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Study of Aircraft Icing Warning Algorithm Based on Millimeter Wave Radar Jinhu WANG 1,2,3,4* , Junxiang GE 1,3 , Qilin ZHANG 1,2 , Pan FAN 3 , Ming WEI 1,2 , and Xiangchao LI 1,2 1 Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/Key Laboratory for Aerosol–Cloud–Precipitation of China Meteorological Administration, Nanjing University of Information Science &Technology, Nanjing 210044 2 Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044 3 Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Meteorological Observation and Information Processing, Nanjing University of Information Science &Technology, Nanjing 210044 4 National Demonstration Center for Experimental Atmospheric Science and Environmental Meteorology Education, Nanjing University of Information Science &Technology, Nanjing 210044 (Received January 2, 2017; in final form August 2, 2017) ABSTRACT In order to avoid accidents due to aircraft icing, an algorithm for identifying supercooled water was studied. Spe- cifically, a threshold method based on millimeter wave radar, lidar, and radiosonde was used to retrieve the coverage area of supercooled water and a fuzzy logic algorithm was used to classify the observed meteorological targets. The macrophysical characteristics of supercooled water could be accurately identified by combing the threshold method with the fuzzy logic algorithm. In order to acquire microphysical characteristics of supercooled water in a mixed phase, the unimodal spectral distribution of supercooled water was extracted from a bimodal or trimodal spectral dis- tribution of a mixed phase cloud, which was then used to retrieve the effective radius and liquid water content of su- percooled water by using an empirical formula. These retrieved macro- and micro-physical characteristics of super- cooled water can be used to guide aircrafts during takeoff, flight, and landing to avoid dangerous areas. Key words: supercooled water, aircraft icing, millimeter wave radar, threshold method, fuzzy logic algorithm, power spectral density Citation: Wang, J. H., J. X. Ge, Q. L. Zhang, et al., 2017: Study of aircraft icing warning algorithm based on milli- meter wave radar. J. Meteor. Res., 31(6), 1034–1044, doi: 10.1007/s13351-017-6796-9. 1. Introduction Clouds consist of water droplets or ice crystals sus- pending in the air (Liu et al., 2014, 2015; Wang et al., 2016a, b, c). Non-freezing water droplets can be called supercooled water when the ambient temperature is be- low the freezing point. Such water is very unstable and can easily freeze into ice due to slight vibration. If an air- craft with surface temperature slightly below 0°C col- lides with supercooled water, ice can form on the aircraft surface, which is a phenomenon known as aircraft icing. The ambient temperature, liquid water content, and dia- meter of supercooled water droplets are important factors in aircraft icing (Ahrens, 1982; Eagleman, 1985). Many aircraft accidents have occurred due to super- cooled water. During the mid-1980s, Federal Aviation Administration reported 12 serious accidents due to air- craft icing in which turboprop engines stopped suddenly under the influence of supercooled water. In four of the accidents, the aircraft went out of control and fell to the ground. On November 21, 2004, a CRJ200 airplane of China Eastern Airlines crashed near Baotou airport when there was less than a minute after the takeoff; experts speculated that the cause of the crash was aircraft icing. On June 3, 2006, a military transport plane of Chinese Air Force crashed somewhere in Anhui; after investiga- Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (BK20170945), Open Fund of the Key Laboratory for Aerosol– Cloud–Precipitation of CMA–NUIST (KDW1703), National (Key) Basic Research and Development (973) Program of China (2014CB441405), National Natural Science Foundation of China (41275004, 61372066, and 41571348), Startup Fund for Introduced Talents of the Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology (2016r028), and Earth Science Virtual Simulation Experiment Teaching Course Construction Project (XNFZ2017C02). *Corresponding author: [email protected]. ©The Chinese Meteorological Society and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2017 Volume 31 Special Collection on Aerosol–Cloud–Radiation Interactions DECEMBER 2017

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Study of Aircraft Icing Warning Algorithm Based on Millimeter Wave Radar

Jinhu WANG1,2,3,4*, Junxiang GE1,3, Qilin ZHANG1,2, Pan FAN3, Ming WEI1,2, and Xiangchao LI1,2

1 Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/Key Laboratory for Aerosol–Cloud–Precipitation of ChinaMeteorological Administration, Nanjing University of Information Science &Technology, Nanjing 210044

