884930468864385 United States

4,5504,4754,9176,1395,9484,744 World Total


Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Dec

2016/17

Jan

2016/17

TY Imports none

2,036 North America 165 56 759 725 725

1,071 South America 240 114 237 260 325

291 European Union - 28 184 131 119 150 150

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

194 Middle East 232 23 33 20 20

1 North Africa 41 1 1 5 5


2,650 East Asia 5,281 11,142 9,011 5,755 5,755

18 Southeast Asia 46 14 15 15 15

11 Others 15 32 231 100 100

6,859 Total 6,744 12,122 11,114 7,595 7,660

Production none

12,467 North America 18,466 17,258 20,708 18,240 18,699

339 Central America 335 335 335 335 335

92 Caribbean 94 92 92 91 91

7,495 South America 7,081 6,404 5,297 5,942 5,877

473 European Union - 28 703 887 731 744 744

667 Middle East 634 691 535 635 635

757 North Africa 767 809 755 755 755


2,560 East Asia 2,895 2,887 2,752 3,302 3,302

5,404 South Asia 5,661 5,548 4,555 5,630 5,630


2,230 Oceania 1,282 2,209 2,037 1,500 1,500

209 Others 354 224 191 225 225

57,456 Total 60,841 65,420 59,912 63,720 64,114


12,896 North America 12,430 9,059 12,413 12,662 13,041

325 Central America 325 330 340 335 335

92 Caribbean 94 92 92 91 91

6,076 South America 5,757 5,785 4,952 5,477 5,482

795 European Union - 28 880 995 860 880 880

877 Middle East 755 845 590 650 650

756 North Africa 813 785 755 755 755


5,221 East Asia 7,951 13,911 11,734 9,660 9,460

5,283 South Asia 5,334 5,235 5,176 5,580 5,580


1,080 Oceania 905 505 1,105 1,105 1,105

80 Others 75 75 75 75 75

58,463 Total 58,560 65,355 61,496 63,832 64,016

Ending Stocks none

670 North America 1,511 806 1,279 1,233 1,312

30 Central America 33 38 28 23 23

1,146 South America 1,468 1,243 1,078 793 843

5 European Union - 28 18 27 13 22 22

61 Middle East 27 39 25 30 30

27 North Africa 22 47 48 57 53


413 East Asia 627 736 743 380 330

109 South Asia 364 588 93 193 193

185 Oceania 172 246 178 173 173

25 Others 76 69 65 59 59

4,744 Total 5,948 6,139 4,917 4,475 4,550




World Oats Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2016/17

Jan

none

TY Exports

554222 Argentina

300300225270270240 Australia

1,5001,5001,6661,7291,7321,351 Canada

757575844941 Chile

200200220231291126 European Union

1010161464 Russia

5050484662 Ukraine

1010981410 Others

2,1502,1502,2632,3842,3701,776 Subtotal


2,1802,1802,2982,4132,3991,794 World Total

none

TY Imports

550300 Albania

25253124127 Algeria

554432 Bosnia and Herzegovina

15151012279 Canada

20020017216211687 China

551221 Colombia

202038212119 Ecuador


505050474651 Japan

1001001008693108 Mexico

1010743836 Norway

551222 Serbia

505031461911 South Africa

505042495144 Switzerland

550400 Turkey

5510886 Others

555555506478441387 Subtotal

1251252541689252 Unaccounted

1,5001,5001,5381,7671,8661,355 United States

2,1802,1802,2982,4132,3991,794 World Total



World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2016/17

Jan

none

Production

110110110110110110 Algeria

500500553525445496 Argentina

1,8001,8001,3081,1981,2551,121 Australia

400400492522352422 Belarus

650650783351380361 Brazil

3,0003,0003,4282,9793,9062,830 Canada

600600533421610680 Chile

600600600600580600 China

7,8077,8077,5037,8328,3807,909 European Union

275275244226305200 Kazakhstan

909087939184 Mexico

240240236236214232 Norway

4,7504,7004,5275,2674,9324,027 Russia

210210210210210210 Turkey

500500498610467630 Ukraine

334334331298319315 Others

21,86621,81621,44321,47822,55620,227 Subtotal

9409401,3001,019938892 United States

22,80622,75622,74322,49723,49421,119 World Total

none

Total Consumption

135135137126118119 Algeria

500500550525425500 Argentina

1,3501,3501,025950950925 Australia

400400500500375400 Belarus

645640765345375350 Brazil

1,6501,6501,6161,6811,6601,592 Canada

525525425355570600 Chile

850850795750700675 China

7,7007,7007,4807,7308,0757,700 European Union

270270245225275225 Kazakhstan

190190190175185195 Mexico

250250245245245295 Norway

4,6504,6004,6005,2004,9004,300 Russia

215215210215215215 Turkey

450450450600475600 Ukraine

524524493473492451 Others

20,37720,32219,95020,09220,25519,217 Subtotal

2,6102,6112,7022,4472,7572,743 United States

22,98722,93322,65222,53923,01221,960 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

