study design percutaneous coronary interventional strategies for … · 2014-10-16 · study design...
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Study Design
Percutaneous Coronary Interventional
Strategies for the Treatment of Coronary In-
Stent Restenosis: Systematic Review and
Network Meta-analysis
George CM Siontis, MD1; Giulio G Stefanini, MD1; Dimitris Mavridis, PhD2,3;
Konstantinos C Siontis, MD4; Adnan Kastrati, MD5,6; Robert A Byrne, MB,
BCh, PhD 5,6; Fernando Alfonso, MD, PhD7; Bernhard Meier, MD1; Georgia
Salanti, PhD2; Peter Jüni, MD8; Stephan Windecker, MD1
1 Department of Cardiology, Bern University Hospital, Bern 3010, Switzerland. 2 Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina School of Medicine, Ioannina, Greece. 3 Department of Primary Education, University of Ioannina, Ioannina, Greece. 4 Department of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA. 5 Deutsches Herzzentrum, Technische Universität, Munich, Germany. 6 DZHK (German Centre for Cardiovascular Research), partner site Munich Heart Alliance, Munich, Germany. 7 Cardiac Department, Hospital Universitario de La Princesa Madrid, Madrid, Spain. 8 Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine and Clinical Trials Unit, Department of Clinical Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Contact address : Stephan Windecker, Professor and Chief-of-Cardiology,
Department of Cardiology, Bern University Hospital, 3010 Bern, Switzerland. E-mail:
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This is the protocol for a systematic review and there is no abstract. We aim to conduct a
systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that
compare different percutaneous invasive strategies for the treatment of any type of coronary in-
stent restenosis (ISR). To create this protocol we used the proposed template for network meta-
analyses that is available on the following website mtm.uoi.gr.
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Background D e s c ri pti o n o f the c o ndi ti o n
Percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI) are routinely performed with the use of bare metal
(BMS) or drug eluting stents (DES) in a broad spectrum of clinical and anatomic settings. Stent
design has continuously improved through technological advances over the last two decades,
with the aim to optimize clinical and angiographic outcomes. Introduced in 2002, DES
represented a paradigm shift in PCI primarily by mitigating the risk of in-stent restenosis (ISR),
defined as a recurrent diameter stenosis >50% within the stented segment or its edges (5-mm
proximal or distal segments adjacent to the stent),(1,2) which has been the major limitation of
BMS.(3-5)
Early-generation DES have been largely replaced by new-generation DES, which have
further improved the safety and efficacy of PCI. (3,6-8) However, ISR requiring repeat
revascularization is still observed in 5-10% of patients undergoing PCI with DES (9) and in 15-
30% of patients undergoing PCI with BMS.(10-12) Although ISR reaches a peak during the first
year after stenting, late restenosis has been described for both DES and BMS.(13,14)
Accumulating evidence suggests important differences not only in ISR frequency but also pattern
of ISR between BMS and DES.(15-17) Of note, the risk of recurrent ISR remains high and
various treatments options including balloon angioplasty (BA), BMS, vascular brachytherapy
(VBT), DES, and drug-coated balloons (DCB) have been applied.(16,17) However, to date the
optimal treatment of ISR has not been determined and it remains unclear whether there are
differences in terms of treatment choice between BMS- and DES-ISR.
D e s c ri pti o n o f the interventions
Numerous treatment strategies have been investigated, including BA, rotablation, VBT, BMS,
DES with different antiproliferative drugs, and DCB. All of these percutaneous catheter-based
interventions aim to restore coronary blood flow by effectively treating in-stent neointimal
hyperplasia and preventing and recurrent restenosis.
BA refers to the intracoronary dilatation with a balloon within the diseased coronary
segment. Rotational atherectomy (rotablation) is a debulking technique whereby a diamond
tipped device spins at high revolutions to remove atheroma or tissue. VBT consists of the local
application of an intracoronary ionizing radiation source at the site of the diseased coronary
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segment. BMS are metallic prostheses which are implanted within the diseased coronary
segment. DES are metallic prostheses which – beyond providing scaffolding properties –locally
release antiproliferative agents over time. Finally, with DCB interventions, a balloon coated with
an antiproliferative agent dilates a coronary ISR lesion and the released drug is retained in the
treated tissue.