2 Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 2100443 Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Meteorological Observation and Information Processing, Nanjing University of

Information Science &Technology, Nanjing 2100444 National Demonstration Center for Experimental Atmospheric Science and Environmental Meteorology Education,

Nanjing University of Information Science &Technology, Nanjing 210044

(Received January 2, 2017; in final form August 2, 2017)

ABSTRACT

In order to avoid accidents due to aircraft icing, an algorithm for identifying supercooled water was studied. Spe-cifically, a threshold method based on millimeter wave radar, lidar, and radiosonde was used to retrieve the coveragearea of supercooled water and a fuzzy logic algorithm was used to classify the observed meteorological targets. Themacrophysical characteristics of supercooled water could be accurately identified by combing the threshold methodwith the fuzzy logic algorithm. In order to acquire microphysical characteristics of supercooled water in a mixedphase, the unimodal spectral distribution of supercooled water was extracted from a bimodal or trimodal spectral dis-tribution of a mixed phase cloud, which was then used to retrieve the effective radius and liquid water content of su-percooled water by using an empirical formula. These retrieved macro- and micro-physical characteristics of super-cooled water can be used to guide aircrafts during takeoff, flight, and landing to avoid dangerous areas.Key words: supercooled water, aircraft icing, millimeter wave radar, threshold method, fuzzy logic algorithm, power

spectral densityCitation: Wang, J. H., J. X. Ge, Q. L. Zhang, et al., 2017: Study of aircraft icing warning algorithm based on milli-

meter wave radar. J. Meteor. Res., 31(6), 1034–1044, doi: 10.1007/s13351-017-6796-9.

1. Introduction

Clouds consist of water droplets or ice crystals sus-pending in the air (Liu et al., 2014, 2015; Wang et al.,2016a, b, c). Non-freezing water droplets can be calledsupercooled water when the ambient temperature is be-low the freezing point. Such water is very unstable andcan easily freeze into ice due to slight vibration. If an air-craft with surface temperature slightly below 0°C col-lides with supercooled water, ice can form on the aircraftsurface, which is a phenomenon known as aircraft icing.The ambient temperature, liquid water content, and dia-meter of supercooled water droplets are important factors

in aircraft icing (Ahrens, 1982; Eagleman, 1985).Many aircraft accidents have occurred due to super-

cooled water. During the mid-1980s, Federal AviationAdministration reported 12 serious accidents due to air-craft icing in which turboprop engines stopped suddenlyunder the influence of supercooled water. In four of theaccidents, the aircraft went out of control and fell to theground. On November 21, 2004, a CRJ200 airplane ofChina Eastern Airlines crashed near Baotou airport whenthere was less than a minute after the takeoff; expertsspeculated that the cause of the crash was aircraft icing.On June 3, 2006, a military transport plane of ChineseAir Force crashed somewhere in Anhui; after investiga-

Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (BK20170945), Open Fund of the Key Laboratory for Aerosol–

Cloud–Precipitation of CMA–NUIST (KDW1703), National (Key) Basic Research and Development (973) Program of China(2014CB441405), National Natural Science Foundation of China (41275004, 61372066, and 41571348), Startup Fund for IntroducedTalents of the Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology (2016r028), and Earth Science Virtual Simulation ExperimentTeaching Course Construction Project (XNFZ2017C02).

*Corresponding author: [email protected].©The Chinese Meteorological Society and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2017

Volume 31 Special Collection on Aerosol–Cloud–Radiation Interactions DECEMBER 2017

tion, experts established the direct cause of the accidentas the frequent trips of the aircraft across frozen regions.In order to ensure flight safety of aircraft in icing meteor-ological conditions, protective equipment should be used.The existing aircraft icing protection systems can be dividedinto two categories (Wu, 2012): anti-icing systems andde-icing systems. Anti-icing systems mainly include li-quid anti-icing technology, electric anti-icing technology,hot gas anti-icing technology, and evaporation anti-icingtechnology. De-icing systems mainly include pneumaticde-icing technology and electrical pulse de-icing techno-logy. The aircraft icing phenomenon has been extens-ively studied in developed countries such as UnitedStates, France, Germany, and Canada (Addy Jr. et al.,1997; Gent et al., 2000; Bragg et al., 2005).

