structure of mongolian economy and economic … mongolia... 2 economic diversification indicators...

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www.ecrc.mn Structure of Mongolian Economy and Economic diversification of Mongolia Lakshmi B. Director

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Page 1: Structure of Mongolian Economy and Economic … Mongolia... 2 Economic diversification indicators 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 Уул уурхай, олборлолт Хөдөө

www.ecrc.mn

Structure of Mongolian Economy and

Economic diversification of Mongolia

Lakshmi B.

Director

Page 2: Structure of Mongolian Economy and Economic … Mongolia... 2 Economic diversification indicators 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 Уул уурхай, олборлолт Хөдөө

www.ecrc.mn 2

Mineral dependency indicators

7,654.4

10,637.5

13,945.7

16,324.8

18,566.0 19,178.1

132.4

642.1

2,102.2

2,536.2

2,742.8

2,849.4

3,661.0 3,956.0

10.8

28.4

19.5

14.9

17.1

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

0.0

5,000.0

10,000.0

15,000.0

20,000.0

25,000.0

2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 (p) 2015

Тэр б

ум т

өгр

өг

Бусад салбарын ДНБ-д оруулсан хувь нэмэр (мөнгөн дүнгээр)

ОҮ-иин ДНБ-д оруулсан хувь нэмэр (мөнгөн дүнгээр)

ДНБ-д ОҮ-иин эзлэх хувь

Source: NSO

Extractive industries share of total GDP of Mongolia

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www.ecrc.mn 3

Share of extractive industry in the state budget revenue

1,275

2,150

1,593 1,576 1,579

40.8

48.1

32.1

26.3 25.6

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

эзл

эх х

увиин ж

ин

тэрб

ум

төгр

өг

Олборлох үилдвэрлэлиин салбараас улсын төсөвт орсон орлого /тэрбум төг/

Олборлох үилдвэрлэлиин салбарын улсын төсөвт эзлэх хувь

Source: EITI, NSO

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www.ecrc.mn 4

2 Economic diversification indicators

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

Уул уурхай, олборлолт Хөдөө аж ахуй, ойн аж ахуй, загас барилт, ан агнуур

Бөөний болон жижиглэн худалдаа; машин,

мотоциклийн засвар үйлчилгээ

Боловсруулах үйлдвэрлэл

эзл

эх х

уви

йн

жи

н

1990 1995 2000 2006 2010 2015

GDP by sectors

Source: NSO

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www.ecrc.mn 5

Economic diversification indicators

48.6 48.3 44.9 41.8 40.2 39.9 38.8 37.7 36.2 34.7 33.5 33.0 35.0 29.8 28.0 28.5

10.4 10.8 12.0 14.0 14.1 14.7 15.9 15.8 16.3 15.9 14.1 14.7 12.4 14.1 15.3 15.5

-

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Уул уурхаи, олборлолт

Бөөнии болон жижиглэн худалдаа,машин, мотоциклиин засвар үилчилгээ

Хөдөө аж ахуи, оин аж ахуи, загас барилт, ан агнуур

Боловсруулах үилдвэрлэл

Үл хөдлөх хөрөнгиин үил ажиллагаа

Санхүүгиин болон даатгалын үил ажиллагаа

Тээвэр ба агуулахын үил ажиллагаа

Барилга

Төриин удирдлага ба батлан хамгаалах үил ажиллагаа, албан журмын ниигмиин хамгаалал

Боловсрол

Бусад

Source: NSO

Share of economic sectors in the labor market

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www.ecrc.mn 6

Foreign Trade

4,669

3,798

1,585 1,150

1,417

5,779

11,416 11,011

8,467

(2,354) (3,000)

(1,000)

1,000

3,000

5,000

7,000

9,000

11,000

1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Export Import Turnover Trade balance

Main indicators of Mongolia’s foreign trade

Source: UN COMTRADE statistics, Customs statistics of Mongolia (1995-2015) by current prices

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www.ecrc.mn 7

Foreign Trade

82.2

43.9

52.1

61.8 62.1

13.0

3.4 0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Total

China

Russia

Japan

Korea

Share of partner countries in Mongolia’s foreign trade (1990-2015)

Source: UN COMTRADE statistics, Customs statistics of Mongolia

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Share of main export goods in total export

'2601

'2709 '7108

'2701

'2603

-

20

40

60

80

100

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

'5105 '2529 '7403 '2608 '5102 '2601 '2709 '7108 '2701 '2603

Source: UN COMTRADE statistics, Customs Statistics of Mongolia

Foreign Trade

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www.ecrc.mn 9

HS Product description 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

'2603 Copper ore and concentrate 30.6% 26.8% 20.1% 19.1% 22.2% 44.6% 48.8%

'2701 Coal 2.5% 30.6% 47.0% 42.9% 26.1% 14.7% 11.9%

'7108 Gold unwrought or in semi-manufactured forms, or in

powder form 31.1% 4.9% 2.3% 2.8% 7.3% 7.0% 9.0%

'2709 Crude oil 0.9% 5.4% 5.3% 7.7% 12.1% 11.0% 8.3%

'2601 Iron ore and concentrate 0.4% 8.8% 9.2% 12.1% 15.3% 7.7% 4.9%

'5102 Uncombed animal wool, fine and coarse hair 1.6% 3.9% 2.9% 3.4% 4.5% 4.1% 4.6%

'2608 Zinc ore and concentrate 1.0% 4.7% 3.0% 3.0% 2.8% 2.0% 2.2%

'7403 Refined copper and unwrought alloys 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.4%

'2529 Feldspar, leucite, nepheline and nepheline syenite,

fluorspar 2.4% 2.4% 2.0% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 1.4%

'5105 Combed animal wool, fine and coarse hair 5.8% 2.5% 1.3% 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 0.9%

'2613 Molybdenum ore and concentrate 4.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6%

HHI – Export diversification 0.1999 0.1844 0.2752 0.2448 0.1647 0.2459 0.2731

Share 42% 81% 90% 91% 88% 89% 87%

Main export products

Share of minerals in the total export

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www.ecrc.mn 10

Foreign Trade

0.58

1.7

19.5

37.9

-

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

-

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2013 2014

Ниит экспортод өндөр технологиин бүтээгдэхүүнии эзлэх хувь

АҮ-иин бүтээгдэхүүнии экспортод өндөр технологиин бүтээгдэхүүнии эзлэх хувь

Ниит экспортод АҮ-иин бүтээгдэхүүнии эзлэх хувь

Share of technology intensive goods and industrial goods in the total export

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GGDP composition

64% 5%

31%

2015 GDP 23,134 billion MNT

Улаанбаатар

Орхон

Бусад

Source: NSO

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www.ecrc.mn 12

GDP composition by provinces

41

0.1

1,0

59

.6

59

9.9

58

5.6

54

2.9

51

4.6

41

3.6

37

4.3

36

9.2

35

2.3

33

3.0

33

0.9

32

4.9

31

3.6

31

3.2

30

6.4

28

2.5

26

3.6

24

0.1

23

8.7

83

.6

GDP OF THE 21 PROVINCES, 2015 ОНД

Source: NSO

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www.ecrc.mn

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