How the interventions might work
The interventions work by initially restoring flow with mechanical means which can be followed
by interventions to prevent recurrent neointimal hyperplasia and recurrent restenosis. This can be
achieved with the use of antiproliferative drugs in stents or dilatation balloons, or local radiation
therapy. Restoration of coronary flow and prevention of restenosis may reduce symptoms and
incidence of adverse cardiovascular outcomes (such as myocardial infarction) and ultimately
prolong survival.
Why i t i s important to do this re v i e w
Although the incidence of ISR has declined with the systematic use of DES, ISR still occurs in
up to 10% of patients treated with new generation DES within 4 years of the intervention.(9)
Moreover, patients with ISR have a high risk of recurrent restenosis after different
interventions.(18,19) So far, randomized trials have directly compared several of the available
percutaneous catheter-based interventions for the treatment of ISR. However, the absence of
head-to-head trials for most of the treatments and the limited number of patients and trials leave
considerable uncertainty for decision-making and the optimal percutaneous treatment strategy
for patients presenting with ISR is still a matter of debate.(18)
OBJECTIVES
We aim to systematically review the literature and quantitatively synthesize currently available
evidence in order to compare directly and indirectly clinical and angiographic outcomes of
different percutaneous catheter-based coronary interventional strategies for the treatment of
patients with any type of coronary ISR after BMS or DES implantation. We aim to create a
clinically meaningful hierarchy of the effectiveness of available invasive strategies.
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Methods
Criteria for considering studies for this review Ty pes o f s tudie s
Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing different invasive strategies for the treatment of
coronary ISR will be identified through a broad systematic literature search. We will include trials
that investigated any type of PCI strategy under different clinical settings for the treatment
of ISR. Trials with 2 or more arms of interventions irrespective of the type of ISR (BMS or DES
related) will be eligible. Trials with 2 or more arms for which a subset of interventions satisfy the
inclusion criteria will be kept in the analysis after having discarded those arms that do not satisfy
inclusion criteria. No language or year restrictions will be applied. From our systematic review,
we will exclude studies that allowed a mixture of interventions of interest in one study arm (i.e.,
balloon angioplasty, rotablation, or stenting); and studies that were not completed at the time of
our search (October 2014).
Ty pes o f patients inc luded
Eligible studies will include patients with any type of coronary ISR (following BMS or DES
implantation) that present with stable coronary artery disease (CAD) or an acute coronary
syndrome (ACS) and receive a percutaneous invasive strategy as treatment.
Ty pes o f interventions
We will consider trials that compare two or more of the following percutaneous invasive
strategies for the treatment of coronary ISR after BMS or DES implantation: BA, VBT, BMS, as
well as DES and DCB with different antiproliferative drugs. We will not consider studies that
examined cutting balloon or laser atherectomy as the only interventions in a study arm since
these interventions are exceedingly rare as single therapies. All possible comparisons are
illustrated in the network plots in Figure 1A and 1 B . Nodes refer to interventions and edges
between nodes refer to the fact that there are studies directly comparing the interventions defined
by the nodes. We will include any type of ISR (BMS- and DES-ISR) in the same analysis, while
analyses for BMS- and DES-ISR will be also performed separately. For the primary and any
additional analyses we will consider DES separately according to the type of antiproliferative
agent but we will also present analyses grouping the different DES types together. In case that
other than the pre-specified percutaneous coronary interventions will be identified through our
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search and deemed eligible, these will be also considered and included in our analysis. We are
mainly interested in the following two interventions of different types of DES versus DCB for
the treatment of ISR. We will also include supplementary interventions in the network (i.e. VBT,
rotablation) to increase the amount of available (indirect) information in the analysis.(20)
Ty pes o f outcome measures
As most of the clinical trials have used primary angiographic endpoints for the assessment of the
efficacy of ISR therapies, percent diameter stenosis was chosen as the primary endpoint in the
present study to provide sufficient precision and to arrive at a conclusive answer. It is known that
currently applied interventions for ISR have little effect on hard clinical outcomes, and most trials
have been underpowered to detect a difference for such outcomes. Percent diameter
stenosis is a most sensitive endpoint for the evaluation of angiographic effectiveness as
compared to binary restenosis, which is included as a secondary endpoint in our analysis.