If icing intensity is weak and the coverage area of su-percooled water is small, aircrafts can fly safely usinganti-icing and deicing equipment; if icing intensity isstrong and the coverage area of supercooled water islarge, aircrafts should stay away from the icing area bychanging flight altitude or flight path. Therefore, the ana-lysis and forecasting of supercooled water (Serke et al.,2014; Yang et al., 2014; Alexandrov et al., 2016), whichcauses aircraft icing, is a high-value task in aviation met-eorology.

In this paper, we propose an algorithm for determin-ing the macro- and micro-physical parameters of super-cooled water. The retrieved results can be used to judgewhether the aircraft can fly through a supercooled waterarea. These warning parameters can be retrieved by us-ing a combination of a threshold method, a fuzzy logicalgorithm, and power spectral density based on the dataof millimeter wave radar, lidar, and radiosonde. The re-trieved results mainly include the coverage area, effect-ive droplet radius, and liquid water content of super-cooled water. The results can be used to avoid the acci-dent risk of aircrafts due to icing.

2. Theoretical foundation for identification ofsupercooled water

2.1 Coverage area of supercooled water identified by thethreshold method

A cloud with a lidar backscatter coefficient greaterthan 5 × 10–5 m sr–1 can be regarded as a supercooled waterlayer (Luke et al., 2010). Khain et al. (2001) thought thatthe radar reflectivity factor of a cloud that includes onlydroplets should be less than –20 dBZ. Based on extens-ive experiments with 7 yr of multi-sensor observations,Shupe (2007) found that the spectral width of millimeterwave radar exceeds 0.4 m s–1 for a cloud consisting of su-

percooled water and ice particles, while this value is be-low 0.4 m s–1 for a cloud consisting of only supercooledwater or ice particles. Note that although lidar can identifysupercooled water layers of a cloud, the lidar signal is at-tenuated strongly; thus, lidar can only identify the bot-tom of a supercooled water layer. In order to betteridentify the coverage area of supercooled water, milli-meter wave radar and radiosonde data should be used.An algorithm for using this data is shown below:

1) The temperature of supercooled water ranging from–40 to 0°C can be determined by using sounding data;

2) In the temperature region ranging from –40 to 0°C,when the lidar backscatter coefficient of a cloud is gre-ater than 5 × 10–5 m sr–1, the cloud can be regarded as asupercooled water layer;

3) In the temperature region ranging from –40 to 0°C,the region of a supercooled water layer that cannot be de-tected by lidar due to attenuation could be identified bythe spectral width and linear depolarization ratio (LDR)of millimeter wave radar. Specifically, the spectral widthshould exceed 0.4 m s–1 and the value of LDR should bebelow –15 dBZ;

4) The entire area identified by lidar and millimeterwave radar can be labelled as supercooled water area.

2.2 Cloud phase type classified by a fuzzy logic algorithm

Compared with neural network approach (Inoue,1987; Lee et al., 1990; Shi and Qu, 2002), a fuzzy logicalgorithm mainly includes four processes (Liu andChandrasekar, 2000): 1) fuzzification, 2) inference ofrule, 3) aggregation, and 4) defuzzification. A fuzzy lo-gic algorithm for identifying the hydrometeor type isbased on converting the matrix of radar data to the mat-rix of particle phase type using conversion rules de-scribed by the membership function (Al-Sakka et al.,2013). In this paper, four measurements, namely, radarreflectivity factor, Doppler velocity, spectral width, andtemperature, were used as input variables of the fuzzy lo-gic algorithm. Trapezoidal membership functions wereused to fuzzify the four measurements. The differentmembership functions were constructed by using thethreshold of Shupe (2007). The hydrometeor types andoutput variables of the fuzzy classifier system are listedin Table 1.

Table 1 shows that the output of the fuzzy classifiersystem is one of the hydrometeor types: (1) snow, (2) ice,(3) mixed, (4) liquid, (5) drizzle, and (6) rain. Figure 1shows the block scheme of the fuzzy classifier. The in-put parameters of the fuzzy classifier are radar reflectiv-ity factor, Doppler velocity, spectral width, and temperat-ure, and the output parameter is the hydrometeor type.