605865656749 Argentina

3013011519310560 Australia

7937939286731,054446 Canada

606060274561 Chile

7474124147135139 China

512512600781894901 European Union

289289199289230203 Russia

193195188193201222 Others

2,2822,2822,3152,2682,7312,081 Subtotal

676676824780359527 United States

2,9582,9583,1393,0483,0902,608 World Total


Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Dec

2016/17

Jan

2016/17

TY Imports none

1,472 North America 1,986 1,865 1,648 1,615 1,615

26 South America 29 30 45 30 30

4 European Union - 28 3 4 9 5 5

84 Other Europe 94 62 54 75 75


0 Middle East 0 4 0 5 5

7 North Africa 12 24 31 25 25


138 East Asia 162 209 222 250 250

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,742 Total 2,307 2,245 2,044 2,055 2,055

Production none

3,806 North America 4,935 4,091 4,815 4,030 4,030

1,577 South America 1,478 1,325 1,910 1,792 1,792

7,909 European Union - 28 8,380 7,832 7,503 7,807 7,807

365 Other Europe 349 371 374 375 375


210 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

166 North Africa 156 147 166 175 175


602 East Asia 582 602 601 601 601

1,139 Oceania 1,283 1,233 1,342 1,830 1,830

21,119 Total 23,494 22,497 22,743 22,756 22,806


4,530 North America 4,602 4,303 4,508 4,451 4,450

1,515 South America 1,447 1,285 1,805 1,737 1,742

7,700 European Union - 28 8,075 7,730 7,480 7,700 7,700

474 Other Europe 435 436 439 446 446


215 Middle East 215 215 210 215 215

175 North Africa 164 163 193 200 200


730 East Asia 750 800 845 900 900

943 Oceania 978 985 1,059 1,380 1,380

21,885 Total 22,792 22,542 22,428 22,860 22,914

Ending Stocks none

974 North America 1,417 1,459 1,758 1,475 1,475

128 South America 129 106 155 150 150

901 European Union - 28 894 781 600 512 512

27 Other Europe 41 38 27 31 31


13 Middle East 8 6 6 6 6

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


144 East Asia 138 149 127 78 78

60 Oceania 105 93 151 301 301

2,608 Total 3,090 3,048 3,139 2,958 2,958




World Rye Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2016/17

Jan

none

TY Exports

20524000 Belarus

1501501118997178 Canada

125150160167201122 European Union

2550231218379 Russia

101021135916 Ukraine

000111 Others

330365339391441396 Subtotal


335370345394447403 World Total

none

TY Imports


252515183334 Israel

202016223727 Japan

5854812 Korea, South

1020262118 Norway

5555525 Russia

553669 Switzerland

0016614 Others

120158112163207197 Subtotal

151216-3136-15 Unaccounted

200200217262204221 United States

335370345394447403 World Total



World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Dec

2016/17

Jan

none

Production


8008007538676481,082 Belarus

410410226218223337 Canada

8,0958,1227,8358,87310,1518,763 European Union

2,5402,3002,0843,2793,3602,132 Russia

350350350300365370 Turkey

375375394475638676 Ukraine

137137122148128146 Others

12,77712,56411,82514,25715,56513,546 Subtotal

342342295183194166 United States

13,11912,90612,12014,44015,75913,712 World Total

none

Total Consumption


252522191940 Australia

8008008008507001,000 Belarus

160160118134107127 Canada

8,4008,5008,1008,6009,6508,700 European Union

252515183334 Israel

454537654050 Kazakhstan

2,2502,2502,1753,2503,1002,000 Russia

350350350325350375 Turkey

370370420475625625 Ukraine

10812189108142122 Others

12,58912,69912,20613,94614,81313,121 Subtotal

554554515406424387 United States

13,14313,25312,72114,35215,23713,508 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

7911599166149201 Belarus

15215252424446 Canada

6405671,0201,3951,204795 European Union

444483 Kazakhstan

400135130264344153 Russia

141414143318 Turkey

707075106128166 Ukraine

112347 Others

1,3601,0581,3961,9941,9141,389 Subtotal


1,3841,0821,4082,0091,9211,399 World Total


Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Dec

2016/17

Jan

2016/17

TY Imports none

221 North America 204 262 217 200 200

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

68 European Union - 28 96 96 50 75 50

29 Other Europe 28 12 5 25 15


34 Middle East 33 24 15 25 25


39 East Asia 45 26 21 28 25

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

418 Total 411 425 329 358 320

Production none

503 North America 417 401 521 752 752

47 South America 59 105 69 82 82

8,763 European Union - 28 10,151 8,873 7,835 8,122 8,095

46 Other Europe 55 56 52 52 52


370 Middle East 365 300 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

40 Oceania 20 20 22 25 25

13,712 Total 15,759 14,440 12,120 12,906 13,119


514 North America 531 540 633 714 714

47 South America 59 105 69 82 82

8,700 European Union - 28 9,650 8,600 8,100 8,500 8,400

76 Other Europe 84 70 56 77 67


409 Middle East 383 343 365 375 375


37 East Asia 48 27 22 29 26

40 Oceania 19 19 22 25 25

13,500 Total 15,242 14,347 12,702 13,270 13,157

Ending Stocks none

56 North America 51 57 64 176 176

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

795 European Union - 28 1,204 1,395 1,020 567 640

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0


18 Middle East 33 14 14 14 14


7 East Asia 4 3 2 1 1

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,399 Total 1,921 2,009 1,408 1,082 1,384