More specifically, we will estimate the relative ranking of the competing interventions according
to the following outcomes:
Primary outcome:
• Percent diameter stenosis (% DS) at follow-up. Secondary outcomes:
• Binary restenosis (diameter stenosis of 50% or greater at follow-up angiography on the basis of the “in-segment” analysis)
• Target lesion revascularization (TLR)
• All-cause mortality
• Myocardial infarction (MI) Target-vessel MI and clinically-driven TLR will be extracted whenever available. Finally, when
TLR is not reported, we will extract target vessel revascularization (TVR) and consider it
equivalent to TLR.
Search methods for identification of studies Trials comparing any eligible invasive strategy for the treatment of coronary ISR will be
identified through a systematic literature search of the following databases: PubMed, EMBASE,
and Cochrane Library Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL); while the
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ClinicalTrials.gov and Current Controlled Trials (controlled-trials.com) registries will be
additionally scrutinized to ensure identification of all published trials. A modified search
algorithm will be developed and adapted for each database with a combination of relevant text
terms and key words (as provided in Appendix ). Potentially eligible trials that have been only
presented at conferences and of which a full manuscript is not yet available at the time of our
search, will be considered eligible and the principal investigators will be contacted to participate
in this meta- analysis by providing the required data. We will scrutinize for additional eligible
studies the reference lists of the retrieved publications, and relevant meta-analyses in the field.
No language, year of publication, or sample size restrictions will be applied.
Data collection and analysis S e l e c ti o n o f s tudie s
The aforementioned search strategy will be performed for each database separately and search
results will be entered in EROS (Early Review Organizing Software) (www.eros-systematic-
review.org), a web-based software designed specifically for the first stages of a systematic
review. Using this software, 2 investigators will scrutinize all the entries for eligibility in title
and abstract level.
Data ex trac tion and management
Two investigators will perform study identification, data abstraction, and risk of bias
assessment independently. Any discrepancies will be resolved by consensus and arbitration by a
third investigator.
We will review the main report, subsequent publications of each trial and any
supplementary material of the included trials and extract the following data:
• study characteristics: first author, study acronym, year of publication, interventions of
interest, study arms, number of patients in each arm of randomisation, and the sponsor of
the study.
• patient data: age, gender, comorbidities, and clinical indication for coronary intervention (stable angina or ACS).
• lesion characteristics: target vessel, bifurcations, ostial lesions, total occlusion, and index stent type of restenosis (BMS- or DES-ISR).
• quantitative angiographic measurements (in-segment and in-stent): before procedure [lesion length (mm), reference vessel diameter (RVD), minimal luminal diameter (MLD),
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and % of diameter stenosis (%DS)]; post-procedure [MLD and %DS]; and at available
angiographic follow-up [late luminal loss (LLL), MLD, %DS, and binary restenosis]. The
pre-specified time of angiographic and clinical follow-up will be recorded for each trial,
while for the clinical endpoints of interest we will consider the longest available follow-
up period.
• clinical outcomes: the clinical outcomes of interest will be extracted. Outcome data
From each eligible trial we will extract the number of individuals randomized to each arm. We
will also extract any summary metric (mean (standard deviation) or median (interquartile range))
that is reported for each arm of intervention for the main angiographic outcome of interest at
follow-up (percent diameter stenosis). For the secondary outcomes of interest (overall mortality,
myocardial infarction, target lesion revascularisation, binary restenosis), the respective number
of participants in each arm of interventions and the number of participants with one of the events
of interest, will be also recorded.