DECEMBER 2017 Wang, J. H., J. X. Ge, Q. L. Zhang, et al. 1035

Next, we describe the four steps in the classification ofhydrometeors:

1) FuzzificationThe process of fuzzification involves conversion of

the four input parameters into fuzzy sets. This conver-sion process mainly relies on membership function. Foreach input parameter (radar reflectivity factor, Dopplervelocity, spectral width, and temperature), there are sixmembership functions corresponding to the six hydro-meteor types. The membership functions are defined asMBFij (fuzzy sets); subscripts i and j stand for the input parameterand the particle type, respectively. There are many formsof membership functions, and an asymmetric trapezoidalfunction was chosen as the basic form of membershipfunctions used in this paper. The trapezoidal shape is de-termined by coefficients X1, X2, X3, and X4, and the mem-bership function is expressed as follows:

1

11 2

2 1

1 2 3 4 2 3

43 4

4 3

4

0, ,

, ,

( , ) 1, ,

, ,

,

, ,

,

,

0

< − < −= < − <

x Xx X

X x XX X

T x X X X X X x XX x

X x XX X

x X

(1)

where T stands for membership, and x is the consideredparameter (radar reflectivity factor, Doppler velocity,spectral width, or temperature).

Determination of the coefficients of the trapezoidalfunction (X1, X2, X3, and X4) is the key to the classifica-tion result of the fuzzy logic algorithm. These coeffi-cients would not greatly influence the retrieved resultsdue to ambiguity of fuzzy logic algorithm, that is, thetiny change of these parameters is not enough to affectthe retrieved results. The threshold values for the differ-ent particle types, in terms of the radar reflectivity factor(Zh), Doppler velocity (vD), spectral width (wD), and tem-perature (T), are given in Table 2 (Peng et al., 2011).

2) Inference of ruleBy constructing the membership functions success-

fully, the fuzzy parameters can be obtained by using the

Table 1. Output of the fuzzy classifier systemHydrometeor type Classifier output QSnow 1Ice 2Mixed 3Liquid 4Drizzle 5Rain 6

Table 2. Member function coefficients of hydrometeorsSnow Ice Mixed Liquid Drizzle Rain

P(Zh) X1 (dBZ) 0 –80 –70 –80 –70 –50X2 (dBZ) 10 –50 –17 –80 –17 5X3 (dBZ) 20 0 0 –17 4 20X4 (dBZ) 20 10 10 0 8 20

P(vD) X1 (m s–1) –2 –2 –2 –2 –2 –2X2 (m s–1) 1 –2 1 –2 1 2.6X3 (m s–1) 2.6 1 2.6 0.4 2 8X4 (m s–1) 8 4 4 2 4 8

P(wD) X1 (m s–1) 0 0 0.1 0 0 0X2 (m s–1) 0.4 0 0.6 0.4 0.4 2X3 (m s–1) 2 0.1 4 0.8 2 4X4 (m s–1) 4 0.4 4 4 4 4

P(T) X1 (°C) –273 –273 –40 –40 0 0X2 (°C) –273 –273 –20 0 0 0X3 (°C) 0 –40 –20 100 100 100X4 (°C) 0 5 5 100 100 100

Fig. 1. Block scheme of the fuzzy classifier.

1036 Journal of Meteorological Research Volume 31

fuzzy logic algorithm; rules are used to describe the com-plex relationships between input and output fuzzy vari-ables. The process of deducing the “strength” of thesefuzzy parameters from the strength of the antecedents iscalled rule inference. The most commonly used infer-ence methods are correlation product and correlationstack, which are shown below:

4

1

,j iji

S P

(2)

4

1

,j i iji

S A P

(3)

where Pij stands for the membership, subscripts i and jare the parameter and the particle type, and Ai is a weightcoefficient.

The results from the two inference methods have nosignificant differences. In this study, we selected themethod of correlation stack and set Ai = 1, which isshown in Eq. (3).

3) AggregationThis step involves aggregating Sj computed by the in-

ference method and setting the largest Sj as Q, that is, Q= Sjmax.

4) DefuzzificationThe final results obtained by the fuzzy logic al-

gorithm are the index values shown in Table 1, fromwhich the particle classification can be identified.