35

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR

SELECTED REGIONS AND

COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 36

China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 37

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 38

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 39

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 43

Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 45

Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 47

Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 48

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..49

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 50

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 51

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 52

World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 53

DG F/SA &F


European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

Imports Exports Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

132.9 128.263.015.76.85.126.0 2005/06 24.1

125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8

120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8

151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4

139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6

136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9

138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.5

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.9 124.755.035.46.05.926.7 2014/15 12.7

160.0 131.061.034.76.96.026.8 2015/16 14.0

144.3 129.258.525.56.55.327.0 2016/17 10.1

Coarse Grains

149.7 150.9112.44.32.74.533.2 2005/06 22.8

140.3 150.9112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.7

138.8 157.2121.64.520.34.232.7 2007/08 13.1

165.2 154.5116.15.73.14.834.1 2008/09 21.3

158.0 152.8114.83.02.94.833.0 2009/10 26.3

143.2 155.0116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.9

150.1 151.7113.26.57.05.030.2 2011/12 15.7

146.2 153.3113.77.411.84.631.4 2012/13 13.1

159.2 164.4122.48.616.35.131.5 2013/14 15.6

170.9 162.6121.414.09.25.630.8 2014/15 19.1

151.8 157.5116.613.114.25.030.3 2015/16 14.6

152.4 160.2119.28.513.75.130.1 2016/17 11.9

Wheat and Coarse Grains

282.5 279.1175.420.09.44.859.2 2005/06 46.9

265.9 277.1173.118.513.24.757.1 2006/07 30.5

259.6 274.3174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9

317.2 282.1176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.7

297.7 278.4172.325.38.25.059.0 2009/10 42.9

279.9 277.8169.429.313.15.056.3 2010/11 28.8

288.3 278.9170.723.314.35.156.1 2011/12 29.3

280.1 272.6164.730.217.14.957.4 2012/13 23.8

303.8 281.7171.440.720.35.357.4 2013/14 25.5

327.8 287.2176.449.415.25.757.5 2014/15 31.8

311.8 288.5177.647.821.25.557.1 2015/16 28.6

296.7 289.4177.734.020.25.257.2 2016/17 22.0


China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.3 2012/13 54.0

121.9 116.516.00.96.85.124.1 2013/14 65.3

126.2 116.516.00.81.95.224.1 2014/15 76.1

130.2 112.010.50.73.55.424.1 2015/16 97.0

128.9 117.015.00.83.55.324.2 2016/17 111.6

Coarse Grains

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.9

159.0 153.5105.05.51.25.131.1 2006/07 38.0

159.2 157.9106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.5

172.4 161.2109.10.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.3119.10.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.3

183.8 188.4128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

198.6 196.2132.00.17.95.635.5 2011/12 60.4

212.2 209.7146.10.15.65.737.1 2012/13 68.4

225.4 223.5157.80.012.45.938.3 2013/14 82.7

222.8 229.1158.80.025.75.739.2 2014/15 102.0

231.8 239.2166.90.017.55.840.2 2015/16 112.2

227.4 245.6169.40.013.25.838.9 2016/17 107.1


245.3 248.6107.05.23.44.851.6 2005/06 71.4

267.4 255.5109.08.21.54.954.7 2006/07 76.6

268.5 263.9114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.6

284.9 266.7117.10.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.3129.11.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.7