Data on potential e f f e c t mo di f i e rs
We will report separate effect estimates for the primary outcome of interest only and the main
network (including any type of ISR and different types of DES separately (Figure 1B ))
with respect to the following potential effect modifiers:
1. Year of study publication. 2. Sample size of the trial. 3. Clinical indication for coronary intervention (stable angina or ACS) 4. Index stent type of restenosis (BMS- or DES-ISR)
Assessment of risk of bias in included studies We will investigate study limitations using the Cochrane risk of bias tool to evaluate the internal
validity and conduct of included studies. Two authors will independently assess risk of bias for
each included study using the risk of bias assessment tool.(21) We will resolve any
disagreements with discussion and involvement of a third author. Each item will be described as
being at low, high or unclear risk of bias. The areas that will be evaluated are:
random sequence generation: Was there adequate sequence generation (selection bias)?
allocation concealment: Was allocation adequately concealed (selection bias)?
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blinding: Was knowledge of the allocated intervention adequately prevented during the
study (detection bias)?
o participants and personnel
o outcome assessors incomplete outcome data: Were incomplete outcome data adequately addressed (attrition
bias)?
selective outcome reporting: Are reports of the study free of possible selective outcome
reporting (reporting bias)?
We will evaluate the aforementioned items not only in each study but also in each pairwise
comparison.(22) We will classify each piece of direct evidence in the network as low, moderate,
or high risk of bias. We will illustrate these assessments in the network plot for the primary
outcome with colored edges according to the risk of bias. We will also produce the contribution
matrix which gives the percentage contribution of each direct estimate to the network meta-
analysis estimates.(23) This will help to delineate the contribution of direct and indirect evidence
to each network meta-analysis estimate.
Measures of treatment effect Re l ati v e treatment e f f e c ts
First, we will conduct a pair-wise meta-analysis by synthesizing at least two studies that compare
the same interventions using a random-effects model (24) in STATA 12. A random-effects model
assumes that different studies assessed different yet related treatment effects. We will
estimate the pairwise relative treatment effects of the competing interventions using standardized
mean differences for the primary outcome (percent diameter stenosis). We will estimate odds
ratios (OR) for dichotomous outcomes. We will produce summary results for all outcomes and
give 95% confidence intervals. We will use restricted maximum likelihood to estimate
heterogeneity. If we have skewed data, we will use the methods presented in to pool results.(25)
Re l ati v e treatment ranking
We will estimate the ranking probabilities for all treatments of being at each possible rank for
each intervention using the mvmeta command in STATA.(26) We will obtain a hierarchy of the
competing interventions using rankograms.(27) We will obtain a treatment hierarchy using the
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surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) and mean ranks.(28) We will produce the
relevant plots using the suite of STATA commands by Chaimani et al.(28)
U ni t o f anal y s i s i s s ue s
We expect that some studies will not report mean values and standard deviations (SD) but would
report certain quantiles instead. If a study reports the median, minimum, and maximum values,
we will use the methodology from (29) to estimate the respective mean and SD of the study
population. We will include also those studies that report the median and the interquartile range
(IQR) assuming that data are normally distributed and the standard deviation would be
s=IQR/1.35 while the mean would be equal to the median. However, use of median and IQR is
usually an indicator that data are not normal (Cochrane handbook chapter 7, available from
www.cochrane-handbook.org).(30) We will repeat the analysis excluding these studies as a
sensitivity analysis for the main network.
Studie s w i th mul tipl e treatment groups
We will take into account the correlations between effect sizes measured within a single trial. Assessment of reporting biases For each pairwise comparison that includes at least 10 trials we will draw funnel plots and
compute Egger’s test to test visually and statistically for small-study effects. For these
comparisons we will draw contour-enhanced funnel plots to disentangle small study effects from
publication bias.(31) We will also draw a comparison-adjusted funnel plot to explore for small
study effects assuming that small study effects favour the novel treatment.(28,32) In case
publication bias is suspected (by funnel plot asymmetry) and enough studies are included in the
synthesis, we will also apply a selection model to explore if probability of publication is
associated with magnitude of effect.(33)
Dealing with missing data Missing data and dropouts will be assessed in all included studies. Details and characteristics of
dropouts will be investigated and reported. We will explore if reasons for missing data are related
to the actual outcome and if missing data are balanced in the intervention arms. We will
extract if authors accounted for missing data and which method they used to do so. If the authors
have used naïve imputation methods (best/worst case scenarios, mean imputation), we will
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consider the study to be at high risk of bias whereas if they have used methods that take into
account the fact that data have been imputed using statistical methods that take uncertainty in the
imputed values into account (e.g. multiple imputation) we will consider the study to be at low
risk of bias.