2.3 Microphysical parameters of supercooled waterretrieved by Doppler power spectral density

In order to acquire the microphysical parameters ofdifferent hydrometeor particles forming a hybrid cloud,the noise level in Doppler power spectra density must becomputed first. The actual power spectral densities ofdifferent particles can be obtained after eliminating thenoise power spectral density, using the following basicprinciple:

Assuming that particles inside the radar effective irra-diation volume have the same attributes, the power spec-tral density of these particles in still air can be regardedas a single pulse function. However, actual cloudparticles detected by radar have different attributes andthe air has a vertical velocity; thus, Doppler power spec-tral densities detected by radar are results of convolutionof signal power spectral densities and the air turbulencepower spectral density (Gossard, 1994; Gossard et al.,1997). Because air turbulence can be regarded as a Gaus-sian signal, the result of convolution is still a Gaussianfunction. The power spectral density of individualparticles can be expressed by a Gaussian distribution and

those of a variety of particles can be expressed by the ad-dition of these Gaussian distributions. For a 35-GHz mil-limeter wave radar, there is velocity ambiguity and spec-tral overlap in the case of large raindrops, and the powerspectral density is not Gaussian. In order to avoid suchcomplications and ignore the influence of updraft anddowndraft on particle movement, we analyze only strati-form clouds. In general, the bimodal spectrum of a strati-form cloud can be regarded as a spectrum with one modedue to liquid droplets and the other due to ice particles(Kollias et al., 2011).

The Gaussian distribution form of individual particlescan be written as follows:

202

( )2

G 0( ) e ,σ−

−=

v v

S v S (4)

where S0 is maximum signal power, v is the Doppler ve-locity, v0 is the corresponding velocity, and σ is the spec-tral width.

Because the output power spectral density containsnoise, we should remove the noise first to retrieve theradar reflectivity factor and other physical parameters us-ing power spectral density.

Assuming that the noise of the radar system is N(v),the measured output of power spectral density can be ex-pressed by the addition of meteorological signal powerand noise power:

202

( )2

0( ) .e σ−

−= +

v v

vS N v S (5)

There are several methods to remove the noise fromthe measured power spectral density. Battan determineda fixed noise threshold for separating signal from noise(Battan, 1964). Donaldson (1967) and Sekhon andSrivastava (1971) utilized a noise threshold below thepeak to separate the signal of meteorological targets fromradar system noise. However, these methods of remov-ing noise are problematic because noise is not fixed andits value changes randomly. Hildebrand and Sekhon(1974) treated noise as Gaussian white noise and pro-posed an algorithm to separate noise from the detectedsignal. Currently, this method has been widely used andhas the following steps:

1) The Doppler power spectral density is smoothed inthree points.

2) The smoothed Doppler power spectral density val-ues are arranged in the order of smallest to largest; thenew sequence of Doppler power spectral density valuescan be defined as Ai (i = 1, 2, 3, ..., n).

3) The average Pn and variance Qn of the new se-quence Ai is computed by using following formulas:

DECEMBER 2017 Wang, J. H., J. X. Ge, Q. L. Zhang, et al. 1037

22

1 1

( ), , .= =

−= = =

×

∑ ∑n n

i i ni i n

n n nn

A A PP

P Q Rn n Q m

(6)

4) A new variable Rn is defined:When Rn > 1, the corresponding Pn value can be re-

garded as noise power.

3. Case study

The data of millimeter wave radar (35-GHz Coperni-cus), lidar (CT75K), and radiosonde (http://weather.uwyo.edu/upperair/sounding.html) taken during 1600–2400 UTC 11 January 2011 at Chilbolton Observatory(United Kingdom) were used to retrieve the coveragearea of supercooled water. Table 3 shows the specifica-tions of 35-GHz Copernicus and lidar, which can befound as follows.

Figures 2a–d show the radar reflectivity factor, Dop-pler velocity, spectral width, and linear depolarization ra-tio of the 35-GHz millimeter wave radar, respectively.Figure 3 shows the backscatter coefficient of lidar, andFig. 4 shows the sounding temperature data at 2400UTC.

According to the algorithm for identification of super-cooled water, which was introduced in Section 2.1, theretrieved coverage area of supercooled water based ondata of Figs. 2–4 is shown in Fig. 5.