299.0 298.9141.81.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2

316.0 318.7156.01.110.95.359.8 2011/12 116.3

333.2 334.7171.11.18.65.461.3 2012/13 122.3

347.3 340.0173.80.919.25.662.4 2013/14 147.9

349.0 345.6174.80.827.65.563.3 2014/15 178.1

362.0 351.2177.40.821.05.664.3 2015/16 209.2

356.2 362.6184.40.816.75.663.1 2016/17 218.7


Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

3.8 5.10.90.21.43.81.0 2005/06 1.1

3.5 4.60.70.31.53.61.0 2006/07 1.2

3.7 4.81.00.51.93.81.0 2007/08 1.5

4.0 5.11.20.41.74.40.9 2008/09 1.7

3.8 4.91.00.51.73.91.0 2009/10 1.7

3.2 4.70.80.61.73.70.9 2010/11 1.3

3.6 4.91.00.51.94.20.9 2011/12 1.4

3.4 4.71.00.71.64.00.9 2012/13 1.1

4.1 4.81.11.31.94.50.9 2013/14 0.9

3.9 4.91.10.71.84.01.0 2014/15 1.1

4.0 4.91.21.01.84.50.9 2015/16 1.1

4.6 5.11.41.41.84.71.0 2016/17 1.0

Coarse Grains

10.1 9.78.51.30.64.82.1 2005/06 1.3

9.8 9.68.50.90.84.92.0 2006/07 1.3

6.9 7.96.80.10.93.42.0 2007/08 1.1

9.7 8.77.61.50.64.62.1 2008/09 1.1

9.7 8.77.51.40.74.92.0 2009/10 1.4

10.0 8.77.32.00.75.02.0 2010/11 1.4

9.5 8.47.02.30.84.62.0 2011/12 1.0

6.6 7.15.90.60.73.22.1 2012/13 0.6

8.9 7.86.41.90.94.52.0 2013/14 0.8

10.7 8.16.83.10.85.81.9 2014/15 1.1

9.0 8.47.01.60.84.91.8 2015/16 0.9

10.5 8.57.12.60.95.61.9 2016/17 1.2


13.9 14.89.41.42.04.53.1 2005/06 2.4

13.3 14.29.21.22.34.53.0 2006/07 2.5

10.6 12.67.80.62.73.53.0 2007/08 2.6

13.7 13.88.81.92.34.63.0 2008/09 2.8

13.5 13.78.51.92.44.53.0 2009/10 3.2

13.2 13.48.12.62.44.62.9 2010/11 2.7

13.1 13.38.12.82.74.52.9 2011/12 2.5

10.0 11.87.01.32.43.42.9 2012/13 1.7

13.0 12.67.53.12.74.52.9 2013/14 1.7

14.7 13.07.93.72.55.22.8 2014/15 2.2

13.0 13.28.22.52.64.82.7 2015/16 2.0

15.1 13.68.53.92.75.32.8 2016/17 2.2


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

81.0 75.624.413.85.61.845.8 2010/11 23.3

115.0 80.028.439.78.02.349.7 2011/12 26.6

77.8 71.721.625.47.21.844.0 2012/13 14.5

103.9 72.822.737.37.52.247.7 2013/14 15.8

112.7 75.424.740.27.72.446.7 2014/15 20.7

118.2 78.226.951.57.42.449.1 2015/16 16.6

131.9 79.928.354.17.52.650.3 2016/17 22.1

Coarse Grains

47.5 41.928.38.61.12.221.9 2010/11 5.5

78.6 54.438.524.61.02.927.0 2011/12 6.1

68.2 50.235.519.80.72.527.5 2012/13 5.0

87.8 55.740.030.80.83.029.4 2013/14 7.0

91.6 58.142.133.90.83.030.2 2014/15 7.4

82.1 54.639.531.30.52.927.9 2015/16 4.2

91.3 56.741.433.60.73.328.1 2016/17 5.8


Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.2

13.7 6.92.17.60.11.211.6 2015/16 2.6

16.5 7.02.28.50.11.412.0 2016/17 3.6

Russia

52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.025.50.82.425.6 2015/16 5.6

72.5 39.016.029.00.52.727.1 2016/17 10.6

Ukraine

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 11.54.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.7

27.3 12.35.217.40.03.87.1 2015/16 3.2

27.0 11.84.715.70.04.26.5 2016/17 2.8

Uzbekistan

6.8 8.41.90.32.24.91.4 2013/14 1.9

7.2 8.92.20.22.25.11.4 2014/15 2.2

7.2 9.42.30.22.75.11.4 2015/16 2.5

7.2 9.72.40.22.75.11.4 2016/17 2.5

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

8.8 12.02.90.54.32.63.4 2013/14 3.1

8.8 12.73.50.44.52.63.4 2014/15 3.3

9.0 12.63.40.73.82.63.4 2015/16 2.7

8.7 12.43.00.74.22.63.3 2016/17 2.6

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

103.9 72.822.737.37.52.247.7 2013/14 15.8

112.7 75.424.740.27.72.446.7 2014/15 20.7

118.2 78.226.951.57.42.449.1 2015/16 16.6

131.9 79.928.354.17.52.650.3 2016/17 22.1



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

2.5 2.01.70.40.01.41.8 2013/14 0.3

2.4 2.01.70.50.01.31.9 2014/15 0.2

2.7 2.01.70.80.01.32.0 2015/16 0.1

2.7 2.01.70.70.01.51.9 2016/17 0.1

Russia

15.4 12.78.32.70.21.98.0 2013/14 0.9

20.0 14.19.25.30.02.38.8 2014/15 1.5

17.1 13.68.94.20.12.18.0 2015/16 0.8

17.5 13.79.03.90.12.28.0 2016/17 0.8

Ukraine

7.6 5.03.52.50.02.33.2 2013/14 1.0

9.5 4.73.24.50.03.03.2 2014/15 1.3

8.8 4.73.24.40.02.93.0 2015/16 0.9

9.8 4.93.45.00.03.23.1 2016/17 0.8

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2013/14 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2014/15 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2015/16 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2016/17 0.0


3.4 3.52.70.00.12.61.3 2013/14 0.4

3.4 3.62.80.10.22.71.3 2014/15 0.3

3.5 3.52.70.10.02.81.2 2015/16 0.2

3.8 3.82.90.10.12.71.4 2016/17 0.2


29.2 23.516.45.60.32.014.5 2013/14 2.6

35.6 24.717.110.30.32.315.3 2014/15 3.4

32.2 24.116.79.60.12.214.4 2015/16 2.1

34.0 24.717.39.70.22.414.3 2016/17 2.0



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

0.6 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2013/14 0.0

0.7 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2014/15 0.1

0.7 0.70.60.00.05.30.1 2015/16 0.2

0.7 0.70.60.10.05.40.1 2016/17 0.1

Russia

11.6 7.56.64.20.15.02.3 2013/14 0.3

11.3 8.17.23.20.04.42.6 2014/15 0.3

13.2 8.77.84.70.04.92.7 2015/16 0.2

15.5 9.68.75.30.15.52.8 2016/17 0.8

Ukraine

30.9 9.78.320.00.16.44.8 2013/14 2.4

28.5 9.48.019.70.06.24.6 2014/15 1.8

23.3 8.06.716.60.05.74.1 2015/16 0.6

27.0 8.36.918.00.16.44.3 2016/17 1.3

Uzbekistan

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2013/14 0.0

0.1 0.20.10.00.03.40.0 2014/15 0.0

0.1 0.20.10.00.03.40.0 2015/16 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2016/17 0.0