Assessment of clinical and methodological heterogeneity within treatment
comparisons There are three different types of heterogeneity, namely clinical, methodological and statistical
heterogeneity (Cochrane handbook chapter 9).(34) To evaluate the presence of clinical
heterogeneity we will generate descriptive statistics for trial and study population characteristics
across all eligible trials that compare each pair of interventions. We will assess the presence of
clinical heterogeneity within each pairwise comparison by comparing these characteristics. We
will assess methodological heterogeneity by evaluating the design of the studies. Statistical
heterogeneity refers to differences in true effect sizes.
Assessment of transitivity across treatment comparisons Although participants are randomized within a study, treatment strategy comparisons are not
randomized across studies. We assume that an intervention is missing from a trial for reasons
not associated with its relative effectiveness and any patient that meets the inclusion criteria is, in
principle, equally likely to be randomized to any of the eligible interventions.(35,36) This is a key
assumption in network meta-analysis called transitivity. It states that we can genuinely learn
about the relative effectiveness between two treatments via an indirect route. If for example the
treatments “rotablation” and “BMS” are both directly compared to “BA”, then we can assess
“rotablation” vs. “BMS” indirectly through “BA”. This assumption entails that “BA” is similar
when it appears in “BA” vs. “rotablation” and “BA” vs. “BMS” trials and also that the
distribution of effect modifiers is similar in “BA” vs. “rotablation” and “BA” vs. “BMS” trials.
This will be extended in all treatment comparisons. We will assess the assumption of transitivity
by comparing the distribution of the potential effect modifiers across the different pairwise
comparisons. We suspect that year of study publication, sample size of the trial, clinical
indication for coronary intervention (stable angina or ACS), and index stent type of restenosis
(BMS- or DES-ISR) can be effect modifiers and we will explore if the distribution of these
differs across treatment comparisons. We assume that the most common treatment (BA) that
would be probably used for indirect comparisons is similar when it appears in different trials.
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The assessment of statistical heterogeneity in the entire network will be based on the
magnitude of the heterogeneity variance parameter (τ2) estimated from the network meta-analysis models. We will also estimate a total I-squared value for heterogeneity in the network as described elsewhere.(37)
Data synthesis Methods f o r direc t treatment compari sons
We will conduct pairwise meta-analyses in Stata by assuming a random effects model
(DerSimonian1986) for every treatment comparison with at least two studies.
Methods f o r indi rec t and mi x e d compari sons
We will use network meta-analysis to compare different percutaneous coronary interventions for
coronary in-stent restenosis. Network meta-analysis synthesizes both direct and indirect
evidence, estimates the relative effectiveness between pair of interventions even if these
interventions have never been compared directly in RCTs and provides a ranking of
interventions.(38-41) For a comparison, for example BA vs. rotablation, direct evidence is
provided by trials directly comparing these two interventions whereas indirect evidence is
provided if there is an indirect path linking these two treatments (e.g., if both BA and rotablation
are compared to BMS).(42) By combining direct and indirect evidence we obtain estimates with
increased precision. We will perform network meta-analysis in Stata using the mvmeta command
(37,43) and self-programmed Stata routines available at http://www.mtm.uoi.gr/index.php/stata-
routines-for-network-meta-analysis.(28) We will use the restricted maximum likelihood method
to estimate heterogeneity assuming a common estimate for the heterogeneity variance across the
different comparisons.
Assessment of statistical heterogeneity A s s umpti o ns w he n e s timating he te ro g e ne i ty
In standard pairwise meta-analyses, we assume different heterogeneity estimates for different
comparisons. In network meta-analysis we assume that heterogeneity is the same for all
treatment comparisons. We estimate heterogeneity using restricted maximum likelihood both in
pairwise and network meta-analysis.
Measures and te s ts f o r he te ro g e ne i ty
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We will assess statistical heterogeneity visually by inspecting the forest plot for each pairwise
comparison. We will also compute the I! and its 95% confidence interval that shows the
percentage of variation that is not attributed to random error.