Figure 5 shows that supercooled water is present at theheight of 1 km during 1600–1700 UTC, the area of thesupercooled water layer is gradually increasing during2000–2400 UTC, and the maximum coverage of super-cooled water occurs during 2200–2400 UTC, with a cov-erage area from 1- to 5-km heights.

The fuzzy logic method introduced in Section 2.2 was

Table 3. The specifications of Copernicus cloud and lidarParameter (Copernicus) Value and comment Parameter (lidar) Value and commentOperating frequency 34.960 GHz Laser type InGaAs diode laserTransmit polarization Horizontal and vertical, pulse-to-pulse switching Transmitted wavelength 905 ± 5 nmReceive polarization Simultaneous co-polar and cross-polar Pulse repetition frequency 5.13 kHzTransmit power 1.5-kW peak pulse Transmitted beam divergence 0.75 mradRange resolution 75 m, typical Time resolution 30 sGain 55.9 dBi Height resolution 30 mNoise figure 4.5 dB Lens diameter 0.145 mMaximum unambiguous range 30 km, typical Field of view 0.66 mradMaximum unambiguous velocity 5.36 m s–1, typical Backscattering sensitivity ~10–7 m–1 sr–1 at low altitude

Fig. 2. (a) Radar reflectivity factor, (b) Doppler velocity, (c) spectral width, and (d) linear depolarization ratio of 35-GHz Copernicus radar dur-ing 1600–2400 UTC 11 January 2011.

1038 Journal of Meteorological Research Volume 31

used to classify the targets based on the data shown inFigs. 2a–c, and 4. The results of classification can beshown in Fig. 6.

Figure 6 shows that the bottom of the cloud is almostentirely liquid water, with the height of liquid waterabout 1.3 km during 1600–1700 UTC. After 2200 UTC,the coverage area of liquid water ranges in height from 1to 5 km, and other areas of the cloud consist almost en-tirely of ice particles. This conclusion is in agreementwith the retrieved result shown in Fig. 5. Moreover, thecloud after 2000 UTC is a mixed-phase cloud containingice particles and liquid water droplets.

In order to obtain microphysical parameters of super-cooled water in a mixed-phase cloud, the Doppler power

spectral density of supercooled water should be extrac-ted from that of the mixed-phase cloud. Figure 7 showsthe power spectral densities detected by 35-GHz milli-meter wave radar.

The power spectral densities at 2000, 2100, and 2200UTC have obvious bimodal spectral distribution in thecase of a coded mode, which implies that there are twodifferent hydrometeors (ice particle and liquid water).These power spectral densities at different heights areshown in Fig. 8.

Note that the Doppler power spectral densities in Fig. 8contain noise power. We eliminated the Gaussian whitenoise as described in Section 2.3 to obtain the final spec-tral power containing the information of only meteorolo-gical particles. Figure 9 shows the original and denoisedpower spectral densities at different heights and times.

Figure 9 shows that the bimodal nature of the powerspectral density becomes clearer after denoising; the leftpart of the bimodal power spectral distribution stands forice particles and the right part stands for supercooled wa-ter. The velocity of ice particles is negative, indicatingfalling velocity (toward the radar), and the velocity of su-percooled water is positive, indicating rising velocity(away from the radar). There are two modes of pulsewidth in the 35-GHz Copernicus millimeter wave radar,uncoded mode and coded mode. The measured velocityof the uncoded mode ranges from –5.3633 to 5.3214 m s–1

and that of the coded mode ranges from –2.6816 to2.6397 m s–1.

Assuming that the particle size distribution is normal,it can be expressed as

Fig. 3. Backscatter coefficient of lidar during 1600–2400 UTC 11January 2011.

Fig. 4. Radiosonde temperature at 2400 UTC 11 January 2011.

Fig. 5. Retrieved coverage area of supercooled water based on thedata of millimeter wave radar, lidar, and radiosonde during 1600–2400UTC 11 January 2011.

Fig. 6. Hydrometeor classification result of the fuzzy logic method.

DECEMBER 2017 Wang, J. H., J. X. Ge, Q. L. Zhang, et al. 1039

202

( )2

02,e σ

π σ

−−

=x xN

n Sr

(7)

where N is particle number concentration, r is the particleradius, r0 is the median radius, x = lnr, x0 = lnr0, and σ isthe spectral width of log spectra.