3.7 3.22.90.60.33.81.0 2013/14 0.6

3.2 3.22.90.30.43.70.9 2014/15 0.8

2.5 2.92.60.10.32.90.8 2015/16 0.5

3.2 3.12.80.30.33.70.9 2016/17 0.6


46.9 21.118.424.80.45.78.3 2013/14 3.4

43.8 21.518.823.20.55.38.3 2014/15 3.0

39.8 20.417.821.40.45.17.8 2015/16 1.4

46.6 21.919.123.70.45.88.1 2016/17 2.8


Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

9.3 6.20.33.60.02.63.6 2012/13 0.3

10.5 6.10.12.30.03.03.5 2013/14 2.5

13.9 6.40.35.30.02.85.0 2014/15 4.8

11.3 5.90.29.60.02.93.9 2015/16 0.6

15.0 6.30.18.60.03.14.9 2016/17 0.7

Australia

22.9 6.73.418.60.11.813.0 2012/13 4.7

25.3 7.03.618.60.22.012.6 2013/14 4.6

23.7 7.23.816.60.21.912.4 2014/15 4.7

24.5 7.23.816.10.21.912.8 2015/16 6.0

33.0 8.04.524.50.22.513.0 2016/17 6.7

Canada

27.2 9.64.319.00.52.99.5 2012/13 5.1

37.5 9.44.223.30.43.610.4 2013/14 10.4

29.4 9.13.824.20.53.19.5 2014/15 7.1

27.6 7.82.622.10.52.99.6 2015/16 5.2

31.7 10.25.021.00.53.68.9 2016/17 6.2

European Union

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.9 124.755.035.46.05.926.7 2014/15 12.7

160.0 131.061.034.76.96.026.8 2015/16 14.0

144.3 129.258.525.56.55.327.0 2016/17 10.1

Kazakhstan

9.8 6.82.06.30.00.812.4 2012/13 2.9

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.2

13.7 6.92.17.60.11.211.6 2015/16 2.6

16.5 7.02.28.50.11.412.0 2016/17 3.6

Russia

37.7 33.611.911.31.21.821.3 2012/13 4.9

52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.025.50.82.425.6 2015/16 5.6

72.5 39.016.029.00.52.727.1 2016/17 10.6



Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Ukraine

15.8 11.43.17.20.02.85.6 2012/13 2.6

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 11.54.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.7