The assessment of statistical heterogeneity in the entire network will be based on the
magnitude of the heterogeneity variance parameter (𝜏!) estimated from the network meta-
analysis models. For dichotomous outcomes magnitude of heterogeneity variance will be
compared with the empirical distribution as derived by Turner. We will also estimate a total 𝛪!
value for heterogeneity as described elsewhere.
Assessment of statistical inconsistency Lo cal approaches f o r evaluating i nc o ns i s te nc y
To evaluate the presence of inconsistency locally we will use the loop-specific approach.(42)
This method evaluates the consistency assumption in each closed loop of the network separately
as the difference between direct and indirect estimates for a specific comparison in the loop
(inconsistency factor). Then, the magnitude of the inconsistency factors and their 95% CIs can be
used to infer about the presence of inconsistency in each loop. We will assume a common
heterogeneity estimate within each loop.(44) We will present the results of this approach
graphically in a forest plot using the ifplot command in Stata.(28) Dias et al. suggested a method
which separates evidence on a particular comparison into ‘direct’ and ‘indirect’.(45) This ‘node-
splitting’ method excludes one direct comparison at a time and estimates the indirect treatment
effect for the excluded comparison. The direct and indirect evidence is subsequently compared to
see if direct and indirect evidence is in agreement.
Global approaches f o r evaluating i nc o ns i s te nc y
To check the assumption of consistency in the entire network we will use the ‘design-by-
treatment’ model as described by Higgins and colleagues.(46) This method accounts for different
source of inconsistency that can occur when studies with different designs (two-arm trials vs.
three-arm trials) give different results as well as disagreement between direct and indirect
evidence. Using this approach we will infer about the presence of inconsistency from any source
in the entire network based on a chi-square test. The design-by-treatment model will be
performed in Stata using the mvmeta command.
Inconsistency and heterogeneity are interweaved; to distinguish between these two sources
of variability we will employ the I-squared for inconsistency (47) that measures the percentage
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of variability that cannot be attributed to random error or heterogeneity (within comparison
variability).
Inv e s ti g ati o n o f he te ro g e ne i ty and i nc o ns i s te nc y
If we find important heterogeneity or/and inconsistency, we will explore the possible sources. If
sufficient studies are available, we will perform meta-regression or subgroup analyses for the
primary outcome by using the following effect modifiers as possible sources of inconsistency
and or heterogeneity: (i) year of study publication; (ii) sample size of the trial; (iii) clinical
indication for coronary intervention (stable angina or ACS); (iv) index stent type of restenosis
(BMS- or DES-ISR).
Sensitivity analyses For the primary angiographic outcome, we will repeat the analysis including those studies that
report only the median and the IQR assuming that data are normally distributed. For the primary
outcome and the main network we will repeat the analysis excluding those studies that are at
high or unclear risk of bias.
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Figures Figure 1 : Network plots illustrating all possible comparisons of the available interventions
for the treatment of any type of ISR. In panel A, any type of DES has been included in the same
group, while in panel B different types of DES have been included separately.
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Appendices Appendix 1 : Search algori thms .
Database Search algorithm
PUBMED #1 randomized controlled trial [pt]
#2 controlled clinical trial [pt]
#3 randomized [tiab]
#4 clinical trials as topic [mesh: noexp]
#5 randomly [tiab]
#6 trial [ti]
#7 restenosis [tiab]
#8 re-stenosis [tiab]
#9 in-stent restenosis [tiab]
#10 #1 OR #2 OR #3 OR #4 OR #5 OR #6 OR #7 OR #8 OR #9
#11 ((#1 OR #2 OR #3 OR #4 OR #5 OR #6 OR #7 OR #8 OR #9) AND
coronar* [tiab]
CENTRAL #1 coronar*: ti,ab,kw
#2 re*stenos*: ti,ab,kw
#3 random*: ti,ab,kw
#4 *stent*: ti,ab,kw
#5 #1 AND #2
#6 #3 AND #4 AND #5
EMBASE #1 in*stent re*stenos*s/mj
#2 coronar*:ti,ab
#3 random*:ti,ab
#4 (#1 near/5 #2):ti,ab
#5 #3 AND #4
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