When radar reflectivity factors of a mixed phase, icephase, and liquid phase are computed based on theirDoppler power spectral densities, the effective radius (re)and liquid water content (LWC) are given by the follow-ing expressions (Shupe et al., 2004):

2 1/6 1/6e 50 exp 0.5 ) ,( σ −= −r N Z (8)

2 1/2 1/2LWC ( / 6)exp( 4. ) .5= − N Zρ π σ (9)

The effective radius and LWC computed by using res-ults shown in Figs. 9b, 9d, and 9f are listed in Tables 4and 5, respectively.

Table 4 shows that the retrieved effective radii of themixed phase are smaller than those of the ice phase, witha minimum relative error of 165.34%, and larger than

those of the liquid phase, with a minimum relative errorof 57.69%. Table 5 shows that the retrieved LWC valuesof the mixed phase are larger than those of the ice phaseor the liquid phase. The minimum relative error is94.67% for the ice phase and 91.77% for the liquidphase. Based on above analysis, the microphysical para-meters retrieved for the mixed phase are completely dif-ferent from those of the ice phase or the liquid phase.

Based on above analysis, the macro- and micro-phy-sical parameters of supercooled water, such as coveragearea, effective radius, and LWC, can be retrieved by mil-limeter wave radar, lidar, and radiosonde measurements.The classification results can provide reference informa-tion about whether an aircraft can fly through a super-cooled water layer and the flight paths to avoid super-cooled water.

4. Summary

The macro- and micro-physical parameters of a super-cooled water layer were extracted from millimeter wave

Fig. 7. Doppler power spectral densities detected by Copernicus radar during 1600–2400 UTC 11 January 2011.

1040 Journal of Meteorological Research Volume 31

Fig. 8. Doppler power spectral densities at different heights (1.0184, 2.0077, 3.0270, 4.0163, 5.0057, and 6.0250 km) at (a) 2000, (b) 2100, and(c) 2200 UTC 11 January 2011.

Fig. 9. (a, c, e) Original Doppler spectral power and (b, d, f) denoised Doppler spectral power at (a, b) 2000, (c, d) 2100, and (e, f) 2200 UTC 11January 2011.

DECEMBER 2017 Wang, J. H., J. X. Ge, Q. L. Zhang, et al. 1041

radar, lidar, and radiosonde data. A threshold methodwas used to retrieve the coverage area of supercooledwater and a fuzzy logic algorithm was used to classify

the observed hydrometeor particles. The macrophysicalcharacteristics of supercooled water can be confirmed bycomparing the results of the threshold method and the

Table 4. Retrieved effective radius (μm) at 3.0270- and 4.0163-kmheights based on Doppler spectral power

2000 UTC 2100 UTC 2200 UTC3.0270 km (mixed phase) 29.9 30.8 25.83.0270 km (ice phase) 79.3 81.6 68.43.0270 km (liquid phase) 12.0 12.4 10.44.0163 km (mixed phase) 19.9 15.1 24.44.0163 km (ice phase) 52.8 40.2 64.74.0163 km (liquid phase) 8.4 6.4 10.3

Table 5. Retrieved LWC (g m–3) at 3.0270- and 4.0163-km heightsbased on Doppler spectral power

2000 UTC 2100 UTC 2200 UTC3.0270 km (mixed phase) 2.69 2.94 1.733.0270 km (ice phase) 0.14 0.16 0.093.0270 km (liquid phase) 0.19 0.21 0.124.0163 km (mixed phase) 0.80 0.35 1.464.0163 km (ice phase) 0.04 0.02 0.084.0163 km (liquid phase) 0.07 0.03 0.12

Fig. 9. (Continued.)

1042 Journal of Meteorological Research Volume 31

fuzzy logic algorithm. To obtain the microphysical char-acteristics of supercooled water, a method of extractingthe unimodal power spectral density of supercooled wa-ter from the power spectral density of a mixed phaseafter denoising was proposed. This method can be usedto retrieve the effective radius and LWC of supercooledwater. A case study verified that the coverage of super-cooled water at different heights and times can be identi-fied by the proposed method and that the microphysicalparameters of the mixed water–ice phase are completelydifferent from those of the constituent phases.

Acknowledgments. We thank Rutherford AppletonLaboratory for providing the data used in this study.

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1044 Journal of Meteorological Research Volume 31