27.3 12.35.217.40.03.87.1 2015/16 3.2

27.0 11.84.715.70.04.26.5 2016/17 2.8

Total Wheat Competitors

256.6 193.576.088.77.12.891.4 2012/13 31.2

306.2 192.174.8112.65.53.295.4 2013/14 38.2

320.8 201.181.9121.17.63.495.4 2014/15 44.5

325.5 208.188.9133.18.53.397.4 2015/16 37.2

340.0 211.591.0132.87.73.499.3 2016/17 40.7



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 0.9

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.5

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.0

21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9

27.0 7.95.318.70.06.84.0 2012/13 1.3

26.0 8.85.817.10.07.63.4 2013/14 1.4

29.8 9.36.019.00.08.53.5 2014/15 2.9

29.0 9.25.921.70.08.33.5 2015/16 1.1

36.5 10.56.825.00.08.14.5 2016/17 2.1

Brazil

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 10.1

56.1 48.541.511.60.44.312.9 2009/10 6.5

57.4 50.043.08.40.84.213.8 2010/11 6.3

73.0 51.544.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 4.2

81.5 52.544.524.90.95.215.8 2012/13 9.2

80.0 55.046.021.00.85.115.8 2013/14 14.0

85.0 57.048.034.50.35.415.8 2014/15 7.8

67.0 57.048.515.03.04.216.0 2015/16 5.8

86.5 58.549.528.00.65.216.7 2016/17 6.4

China

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

205.6 200.0144.00.12.75.935.0 2012/13 67.6

218.5 208.0150.00.03.36.036.3 2013/14 81.3

215.6 202.0140.00.05.55.837.1 2014/15 100.5

224.6 217.5153.50.03.25.938.1 2015/16 110.8

219.6 227.0159.00.03.06.036.8 2016/17 106.3

South Africa

12.6 10.34.71.70.04.32.9 2008/09 2.0

13.4 10.64.92.10.04.13.3 2009/10 2.8

10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 1.0

12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 1.3

12.4 11.05.12.10.13.83.2 2012/13 0.7

14.9 11.55.52.00.14.93.1 2013/14 2.2



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


10.6 11.76.20.72.03.53.0 2014/15 2.4

7.9 11.25.70.83.03.62.2 2015/16 1.3

13.0 11.35.61.50.54.23.1 2016/17 2.0

Total Corn Competitors

245.0 215.2155.719.31.25.049.4 2008/09 64.2

258.5 231.0169.430.31.75.150.4 2009/10 63.1

270.8 248.0181.327.32.25.152.9 2010/11 60.8

299.5 257.2184.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 65.7

326.5 271.4198.945.83.75.658.1 2012/13 78.7

339.4 283.3207.340.04.15.858.6 2013/14 98.9

341.0 280.0200.254.17.85.759.4 2014/15 113.7

328.5 294.9213.637.59.25.559.8 2015/16 119.0

355.6 307.3220.954.54.15.861.1 2016/17 116.9



Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Australia

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5

7.5 3.01.84.50.02.13.6 2012/13 0.5

9.2 2.81.56.20.02.43.8 2013/14 0.7

8.6 3.01.75.20.02.14.1 2014/15 1.1

8.6 3.32.05.40.02.14.1 2015/16 1.0

10.6 3.11.87.00.02.74.0 2016/17 1.5

Canada

11.8 8.97.61.50.03.43.5 2008/09 3.0

9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.71.40.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0

10.2 7.76.51.60.03.92.7 2013/14 2.0

7.1 6.55.31.50.13.32.1 2014/15 1.2

8.2 7.05.81.20.23.52.4 2015/16 1.4

8.8 7.26.01.70.14.02.2 2016/17 1.5

European Union

65.8 57.341.73.60.34.514.6 2008/09 11.0

62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6

53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.9 51.235.83.00.54.311.9 2011/12 6.1

54.9 51.035.55.00.14.412.5 2012/13 5.0

59.7 53.438.05.70.04.812.4 2013/14 5.6

60.7 50.935.59.50.14.912.4 2014/15 5.9

61.5 51.736.310.80.35.012.2 2015/16 5.2

59.8 54.138.76.20.44.812.5 2016/17 5.1



Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 0.9

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

4.7 2.32.01.80.04.51.1 2012/13 0.8

4.4 2.72.31.30.04.41.0 2013/14 1.2

3.5 2.82.40.90.04.50.8 2014/15 1.0

3.4 2.82.40.70.04.50.8 2015/16 0.9

3.6 3.02.60.90.04.50.8 2016/17 0.6

Australia

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2

2.2 1.11.11.20.03.40.6 2012/13 0.2

1.3 0.90.90.40.02.40.5 2013/14 0.2

2.2 0.50.51.60.03.00.7 2014/15 0.2

2.0 1.11.11.00.03.00.7 2015/16 0.2

1.5 1.11.10.40.03.00.5 2016/17 0.2


U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

20,47731,3343,09222,99923,5183,9644,11755,147nr318,771 2014/15

26,55232,0214,14121,85621,0943,0563,07356,117nr319,149 2015/16

32,28533,9936,12326,00026,5353,4003,40262,859nr417,762 2016/17

Corn

43,974301,792134,10846,83147,421809804361,091nr1133,644 2014/15

44,123298,869130,33951,19848,2021,7791,714345,506nr1132,680 2015/16

59,822313,958142,24756,50056,5181,4001,397384,778nr1135,106 2016/17

Sorghum

4682,4592,0789,2698,935271010,988nr42,590 2014/15

9306,2132,6127,8958,6009811715,158nr53,177 2015/16

9635,8412,6676,3006,350252512,199nr52,494 2016/17

Barley

1,7114,2359362913114305133,953nr41,011 2014/15

2,2234,4061,0851612353504034,750nr41,278 2015/16

2,2514,5281,1971501313503484,339nr41,035 2016/17

Oats

7802,4471,33029271,7671,8761,019nr2419 2014/15

8242,7021,58235291,5381,4751,300nr3516 2015/16

6762,6101,47930291,5001,551940nr2397 2016/17

Rye

1540616436262237183nr2104 2014/15

1251527065217222295nr2148 2015/16

2455430656200230342nr2168 2016/17

Rice, Milled

1,5524,301nr3,3553,0617587837,10610,07981,187 2014/15

1,4753,555nr3,5253,4217657666,1338,76181,046 2015/16

1,5914,191nr3,5503,5567507467,11710,16781,253 2016/17

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY)

statistics are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and

'Exports' columns contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and

sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is Aug/July.


Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,285.9 422.81,329.8656.6202.22.4544.3 1987/88

1,218.1 339.11,301.9619.5203.32.2541.9 1988/89

1,327.4 320.31,346.2644.5208.92.4548.2 1989/90

1,417.5 368.31,369.6669.8190.12.6545.6 1990/91

1,355.6 357.91,365.9653.5207.52.5543.3 1991/92

1,431.7 398.51,388.2664.1205.22.6545.9 1992/93

1,356.5 366.01,389.1657.1188.22.5536.0 1993/94

1,393.0 363.21,395.7670.5200.12.6534.1 1994/95

1,338.9 320.31,381.8641.8187.52.5527.3 1995/96

1,490.1 368.71,441.6674.6198.32.7545.7 1996/97

1,490.6 416.11,443.2685.6190.42.8535.2 1997/98

1,481.3 449.01,448.3685.3198.72.8520.2 1998/99

1,465.6 444.21,469.9690.4214.02.9506.2 1999/00

1,446.3 418.21,472.2700.3204.92.8509.2 2000/01

1,480.2 402.71,495.7713.6208.32.9511.5 2001/02

1,445.0 341.31,506.4711.6209.22.9504.2 2002/03

1,473.6 278.91,536.0718.1205.82.9511.2 2003/04

1,643.2 335.61,586.6756.3214.43.2514.8 2004/05

1,600.2 318.41,617.3758.1222.53.1517.5 2005/06

1,584.7 272.81,630.4749.5229.93.1519.1 2006/07

1,691.9 289.21,675.4764.1244.73.2534.4 2007/08

1,792.2 359.61,721.9773.8253.53.3539.4 2008/09

1,804.2 396.01,767.8782.3254.13.4533.6 2009/10

1,747.7 359.91,783.8773.5249.93.3523.4 2010/11

1,853.8 360.41,853.3807.8287.13.4537.8 2011/12

1,795.1 341.81,813.8807.1279.73.4532.4 2012/13

1,994.6 406.01,930.4860.2327.83.7540.5 2013/14

2,035.3 463.71,977.5883.4335.73.7546.9 2014/15

1,985.2 486.21,962.7902.7357.23.6545.8 2015/16

2,080.3 507.12,059.4939.4356.53.8543.9 2016/17

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

523.1 164.7541.7103.0101.52.5213.4 1994/95

537.5 156.6545.696.999.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.3 165.3572.6101.4104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 199.0576.5106.2104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.5 210.5579.0109.4102.02.7219.2 1998/99

587.5 210.3587.6104.6111.92.8212.7 1999/00

582.8 206.0587.1111.2102.12.7215.4 2000/01

583.9 203.3586.6112.0107.92.7214.3 2001/02

569.7 169.0603.9116.1106.52.7213.4 2002/03

555.7 135.8588.9101.7103.52.7208.0 2003/04

626.8 156.2606.3110.7113.22.9215.8 2004/05

618.8 153.3621.8117.7114.12.8217.5 2005/06

596.7 133.4616.5113.1115.32.8212.3 2006/07

611.9 128.1617.3104.6116.02.8216.9 2007/08

684.0 169.1642.9124.0143.23.1224.1 2008/09

687.2 203.3653.1122.3135.33.0225.6 2009/10

649.5 198.9653.8116.8134.03.0216.9 2010/11

697.3 198.5697.8148.7153.73.2221.0 2011/12

658.6 177.8679.3138.2147.33.1215.8 2012/13

715.1 194.9697.9126.6162.53.3219.6 2013/14

728.1 217.3705.7131.8161.83.3221.7 2014/15

735.5 240.5712.3138.5172.13.3225.0 2015/16

752.7 253.3739.9147.6177.03.4221.6 2016/17

Coarse Grains

869.8 198.5854.0567.698.62.7320.8 1994/95

801.4 163.7836.2544.988.32.6310.5 1995/96

908.7 203.5869.0573.294.32.9318.6 1996/97

880.4 217.2866.7579.485.82.9308.8 1997/98

890.8 238.6869.4575.996.73.0301.0 1998/99

878.1 233.9882.3585.8102.13.0293.5 1999/00

863.5 212.2885.1589.2102.82.9293.9 2000/01

896.3 199.5909.1601.6100.43.0297.3 2001/02

875.3 172.3902.5595.5102.73.0290.8 2002/03

917.9 143.1947.1616.4102.33.0303.3 2003/04

1,016.4 179.4980.2645.6101.23.4299.1 2004/05

981.3 165.1995.6640.4108.43.3300.0 2005/06

988.1 139.31,013.9636.4114.53.2306.8 2006/07

1,080.0 161.21,058.1659.5128.73.4317.5 2007/08

1,108.2 190.51,078.9649.8110.43.5315.3 2008/09

1,117.0 192.71,114.7660.0118.83.6308.0 2009/10

1,098.2 161.01,129.9656.7115.93.6306.6 2010/11

1,156.5 161.91,155.5659.0133.43.7316.8 2011/12

1,136.5 163.91,134.5668.9132.43.6316.6 2012/13

1,279.6 211.01,232.5733.5165.34.0320.9 2013/14

1,307.2 246.41,271.8751.6173.94.0325.3 2014/15

1,249.7 245.71,250.4764.2185.23.9320.8 2015/16

1,327.7 253.81,319.5791.8179.54.1322.3 2016/17

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

559.6 153.3535.7371.671.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.7 133.3536.8365.364.83.8135.1 1995/96

592.9 166.3559.9387.866.64.2141.5 1996/97

574.1 167.2573.3400.663.14.2136.3 1997/98

605.8 191.4581.6404.468.74.4139.0 1998/99

608.1 194.4605.1422.572.04.4138.8 1999/00

591.7 175.2610.8427.375.94.3137.1 2000/01

601.8 151.5625.5436.372.74.4137.1 2001/02

603.9 126.9628.5433.476.84.4137.7 2002/03

627.7 104.6649.9445.779.04.4141.6 2003/04

717.1 131.1690.7476.076.04.9145.4 2004/05

701.0 123.6708.5479.582.54.8145.4 2005/06

716.5 108.9731.2480.291.34.8150.5 2006/07

795.5 127.9776.6501.398.25.0160.3 2007/08

800.1 143.5784.4481.983.65.0158.7 2008/09

825.2 140.9827.8492.792.75.2158.4 2009/10

835.8 123.4853.2503.591.75.1164.6 2010/11

889.7 128.1885.1508.5103.75.2172.1 2011/12

869.6 133.1864.6518.4100.74.9177.5 2012/13

990.4 174.8948.8570.6130.85.5180.3 2013/14

1,015.1 209.3980.5584.3128.45.6179.7 2014/15

961.1 210.0960.4598.6144.95.4177.8 2015/16

1,037.9 221.01,027.0626.0142.15.7181.0 2016/17

Barley

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.2 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.3 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.7 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.0 22.6134.394.616.32.553.1 2000/01

143.5 29.2136.995.517.22.655.7 2001/02

134.3 27.6135.994.716.32.554.7 2002/03

142.9 23.5147.0103.314.82.458.4 2003/04

152.4 33.1142.7100.217.02.757.4 2004/05

136.2 28.3141.197.417.42.555.2 2005/06

136.8 21.4143.698.414.62.456.3 2006/07

132.7 20.5133.691.018.52.455.7 2007/08

155.0 31.6143.9100.418.22.855.0 2008/09

150.9 37.2145.3101.517.32.854.2 2009/10

123.0 24.1136.191.315.22.647.1 2010/11

133.5 22.6135.091.721.42.749.2 2011/12

129.1 20.4131.388.822.22.650.2 2012/13

144.3 23.9140.997.323.82.850.7 2013/14

141.8 24.1141.697.430.12.949.6 2014/15

148.7 25.1147.7100.227.53.050.0 2015/16

144.1 23.0146.2100.626.93.048.6 2016/17

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Productio

Productio

n

TY

Exports

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

464.8 105.3313.211.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.6325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.33.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.6345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.9 126.7353.214.4353.33.5147.6 1991/92

524.0 123.1357.414.9353.93.6146.4 1992/93

526.1 118.9358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

563.8 120.3378.218.9380.43.8150.2 1996/97

575.3 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.3 1998/99

608.8 143.1400.222.8409.33.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.3399.23.9152.8 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.227.9399.53.9151.6 2001/02

563.0 103.0408.127.6378.23.8147.7 2002/03

585.4 81.7413.827.3392.53.9149.5 2003/04

596.4 74.0408.528.9400.83.9151.4 2004/05

622.3 76.5415.429.0417.94.0154.2 2005/06

625.0 75.4421.231.8420.14.1154.3 2006/07

643.6 80.9428.129.5433.64.2155.0 2007/08

669.5 92.9437.929.4449.94.2158.5 2008/09

656.2 95.1438.531.8440.74.2155.8 2009/10

672.1 100.1445.436.5450.44.2158.2 2010/11

697.2 106.8460.940.0467.64.3160.4 2011/12

704.6 113.9465.439.5472.54.4158.8 2012/13

713.3 113.9478.344.1478.34.4161.6 2013/14

713.5 114.7477.842.6478.64.4160.9 2014/15

704.2 116.5470.539.7472.44.4159.2 2015/16

715.8 118.7477.840.8480.04.4161.3 2016/17

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.


54

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

REGIONAL TABLES

North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States.

Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama.

Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British

Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies,

Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique,

Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the

Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S.

South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas

Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela.

EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark,

Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta,

Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom.

Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar,

Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland.

Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan,

Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan.

Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia,

Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen.

North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia.

Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa.

East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia,

Taiwan.

South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives.

Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore,

Thailand, Vietnam.

Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.


55

OTHER NOTES

Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main

harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed

begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2015/16 starts in 2015); except for summer grains

in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second

year begins the LMY (2015/16 starts in 2016). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum

Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb)

Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb)

Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug)

China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun)

European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May)

Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun)

Russia(Jul/Jun)

Turkey (Jun/May)

Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

United States (Jun/May)

**Updated** For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website

(https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads).

Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local

marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in

time.

Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed,

industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local

marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however,

reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only.

Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables

contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for

analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye

are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year.

EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union

(Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through

1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for

grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10,

plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00.

Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain

equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and

mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.



56

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries,

and trade to countries outside the USDA database.

The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural

Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from

official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S.

agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information.

Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448.

Note: The previous report in this series was Grain: World Markets and Trade December 2016.

For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production January

2016.

This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home

Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

Questions may be directed to the following staff:

Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat

Shelbi Knisley (202) 690-2361 [email protected] Wheat

Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Rice

Rhiannon Elms (202) 649-3872 [email protected] Rice

Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Coarse Grains

Graham Soley (202) 772-4235 [email protected] Coarse Grains


http://www.fas.usda.gov/

mailto:[email protected]






strong corn exports for russia and ukraine...2017/01/12 · ukraine’s situation is different:...

Documents